Noob capping questions, ask away!

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  • sweetjones55
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-07-09
    • 5257

    #106
    Originally posted by freeVICK
    cavs or spurs?
    There is RLM and Cavs are a huge public play today in probably the most bet on game of the night. I would go with the Spurs. Cavs are due for a loss and they have been on a long perpetual road trip. Spurs dropped their last home game in a tough loss to the Lakers in a game that was way closer than the score indicates. Spurs are 6-4 SU last ten but all of their losses came to good teams, Orl, LA, ATL, CLE. It's a no play for me but Spurs is the play
    Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-26-10, 03:20 PM.
    Scared money don't make money

    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94377

      #107
      Originally posted by sweetjones55
      Gosh I just think about the Nets without Devin Harris, Courtney Lee, or Yi on B2B on the road for 6 games before playing the a fully loaded Cavs or Lakers squad with a lot of rest. I would probably lay up to -15.5.

      LB this is a good question and I will get to you later on that one. I am guessing you are talking about an opening line of -5.5 correct? That's a pretty complex question and I'll have to think about that one for a bit. I got to go to work now, be back later in the afternoon. Usually though any time I see a line right under an even number like 5.5 or 3.5 I usually think the other team is the correct play. The public just thinks, "O great my team just has to win by three shots or two in the 3.5 case". I'll come back with a better answer later.


      When are you going to work?
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962

        #108
        This thread is fun...
        Comment
        • sweetjones55
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-07-09
          • 5257

          #109
          Originally posted by lakerboy
          When are you going to work?
          I'm actually a wholesale car dealer. I'm working from my computer today in the office putting up some of my cars on different sites for sale. I'm part owner so I can come on here during work lol. WWW.SUMMERMOTORS.COM
          We ship anywhere in the world.
          Scared money don't make money

          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94377

            #110
            I knew you were a car salesman. I just knew it. You have the lingo as well. Keep up the good work.
            Comment
            • PlatinumBerg
              SBR MVP
              • 03-01-10
              • 1058

              #111
              Originally posted by sweetjones55
              I'm actually a wholesale car dealer. I'm working from my computer today in the office putting up some of my cars on different sites for sale. I'm part owner so I can come on here during work lol. WWW.SUMMERMOTORS.COM
              We ship anywhere in the world.

              Lol, I hope you don't try to sale cars on Craigslist, there have big warnings that offers to ship cars are scams!

              Seriously, if I am shopping for a new car, can you give me a excellent deal?
              Comment
              • PlatinumBerg
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-10
                • 1058

                #112
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                I knew you were a car salesman. I just knew it. You have the lingo as well. Keep up the good work.
                lakerboy, what do YOU do?
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #113
                  Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                  Lol, I hope you don't try to sale cars on Craigslist, there have big warnings that offers to ship cars are scams!

                  Seriously, if I am shopping for a new car, can you give me a excellent deal?
                  I actually sold a 1999 Porsche Carrera a week ago in craigslist. Guy traded in a nice Ford F250 Harley also.

                  I can get you a great deal on very slightly used cars with like 1,000 miles or more. When it comes to Porsche, Audi, Mercedes and Ferrari no one can get a deal better than me since I'm mostly wholesale. We don't sell new cars unless it's a car that has a very long waiting list that we got on a long time ago like that new Mercedes SLS coming out. I wouldn't be able to give a deal on it, probably will ask for $20,000 over msrp.
                  Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-26-10, 04:55 PM.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94377

                    #114
                    Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                    lakerboy, what do YOU do?

                    own 2 restaurants and have a 50% share in a tool and die manufacturing plant. when i was your age (22) i used to be a grill guy. i worked my way up and now i live well. i try to keep as little friends as possible- you know how people are when they see someone has money- they want some.
                    Comment
                    • chimp
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-17-10
                      • 742

                      #115
                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                      own 2 restaurants and have a 50% share in a tool and die manufacturing plant. when i was your age (22) i used to be a grill guy. i worked my way up and now i live well. i try to keep as little friends as possible- you know how people are when they see someone has money- they want some.
                      what college did you go to? seems like you have a degree in business or someting?
                      Comment
                      • sweetjones55
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-07-09
                        • 5257

                        #116
                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                        own 2 restaurants and have a 50% share in a tool and die manufacturing plant. when i was your age (22) i used to be a grill guy. i worked my way up and now i live well. i try to keep as little friends as possible- you know how people are when they see someone has money- they want some.
                        Nice that restaurant business is tough. I heard like 90% fail, which two do you own? I'm just 23, graduated from the Univ of Miami in Dec, but I'd like to have my hands in other industries in the future.
                        Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-26-10, 05:14 PM.
                        Scared money don't make money

                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                        Comment
                        • balls2wall
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-20-09
                          • 2642

                          #117
                          Originally posted by sweetjones55
                          I disagree a bit on this one. You don't know it all and other cappers may have info on a game that you were not aware of. Like today I didn't know Ilyasova wasn't 100% and I wouldn't have never known that had I not looked around and read other peoples opinions. You just have to try your best to not let others opinions sway you too much. If you trust yourself and your capping abilities then this isn't hard at all to do.


                          I think we are on the same page.

                          I was saying don't just blindly change your play because capper X is on the other side, but if capper X has good info that makes you change your mind then that is fine.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94377

                            #118
                            Originally posted by chimp
                            what college did you go to? seems like you have a degree in business or someting?
                            no degree- just a degree in hardship which led to my success. worked my ass off after deciding university wasnt for me.

                            Originally posted by sweetjones55
                            Nice that restaurant business is tough. I heard like 90% fail, which two do you own? I'm just 23, graduated from the Univ of Miami in Dec, but I'd like to have my hands in other industries in the future.

                            The restaurants that i own wont fail. They are part of a big chain in canada. Cant name them for obvious reasons but im doing fine. It was along road filled with lots of greasy and sweaty nights. Not an easy road.
                            Comment
                            • darkenergy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-08-09
                              • 4013

                              #119
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              own 2 restaurants and have a 50% share in a tool and die manufacturing plant. when i was your age (22) i used to be a grill guy. i worked my way up and now i live well. i try to keep as little friends as possible- you know how people are when they see someone has money- they want some.
                              LB, you own restaurants. No wonder couple years ago, when you post your photos in the bar/restaurant in Dexter xmas thread, I thought you operate a local bookie or something .
                              With two restaurants on hand, how do you find free time to be around here that much.
                              Comment
                              • sweetjones55
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-07-09
                                • 5257

                                #120
                                Originally posted by lakerboy

                                no degree- just a degree in hardship which led to my success. worked my ass off after deciding university wasnt for me.




                                The restaurants that i own wont fail. They are part of a big chain in canada. Cant name them for obvious reasons but im doing fine. It was along road filled with lots of greasy and sweaty nights. Not an easy road.
                                I wasn't impling that they would fail, I was complimenting you that you actually own two restaurants in a business where most can even make one succeed.
                                Scared money don't make money

                                182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94377

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by darkenergy
                                  LB, you own restaurants. No wonder couple years ago, when you post your photos in the bar/restaurant in Dexter xmas thread, I thought you operate a local bookie or something .
                                  With two restaurants on hand, how do you find free time to be around here that much.


                                  You must have me confused with someone else. I haven been here for a couple of years and i havent posted no pics here. I find time to be here cause i am self emplyed(owner) and have minions to take care of the places. I am in my stores about 25 hours a week. Anyways this thread is about questions for sj and i have one that im still waiting for the answer on.
                                  Comment
                                  • sweetjones55
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-07-09
                                    • 5257

                                    #122
                                    Also what is your opinion of a -5.5 point road favorite? More to the point the actual spread of 5.5 not who is playing.

                                    Well first off as soon as I see a 5.5. home dog I almost always wait to see what the public betting numbers look like and see how the line reacts. I hate betting huge public plays so I usually always wait a bit to get an idea of where they are going. Even though I can almost always tell which way they are going to place their money, I like to find out for a fact.

                                    In the NBA though the teams that are perceived to be good teams are bad/below average on the road. Atlanta, Toronto, Charlotte, Miami, Milwaukee are all playoff teams and are generally thought of as pretty good teams but don't even have a winning record on the road. I would bet that most people don't even know that Atlanta is below .500 on the road. Bottom line the home team usually wins in the NBA so betting road teams to have to cover a big amount like 5.5 is also a tough proposition to take up. The Kings for example are garbage but I do not like to bet on them against home because they are capable of beating most teams on any given night at home, they get a ton of calls. I think in general +5.5 homedogs are good bets as long as they aren't playing a team that has a shot at the championship and it's not the Nets lol.

                                    I see this line a ton for the Cleveland Cavaliers on the road in the last couple of years. In general, they do particularly well covering medium sized spreads on the road. They were actually favored by 5.5 in their last game @ New Orleans. I don't mind taking the Cavs, Lakers, Nuggets and a few other teams on the road as nice sized favorites. The teams I like to take with -5.5 road spreads mostly have similar qualities. They are known to pour it on people and blow people out. They have a good bench and don't give up leads when they take out their starters and give up stupid backdoor covers in the last 4 minutes of the game. The starters are relatively young and don't fade late often.
                                    Last edited by sweetjones55; 03-26-10, 06:02 PM.
                                    Scared money don't make money

                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                    Comment
                                    • sweetjones55
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-07-09
                                      • 5257

                                      #123
                                      Also what is your opinion of a -5.5 point road favorite? More to the point the actual spread of 5.5 not who is playing.

                                      I would like to hear other people thoughts on this question.
                                      Scared money don't make money

                                      182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                      37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                      Comment
                                      • lyon804
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-02-09
                                        • 6526

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                        Also what is your opinion of a -5.5 point road favorite? More to the point the actual spread of 5.5 not who is playing.

                                        I would like to hear other people thoughts on this question.


                                        I think that your opinions might be shaped after tonites performances.

                                        go look at the board and identify the games with this particular spread out there and see what the results are afterwhile
                                        Comment
                                        • sweetjones55
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-07-09
                                          • 5257

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by lyon804



                                          I think that your opinions might be shaped after tonites performances.

                                          go look at the board and identify the games with this particular spread out there and see what the results are afterwhile
                                          One night of a couple 5.5 point favorites winning or 5.5 dogs winning isn't going to shape anything. Anything can happen on any given night and it doesn't mean that dogs or favorites are the better play regardless of the outcomes. I'd lean Philly and Denver tonight. Utah and Indiana is very tough to call IMO.
                                          Scared money don't make money

                                          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                          Comment
                                          • shoebox
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-26-08
                                            • 5710

                                            #126
                                            SJ,

                                            Why havent you talked about series betting (making up your own series for hoops not MLB series)?
                                            I play this all the time, if you dont know what it is I wont tell you, but series betting is $$
                                            Comment
                                            • sweetjones55
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-07-09
                                              • 5257

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by shoebox
                                              SJ,

                                              Why havent you talked about series betting (making up your own series for hoops not MLB series)?
                                              I play this all the time, if you dont know what it is I wont tell you, but series betting is $$
                                              I know what that it is but I have done well doing what I do and I don't want to stop a good thing. Maybe I am just being cautious but I don't want to risk losing starting up a new style of betting and mess up what I have going.
                                              Scared money don't make money

                                              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                              Comment
                                              • PlatinumBerg
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-01-10
                                                • 1058

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                Nice that restaurant business is tough. I heard like 90% fail, which two do you own? I'm just 23, graduated from the Univ of Miami in Dec, but I'd like to have my hands in other industries in the future.
                                                Judging by your screen name, I thought you were a 50 year old guy of something. I'm graduating in two months from the University of Illinois. The job market is horrendous.

                                                By the way, how do you guys get your hands on some many cars with 1,000 or less miles? How big of a discount can you give?
                                                Comment
                                                • PlatinumBerg
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-01-10
                                                  • 1058

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  no degree- just a degree in hardship which led to my success. worked my ass off after deciding university wasnt for me.




                                                  The restaurants that i own wont fail. They are part of a big chain in canada. Cant name them for obvious reasons but im doing fine. It was along road filled with lots of greasy and sweaty nights. Not an easy road.
                                                  Lakerboy, how did you accumulate your money? I am about to graduate from college and the job market is horrendous. What are your suggests and advice?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweetjones55
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                    • 5257

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by PlatinumBerg

                                                    Judging by your screen name, I thought you were a 50 year old guy of something. I'm graduating in two months from the University of Illinois. The job market is horrendous.

                                                    By the way, how do you guys get your hands on some many cars with 1,000 or less miles? How big of a discount can you give?
                                                    No I don't get cars with a 1000 miles or less. I usually get them with 1000+. I am own a wholesale used car dealershipl so I don't get new cars from factories. I do get a few new cars every now and then but these are cars that are on waiting lists that I get on long before people even know they are coming out. People pay a premium for car when it comes out so they don't have to wait.
                                                    Scared money don't make money

                                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PlatinumBerg
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-01-10
                                                      • 1058

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                      No I don't get cars with a 1000 miles or less. I usually get them with 1000+. I am own a wholesale used car dealershipl so I don't get new cars from factories. I do get a few new cars every now and then but these are cars that are on waiting lists that I get on long before people even know they are coming out. People pay a premium for car when it comes out so they don't have to wait.
                                                      I see, wait you're 23 and you own a wholesale car dealership?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Scotlandspunter
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-23-09
                                                        • 196

                                                        #132
                                                        Nice thread which i try and spend more time reading tomorrow buddy!!
                                                        Just one question for now. Am i right in thinking there was a lot of big
                                                        late money came for the Spurs there??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sweetjones55
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-07-09
                                                          • 5257

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by PlatinumBerg

                                                          I see, wait you're 23 and you own a wholesale car dealership?
                                                          Co-Owner
                                                          Scared money don't make money

                                                          182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                          37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sweetjones55
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-07-09
                                                            • 5257

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Scotlandspunter
                                                            Nice thread which i try and spend more time reading tomorrow buddy!!
                                                            Just one question for now. Am i right in thinking there was a lot of big
                                                            late money came for the Spurs there??
                                                            Yes I didn't track this game all day but I believe you are correct.
                                                            Scared money don't make money

                                                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Scotlandspunter
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-23-09
                                                              • 196

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                              Yes I didn't track this game all day but I believe you are correct.

                                                              Cheers NBA is far from my best sport but at least i'm understanding that part properly!! Now i just need to find me some winners lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PlatinumBerg
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-01-10
                                                                • 1058

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                                                Co-Owner
                                                                How? How did you get the money to co-own a company at age 23? Lottery? Gambling? Inheritance? Mom and dad? Illegal activities?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sweetjones55
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                                  • 5257

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by PlatinumBerg

                                                                  How? How did you get the money to co-own a company at age 23? Lottery? Gambling? Inheritance? Mom and dad? Illegal activities?
                                                                  Family business. It definitely was not handed straight to me though. I had to work all through high school, during summers, and all through college. I have already been working at the dealership for almost 9 years.
                                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94377

                                                                    #138
                                                                    "
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • texhooper
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                                      • 10001

                                                                      #139
                                                                      "
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Gopi-1
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-27-10
                                                                        • 952

                                                                        #140
                                                                        "
                                                                        Comment
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