Zii's NBA Thread 2013

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  • Zii
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-05-13
    • 453

    #71
    11/02/2013:

    Philadelphia 76ers/LA Clippers OVER 184.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    Indiana Pacers/Brooklyn Nets UNDER 182.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    Charlotte Bobcats +4 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    New Orleans Hornets +5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    Dallas Mavericks -4 (1.5 Units) - LOCKED

    Parlay (2):
    Indiana Pacers/Milwaukee Bucks (1 Unit) - LOCKED

    Locked in my card for tonight. Let's do it fellas and best of luck to all of you!
    Comment
    • Italy
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-28-12
      • 425

      #72
      Against Gsw the spread was at 5.5 , now 3.5...why?
      Comment
      • Zii
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-05-13
        • 453

        #73
        Philadelphia 76ers/LA Clippers OVER 184.5 (1 Unit) - WINNER
        Indiana Pacers/Brooklyn Nets UNDER 182.5 (1 Unit) - WINNER
        Charlotte Bobcats +4 (1 Unit) - WINNER
        New Orleans Hornets +5 (1 Unit) - WINNER
        Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (1 Unit) - WINNER
        Dallas Mavericks -4 (1.5 Units) - LOSER
        Parlay (2):
        Indiana Pacers/Milwaukee Bucks (1 Unit) - LOSER

        Last night (11/02/2013): 5 - 2 - 0
        +1.92 Units

        YTD: 38 - 29 - 1
        +3.77 Units

        He, hee...recovered pretty well after 'red Sunday'.
        Comment
        • Zii
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-05-13
          • 453

          #74
          Originally posted by Italy
          Against Gsw the spread was at 5.5 , now 3.5...why?
          I am sorry, but I don't get what are you talking about? Which GSW game? Against who?
          Comment
          • Zii
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-05-13
            • 453

            #75
            Because of the fact that tonight finally UEFA Champions League 1/8 finals are setting off and I am going to see some Euroleague basketball live, I will not focus on NBA so much. Might come up with 1 or 2 POD's for today. But who knows anything can happen.
            Comment
            • Italy
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-28-12
              • 425

              #76
              Originally posted by Zii
              I am sorry, but I don't get what are you talking about? Which GSW game? Against who?
              Sorry i was talking aboutdallas game
              Comment
              • Zii
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-05-13
                • 453

                #77
                Originally posted by Italy
                Sorry i was talking aboutdallas game
                That's the problem for me, since I live in Europe, I can not react to 'last-minute' injury reports and line changes because I'm simply not able to get up at 2 a.m. (that is when games start according to my local time) and adjust my picks then. But like they say - there are no perfect conditions always
                Comment
                • Italy
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-28-12
                  • 425

                  #78
                  I live in europe too and have the same problems...but the line was 3.5 at the beginning,not at the end,inthis case...congrats for last night
                  Comment
                  • anoun
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 02-06-13
                    • 79

                    #79
                    lots of wins last night
                    Comment
                    • Zii
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-05-13
                      • 453

                      #80
                      Originally posted by anoun
                      lots of wins last night
                      Could have avoided that parlay
                      Comment
                      • GreenT
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 11-22-12
                        • 27

                        #81
                        Thats what I was talking about.. An easy 'green Monday' as I predicted
                        I tailed your dallas and twolves picks, but not bucks.. Mostly because of Bucks 'issues' with Jennings and Ellis contract and transfer rumors etc. I couldn't imagine how those would effect the whole team.. Then I added the wizards crazy form and ethusiasm and I took wizards +4!
                        Anyway a big green Monday for you, a smaller one for me so everything is looking great!! Congrats bud and thanks for the tips!!!
                        Comment
                        • Zii
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-05-13
                          • 453

                          #82
                          Originally posted by GreenT
                          Thats what I was talking about.. An easy 'green Monday' as I predicted
                          I tailed your dallas and twolves picks, but not bucks.. Mostly because of Bucks 'issues' with Jennings and Ellis contract and transfer rumors etc. I couldn't imagine how those would effect the whole team.. Then I added the warriors crazy form and ethusiasm and I took wizards +4!
                          Anyway a big green Monday for you, a smaller one for me so everything is looking great!! Congrats bud and thanks for the tips!!!
                          Thanks a lot man! I appreciate your support and it is nice to know that someone else besides me can make a good use of this thread
                          Comment
                          • Zii
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-05-13
                            • 453

                            #83
                            I have such a strong feeling that GSW will roll over Rockets big time today, my only concern is weather Jarrett Jack will play for GSW.
                            Comment
                            • GreenT
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 11-22-12
                              • 27

                              #84
                              Im 100% with you in GSW!! And I dont care if its a lean, pick or feeling as Im not the one who blindly tails you because of your record, thread's posts or views etc. So I wont blame you if you'll change your mind or you wont finally pick it...
                              I just follow users who see the most of games from a similar point of view as mine and have similar thoughts, if you know what i mean..

                              p.s: Better less use than a thread full of trolls, haters and 'experts'
                              Comment
                              • Zii
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-05-13
                                • 453

                                #85
                                Originally posted by GreenT
                                Im 100% with you in GSW!! And I dont care if its a lean, pick or feeling as Im not the one who blindly tails you because of your record, thread's posts or views etc. So I wont blame you if you'll change your mind or you wont finally pick it...
                                I just follow users who see the most of games from a similar point of view as mine and have similar thoughts, if you know what i mean..

                                p.s: Better less use than a thread full of trolls, haters and 'experts'
                                Cheers mate! We are on the same boat here!
                                Comment
                                • Zii
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-05-13
                                  • 453

                                  #86
                                  Leans (12/02/2013):
                                  Golden State Warriors: -4.5 & Under 219.5
                                  Miami Heat/Portland Trailblazers: Under 199.5
                                  Utah Jazz: +5.5
                                  Memphis Grizzlies/Sacramento Kings: Under 190.5
                                  Comment
                                  • anoun
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-06-13
                                    • 79

                                    #87
                                    you make 2 bets on gsw?
                                    Comment
                                    • Zii
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-05-13
                                      • 453

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by anoun
                                      you make 2 bets on gsw?
                                      Probably will make both spread and total. But no picks yet, just leans
                                      Comment
                                      • anoun
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 02-06-13
                                        • 79

                                        #89
                                        hmm okay, might tail you
                                        Comment
                                        • GreenT
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-22-12
                                          • 27

                                          #90
                                          Answer to your leans as these are enough for me to shot my bets...
                                          I will take GSW for sure as I told you a few hours ago!
                                          Also the under for this game proves that we are for sure on the same boat as this was my 2nd thought for tonight!!! Thinking that I'm with GSW, I assume (and hope) that they will try hard on defense having in mind the blowout the other day and the 3pts shots record... If they want to take a revenge they have to stop rockets crazy scoring...
                                          The other totals don't say anything to me mostly because I don't play them (GSW under is an exception) so I wish you luck with these!!
                                          One more pick I'm thinking is LA but am not sure if I will finally take it (I know they suck but I also know that suns sucks too).
                                          Comment
                                          • Zii
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-05-13
                                            • 453

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by GreenT
                                            Answer to your leans as these are enough for me to shot my bets...
                                            I will take GSW for sure as I told you a few hours ago!
                                            Also the under for this game proves that we are for sure on the same boat as this was my 2nd thought for tonight!!! Thinking that I'm with GSW, I assume (and hope) that they will try hard on defense having in mind the blowout the other day and the 3pts shots record... If they want to take a revenge they have to stop rockets crazy scoring...
                                            The other totals don't say anything to me mostly because I don't play them (GSW under is an exception) so I wish you luck with these!!
                                            One more pick I'm thinking is LA but am not sure if I will finally take it (I know they suck but I also know that suns sucks too).
                                            I start to think that GSW under is even better than the spread, but that is just me. I won't put any of my money on LA/PHO game, but I think that -9 is a bit too big for LA to cover, even against Phoenix, but definitely will leave this one alone.
                                            Comment
                                            • Zii
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-05-13
                                              • 453

                                              #92
                                              Ok, fellas, locking in my plays for tonight.

                                              12/02/2013:

                                              Golden State Warriors -4 (2 Units) - LOCKED

                                              Toronto Raptors +2.5 (2 Units) - LOCKED

                                              Golden State Warriors UNDER 219.5 (1.75 Units) - LOCKED

                                              Utah Jazz +6 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                              Best of luck to all of you and have a good one! Cheers!
                                              Comment
                                              • anoun
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 02-06-13
                                                • 79

                                                #93
                                                okay, going for the same bets
                                                Comment
                                                • Zii
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-05-13
                                                  • 453

                                                  #94
                                                  Golden State Warriors -4 (2 Units) - LOSER
                                                  Toronto Raptors +2.5 (2 Units) - WINNER
                                                  Golden State Warriors UNDER 219.5 (1.75 Units) - LOSER
                                                  Utah Jazz +6 (1 Unit) - WINNER

                                                  Last night: 2 - 2 - 0
                                                  -1.2 Units

                                                  YTD: 40 - 31 - 1
                                                  +2.57 Units

                                                  I'm sorry for letting you and myself down last night. But sometimes s*it happens and you have to bear with it. Won't happen tonight though. At least one thing is clear for me - tonight Rockets are going to kneel in LA, that is for sure. Anyway, I'll be back later with my leans for today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GreenT
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-22-12
                                                    • 27

                                                    #95
                                                    0-2 (thank God I didnt take lakers) for me too last night but no worries it will change to green again starting from tonight... By the way your toronto and jazz picks saved your day so it wasn't that bad for you! Anyway see u later discussing tonight games. No time to sorry, we got some work to do...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Zii
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-05-13
                                                      • 453

                                                      #96
                                                      Checked today's card and one thing in particular caught my eye - Dallas Mavericks against Sacramento seem to be a bit overrated to say the least, even though I think that Mavs are pretty good at home recently, I highly doubt that they are 10.5 point favourites over the Kings.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GreenT
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-22-12
                                                        • 27

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Zii
                                                        Checked today's card and one thing in particular caught my eye - Dallas Mavericks against Sacramento seem to be a bit overrated to say the least, even though I think that Mavs are pretty good at home recently, I highly doubt that they are 10.5 point favourites over the Kings.
                                                        No time to check tonight's card as I'm at work but you have a point on that. Dallas has to win these kind of games in order to stay alive for a playoff place and I think they'll get it (I mean tonight's win). Especially after latest home loss against hawks.. But are they capable for a double digits win? Don't know... I will come back later, after checking the card and studying a bit.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Zii
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-05-13
                                                          • 453

                                                          #98
                                                          I will start posting my leans for today one by one:

                                                          Leans (13/02/2013):

                                                          Indiana Pacers/Charlotte Bobcats
                                                          *No doubts that Pacers are absolute favourites here, but there is one problem for Pacers - they have not covered double digit spread this season, and line is -10 for Pacers, however Danny Granger, Indiana's top scorer, might appear in this match for the first time this season . Line +11 has a very, very good value in my eyes. Furthermore, all signs point on UNDER in this match as well.
                                                          Leans: Charlotte Bobcats +11 & Under 186.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Zii
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-05-13
                                                            • 453

                                                            #99
                                                            Orlando Magic/Atlanta Hawks
                                                            *Tough play to lay money one, but, if I have to make my predictions, I would say that this is going OVER.
                                                            Lean: Over 197

                                                            Boston Celtics/Chicago Bulls
                                                            *I think that Celtics are physically done for a while, after an amazing run, and Bulls will get an advantage here.
                                                            Lean: Chicago Bulls +2.5

                                                            Detroit Pistons/Washington Wizards
                                                            *Wizards covering like a machine lately, even though, their away game record is really awful, I just can not see Pistons winning this one and stopping Wizards 4 game winning streak.
                                                            Leans: Washington Wizards +2 & Under 183

                                                            New York Knicks/Toronto Raptors
                                                            *Toronto going for the 4th victory in a row, but I highly doubt that it will happen, especially in New York. Knicks coming off a 2 day break and with a painful reminder of that last loss against Clips. Even -8.5 for Knicks, will not keep Toronto out of trouble here.
                                                            Leans: NY Knicks -8.5 & Under 198

                                                            Minnesota Timberwolves/Utah Jazz
                                                            *Jazz showed where amazing happens (In Utah of course) yesterday, but Puppies will pull them back down on earth today. Jazz has been struggling a lot playing b2b and as 'road underdogs'.
                                                            Leans: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5

                                                            New Orleans Hornets/Portland Trailblazers

                                                            *Blazers covered ATS in only one of their last 5 road games. Hornets rolling really well, in terms of the spread. Blazers will try to get over this disastrous road-trip and focus on upcoming home games. Totals went over in 5 out of 5 last Blazers games.
                                                            Leans: New Orleans Hornets -5 & Over 194

                                                            Dallas Mavericks/Sacramento Kings
                                                            *Dallas needs this a lot, especially after that loss against Hawks, if they want to see play-offs. They will take this for sure, but I have some concerns wether it will happen by double digits. That spread seems to have more value un Kings side from capping point of view. However, Kings are doing around 50% when it comes to covering double digits as underdogs. This pick probably will be last minute decision wether take Mavs with -10 or not.
                                                            Leans: Over 209 & Dallas Mavericks -10

                                                            LA Clippers/Houston Rockets
                                                            *Houston is gone here, especially after yesterday. Harden is out and they will finally have to face a team that actually can play defensively. Clips are back on the track and will make sure that Houston stays under 100 easily.
                                                            Leans: LA Clippers -10 & Under 209

                                                            Brooklyn Nets/Denver Nuggets
                                                            Lean: Brooklyn Nets -2 & Over 198

                                                            Milwaukee Bucks/Philadelphia 76'ers
                                                            Lean: Milwaukee -5


                                                            Comment
                                                            • Zii
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-05-13
                                                              • 453

                                                              #100
                                                              My leans for today are all here. Obviously won't play them all, but would like to here your opinion and comments as well, before I pick my final plays.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GreenT
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 11-22-12
                                                                • 27

                                                                #101
                                                                Ok here are my comments but I'm still working on games and nothing is final..

                                                                - I think Dallas plays a must win game as you mentioned and you know what? If they want to make the playoffs they should win games like that easily!! I believe that their last game was just a bad parenthesis and they will cover tonight.
                                                                - Raptors are in a good moon but I don't think Knicks will loose 2nd in a row in New York. However I haven't decided if they will win by 9+
                                                                - Bucks have a chance to stop their 4 games loosing streak against Philly tonight and I believe they are ready for it. A win will probably calm down a bit the rumors about Jennings and Ellis future.
                                                                - Love's injury (except all the others) harmed Minnesota's ambitions this season but still they compete most of their games and I think they can win some at home against bad teams on the road such Utah (especially when they play b2b).
                                                                - I like Hornets tonight but I believe that Portland will compete and this won't be an easy game.
                                                                - If I had to take a team between Orlando and Atlanta I would take Orlando even if Hawks are a much better team, believing in one more Atlanta's 'blackout'.

                                                                Waiting for your final picks, as I have to work mines too..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • GreenT
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 11-22-12
                                                                  • 27

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Was Waiting for your picks but since I'm going to bed here what I finally played:
                                                                  Milwaukee -5, Minnesota -2,5 and a small parlay with Dallas -10 and Orlando +2,5.

                                                                  I hope we 'll be on the same boat bro! GL with your picks.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Zii
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-05-13
                                                                    • 453

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by GreenT
                                                                    Was Waiting for your picks but since I'm going to bed here what I finally played:
                                                                    Milwaukee -5, Minnesota +2,5 and a small parlay with Dallas -10 and Orlando +2,5.

                                                                    I hope we 'll be on the same boat bro! GL with your picks.
                                                                    I was about to post mine in a second. But yeah, we are pretty much on the same boat here!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Zii
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-05-13
                                                                      • 453

                                                                      #104
                                                                      14/02/2013:

                                                                      Dallas Mavericks -10 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      New Orleans Hornets -5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Milwaukee Bucks -5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Brooklyn Nets -2 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Chicago Bulls +3 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Orlando Magic +3 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      LA Clippers/Houston Rockets Under 207.5 (1 Unit) - LOCKED

                                                                      Locked and loaded! Have a good night all of you!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Zii
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 01-05-13
                                                                        • 453

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Dallas Mavericks -10 (1 Unit) - WINNER
                                                                        Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 (1 Unit) - LOSER
                                                                        New Orleans Hornets -5 (1 Unit) - WINNER
                                                                        Milwaukee Bucks -5 (1 Unit) - LOSER
                                                                        Brooklyn Nets -2 (1 Unit) - WINNER
                                                                        Chicago Bulls +3 (1 Unit) - WINNER
                                                                        Orlando Magic +3 (1 Unit) - LOSER
                                                                        LA Clippers/Houston Rockets Under 207.5 (1 Unit) - WINNER

                                                                        Last night (13/02/2013): 5 - 3 - 0
                                                                        +1.18 Units

                                                                        YTD: 45 - 34 - 1
                                                                        +3.75 Units

                                                                        Not the best of nights, but still on the green side. Disappointed about Bucks game, good for them, but not good enough for me. However, let's hit 2 out of 2 tonight!

                                                                        Comment
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