[mundane]

that 70's % show

20 games are in! i used to track this a decade ago if any of you guys remember. we'll see if this system still checks out.

11/30 2 plays: *im surprised it produced a couple of plays already!

suns -4.5 (-5.5) #11.00

celtics -9.5 #10.17
~ playing this by ear. dunno how to go abt load mgmt - tatum, horford & brown?. my personal opinion, it's not a real injury were the player needed some timeoff/rehab (ex. siakam). so im counting this one as an official play as of now. if brown doesn't play, then this becomes a NO play. idk i guess he's really injured?

-------
N/A due to filter/s:
nuggets -11.50 (-13) #11.50 ~ dd spread
blazers +5.5 #10.27 ~ b2b

--------
other games (posting here initially for transparency/cross-checking):
cavs -3.5 #1.88
hawks -5.5 #5.79
wizards +6.5 #4.69
bucks -5.5 #4.53
grizzlies -3.5 #-0.31 *bordering a play for wolves
pelicans -1.5 #4.00
thunder -6.5 #1.26
clippers +6.5 #6.96
pacers +4.5 #5.18

-------
index/notes for reference:
(-13) ~ spread in parenthesis means 'playable up to'.
#10.** ~ derived from calculation. *play if 10 or > or if < / = -1, play other team


ps. not my system(!). kindly just find the old thread to understand the mechanics of this system OR perhaps someone who is familiar with this system can explain it here. me, im just doing this for fun. if there are none posted in the future, it probably means there are no plays. this system hardly ever produces plays!! 20, if lucky. if i miss something (miscalculations or missed system plays), feel free to comment.

also, starter injuries had been a big debate before. im sure it'd still be. especially with player load management. etc. not sure how to really go about it so we'll just play it by ear. dont blame the system (or me) if an 'official' play becomes null and void because a player all of sudden was ruled in/out. *see celtics above.

that's it for now. will check back later. bol to all!

[mundane]

ytd: 2-0 great start!

12/1 no play today. 11games tom tho. fingers crossed we get plays.

-----
n/a tally:
dd: 1-0
b2b: 0-1
inj: 0-0

[mundane]

12/2: 3 plays
celtics -8.5 (-11) #12.68
cavs -9.5 (-13) #13.95
bucks -7.5 (-10.5) #13 *middleton is probable. if he gets starter minutes, this becomes a NO play.

n/a:
suns -11.5 (-16.5) #15.31 ~ dd spread
76ers +5.5 #-1.20 ~ starter injury: embiid only 3rd game back (allow 1wk or 3gms filter)

notables/borderline plays (ie. grizz/wolves#. see above. i'm curious now so will track. # lands at 0 or 9)
raptors +3 #0.10 only ~ play other side. nets -1.5 or better
warriors -6.5 #0.07 only ~ play other side. bulls +8 or better

----
ytd: 2-0

n/a tally
dd: 1-0
b2b: 0-1
?inj: 0-0
borderline: 1-0

[mundane]

12/2 results:
cavs W
celtics L

ytd: 3-1 75%

-----

n/a results:
nets W ~ borderline/inj: b.simmons only 3rd gm out
bucks L ~ inj: middleton only 1st gm back
76ers L ~ inj: embiid only 3rd gm back
suns L ~ dd
bulls P ~ borderline

ytd n/a tally:
dd: 1-1
b2b: 0-1
?inj: 0-2
borderline: 2-0-1

[mundane]

12/3 1 play

knicks +1.5 (mavs -1.5 #-3.42)

--------
n/a:
bucks -6 (-6.5) #10.81 ~ b2b. bigtime NO play! starters on rest. not even gonna tally this one. edit: decided to tally this one. it was a kneejerk reaction on my part. it wasn't like a play that became a no play in the first place.

[mundane]

knicks L

ytd: 3-2 60%

[mundane]

12/4 no plays

------
n/a:
*don't know how to go abt same w/l rec. posting fwiw. here's the calc.
home calc: pelicans +1.5 #4.50 no play
road calc: nuggets -1.5 #-4.50 play other side. pelicans +1.5 (-2) ~ n/a though. mccollum only 2nd game back.

sac -1.5 #9.62 ~ borderline play | sac -1 ~ n/a. b2b


ps. posting all these n/a plays for end of season final 'system' analysis. so hoping i can keep doing this til season's end.

[takethepnts]

Good luck and thanks for sharing.

[mundane]

n/a results: (*n/a meaning not an official system play for those wondering)
pelicans W ~ inj. mccollum
sac W ~ borderline/b2b

ytd n/a tally:
dd: 1-1
b2b: 1-1
inj: 1-2
borderline: 3-0 ~ so far so good with these borderline plays.

-----
system plays ytd: 3-2 60%

[mundane]

12/5
suns +3.5 #10.28 ~ b2b filter
bucks -8.5 (-12.5) #14.45 ~ inj. filter - middleton only 2nd gm back. *got a W though even w/ injury filter & played b2b.
gsw -9.5 #-5.50 ~ play other side | pacers +9.5 (+5) *playing b2b though.
celtics -1.5 #9 ~ borderline play | celtics pickem or better *also playing b2b.

no system plays as none passed the filter/s. 3 b2b games and 1 with injury filter.

[mundane]

suns L
bucks L
pacers W
celtics W

ytd n/a tally:
dd: 1-1
b2b: 2-2
inj: 1-3
borderline: 4-0(!)

-----
system plays ytd: 3-2 60%

-----
12/6 no plays

[mundane]

12/7 no system play

n/a:
pelicans -9.5 (-13.5) #14.11 ~ inj. filter: mccollum only 3rd game back.
lakers +11.5 ~ b2b/inj. james & davis [raptors -11.5 #-5.24 play other side]
warriors +6.5 (+5) ~ inj. filter: curry, green & wiggins [jazz -6.5 #-2.58 play other side]
clippers -6 #9.00 ~ borderline | clippers -5 or better

[mundane]

pelicans L
lakers L
warriors W
clippers L

n/a tally:
dd: 1-1
b2b: 2-3
inj: 2-4
borderline: 4-1

-----
12/8 no system play | ytd: 3-2 60%

n/a:
spurs +2.5 (+1) [rockets -2.5 #-3.42 play other side] ~ inj. vassell doubtful
blazers +1.5 (+1) [nuggets -1.5 #-2.42 play other side] ~ inj. lillard only 2nd gm back

[mundane]

reference link for this system(!)

08-09 season 17-7 70.83%

09-10 season 27-10 72.9% per one poster. see #759

10-11 awful season

[mundane]

12/9 no system play

n/a:
hawks +7.5 (+5) [nets -7.5 #-3.58] ~ inj. murray out
grizzlies -10.5 (-12) #11.54 ~ dd spread

[mundane]

12/8 result:
spurs W
blazers W

n/a tally:
dd: 1-1
b2b: 2-3
inj: 4-4
borderline: 4-1

[mundane]

12/9 result
hawks W
grizzlies W

n/a tally:
dd: 2-1
b2b: 2-3
inj: 5-4
borderline: 4-1

[mundane]

12/10 1 system play | ytd: 3-2 60%
celtics -1.5 (-2) #10.88

n/a:
pacers +2.5 (-1) ~ b2b [nets -2.5 #-4.65]
wizards +4.5 (+3) ~ b2b [clippers -4.5 #-2.73]
wolves +5.5 (+4) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-2.50]
jazz +11.5 (+7.5) ~ b2b [nuggets -11.5 #-5.29]
spurs +13.5 or better ~ borderline [heat -11.5 #0.58]

[KRAL]

12/10 1 system play
celtics -1.5 (-2) #10.88

n/a:
pacers +2.5 (-1) ~ b2b [nets -2.5 #-4.65]
wizards +4.5 (+3) ~ b2b [clippers -4.5 #-2.73]
wolves +5.5 (+5) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-1.50]
jazz +7.5 ~ borderline [nuggets -6.5 #-0.29]
spurs +13.5 ~ borderline [heat -11.5 #0.58]

Play is jazz +7.5 or better right?

[mundane]

yes, jazz +7.5 or better

(!) it's not a system play though (playing b2b, markannen injury & conley just came back). it's what i'm calling a 'borderline' play. # that landed only at 9 or 0 instead of the system # which is 10 or -1. no filter. just pure # calc play. 4-0 until last play.

--------
fyi: edit/corrected calc
wolves +5.5 (+4) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-2.50]

[mundane]

edit/changes: starters out/line movements

nets +7.5 #5.35 no play | nets starters listed as out. with the new spread, # landed at 5.35. no play on either nets or pacers.

jazz +11.5 (+7.5) ~ b2b [nuggets -11.5 #-5.29 play other side] *note(!) conley clarkson & markannen out

** see changes above.

[mundane]

12/11 2 system plays

pistons +5.5 [lakers -5.5 #-1.00]
bucks -9.5 (-11) #11.50

*finally getting some plays!

[mundane]

12/10 results:

celtics L
ytd: 3-3 50%

------
wizards L
wolves L
jazz W
spurs W

n/a tally:
dd: 2-1
b2b: 3-5
inj: 5-4
borderline: 5-1

[mundane]

12/11 results
pistons L
bucks L

ytd: 3-5

———-
12/12 2 plays (i think. lol not sure with my calcs today)
pacers +3.5
thunder +8.5

n/a:
wizards +6.5 ~ borderline
wolves +6 or better ~ borderline
hawks +11 or better - borderline

*blackout in my area/winterstorm. might not be able to update. if i miss anything, kindly just comment… if you’re (still) ff this thread! lolz

[KRAL]

Be safe bro.

[mundane]

Be safe bro.

thanks bro!

——-

edit/calc:

pacers +3.5 #10.25 *missed calc from earlier. not having my spreadsheet/laptop is really throwing me off. smh

wolves +6 or better ~ borderline
hawks +11 or better - borderline

[mundane]

12/12 results
pacers L
thunder W
ytd: 4-6

n/a:
wiz L
wolves L
hawks L
borderline tally: 5-4
———-
12/13 no system play

n/a:
bucks -3.5 or better ~ borderline
celtics -3 or better ~ borderline

*will recheck calcs when things go back to normal. be safe everyone and goodluck!

[mundane]

12/13 results:
bucks W
celtics W

n/a tally:
dd: 2-1
b2b: 3-5
inj: 5-4
borderline: 7-4

------

12/14 2 system play | ytd: 4-6 40%

pacers +1.5 (-2) [warriors -1.5 #-4.50] *same w/l
thunder +3.5 (+1) [heat -3.5 #-3.66]


n/a:
wolves +8 or better ~ borderline play [clippers -6.5 #0.01]

[mundane]

12/14 results 2-0
pacers W
thunder W

ytd: 6-6 50%

-----
wolves L

n/a tally:
dd: 2-1
b2b: 3-5
inj: 5-4
borderline: 7-5
-------


12/15 1 system play

rockets +5.5 [heat -5.5 #-1.03]

n/a:
clippers +5.5 ~ b2b [suns -5.5 #-8.26]

[mundane]

12/16 no system play

-----------
n/a:
hawks +3.5 (+1.5) #12.14 ~ inj. capela out; hayward in
warriors +9.5 (+8) ~ inj. curry & d. green [76ers -9.5 #-2.86]
celtics -13.5 (-15) #11.91 ~ dd spread

pacers +9.5 ~ borderline [cavs -7.5 #0.67]

[mundane]

12/15 result 1-0
rockets W

system ytd: 7-6 54%

---------
clippers L

n/a tally:
dd: 2-1
b2b: 3-6
inj: 5-4
borderline: 7-5

[mundane]

12/16 n/a results:
hawks W
warriors L
celtics L
pacers W

n/a tally:
dd: 2-2
b2b: 3-6
inj: 6-5
borderline: 8-5

----------
12/17 no plays

[mundane]

12/18 1 system play

nuggets -8.5 (-11) #12.79

-----
n/a:
celtics -10.5 (-13) #12.50 ~ dd spread
pacers +1 ~ borderline [knicks pk #-0.41]
wolves +2.5 ~ borderline [wolves +1.5 #9.00]

[mundane]

12/18 system result:

nuggets L

system ytd: 7-7 50%

------
n/a results:
celtics L
pacers L
wolves W

n/a tally:
dd: 2-3
b2b: 3-6
inj: 6-5
borderline: 9-6

-------

12/19 system play

kings -8.5 (-9.5) #11.40

------
n/a:
thunder +7.5 (+6.5) ~ inj shai g-alexander [blazers -7.5 #-2.17]
wolves +3.5 (-2) ~ b2b [mavs -3.5 #-6.50] *same w/l
spurs +4 ~ borderline [rockets -3.5 #-0.50] *same w/l
pelicans +3.5 ~ borderline [bucks -1.5 #0.67]

[mundane]

12/20 1 possible system play

nuggets +1.5 (pk) [grizzlies -1.5 #-2.78] *kcp, murray & jokic all listed as gtd. if they all play, this would be a system play. if one is out, this becomes a NO Play. will be downgraded to N/A ~ non-system play due to starter injury filter.