2013/14 NBA Thread

**fataliz** · 01-15-14, 10:58 AM

oh you're right. the bwin french and normal sites offer so different odds.

**Seto** · 01-15-14, 10:59 AM

Originally posted by fataliz

oh you're right. the bwin french and normal sites offer so different odds.

Gambling in France is the worst. Americans feel hard done by but in France it's 10x worse. -140 lines

So glad I don't live there anymore from that point of view

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 12:24 AM

Today: 1-1-2, +0.5x
Total: 136-105-1, +102.83x

I don't think I've ever been so pissed off on a night where I won money. What a robbery.

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-16-14, 12:29 AM

Seto, check out the last 3 minutes of the Port/Cavs game.

I believe Cavs got outscored 12-0 to end the game and let Portland cover by 1.

No conspiracy theory, no fix malarky, just a deep sigh of despair. Only lost a unit, but costs me a positive night.

At +2l as a home dog to Nets seems fishy. What you think. Early game.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Seto, check out the last 3 minutes of the Port/Cavs game.

I believe Cavs got outscored 12-0 to end the game and let Portland cover by 1.

No conspiracy theory, no fix malarky, just a deep sigh of despair. Only lost a unit, but costs me a positive night.

At +2l as a home dog to Nets seems fishy. What you think. Early game.

Oh I wasn't referring to a fix. I was referring to exactly what you said in that first line. Literally everything (and some more) had to go wrong for this not to cash, and it did.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 12:33 AM

The game is in London. Not a home game for atl. I'm actually going.

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-16-14, 12:40 AM

Originally posted by Seto

The game is in London. Not a home game for atl. I'm actually going.

Had no idea. Don`t watch much regular season NBA. Now line makes more sense.
Have fun at the game.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by DOM-Ganador

Had no idea. Don`t watch much regular season NBA. Now line makes more sense.
Have fun at the game.

thx.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 12:46 AM

The funny thing is I've actually been quite lucky these past couple days. The Gasol tip yesterday. Houston miraculously getting a push (I almost hedged that with NO+5.5 and should've, was a lookahead game for Houston too completely ignored that).

But I mean this is not just bad luck.. There's just no words to describe it.

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-16-14, 12:53 AM

Best thing besides gamblin` and winning, is gamblin` and losing.

Couple years ago in a 12 month period over more than 1000 bets, I only had 2 bookie transactions:
1x collected $2800.00, another time after a brutal 10 day stretch paid out like $2000.00.
It was heaven. Tons of action, very little pain.
I am on a 6 month streak now.Never been down a grand, but never been up a grand. 300+ bets.

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-16-14, 12:57 AM

DAL/Clips total will be close to double what Memp/Mil put up tonight. You expect that shit in the NFL, but not hoops.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 01:07 AM

And now the Mavs are gonna blow a 17 point lead with 5 mins to go. Bad beat as a gambler followed by gut-wrenching game as a fan. Greeeeat

Ellis with one of the most bonheaded shots of the season with 40 secs to go. Wind the clock down you fukking moron...

**DOM-Ganador** · 01-16-14, 01:08 AM

Well, Clips 22-4 run. Shame on Dallas.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 01:12 AM

Haven't felt to fukking enraged in a while. Wow.

**ShogunRua** · 01-16-14, 01:13 AM

Not to mention some hardcore rigging by the refs. Jesus christ, could they have been anymore biased in every single one of those calls down the stretch?

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by ShogunRua

Not to mention some hardcore rigging by the refs. Jesus christ, could they have been anymore biased in every single one of those calls down the stretch?

That too but I don't even feel like complaining about it..

But still Ellis' shot has to be one of the dumbest things I've ever seen. I mean already taking a contested 20 footer with 18 secs on the shot clock is NEVER a good shot in my mind, but to take it up 4 with 40 secs to go when you can wind the clock down and not give them a chance to go 2 for 1? Fukking hell..

**Flagrant1** · 01-16-14, 02:07 AM

Originally posted by Seto

The game is in London. Not a home game for atl. I'm actually going.

Any thoughts on the game? I was leaning Atl, but I'm not sure how to play the whole UK angle with both teams being well-rested. Not much data available on both teams with 3+ days rest (Nets and Hawks are both 0-1).

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 02:54 AM

Originally posted by Flagrant1

Any thoughts on the game? I was leaning Atl, but I'm not sure how to play the whole UK angle with both teams being well-rested. Not much data available on both teams with 3+ days rest (Nets and Hawks are both 0-1).

Not much to say really. Souns like a coinflip to me even though the Nets need it worse than the Hawks tbh.

I like Houston.

**nistor22** · 01-16-14, 09:43 AM

Hi, Seto! Can you explain your system? Thanks!

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 04:17 PM

Knicks+10 -103 (marathonbet) (risking 1.03x to wn 1x)
Knicks ml +395 (marathonbet) (risking 0.25x to win 0.99x)

Rockets-2.5 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 7.29x to win 7x)

Won't be able to answer any questions til I get home from the nets game at about 7pm et or so.

**NBA Maniac** · 01-16-14, 04:38 PM

Seto i like the Pacers, and Houston.

OKC @ Houston game line is SHARP like HELL. so didnt decided yet, about moneyline or spread.

i am looking for tomorow's game, OKC @ GSW, both teams split prior 2 games, (1 point win at the buzzer), but this time NO R.Westbrook. Should it be a 3 point contest ?

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by NBA Maniac

Seto i like the Pacers, and Houston.

OKC @ Houston game line is SHARP like HELL. so didnt decided yet, about moneyline or spread.

i am looking for tomorow's game, OKC @ GSW, both teams split prior 2 games, (1 point win at the buzzer), but this time NO R.Westbrook. Should it be a 3 point contest ?

i don't think the houston game will even be close really. i think the close game tonight will be the early game. we'll see.

if everything goes according to plan and okc loses today i think they will beat gs tomorrow but probably won't touch the game. either way i can't really say until today's game is over.

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by nistor22

Hi, Seto! Can you explain your system? Thanks!

If you're referring to a mathematical or statistical system I don't use any for NBA. The things I for use regular season ball are

1) Situational betting
2) Gut feeling/experience
3) Line movement (here experience from what I've learned from some of the guys here and gut feeling comes in play, there's no 100% method to why I'll interpret a line move a certain way. every game is different)
4) Matchups

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 06:50 PM

Rockets-9 +240 (bet365) (risking 1x to win 2.4x)

**NBA Maniac** · 01-16-14, 07:46 PM

Originally posted by Seto

i don't think the houston game will even be close really. i think the close game tonight will be the early game. we'll see.

if everything goes according to plan and okc loses today i think they will beat gs tomorrow but probably won't touch the game. either way i can't really say until today's game is over.

EARLY game was a blowout... but again when i puled the trigger, i didnt know the was going to be in london ahahaha

**nistor22** · 01-16-14, 07:56 PM

What about the size of the bet?!

**Seto** · 01-16-14, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by nistor22

What about the size of the bet?!

Just whatever comes naturally and how comfortable I feel with the bet. There's no mathematical or statistical reason to anything I do.

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 12:14 AM

Today: 0-4, -9.57x
Total: 136-109-1, +93.26x

They happen but this hurts bad after the Cleveland bullshit yesterday. I'd avoided a lot of the NBA BS but I've felt its full force in 2 days now. Just gotta stay in the course.

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 12:37 AM

The good thing is I don't really like tomorrow's card so I'll have an action light/empty night to be able to clear my head a bit. Man gambling is such an emotional rollercoaster.

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 05:29 AM

So much for not liking the card. Looked at it better and calmer now and quite a few things I like.

Mavs-1 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 2.6x to win 2.5x)
Magic+1.5 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 0.78x to win 0.75x)
Knicks+4 -104 (marathonbet) (risking 0.78x to win 0.75x)

Also like Cavs (small) and Lakers (biggest play of the day) but waiting to get 7 on both.

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 08:21 AM

Cavs+7 +100 (marathonbet) (risking 1x to win 1x)
Cavs ml +265 (marathonbet) (risking 0.25x to win 0.66x)
Lakers+7 +102 (marathonbet) (risking 2.5x to win 2.55x)
Lakers ml +265 (marathonbet) (risking 0.5x to win 1.33x)

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 11:37 PM

Today: 5-2, +6.48x
Total: 141-111-1, +99.74x

**Noleafclover** · 01-17-14, 11:50 PM

That cavs line jumped out at me, but was unable to explain why they would write it up there. Often in that case I've missed something, so I stayed off it. Why do you think Vegas wrote the cavs up at 7 here, any ideas? Kinda a broad question...

GJ today btw, you're murderin.

**Seto** · 01-17-14, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by Noleafclover

That cavs line jumped out at me, but was unable to explain why they would write it up there. Often in that case I've missed something, so I stayed off it. Why do you think Vegas wrote the cavs up at 7 here, any ideas? Kinda a broad question...

I thought the line was fair enough.. They were 10.5 point dogs at Portland playing a back-to-back. Without the b2b that line was probably say 10. I'd say Portland is at least 3 points better than Denver. Denver stink.

I was mainly fading Denver coming off that big win in GS and Cavs to bounce back after a good showing in Portland but not closing it out.

**Seto** · 01-18-14, 01:19 PM

Mavs+2 -110 (betcris) (risking 1.1x to win 1x)
Mavs+1 -111 (marathonbet) (first half) (risking 0.83x to win 0.75x)