70% math plays 2009-10 tracking

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  • Welt446+
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-04-09
    • 185

    #106
    Is OKC -5.5 a play today?
    Comment
    • Meestermike
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-21-06
      • 329

      #107
      Originally posted by Welt446+
      Is OKC -5.5 a play today?
      I will post it in 30 min.
      Comment
      • Meestermike
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-21-06
        • 329

        #108
        Oklahoma ~ (-6.5... opening line = 13.03) PLAY up to -9.5

        I suggest waiting to play this game until just before tip off or your book's/man's cutoff to watch line movement... now at -5.5 offshore
        Comment
        • Meestermike
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-21-06
          • 329

          #109
          Portland ~ (-7.5... opening line = 14.68) PLAY up to -9.5

          I suggest waiting to play this game until just before tip off or your book's/man's cutoff to watch line movement... now at -6 offshore
          Comment
          • Welt446+
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-04-09
            • 185

            #110
            Originally posted by Meestermike
            Portland ~ (-7.5... opening line = 14.68) PLAY up to -9.5

            I suggest waiting to play this game until just before tip off or your book's/man's cutoff to watch line movement... now at -6 offshore
            Does Greg Oden count as an injured starter?
            Comment
            • Meestermike
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-21-06
              • 329

              #111
              Originally posted by Welt446+
              Does Greg Oden count as an injured starter?
              Greg Oden C OUT SINCE 12/06/2009 = will miss the remainder of the season Out left knee surgery

              Oden has been out for a long time now so the answer to your question is no.
              Comment
              • aoz1122
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-13-09
                • 84

                #112
                What about Brandon Roy?? Would you not consider him to be a starter?
                Comment
                • Meestermike
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-21-06
                  • 329

                  #113
                  Originally posted by aoz1122
                  What about Brandon Roy?? Would you not consider him to be a starter?
                  I am 1 day shy of a week for returning starter to allow the play to stand. If you don't want to play then don't. If you do then I hope it cashes.

                  Remember to include all aspects of handicapping when risking your $$$ and not just blindly play systems, angles, trends etc.
                  Comment
                  • aoz1122
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 11-13-09
                    • 84

                    #114
                    Just was curious if this one fits the rules of the system or not, I played it, but for a small amount
                    Comment
                    • Time2Score
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-23-09
                      • 150

                      #115
                      Hrm I've been reading this thread for a while now and was just curious how to use the file. Like how do we input the data into the excel charts? If someone could please explain I'd be very thankful
                      Comment
                      • Meestermike
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-21-06
                        • 329

                        #116
                        Originally posted by Time2Score
                        Hrm I've been reading this thread for a while now and was just curious how to use the file. Like how do we input the data into the excel charts? If someone could please explain I'd be very thankful
                        You need the Win Loss records of each team. Any site that has standings will do. (Yahoo Sports).
                        The selected team is the one w/ the higher win %. You then use the line for the selected team and then either -3 for that team if away or 3 if the selected team is home.

                        ie.
                        Houston 18 - 13
                        New Orleans 13 - 15

                        Houston is selected team due to better win %

                        Selected team line is -6

                        Enter 3 in other box

                        Spreadsheet will tell you if it's a play or not.
                        Comment
                        • mundane
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-08
                          • 3592

                          #117
                          thanks Meestermike! perhaps u can continue tracking this system! i've been very busy lately!
                          Comment
                          • Meestermike
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-21-06
                            • 329

                            #118
                            Originally posted by mundane
                            thanks Meestermike! perhaps u can continue tracking this system! i've been very busy lately!
                            I will do my best to keep up with it.
                            Comment
                            • basb
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-19-09
                              • 114

                              #119
                              what plays look sharp for wednesday? :-)
                              Comment
                              • Jasonal_98
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-16-09
                                • 1443

                                #120
                                I have Sacramento and NYK as plays tonight. Am I missing any filters?
                                Comment
                                • million2one
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-19-09
                                  • 1290

                                  #121
                                  Tyreke Evans may not play for Sac. I think he missed their last game as well
                                  Comment
                                  • Jasonal_98
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-16-09
                                    • 1443

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by million2one
                                    Tyreke Evans may not play for Sac. I think he missed their last game as well
                                    You're right. . .and the Knicks played last night, which eliminates them. So no system plays. Still kind of like both plays, though.
                                    Comment
                                    • Welt446+
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-04-09
                                      • 185

                                      #123
                                      No plays today
                                      Comment
                                      • Welt446+
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-04-09
                                        • 185

                                        #124
                                        It looks like Atlanta -8 or higher, Orlando -9.5 or higher, and Lakers -9.5 or higher might all be plays tomorrow January 1st.
                                        Comment
                                        • PacmanJr_00
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-10-09
                                          • 221

                                          #125
                                          getting the same
                                          Comment
                                          • Meestermike
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-21-06
                                            • 329

                                            #126
                                            There is one play today...

                                            Orlando -8 @ Minnesota 15.49... Play up to -9.5
                                            Comment
                                            • incomeraise
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-28-09
                                              • 1136

                                              #127
                                              how is the system doing? still around 70%
                                              Comment
                                              • Meestermike
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-21-06
                                                • 329

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by incomeraise
                                                how is the system doing? still around 70%
                                                Currently at 6-4 = 60%. This system does not produce regular plays and/or daily plays. It is very specific and if all filters are followed, it does produce around 70% success rate at the end of the season.
                                                Comment
                                                • Welt446+
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                  • 185

                                                  #129
                                                  The Celtics should be a play today at -3.5 (play up to -6) so long as the Paul Pierce injury is no longer affecting the filter.

                                                  The Cavs should be a play if the line drops to -9.5 but this would be disqualified by the opening line filter - play at your own risk!

                                                  Portland should be a play if the line drops to -3
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PacmanJr_00
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-10-09
                                                    • 221

                                                    #130
                                                    7-4 now
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PacmanJr_00
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-10-09
                                                      • 221

                                                      #131
                                                      if pierce doesn't play then bos isn't a play. doc has already said pierce is out.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Meestermike
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-21-06
                                                        • 329

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Welt446+
                                                        The Celtics should be a play today at -3.5 (play up to -6) so long as the Paul Pierce injury is no longer affecting the filter.

                                                        The Cavs should be a play if the line drops to -9.5 but this would be disqualified by the opening line filter - play at your own risk!

                                                        Portland should be a play if the line drops to -3
                                                        Celtics have 3 starters out... Pierce, Garnett and Rajon Rondo will miss Saturday's game against Toronto with a sore left hamstring.

                                                        The system uses only opening lines and does not follow line movement at all. Plays are made only on opening lines. ie... Portland open -4
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PacmanJr_00
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 09-10-09
                                                          • 221

                                                          #133
                                                          i've got no plays tonight. den would qualify but they are on back-to-back games.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Welt446+
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-04-09
                                                            • 185

                                                            #134
                                                            Hornets +8 should be a play tonight
                                                            Comment
                                                            • broncosfan
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-20-09
                                                              • 622

                                                              #135
                                                              am i doing something wrong? im not getting Hornets +8 as a play
                                                              Comment
                                                              • broncosfan
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-20-09
                                                                • 622

                                                                #136
                                                                im gettin blazers as a play at +4
                                                                Comment
                                                                • corona
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-12-09
                                                                  • 722

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by broncosfan
                                                                  im gettin blazers as a play at +4
                                                                  aldridge is out. he was injured under a week ago. no play.
                                                                  steve blake is out. he got sick under a week ago. no play.

                                                                  not to mention the rest of their lineup (oden/fernandez/pryzbilla/outlaw), which got them the good record in the first place. even if aldridge/blake were healthy, i'd be skeptical.

                                                                  hornets do look like a play at +7.5 or better. though it scares me a bit because williams plays like jordan when facing cp3...and the jazz are 17-3 ats when at home, coming off a home loss.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Welt446+
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                                    • 185

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by broncosfan
                                                                    am i doing something wrong? im not getting Hornets +8 as a play
                                                                    Jazz's win percentage is .545

                                                                    Hornets' is .484

                                                                    545-484=61

                                                                    61/20= 3.05

                                                                    3+3 (for Jazz's home field advantage) = 6

                                                                    6-8 (spread against the Jazz)= -2

                                                                    -1 or lower means fade
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • pelos879
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-19-09
                                                                      • 222

                                                                      #139
                                                                      So the pick tonight is New Orleans?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Meestermike
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-21-06
                                                                        • 329

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Originally posted by pelos879
                                                                        So the pick tonight is New Orleans?
                                                                        Yes New Orleans is a play for the system.
                                                                        Comment
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