nba chase 12/13
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GIVEMETHEMONEYSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-13-12
- 8428
#3781Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#3782Remember when Sas played Miami? No Duncan, no ginobli, no parker, but still almost beat Miami! Spurs are so deep and well coached as a TEAM There is no wonder there #1.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#3783There is a spread sheet on this thread that pulls up the plays for you. Just use that and double check them for ABCD and by the rules. once you know the rules should be easy to use spread sheet. Anyone got a post number for this guy?Comment -
AlwarreteSBR Hustler
- 01-21-13
- 58
#3784+1 . I wanna see that sheet too. I created my own one but just to follow the picks. Im gonna try to find the post.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3785Not sure that sheet is accurate.Comment -
gamewinninglvSBR High Roller
- 09-18-12
- 207
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John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#3788BOL tonight guys !Comment -
noveggiesSBR High Roller
- 01-24-13
- 110
#3789What the hell happened in that tor game? Yahoo seems to have frozen with Tor up like 85-81 near the end, then all of a sudden Tor is losing by 6.Comment -
vigsterSBR MVP
- 09-18-12
- 1032
#3790Wonderful...Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3791But not a surprise. A games have been sucking all year. Bring on the better performing B games. At least Wallcos NHL is losing also.Comment -
o2maticSBR Rookie
- 01-08-13
- 15
#3792watta night!Comment -
dogs1972SBR Wise Guy
- 11-22-09
- 509
#3794Yeeeeee hawwww! Oh wait....Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#3795NOT counting tonight. with 58% of the season over and taking 58% of the last 5 years (not counting last year) this is where we should be
These are just numbers - I'm not saying you should make bets any differently - REMEMBER - this is back tested for Chasing - nothing more.
S1
63.1-1.2 back test
56.0-2.0 REAL
S2
26.3-0.6 back test
27.0-1.0 REAL
S3
13.5-0.1 back test
15.0-2.0 REAL
S4
27.7-0.3 back test
40.0-1.0 REAL
A 72-66 .522 .549 back test
B 37-26 .587 .573
C 15-11 .577 .648
D 06-05 .545 .744
We are a combined 9 points from having a great year as 2 of those "D" loses were by 4 and 5 points and 8-3 is SO much better then 6-5.
Good bets
S1 follow
"B" 11-7
"C" 6-1
S2 Fade
"A" 11-5
S3 Follow
"A" 5-2
S4 Fade
"A" 24-16
"B" 11-5
Bad Bets
S1 Follow
"A" 11-19
S2 Fade
"B" 1-4
S3 Fade
"A" 2-6
Added a few trend lines for you stock watches :-)
You can see the bottom has a nice up trend and we're near the bottom. Confidence is high! It's a good time to buy!
Can you explain what you mean by some of these numbers? GOod bets and bad bets? I do not understand.Comment -
John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#3796OuchhhhhhComment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3798OH - just sections of the numbers that are doing better or worse then average - most parts of the Chase are pretty much 50 to 58% but some sections are above or below.
For instance
S1 follow (as opposed to fade)
"B" 11-7
"C" 6-1
S1A Follows are 11-19
S1A Fades are 13-13
S1B Follows are 11-7
S1B Fades are 4-7
What I've been doing is that since I have 3 books one is getting a little low so I only play the GOOD games there to build it back up if I have a choice. Sadly my least favorite book keeps winning LOL.
Where we are betting ON a team (as opposed to fading a team) are doing better
fun with numbers.
How is this consolation?
Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts!Comment -
Wallco99SBR Hall of Famer
- 01-01-11
- 7261
#3799OH - just sections of the numbers that are doing better or worse then average - most parts of the Chase are pretty much 50 to 58% but some sections are above or below.
For instance
S1 follow (as opposed to fade)
"B" 11-7
"C" 6-1
S1A Follows are 11-19
S1A Fades are 13-13
S1B Follows are 11-7
S1B Fades are 4-7
What I've been doing is that since I have 3 books one is getting a little low so I only play the GOOD games there to build it back up if I have a choice. Sadly my least favorite book keeps winning LOL.
Where we are betting ON a team (as opposed to fading a team) are doing better
fun with numbers.
"A" games are like preseason baseball. not worth getting excited over. The real games start at "B".
Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts!Comment -
John DeereSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-11
- 581
#3800A lot of B games are coming up !Comment -
noveggiesSBR High Roller
- 01-24-13
- 110
#3802
In other news, something I've been working on went 2-0 tonight in it's first night of live use, so close to an even night.Comment -
StiflerSBR MVP
- 11-11-09
- 3511
#3804
S1: W 49 | L 2 (+12,10 units)
S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
additional: -1,10 units Den fade
pending:
- S1 Sac fade, B Bet on 09.02.2013
- S1 Chic, B Bet on 07.02.2013
- S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
- S1 Atl fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013
- S1 Brook fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013
________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________
all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
Comment -
abzflabzSBR High Roller
- 12-04-12
- 195
#3805Tough day at the office and 6 B's coming upComment -
OFSSBR Hustler
- 12-31-12
- 69
#3806Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts![/QUOTE]
There was an Indian in my backyard, so now I'm torn.Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3807Only 2 games in the NBA tonight - Chicago is a B play - no lines yet. Should be a great LATE game. Just say'in.
S1B Follows (as opposed to fading) are winning 61% of the timeLast edited by Grinder12000; 02-07-13, 09:54 AM.Comment -
EasyPicksSBR MVP
- 10-21-11
- 3804
#3808So stifler how is it working for you the sweetjones55 picks?
I've read in the system plays forum that is cold as ice......Comment -
Grinder12000SBR MVP
- 04-21-11
- 1809
#3809Denver is an S1 follow play and Chicago is a S1B Follow play. If you are looking to play both games Denver is -6.5 now and Chicago might go up later to +7 . . . just say'in.
Or not.Comment -
AskiiSBR Rookie
- 01-25-13
- 45
#3810Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#3811LAL is a boston fade as well right?Comment -
samrock67SBR Wise Guy
- 05-05-12
- 647
#3814Jesus people why can't you just wait for Stifler to post?Comment -
GIVEMETHEMONEYSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-13-12
- 8428
#3815Yep only 2 games today
How's your mom doing Stifler?
Will there be another American Pie remake ??Comment
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