LTA's NBA Plays

smarotta09 · 02-21-12, 01:00 AM

Why are the starters still in ?!?!?!

Roto97 · 02-21-12, 01:03 AM

Sometimes I wish there was a QB kneel option in the NBA.

smarotta09 · 02-21-12, 01:03 AM

your up 17 with 2 minutes left and your fouling

Jkon9 · 02-21-12, 01:06 AM

Kobe was in with 2 minutes left up 15. Lost a huge Parlay because the Lakers don't know how to manage time.

alamo · 02-21-12, 01:07 AM

Unfortunately one of those games where a team was so far ahead at half time that the two teams decided to play exhibition basketball in the 2nd half to entertain the crowd. We will get em tmoro.

Dtown13 · 02-21-12, 01:09 AM

Originally posted by smarotta09

your up 17 with 2 minutes left and your fouling

Unbelievable. That sucks. I wish they all would have broken their legs. Ridiculous.

Roto97 · 02-21-12, 01:10 AM

Someone should remind Nate Mcmillan, that this isn't NBA Jam or NBA Courtside There are no 10 pointers or 15 pointers.

notoriouz · 02-21-12, 01:18 AM

Dam 113 points in the second half and both teams combine to shoot 20-42 from 3 point land

. You win some you lose some. On to the next day

Dtown13 · 02-21-12, 02:15 AM

Yep. It was still a good call from LTA. It really should have covered. Keep them coming LTA.

Dexter · 02-21-12, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Typical TNT bullshit, too.

First game goes under, so of course, the second one has to do the opposite.

why complain? you should be rich if this happens on a consistent basis.

any #'s that stand behind this?

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 07:23 AM

Wow....reading some of these comments from last night was hilarious. Some of you guys are going to have a hard time surviving the season.

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by PutTogether

I can't stand betting on a sport where you can never tell if two teams are going to show up and play the game. Maybe they'll have an off day, their plan won't come together, whatever......it happens. In basketball though, you can't be sure if any team on any day isn't going to just toss their hands in the air and say 'awww screw it, lets just f around.' How to deal with that........I've never figured out.

I'll hardly ever get that feeling in baseball or football.......but in the NBA it's bound to happen with at least a game a night. It drives me nuts.

Sounds like the nba might not be for you....

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 07:29 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Typical TNT bullshit, too.

First game goes under, so of course, the second one has to do the opposite.

TNT must have that in the contract

These crazy scoring swings occur on a nightly basis and always have....has nothing to do with tnt. That's just the nba and basketball in general. Nothing you can do.

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 07:40 AM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/20/2012 Recap

1 - 2 = -1.6x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

79 - 67 = +12.95x

The jazz and lakers under killed our night. However, we do not make excuses and blame it on "fixes"....we just accept the losses like men, chalk it up and move onto Tuesday. GL.

NOREGRETS · 02-21-12, 08:11 AM

Tough loss on that under. Would have been a big night. Should have hit after the very low 1st. On to today. Thank you LTA.

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 09:09 AM

Can the spurs keep winning or does portland avenge their early season loss to the spurs?

A 4 point spread is just about perfect for vegas to split the action, but is there value for us?

Philly/Memphis total looks interesting....kings/heat too.

Back to reality after our day off....time to leave for work Good luck today.

JM92 · 02-21-12, 09:17 AM

How 'bout Cavs? Really feelin' that Over LTA. My only scar was how bad Detroit played with a full team against them on the early season game.

dmitean · 02-21-12, 09:34 AM

I think that Portland sucks big time B2B and they logged some heavy minutes and can be drained from their comeback attempt that didn't go well.
I wanted to take Portland, but will probably skip it now.

I really want to take Under in Indiana, but the total set really low.

Good luck tonight!

mikea33 · 02-21-12, 10:52 AM

Wait did i just wake up to a loser??? WTF! how does a game where a team scores 7 at the end of onr go over by 13 points holy shiy

BayArea888 · 02-21-12, 11:38 AM

liking the over in the Memphis vs Philly game. the line is slowly creeping past 180...

dynasty27 · 02-21-12, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by BayArea888

liking the over in the Memphis vs Philly game. the line is slowly creeping past 180...

Line pretty steady @ 180 so far...wanna elaborate on what you like about the over. I personally have been leaning on the under all morning. The pace numbers, defensive numbers, and refs IMO favor the under. PHI has struggled offensively with hawes out as well. Thanks for sharing in advance

BayArea888 · 02-21-12, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by dynasty27

Line pretty steady @ 180 so far...wanna elaborate on what you like about the over. I personally have been leaning on the under all morning. The pace numbers, defensive numbers, and refs IMO favor the under. PHI has struggled offensively with hawes out as well. Thanks for sharing in advance

my main reason on the over is because i think it is set too low for the match-up. yes, the 76ers have been struggling to find a win lately, but their road offense is quite comparable to the Grizzlies' home offense. also, both teams have defenses that give up 90+ ppg. you are right about these teams liking a slow methodical pace, but even so, hitting the 90 point mark is not hard with a slow pace.

Love The Action · 02-21-12, 12:32 PM

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/21/2012

Play #1

76'ers/Grizzlies under (180) 1x (Locked)

I would like to wait out a better number, but wont have time at work to watch the lines and I expect a closer under 180. Here are some quck thoughts on this play. The refs are not the best with rush, but we do have jones who favors the under and anderson is neutral. Plus, neither offense is great at drawing fouls with philly ranked 30th and memphis 16th in FT/FGA. I also worry that philly's defense is not as stout on the road, but there is a reason the books are adjusting ten points in favor of the under when compared to last season. Memphis has slowed its pace oflate and is currently ranked 17th to philly's 25th ranking. Both teams are top ten in DEFF and the strength of these defenses will be opposing the strength of the offenses. Philly will key on gasol and seek to shut him down inside in order to force memphis into inefficient jump shots. Philly is top 5 defensively in both points in the paint and spot up defense so I expect memphis to have tough time on offense today. Memphis likes to score in transition off turnovers but philly is #1 TOV% so I dont expect too many easy transition points for memphis. Likewise, gasol's inside presence should force philly into a spot up game where memphis' perimeter defense can give them trouble. I expect this game to result in a low scoring, slow paced slug fest. I have this game set at 177 giving us 3 points of value after the total dropped from 181.5 almost immediately at open despite 70%+ on the over. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Elad · 02-21-12, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/21/2012 [b] Play #1 76'ers/Grizzlies under (180) 1x (Locked)[b] I would like to wait out a better number, but wont have time at work to watch the lines and I expect a closer under 180. Here are some quck thoughts on this play. The refs are not the best with rush, but we do have jones who favors the under and anderson is neutral. Plus, neither offense is great at drawing fouls with philky ranked 30th and memphis 16th in FT/FGA. I also worry that philly's defense is not as stout on the road, but there is a reason the books are adjusting ten points in favor of the under when compared to last season. Memphishas slowed its pace oflate and is currently ranked 17th to philly's 25th ranking. Both teams are top ten in DEFF and the strength of these defenses will be opposing the strength of the offenses. Philly will key on gasol and seek to shut him down inside in order to force memphis into inefficient jump shots. Philly is top 5 defensively in both points in the paint and spot up defense so I expect memphis to have tough time on offense today. Memphis likes to score in transition off turnovers but philly is #1 TOV% so I dont expect too many easy transition points for memphis. Likewise, gasol's inside presence should force philly into a spot up game where memphis' perimeter defense can give them trouble. I expect this game to result in a low scoring, slow paced slug fest. I have this game set at 177 giving us 3 points of value after the total dropped from 181.5 almost immediately at open despite 70%+ on the over. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

The 3 ref's of this game are 8-2 U/O when the line is 184 or less -

Good luck pal

BayArea888 · 02-21-12, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/21/2012 [b] Play #1 76'ers/Grizzlies under (180) 1x (Locked)[b] I would like to wait out a better number, but wont have time at work to watch the lines and I expect a closer under 180. Here are some quck thoughts on this play. The refs are not the best with rush, but we do have jones who favors the under and anderson is neutral. Plus, neither offense is great at drawing fouls with philky ranked 30th and memphis 16th in FT/FGA. I also worry that philly's defense is not as stout on the road, but there is a reason the books are adjusting ten points in favor of the under when compared to last season. Memphishas slowed its pace oflate and is currently ranked 17th to philly's 25th ranking. Both teams are top ten in DEFF and the strength of these defenses will be opposing the strength of the offenses. Philly will key on gasol and seek to shut him down inside in order to force memphis into inefficient jump shots. Philly is top 5 defensively in both points in the paint and spot up defense so I expect memphis to have tough time on offense today. Memphis likes to score in transition off turnovers but philly is #1 TOV% so I dont expect too many easy transition points for memphis. Likewise, gasol's inside presence should force philly into a spot up game where memphis' perimeter defense can give them trouble. I expect this game to result in a low scoring, slow paced slug fest. I have this game set at 177 giving us 3 points of value after the total dropped from 181.5 almost immediately at open despite 70%+ on the over. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

hate to be on the other side of the fence going against LTA...BOL

djpremier36 · 02-21-12, 01:06 PM

I like your under pick Lta.

BOL!

Overbettor · 02-21-12, 01:09 PM

Lta what does your model have for the pistons/cavs??

Apathy31 · 02-21-12, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by Elad

The 3 ref's of this game are 8-2 U/O when the line is 184 or less -

Good luck pal

Where do you find this information? if you dont mind

Elad · 02-21-12, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by Apathy31

Where do you find this information? if you dont mind

If you want to know you need to pay..lets say...1K$

just kidding ..Info on refs you can find in Bet365,Covers and I think you can just google 'NBA Refs stat'..

Apathy31 · 02-21-12, 01:42 PM

meant to give you coins but like a dumbass nominated. Hah my bad. Thanks for the info. I use to pick games just because they were on TV finally starting to do research. You think I would have early since my degree is in stats.

M.W. · 02-21-12, 01:45 PM

Nocioni will start for Brand. Does that change have any impact on your analysis?

Catchn_Picks · 02-21-12, 01:50 PM

Got under 181 LTA and all. 5D is bouncing back and forth.

Apathy31 · 02-21-12, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by M.W.

Nocioni will start for Brand. Does that change have any impact on your analysis?

Nocioni is a better defender if I am not mistaken.

NOREGRETS · 02-21-12, 01:55 PM

Let' do this boys... DO OR DIE

<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="90%"><tbody><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="center">Ticket#:15589400
Feb 21 07:05 PM
</td><td valign="center">INTERNET / -1</td><td valign="center">Feb 21 11:01 AM </td><td>
NBA
</td><td align="center">STRAIGHT BET
[708] TOTAL u180-110
(76ERS (PHI) vrs GRIZZLIES (MEM))
</td><td>
110 / 100</td></tr></tbody></table><table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="90%"><tbody><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="center">Ticket#:15589680
Feb 21 07:05 PM
</td><td valign="center">INTERNET / -1</td><td valign="center">Feb 21 11:36 AM </td><td>
NBA
</td><td align="center">STRAIGHT BET
[708] TOTAL u180-110
(76ERS (PHI) vrs GRIZZLIES (MEM))
</td><td>
275 / 250
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="center">Ticket#:15589708
Feb 21 07:05 PM
</td><td valign="center">INTERNET / -1</td><td valign="center">Feb 21 11:39 AM </td><td>
NBA
</td><td align="center">STRAIGHT BET
[708] TOTAL u180-110
(76ERS (PHI) vrs GRIZZLIES (MEM))
</td><td>
220 / 200
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="center">Ticket#:15589718
Feb 21 07:05 PM
</td><td valign="center">INTERNET / -1</td><td valign="center">Feb 21 11:40 AM </td><td>
NBA
</td><td align="center">STRAIGHT BET
[708] TOTAL u180½-110
(76ERS (PHI) vrs GRIZZLIES (MEM))
</td><td>
220 / 200
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="center">Ticket#:15591345
Feb 21 07:05 PM
</td><td valign="center">INTERNET / -1</td><td valign="center">Feb 21 12:54 PM </td><td>
NBA
</td><td align="center">STRAIGHT BET
[708] TOTAL u181-110
(76ERS (PHI) vrs GRIZZLIES (MEM))
</td><td>
220 / 200</td></tr></tbody></table>

KYkid89 · 02-21-12, 02:10 PM

It takes some big ones to lay down that kinda cash on a single play I'll give you that. if you win, that would be like 2 months rent for me! #ballersonabudget

but I still like the play too! I'm in for 1x @U180 and 1x @U181 too.