1. #1
    mundane
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    that 70's % show

    that 70's % show

    20 games are in! i used to track this a decade ago if any of you guys remember. we'll see if this system still checks out.

    11/30 2 plays: *im surprised it produced a couple of plays already!

    suns -4.5 (-5.5) #11.00

    celtics -9.5 #10.17
    ~ playing this by ear. dunno how to go abt load mgmt - tatum, horford & brown?. my personal opinion, it's not a real injury were the player needed some timeoff/rehab (ex. siakam). so im counting this one as an official play as of now. if brown doesn't play, then this becomes a NO play. idk i guess he's really injured?

    -------
    N/A due to filter/s:
    nuggets -11.50 (-13) #11.50 ~ dd spread
    blazers +5.5 #10.27 ~ b2b

    --------
    other games (posting here initially for transparency/cross-checking):
    cavs -3.5 #1.88
    hawks -5.5 #5.79
    wizards +6.5 #4.69
    bucks -5.5 #4.53
    grizzlies -3.5 #-0.31 *bordering a play for wolves
    pelicans -1.5 #4.00
    thunder -6.5 #1.26
    clippers +6.5 #6.96
    pacers +4.5 #5.18

    -------
    index/notes for reference:
    (-13) ~ spread in parenthesis means 'playable up to'.
    #10.** ~ derived from calculation. *play if 10 or > or if < / = -1, play other team


    ps. not my system(!). kindly just find the old thread to understand the mechanics of this system OR perhaps someone who is familiar with this system can explain it here. me, im just doing this for fun. if there are none posted in the future, it probably means there are no plays. this system hardly ever produces plays!! 20, if lucky. if i miss something (miscalculations or missed system plays), feel free to comment.

    also, starter injuries had been a big debate before. im sure it'd still be. especially with player load management. etc. not sure how to really go about it so we'll just play it by ear. dont blame the system (or me) if an 'official' play becomes null and void because a player all of sudden was ruled in/out. *see celtics above.

    that's it for now. will check back later. bol to all!

  2. #2
    mundane
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    ytd: 2-0 great start!

    12/1 no play today. 11games tom tho. fingers crossed we get plays.

    -----
    n/a tally:
    dd: 1-0
    b2b: 0-1
    inj: 0-0

  3. #3
    mundane
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    12/2: 3 plays
    celtics -8.5 (-11) #12.68
    cavs -9.5 (-13) #13.95
    bucks -7.5 (-10.5) #13 *middleton is probable. if he gets starter minutes, this becomes a NO play.

    n/a:
    suns -11.5 (-16.5) #15.31 ~ dd spread
    76ers +5.5 #-1.20 ~ starter injury: embiid only 3rd game back (allow 1wk or 3gms filter)

    notables/borderline plays (ie. grizz/wolves#. see above. i'm curious now so will track. # lands at 0 or 9)
    raptors +3 #0.10 only ~ play other side. nets -1.5 or better
    warriors -6.5 #0.07 only ~ play other side. bulls +8 or better

    ----
    ytd: 2-0

    n/a tally
    dd: 1-0
    b2b: 0-1
    ?inj: 0-0
    borderline: 1-0
    Last edited by mundane; 12-02-22 at 03:43 AM. Reason: lines, middleton

  4. #4
    mundane
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    12/2 results:
    cavs W
    celtics L

    ytd: 3-1 75%

    -----

    n/a results:
    nets W ~ borderline/inj: b.simmons only 3rd gm out
    bucks L ~ inj: middleton only 1st gm back
    76ers L ~ inj: embiid only 3rd gm back
    suns L ~ dd
    bulls P ~ borderline

    ytd n/a tally:
    dd: 1-1
    b2b: 0-1
    ?inj: 0-2
    borderline: 2-0-1

  5. #5
    mundane
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    12/3 1 play

    knicks +1.5 (mavs -1.5 #-3.42)

    --------
    n/a:
    bucks -6 (-6.5) #10.81 ~ b2b. bigtime NO play! starters on rest. not even gonna tally this one. edit: decided to tally this one. it was a kneejerk reaction on my part. it wasn't like a play that became a no play in the first place.
    Last edited by mundane; 12-04-22 at 08:41 PM. Reason: starters rest

  6. #6
    mundane
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    knicks L

    ytd: 3-2 60%

  7. #7
    mundane
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    12/4 no plays

    ------
    n/a:
    *don't know how to go abt same w/l rec. posting fwiw. here's the calc.
    home calc: pelicans +1.5 #4.50 no play
    road calc: nuggets -1.5 #-4.50 play other side. pelicans +1.5 (-2) ~ n/a though. mccollum only 2nd game back.

    sac -1.5 #9.62 ~ borderline play | sac -1 ~ n/a. b2b


    ps. posting all these n/a plays for end of season final 'system' analysis. so hoping i can keep doing this til season's end.
    Last edited by mundane; 12-04-22 at 08:54 PM.

  8. #8
    takethepnts
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    Good luck and thanks for sharing.

  9. #9
    mundane
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    n/a results: (*n/a meaning not an official system play for those wondering)
    pelicans W ~ inj. mccollum
    sac W ~ borderline/b2b

    ytd n/a tally:
    dd: 1-1
    b2b: 1-1
    inj: 1-2
    borderline: 3-0 ~ so far so good with these borderline plays.

    -----
    system plays ytd: 3-2 60%

  10. #10
    mundane
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    12/5
    suns +3.5 #10.28 ~ b2b filter
    bucks -8.5 (-12.5) #14.45 ~ inj. filter - middleton only 2nd gm back. *got a W though even w/ injury filter & played b2b.
    gsw -9.5 #-5.50 ~ play other side | pacers +9.5 (+5) *playing b2b though.
    celtics -1.5 #9 ~ borderline play | celtics pickem or better *also playing b2b.

    no system plays as none passed the filter/s. 3 b2b games and 1 with injury filter.

  11. #11
    mundane
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    suns L
    bucks L
    pacers W
    celtics W

    ytd n/a tally:
    dd: 1-1
    b2b: 2-2
    inj: 1-3
    borderline: 4-0(!)

    -----
    system plays ytd: 3-2 60%

    -----
    12/6 no plays

  12. #12
    mundane
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    12/7 no system play

    n/a:
    pelicans -9.5 (-13.5) #14.11 ~ inj. filter: mccollum only 3rd game back.
    lakers +11.5 ~ b2b/inj. james & davis [raptors -11.5 #-5.24 play other side]
    warriors +6.5 (+5) ~ inj. filter: curry, green & wiggins [jazz -6.5 #-2.58 play other side]
    clippers -6 #9.00 ~ borderline | clippers -5 or better
    Last edited by mundane; 12-07-22 at 01:34 PM. Reason: line changed - james listed out 1:30pm est

  13. #13
    mundane
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    pelicans L
    lakers L
    warriors W
    clippers L

    n/a tally:
    dd: 1-1
    b2b: 2-3
    inj: 2-4
    borderline: 4-1

    -----
    12/8 no system play | ytd: 3-2 60%

    n/a:
    spurs +2.5 (+1) [rockets -2.5 #-3.42 play other side] ~ inj. vassell doubtful
    blazers +1.5 (+1) [nuggets -1.5 #-2.42 play other side] ~ inj. lillard only 2nd gm back
    Last edited by mundane; 12-08-22 at 03:27 PM.

  14. #14

  15. #15
    mundane
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    12/9 no system play

    n/a:
    hawks +7.5 (+5) [nets -7.5 #-3.58] ~ inj. murray out
    grizzlies -10.5 (-12) #11.54 ~ dd spread

  16. #16
    mundane
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    12/8 result:
    spurs W
    blazers W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 1-1
    b2b: 2-3
    inj: 4-4
    borderline: 4-1

  17. #17
    mundane
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    12/9 result
    hawks W
    grizzlies W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-1
    b2b: 2-3
    inj: 5-4
    borderline: 4-1

  18. #18
    mundane
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    12/10 1 system play | ytd: 3-2 60%
    celtics -1.5 (-2) #10.88

    n/a:
    pacers +2.5 (-1) ~ b2b [nets -2.5 #-4.65]
    wizards +4.5 (+3) ~ b2b [clippers -4.5 #-2.73]
    wolves +5.5 (+4) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-2.50]
    jazz +11.5 (+7.5) ~ b2b [nuggets -11.5 #-5.29]
    spurs +13.5 or better ~ borderline [heat -11.5 #0.58]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-10-22 at 04:04 PM. Reason: edit/changes: starters out/line movements

  19. #19
    KRAL
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    Quote Originally Posted by mundane View Post
    12/10 1 system play
    celtics -1.5 (-2) #10.88

    n/a:
    pacers +2.5 (-1) ~ b2b [nets -2.5 #-4.65]
    wizards +4.5 (+3) ~ b2b [clippers -4.5 #-2.73]
    wolves +5.5 (+5) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-1.50]
    jazz +7.5 ~ borderline [nuggets -6.5 #-0.29]
    spurs +13.5 ~ borderline [heat -11.5 #0.58]
    Play is jazz +7.5 or better right?

  20. #20
    mundane
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    yes, jazz +7.5 or better

    (!) it's not a system play though (playing b2b, markannen injury & conley just came back). it's what i'm calling a 'borderline' play. # that landed only at 9 or 0 instead of the system # which is 10 or -1. no filter. just pure # calc play. 4-0 until last play.


    --------
    fyi: edit/corrected calc
    wolves +5.5 (+4) ~ b2b [blazers -5.5 #-2.50]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-10-22 at 03:57 PM. Reason: clarkson listed out

  21. #21
    mundane
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    edit/changes: starters out/line movements

    nets +7.5 #5.35 no play | nets starters listed as out. with the new spread, # landed at 5.35. no play on either nets or pacers.

    jazz +11.5 (+7.5) ~ b2b [nuggets -11.5 #-5.29 play other side] *note(!) conley clarkson & markannen out

    ** see changes above.

  22. #22
    mundane
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    12/11 2 system plays

    pistons +5.5 [lakers -5.5 #-1.00]
    bucks -9.5 (-11) #11.50

    *finally getting some plays!

  23. #23
    mundane
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    12/10 results:

    celtics L
    ytd: 3-3 50%

    ------
    wizards L
    wolves L
    jazz W
    spurs W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-1
    b2b: 3-5
    inj: 5-4
    borderline: 5-1

  24. #24
    mundane
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    12/11 results
    pistons L
    bucks L

    ytd: 3-5

    ———-
    12/12 2 plays (i think. lol not sure with my calcs today)
    pacers +3.5
    thunder +8.5

    n/a:
    wizards +6.5 ~ borderline
    wolves +6 or better ~ borderline
    hawks +11 or better - borderline

    *blackout in my area/winterstorm. might not be able to update. if i miss anything, kindly just comment… if you’re (still) ff this thread! lolz
    Last edited by mundane; 12-12-22 at 04:12 PM. Reason: missed calcs. doing this on mobile. lacking resources. :/

  25. #25
    KRAL
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    Be safe bro.

  26. #26
    mundane
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    Quote Originally Posted by KRAL View Post
    Be safe bro.
    thanks bro!

    ——-

    edit/calc:

    pacers +3.5 #10.25 *missed calc from earlier. not having my spreadsheet/laptop is really throwing me off. smh

    wolves +6 or better ~ borderline
    hawks +11 or better - borderline

  27. #27
    mundane
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    12/12 results
    pacers L
    thunder W
    ytd: 4-6

    n/a:
    wiz L
    wolves L
    hawks L
    borderline tally: 5-4
    -
    12/13 no system play

    n/a:
    bucks -3.5 or better ~ borderline
    celtics -3 or better ~ borderline

    *will recheck calcs when things go back to normal. be safe everyone and goodluck!

  28. #28
    mundane
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    12/13 results:
    bucks W
    celtics W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-1
    b2b: 3-5
    inj: 5-4
    borderline: 7-4

    ------

    12/14 2 system play | ytd: 4-6 40%

    pacers +1.5 (-2) [warriors -1.5 #-4.50] *same w/l
    thunder +3.5 (+1) [heat -3.5 #-3.66]


    n/a:
    wolves +8 or better ~ borderline play [clippers -6.5 #0.01]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-14-22 at 12:51 AM. Reason: gsw/ind line just came out

  29. #29
    mundane
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    12/14 results 2-0
    pacers W
    thunder W

    ytd: 6-6 50%

    -----
    wolves L

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-1
    b2b: 3-5
    inj: 5-4
    borderline: 7-5
    -------


    12/15 1 system play

    rockets +5.5 [heat -5.5 #-1.03]

    n/a:
    clippers +5.5 ~ b2b [suns -5.5 #-8.26]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-15-22 at 04:13 PM. Reason: kawhi & paul ruled out/booker in/adjusted line

  30. #30
    mundane
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    12/16 no system play

    -----------
    n/a:
    hawks +3.5 (+1.5) #12.14 ~ inj. capela out; hayward in
    warriors +9.5 (+8) ~ inj. curry & d. green [76ers -9.5 #-2.86]
    celtics -13.5 (-15) #11.91 ~ dd spread

    pacers +9.5 ~ borderline [cavs -7.5 #0.67]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-16-22 at 01:02 PM. Reason: late inj line movements

  31. #31
    mundane
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    12/15 result 1-0
    rockets W

    system ytd: 7-6 54%

    ---------
    clippers L

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-1
    b2b: 3-6
    inj: 5-4
    borderline: 7-5
    Last edited by mundane; 12-15-22 at 11:54 PM.

  32. #32
    mundane
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    12/16 n/a results:
    hawks W
    warriors L
    celtics L
    pacers W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-2
    b2b: 3-6
    inj: 6-5
    borderline: 8-5

    ----------
    12/17 no plays

  33. #33
    mundane
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    12/18 1 system play

    nuggets -8.5
    (-11) #12.79

    -----
    n/a:
    celtics -10.5 (-13) #12.50 ~ dd spread
    pacers +1 ~ borderline [knicks pk #-0.41]
    wolves +2.5 ~ borderline [wolves +1.5 #9.00]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-18-22 at 07:45 AM. Reason: added wolves

  34. #34
    mundane
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    12/18 system result:

    nuggets L

    system ytd: 7-7 50%

    ------
    n/a results:
    celtics L
    pacers L
    wolves W

    n/a tally:
    dd: 2-3
    b2b: 3-6
    inj: 6-5
    borderline: 9-6

    -------

    12/19 system play

    kings -8.5
    (-9.5) #11.40

    ------
    n/a:
    thunder +7.5 (+6.5) ~ inj shai g-alexander [blazers -7.5 #-2.17]
    wolves +3.5 (-2) ~ b2b [mavs -3.5 #-6.50] *same w/l
    spurs +4 ~ borderline [rockets -3.5 #-0.50] *same w/l
    pelicans +3.5 ~ borderline [bucks -1.5 #0.67]
    Last edited by mundane; 12-19-22 at 01:52 PM.

  35. #35
    mundane
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    12/20 1 possible system play

    nuggets +1.5 (pk) [grizzlies -1.5 #-2.78] *kcp, murray & jokic all listed as gtd. if they all play, this would be a system play. if one is out, this becomes a NO Play. will be downgraded to N/A ~ non-system play due to starter injury filter.

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