11/13 NBA SDQL Best Bet
508 Golden St -10 -105 (vs Brooklyn)
HF and p:HFL and p:line <= -7.5 and season >= 2008
SU: 116-20 (11.47, 85.3%)
ATS: 82-51-3 (3.27, 61.7%) avg line: -8.2
O/U: 68-64-4 (0.63, 51.5%) avg total: 197.1
HF and p:HFL and p:line <= -7.5 and season >= 2008 and line <= -10
SU: 46-4 (15.98, 92.0%)
ATS: 32-17-1 (3.88, 65.3%) avg line: -12.1
O/U: 28-22-0 (3.17, 56.0%) avg total: 199.4
Trend is fairly straightforward. Home favorites do very well following a straight up loss as a -7.5 home favorite or better in their previous game. Even better if spread is double digits or more. Warriors as home favorites following a loss as a home favorite were 5-1 last year. I also like the dynamic of a possible letdown for Brooklyn after losing a game last night that they had a large lead in.
508 Golden St -10 -105 (vs Brooklyn)
HF and p:HFL and p:line <= -7.5 and season >= 2008
SU: 116-20 (11.47, 85.3%)
ATS: 82-51-3 (3.27, 61.7%) avg line: -8.2
O/U: 68-64-4 (0.63, 51.5%) avg total: 197.1
HF and p:HFL and p:line <= -7.5 and season >= 2008 and line <= -10
SU: 46-4 (15.98, 92.0%)
ATS: 32-17-1 (3.88, 65.3%) avg line: -12.1
O/U: 28-22-0 (3.17, 56.0%) avg total: 199.4
Trend is fairly straightforward. Home favorites do very well following a straight up loss as a -7.5 home favorite or better in their previous game. Even better if spread is double digits or more. Warriors as home favorites following a loss as a home favorite were 5-1 last year. I also like the dynamic of a possible letdown for Brooklyn after losing a game last night that they had a large lead in.