Keel's NBA Parlay System

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  • keel44
    SBR MVP
    • 08-01-09
    • 3363

    #211
    January 23

    Parlay 06-B: Hawks -3.5 with 76ers UNDER 194.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)
    Parlay 09-A: Hornets +10.5 with Magic OVER 207 (0.36 to win 0.90)

    Ever since I reevaluated my bet selection process, I am 10-9 on my parlays. That was since January 8. I look for trends to continue coupled with common analysis of the lines. It fits perfectly to this money management strategy.

    I am currently up +14.39 units on the year. I have a "C" bet waiting and 2 more "B" bets coming.
    Comment
    • keel44
      SBR MVP
      • 08-01-09
      • 3363

      #212
      January 24

      Parlay 07-B: Pistons -1.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)

      * bought the half a point on the Pistons
      Comment
      • fitguy67
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-13-11
        • 5082

        #213
        keeler killin 'da books softly wit' da' parlays ...

        good luck to us now with this nice little stash of B's and C's...i'm following along 'zakly as you call'em
        Comment
        • keel44
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-09
          • 3363

          #214
          Have you actually played all of my plays this NBA season, Fitguy67? If so, you showed great patience as that was a long long process. I can handle it, but most people cannot.
          Comment
          • fitguy67
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-13-11
            • 5082

            #215
            yes, i became a believer back in MLB...irritatingly painful for weeks on end...UNTIL a 'C' finally hits and all the $-erosion suffered PLUS the 20% bankroll-boost floods into the coffers at the same time...i have earmarked a fund for this, and i'm prepared to lose it...so when it instead jumps a full 20%, it's all good

            with coumpounding (by resetting the $-defintions after each successful C-hit)...you only need to hit 4 times to more than double the account...

            this is a solidly +EV slot-machine of sport-plays you've constructed here...worth suffering thru the droughts when you know a downpour is never more than a few plays away
            Comment
            • keel44
              SBR MVP
              • 08-01-09
              • 3363

              #216
              Originally posted by fitguy67
              yes, i became a believer back in MLB...irritatingly painful for weeks on end...UNTIL a 'C' finally hits and all the $-erosion suffered PLUS the 20% bankroll-boost floods into the coffers at the same time...i have earmarked a fund for this, and i'm prepared to lose it...so when it instead jumps a full 20%, it's all good

              with coumpounding (by resetting the $-defintions after each successful C-hit)...you only need to hit 4 times to more than double the account...

              this is a solidly +EV slot-machine of sport-plays you've constructed here...worth suffering thru the droughts when you know a downpour is never more than a few plays away
              You avatar says it all, except it is real money, not monopoly money.

              I figure on 80-120 units in year. I think that is worth an occasional 2 month drought.

              +58.28 units since July 23 (6 months ago)
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363

                #217
                January 24

                Parlay 07-B: Pistons -1.5 with Bucks UNDER 195.5 (0.90 to win 2.25)

                The red hot Pistons are official cool now.
                Comment
                • keel44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-09
                  • 3363

                  #218
                  January 25

                  Parlay 08-B: Cavs -3.5 with Raptors UNDER 197.5 (0.94 to win 2.44)
                  Comment
                  • keel44
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-01-09
                    • 3363

                    #219
                    January 25

                    Parlay 08-B: Cavs -3.5 with Raptors UNDER 197.5 (0.94 to win 2.44)

                    O.K. still gotta "C" bet waiting
                    Comment
                    • keel44
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-01-09
                      • 3363

                      #220
                      January 26

                      When you press 2 straight bets into each other, you essentially get a 2 team parlay. So today for my "C" bet, I will do a 2 team 4 point teaser. This pays -110. Tomorrow will be the second bet I need. It will be "pressed" into today's wager if I win.

                      Play 06-C: (4 point Teaser) Grizzlies -8.5 with Clippers -9.5 (3.15 to win 2.86)
                      Comment
                      • keel44
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-09
                        • 3363

                        #221
                        January 26

                        Play 06-C: (4 point Teaser) Grizzlies -8.5 with Clippers -9.5 (3.15 to win 2.86)

                        man that sucks
                        Comment
                        • keel44
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-01-09
                          • 3363

                          #222
                          Time for patience

                          January 27

                          Parlay 10-A: Wizards -9.5 with Raptors UNDER 194.5 (0.37 to win 0.96)
                          Comment
                          • keel44
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-01-09
                            • 3363

                            #223
                            Time for patience

                            January 27

                            Parlay 10-A: Wizards -9.5 with Raptors UNDER 194.5 (0.37 to win 0.96)
                            Comment
                            • keel44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-01-09
                              • 3363

                              #224
                              January 28

                              Parlay 11-A: Pelicans -6.5 with Cavs -5.5 (0.38 to win 0.98)
                              Parlay 12-A: Raptors -5.5 with Rockets OVER 207 (0.39 to win 0.97)

                              * bought a half a point on the Raptors
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363

                                #225
                                January 28

                                Parlay 11-A: Pelicans -6.5 with Cavs -5.5 (0.38 to win 0.98)
                                Parlay 12-A: Raptors -5.5 with Rockets OVER 207 (0.39 to win 0.97)

                                I'm in funk
                                Comment
                                • keel44
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-01-09
                                  • 3363

                                  #226
                                  January 29

                                  Parlay 13-A: Nuggets +10.5 with Bulls UNDER 195.5 (0.41 to win 1.02)

                                  * bought a half a point on the Bulls total
                                  Comment
                                  • fitguy67
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-13-11
                                    • 5082

                                    #227
                                    let's score a fresh "B" ticket tonight, keel
                                    Comment
                                    • keel44
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-01-09
                                      • 3363

                                      #228
                                      January 29

                                      Parlay 13-A: Nuggets +10.5 with Bulls UNDER 195.5 (0.41 to win 1.02)

                                      ice cold right now
                                      Comment
                                      • keel44
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-01-09
                                        • 3363

                                        #229
                                        January 30

                                        Parlay 14-A: Cavs -6.5 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.42 to win 1.05)

                                        * bought a half a point on the Cavs
                                        Comment
                                        • keel44
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-09
                                          • 3363

                                          #230
                                          January 30

                                          Parlay 14-A: Cavs -6.5 with 76ers UNDER 192.5 (0.42 to win 1.05)

                                          -3.33 units on this run
                                          Comment
                                          • keel44
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-01-09
                                            • 3363

                                            #231
                                            January 31

                                            Parlay 15-A: Suns UNDER 225 with Bucks OVER 196.5 (0.43 to win 1.12)
                                            Parlay 16-A: Spurs -4.5 with 76ers +16.5 (0.44 to win 1.10)

                                            * bought a half a point on the Spurs
                                            Comment
                                            • nelsonrc24
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-02-13
                                              • 1578

                                              #232
                                              Which bookie do you use? Do you place those parlays always on the same bookie?
                                              Comment
                                              • keel44
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-01-09
                                                • 3363

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by nelsonrc24
                                                Which bookie do you use? Do you place those parlays always on the same bookie?
                                                www.sportsbook.ag ------- why?
                                                Comment
                                                • nelsonrc24
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-02-13
                                                  • 1578

                                                  #234
                                                  When using profitable systems, on the long run, bookies usually block these kind of bettors.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363

                                                    #235
                                                    I use a sportsbook and I think they love bettors like me.
                                                    I love my system, but it is a long way from being a long run winner. Time will tell.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nelsonrc24
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-02-13
                                                      • 1578

                                                      #236
                                                      Why would you think its not profitable on the long run? As long as your unit isnt too big compared to your bankroll, this cant fail.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • keel44
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-01-09
                                                        • 3363

                                                        #237
                                                        I think if I can do this all year for a couple years, I would say it is profitable. I did have a bad run earlier in the NBA. Half of my total bankroll was gone. I did recover for a profit. I really love my system because I have sooooo many opportunities for success.

                                                        Are you on board with me nelsonrc24?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nelsonrc24
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-02-13
                                                          • 1578

                                                          #238
                                                          Count me in mate! Its a great system! Will start tomorrow
                                                          Comment
                                                          • keel44
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-01-09
                                                            • 3363

                                                            #239
                                                            You can use your own picks or follow mine or anyone else.
                                                            Use my money management outline as posted on this thread in the very first post.
                                                            You should be profitable every month.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • keel44
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-01-09
                                                              • 3363

                                                              #240
                                                              January 31

                                                              Parlay 15-A: Suns UNDER 225 with Bucks OVER 196.5 (0.43 to win 1.12)
                                                              Parlay 16-A: Spurs -4.5 with 76ers +16.5 (0.44 to win 1.10)

                                                              I wish I paired them up differently...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • amitaf0
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 01-26-15
                                                                • 17

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by nelsonrc24
                                                                Count me in mate! Its a great system! Will start tomorrow
                                                                sorry Nelson. i need help in english. o meu ingles é pessimo.
                                                                i am with you too Keel
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nelsonrc24
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-02-13
                                                                  • 1578

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by keel44
                                                                  You can use your own picks or follow mine or anyone else.
                                                                  Use my money management outline as posted on this thread in the very first post.
                                                                  You should be profitable every month.
                                                                  Will start tomorrow. I only like Knicks today.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nelsonrc24
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-02-13
                                                                    • 1578

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by amitaf0
                                                                    sorry Nelson. i need help in english. o meu ingles é pessimo.
                                                                    i am with you too Keel
                                                                    If you need anything, send me a PM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • amitaf0
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 01-26-15
                                                                      • 17

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by nelsonrc24
                                                                      If you need anything, send me a PM.
                                                                      Thanks.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bigtymer56
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-31-12
                                                                        • 4742

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by nelsonrc24
                                                                        Why would you think its not profitable on the long run? As long as your unit isnt too big compared to your bankroll, this cant fail.
                                                                        While I personally do enjoy this system...like most betting systems (esp. chases) do it long enough and you'll eventually hit that really bad run that bankrupts you.

                                                                        For example, before we were at the point where we were down 20 units and betting around 1 unit a parlay. Continuning to increase the bets with each additional loss, probably wouldve left us with only 20-25 more attempts until we hit the 50 unit bankroll limit.

                                                                        While losing 50 or even 100 attempts in a row might seem like alot, when your trying to win 6 games in row, its actually not out of the ordinary.
                                                                        Comment
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