nba chase 12/13

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  • GIVEMETHEMONEY
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-13-12
    • 8428

    #3781
    Duncan has a sore left knee

    Duncan has a sore left knee.

    He was hurt in Saturday's game vs the Wizards.

    San Antonio Spurs All-Star Tim Duncan sprained his left knee and right ankle after getting tangled with an opponent and had to be helped off the court in the first half of Saturday night's game against the Wizards.


    Still don't count my Spurs down and out!!

    Minnesota does not impress me!
    Comment
    • J.M. Disciple
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-16-10
      • 5154

      #3782
      Remember when Sas played Miami? No Duncan, no ginobli, no parker, but still almost beat Miami! Spurs are so deep and well coached as a TEAM There is no wonder there #1.
      Comment
      • J.M. Disciple
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-16-10
        • 5154

        #3783
        Originally posted by igorp3
        I hope you can post the plays earlier stiff. Betting is already closed in our country. maybe 5hours earlier than this post?
        There is a spread sheet on this thread that pulls up the plays for you. Just use that and double check them for ABCD and by the rules. once you know the rules should be easy to use spread sheet. Anyone got a post number for this guy?
        Comment
        • Alwarrete
          SBR Hustler
          • 01-21-13
          • 58

          #3784
          Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
          There is a spread sheet on this thread that pulls up the plays for you. Just use that and double check them for ABCD and by the rules. once you know the rules should be easy to use spread sheet. Anyone got a post number for this guy?
          +1 . I wanna see that sheet too. I created my own one but just to follow the picks. Im gonna try to find the post.
          Comment
          • Grinder12000
            SBR MVP
            • 04-21-11
            • 1809

            #3785
            Not sure that sheet is accurate.
            Comment
            • gamewinninglv
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-18-12
              • 207

              #3786
              Originally posted by igorp3
              I hope you can post the plays earlier stiff. Betting is already closed in our country. maybe 5hours earlier than this post?

              I think you should ask your books to open later than closing so early. If not, use another book.
              Comment
              • Alwarrete
                SBR Hustler
                • 01-21-13
                • 58

                #3787
                Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                There is a spread sheet on this thread that pulls up the plays for you. Just use that and double check them for ABCD and by the rules. once you know the rules should be easy to use spread sheet. Anyone got a post number for this guy?
                I think i found it. Maybe this one?

                Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                Comment
                • John Deere
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-19-11
                  • 581

                  #3788
                  BOL tonight guys !
                  Comment
                  • noveggies
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-24-13
                    • 110

                    #3789
                    What the hell happened in that tor game? Yahoo seems to have frozen with Tor up like 85-81 near the end, then all of a sudden Tor is losing by 6.
                    Comment
                    • vigster
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-18-12
                      • 1032

                      #3790
                      Wonderful...
                      Comment
                      • Grinder12000
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-21-11
                        • 1809

                        #3791
                        But not a surprise. A games have been sucking all year. Bring on the better performing B games. At least Wallcos NHL is losing also.
                        Comment
                        • o2matic
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 01-08-13
                          • 15

                          #3792
                          watta night!
                          Comment
                          • Wallco99
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-11
                            • 7261

                            #3793
                            Originally posted by Grinder12000
                            But not a surprise. A games have been sucking all year. Bring on the better performing B games. At least Wallcos NHL is losing also.
                            How is this consolation?
                            Comment
                            • dogs1972
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-22-09
                              • 509

                              #3794
                              Yeeeeee hawwww! Oh wait....
                              Comment
                              • J.M. Disciple
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-16-10
                                • 5154

                                #3795
                                Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                NOT counting tonight. with 58% of the season over and taking 58% of the last 5 years (not counting last year) this is where we should be

                                These are just numbers - I'm not saying you should make bets any differently - REMEMBER - this is back tested for Chasing - nothing more.

                                S1
                                63.1-1.2 back test
                                56.0-2.0 REAL

                                S2
                                26.3-0.6 back test
                                27.0-1.0 REAL

                                S3
                                13.5-0.1 back test
                                15.0-2.0 REAL

                                S4
                                27.7-0.3 back test
                                40.0-1.0 REAL

                                A 72-66 .522 .549 back test
                                B 37-26 .587 .573
                                C 15-11 .577 .648
                                D 06-05 .545 .744

                                We are a combined 9 points from having a great year as 2 of those "D" loses were by 4 and 5 points and 8-3 is SO much better then 6-5.

                                Good bets

                                S1 follow
                                "B" 11-7
                                "C" 6-1

                                S2 Fade
                                "A" 11-5

                                S3 Follow
                                "A" 5-2

                                S4 Fade
                                "A" 24-16
                                "B" 11-5

                                Bad Bets

                                S1 Follow
                                "A" 11-19

                                S2 Fade
                                "B" 1-4

                                S3 Fade
                                "A" 2-6

                                Added a few trend lines for you stock watches :-)

                                You can see the bottom has a nice up trend and we're near the bottom. Confidence is high! It's a good time to buy!


                                Can you explain what you mean by some of these numbers? GOod bets and bad bets? I do not understand.
                                Comment
                                • John Deere
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-19-11
                                  • 581

                                  #3796
                                  Ouchhhhhh
                                  Comment
                                  • Riceboi
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-03-11
                                    • 857

                                    #3797
                                    Originally posted by Wallco99
                                    How is this consolation?

                                    Comment
                                    • Grinder12000
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-21-11
                                      • 1809

                                      #3798
                                      OH - just sections of the numbers that are doing better or worse then average - most parts of the Chase are pretty much 50 to 58% but some sections are above or below.

                                      For instance

                                      S1 follow (as opposed to fade)
                                      "B" 11-7
                                      "C" 6-1

                                      S1A Follows are 11-19
                                      S1A Fades are 13-13

                                      S1B Follows are 11-7
                                      S1B Fades are 4-7

                                      What I've been doing is that since I have 3 books one is getting a little low so I only play the GOOD games there to build it back up if I have a choice. Sadly my least favorite book keeps winning LOL.

                                      Where we are betting ON a team (as opposed to fading a team) are doing better

                                      fun with numbers.

                                      How is this consolation?
                                      "A" games are like preseason baseball. not worth getting excited over. The real games start at "B".


                                      Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts!
                                      Comment
                                      • Wallco99
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-01-11
                                        • 7261

                                        #3799
                                        Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                        OH - just sections of the numbers that are doing better or worse then average - most parts of the Chase are pretty much 50 to 58% but some sections are above or below.

                                        For instance

                                        S1 follow (as opposed to fade)
                                        "B" 11-7
                                        "C" 6-1

                                        S1A Follows are 11-19
                                        S1A Fades are 13-13

                                        S1B Follows are 11-7
                                        S1B Fades are 4-7

                                        What I've been doing is that since I have 3 books one is getting a little low so I only play the GOOD games there to build it back up if I have a choice. Sadly my least favorite book keeps winning LOL.

                                        Where we are betting ON a team (as opposed to fading a team) are doing better

                                        fun with numbers.



                                        "A" games are like preseason baseball. not worth getting excited over. The real games start at "B".


                                        Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts!
                                        Well then, I guess I'll take that as a good thing.
                                        Comment
                                        • John Deere
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-19-11
                                          • 581

                                          #3800
                                          A lot of B games are coming up !
                                          Comment
                                          • igorp3
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 02-06-13
                                            • 4

                                            #3801
                                            Originally posted by OFS
                                            Where do you live that they close the books 7 hours before the beginning of the games?
                                            Manila, Philippines.

                                            Good games today!
                                            Comment
                                            • noveggies
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 01-24-13
                                              • 110

                                              #3802
                                              Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                              But not a surprise. A games have been sucking all year. Bring on the better performing B games. At least Wallcos NHL is losing also.
                                              I got in on both the ML and the PL for that Colo game, thinking at least the ML would cover, I've been on a bit of a crappy streak lately and thought that might be good. Those odds for hockey are such a beating, losing one feels like losing 10 other plays.

                                              In other news, something I've been working on went 2-0 tonight in it's first night of live use, so close to an even night.
                                              Comment
                                              • noveggies
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-24-13
                                                • 110

                                                #3803
                                                Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                How is this consolation?
                                                Yeah, a consolation would be that your system is winning to cancel out the rough night in here.
                                                Comment
                                                • Stifler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                  • 3511

                                                  #3804
                                                  Originally posted by Stifler
                                                  06.02.2013

                                                  S1

                                                  (A Bet) Atl fade: Memphis -1,5 1,10u
                                                  (A Bet) Brook fade: Detroit -2 1,10u

                                                  S2


                                                  (A Bet) Bos fade: Toronto -3 1,10u
                                                  records:
                                                  S1: W 49 | L 2 (+12,10 units)
                                                  S2: W 25 | L 2 (-11,90 units)
                                                  S3: W 16 | L 0 (+16,00 units)
                                                  S4: W 40 | L 1 (+23,55 units)
                                                  additional: -1,10 units Den fade

                                                  pending:
                                                  - S1 Sac fade, B Bet on 09.02.2013
                                                  - S1 Chic, B Bet on 07.02.2013
                                                  - S2 Atl, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                                  - S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 11.02.2013
                                                  - S1 Atl fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013
                                                  - S1 Brook fade, B Bet on 08.02.2013

                                                  ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ___________

                                                  all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                                                  Comment
                                                  • abzflabz
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-04-12
                                                    • 195

                                                    #3805
                                                    Tough day at the office and 6 B's coming up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OFS
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 12-31-12
                                                      • 69

                                                      #3806
                                                      Off topic here but there was a coyote in my backyard tonight - must be a sign of some sorts![/QUOTE]

                                                      There was an Indian in my backyard, so now I'm torn.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Grinder12000
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-21-11
                                                        • 1809

                                                        #3807
                                                        Only 2 games in the NBA tonight - Chicago is a B play - no lines yet. Should be a great LATE game. Just say'in.

                                                        S1B Follows (as opposed to fading) are winning 61% of the time
                                                        Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-07-13, 09:54 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EasyPicks
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-21-11
                                                          • 3804

                                                          #3808
                                                          So stifler how is it working for you the sweetjones55 picks?

                                                          I've read in the system plays forum that is cold as ice......
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Grinder12000
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-21-11
                                                            • 1809

                                                            #3809
                                                            Denver is an S1 follow play and Chicago is a S1B Follow play. If you are looking to play both games Denver is -6.5 now and Chicago might go up later to +7 . . . just say'in.

                                                            Or not.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Askii
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 01-25-13
                                                              • 45

                                                              #3810
                                                              Originally posted by Grinder12000
                                                              Denver is an S1 follow play and Chicago is a S1B Follow play. If you are looking to play both games Denver is -6.5 now and Chicago might go up later to +7 . . . just say'in.

                                                              Or not.
                                                              Or take Den -6 and Chi +6.5. Feel like denver will just win by 6 here.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • J.M. Disciple
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-16-10
                                                                • 5154

                                                                #3811
                                                                LAL is a boston fade as well right?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • OFS
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 12-31-12
                                                                  • 69

                                                                  #3812
                                                                  Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                  LAL is a boston fade as well right?
                                                                  Boston fade is a S2 play, and it's their road games.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gamewinninglv
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-18-12
                                                                    • 207

                                                                    #3813
                                                                    Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                    LAL is a boston fade as well right?

                                                                    No. Away games only for this Celtics series.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • samrock67
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-05-12
                                                                      • 647

                                                                      #3814
                                                                      Jesus people why can't you just wait for Stifler to post?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • GIVEMETHEMONEY
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-13-12
                                                                        • 8428

                                                                        #3815
                                                                        Yep only 2 games today

                                                                        How's your mom doing Stifler?

                                                                        Will there be another American Pie remake ??
                                                                        Comment
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