Sj55 wnba picks

**rtx1125** · 07-08-10, 04:23 PM

Hey SJ. What do you think about today's games?

**sweetjones55** · 07-08-10, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by rtx1125

Hey SJ. What do you think about today's games?

Haven't looked. I am submerged in the LeBron signing, have a big prop play on Miami at 15-1.

**dume walker** · 07-08-10, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Haven't looked. I am submerged in the LeBron signing, have a big prop play on Miami at 15-1.

The very BOL to you, SJ. I got some of this at +170. Boy, do I wish I could have grabbed some of your 15-1 action.

**rtx1125** · 07-08-10, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Haven't looked. I am submerged in the LeBron signing, have a big prop play on Miami at 15-1.

BOL on that!

**jaymac82980** · 07-08-10, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Haven't looked. I am submerged in the LeBron signing, have a big prop play on Miami at 15-1.

you realy like him going to miami that much? i just find it hard to believe that he'd go there, knowing what people will say about him if he does..."Lebron can't win on his own..."

**dume walker** · 07-08-10, 08:29 PM

SJ, thanks for the heads up on LeBron. Made some coin there. Hope you cashed in big time.

**sweetjones55** · 07-08-10, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Haven't looked. I am submerged in the LeBron signing, have a big prop play on Miami at 15-1.

5 figure hit, biggest of my life. I am going to South Beach and losing my mind, you might not see me on here for a month.

**daneault23** · 07-08-10, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

5 figure hit, biggest of my life. I am going to South Beach and losing my mind, you might not see me on here for a month.

Wow man, nice hit.

Say what's up to Bosh, Dwade and the King for us

**sweetjones55** · 07-09-10, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

5 figure hit, biggest of my life. I am going to South Beach and losing my mind, you might not see me on here for a month.

Originally posted by daneault23

Wow man, nice hit.

Say what's up to Bosh, Dwade and the King for us

Already got to say whats up to Wade for everyone. He was at the table right next to mine (he's wearing all black standing up) at the club last night, hopefully I'll get to see LeBron tonight.

**smcc716** · 07-09-10, 05:08 PM

Nice pic SJ!! Keep on the look out for LBJ and Bosh...then you can have the trifecta posted here in the thread!!

**sweetjones55** · 07-09-10, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by smcc716

Nice pic SJ!! Keep on the look out for LBJ and Bosh...then you can have the trifecta posted here in the thread!!

I am going to see all of them tonight at Club Liv or Wall for anyone that lives in Miami. So random but I already saw LBJ today, he was getting an MRI at a place a block away from my dealership in South Miami. http://twitpic.com/23sdwa

I just need to see Bosh now.

**brumbies** · 07-09-10, 11:20 PM

How much did you win on that Lebron to Miami prop?

**brumbies** · 07-15-10, 09:38 PM

Sweetjones your thoughts on Tulsa@SA tomorrow?

**sweetjones55** · 07-15-10, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by brumbies

Sweetjones your thoughts on Tulsa@SA tomorrow?

Tulsa has shown no reason to be backed at all. They lose every game by double digits. SA has won their last three home games by double digits. Roll with SA on that one.

**sweetjones55** · 07-15-10, 10:54 PM

Silverstars -2.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
Silverstars -4.5 1st Half LOCKED
Silverstars -9 LOCKED
Sky 1st Quarter -2.5 LOCKED
Sky 1st Half -4.5 LOCKED
Sky -8.5 LOCKED

**sweetjones55** · 07-15-10, 10:58 PM

I am making a big move and putting in six plays for tomorrows games. I am rolling with Chicago, this team is on the up and up. Sylvia Fowles is coming off an AllStar MVP performance and will carry that momentum into tomorrows game against a horrible LA Sparks team. Sparks are 1-7 on the road, only road win being against Tulsa.

I am also rolling with SA. They are 3-0 their last three home games all by double digits. On the contrary, Tulsa has lost 9 of their last ten games by double digits. Tulsa is just one of the worst teams in WNBA history and I am banking on them laying another egg. SA should roll in this one by about 15.

**spud58** · 07-15-10, 11:01 PM

waste of time taking these picks

**sweetjones55** · 07-15-10, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by spud58

waste of time taking these picks

Lol how is it a waste of time?

**brumbies** · 07-15-10, 11:08 PM

But Tulsa can't keep on losing right? Also, don't you feel a letdown by SA? After all, I am sure they are thinking that Tulsa should be a cakewalk since they easily destroyed three teams by double digits prior and those three teams are better than Tulsa. And I don't have to tell you what usually happen when a team overlooks its inferior opponent.

**sweetjones55** · 07-15-10, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by brumbies

But Tulsa can't keep on losing right? Also, don't you feel a letdown by SA? After all, I am sure they are thinking that Tulsa should be a cakewalk since they easily destroyed three teams by double digits prior and those three teams are better than Tulsa. And I don't have to tell you what usually happen when a team overlooks its inferior opponent.

Why would I feel a letdown from SA? Every team has overlooked Tulsa, it's impossible not to because of how bad they are. But bottomline is that they keep on losing by double digits regardless. They are just really, really bad. People are always so scared to bet against the worst teams because they come up with the "due" theory and are just scared because it seems like easy money. The thing is that sometimes it is. Why do you think Vegas already upped the line from -8 to -9 the day before?

Why shouldn't Tulsa keep losing> Think how bad you would have done thinking they were going to win one after losing six straight. They go and lose another four straight by like 18ppg average.

**stefan084** · 07-15-10, 11:18 PM

tulsa is truly that bad

**jcygts6** · 07-15-10, 11:35 PM

good to see you doing well SJ!

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 07:48 AM

My current record is 13-12 +0.7 UNITS

**h3da** · 07-16-10, 08:24 AM

Sweetjones, since you are the best capper i know.. Would it be profitable to take neither team win all quarter for wnba/nba for full season?

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by h3da

Sweetjones, since you are the best capper i know.. Would it be profitable to take neither team win all quarter for wnba/nba for full season?

I don't understand your question. Are you asking if it's profitable to bet against teams in the 1Q, 1H and game always? The answer to that question is No. There are some teams that are very good 1Q teams but bad for the full game. A great example of this are the Memphis Grizzlies. They were one of the top 10 1Q teams but nowhere near the top 10 overall team in the NBA.

The reason I am taking all three plays tonight is because the Sparks and Tulsa are just as bad in the 1Q as they are the 1H and game. I didn't see any reason to choose fading them in the 1Q instead of the 1H or game so I just faded them in everything.

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 09:45 AM

The Dream are 0-7 in the 1H on the road their last seven 1st halves. They are 2-8 overall this season on the road in the 1H. Indiana already played the Dream at home and beat them by 14 points in the 1H. Indiana is 7-2 in the 1H at home so far this year. Indiana is 4-0 their last four 1st halves vs Atlanta. Indy is coming off a home loss so I think they will have extra motivation to come out early and set the tempo. Sacho Lyttle is still out for Atlanta, she is a key contributor to that team. I don't see any reason to lay off this one.

Fever -3 1H LOCKED (x2)

**h3da** · 07-16-10, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I don't understand your question. Are you asking if it's profitable to bet against teams in the 1Q, 1H and game always? The answer to that question is No. There are some teams that are very good 1Q teams but bad for the full game. A great example of this are the Memphis Grizzlies. They were one of the top 10 1Q teams but nowhere near the top 10 overall team in the NBA.

The reason I am taking all three plays tonight is because the Sparks and Tulsa are just as bad in the 1Q as they are the 1H and game. I didn't see any reason to choose fading them in the 1Q instead of the 1H or game so I just faded them in everything.

no no.. what i meant is my bookmaker offers a bet called wire to wire (team to lead each quarter)Would be profitable if i chose neither team to win all quarters?

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 10:06 AM

Originally posted by h3da

no no.. what i meant is my bookmaker offers a bet called wire to wire (team to lead each quarter)Would be profitable if i chose neither team to win all quarters?

Not sure, I have never made a play of that kind.

**h3da** · 07-16-10, 10:09 AM

Base on your nba/wnba experience.. how often does a team win all quarter in a regular/playoff?

**colout** · 07-16-10, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Silverstars -2.5 1st Quarter LOCKED
Silverstars -4.5 1st Half LOCKED
Silverstars -9 LOCKED
Sky 1st Quarter -2.5 LOCKED
Sky 1st Half -4.5 LOCKED
Sky -8.5 LOCKED

What is your distribution of units on these bets SJ?

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Base on your nba/wnba experience.. how often does a team win all quarter in a regular/playoff?

I honestly really don't know. I guess that question in a way asks how often is there a blowout. And the thing is that a team can win by 30 but still lose one quarter. I would say maybe like 1 in 15 games, complete guess. Just off statistics wise, either team has a .5 chance of winning the quarter let's say. So .5x.5x.5x.5 = .0625%. which is about 1 in 16.

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by colout

What is your distribution of units on these bets SJ?

All my plays are for 1 unit unless I specify otherwise.

**dume walker** · 07-16-10, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

The Dream are 0-7 in the 1H on the road their last seven 1st halves. They are 2-8 overall this season on the road in the 1H. Indiana already played the Dream at home and beat them by 14 points in the 1H. Indiana is 7-2 in the 1H at home so far this year. Indiana is 4-0 their last four 1st halves vs Atlanta. Indy is coming off a home loss so I think they will have extra motivation to come out early and set the tempo. Sacho Lyttle is still out for Atlanta, she is a key contributor to that team. I don't see any reason to lay off this one.

Fever -3 1H LOCKED (x2)

Nice call, SJ.

**markeee** · 07-16-10, 07:21 PM

sky -8.5 seems like a big line

**sweetjones55** · 07-16-10, 07:40 PM

Good start to the night hitting my biggest play of the night, 2 units on Fever 1H.