nba chase 12/13

[knugen]

Hm both out? they scored alot against raptors last night.

[Zii]

That is exactly why lines are how they are now

[itsjhurley]

+2 now this line gonna go up!

[noveggies]

Hm both out? they scored alot against raptors last night.

So fresh bodies to replace them right!

That is exactly why lines are how they are now

How so?

[TB12]

Cavs have been red hot!

[Zii]

So fresh bodies to replace them right!



How so?

I'm not saying that I support or deny that, but that is why BOOKMAKERS moved the line

[itsjhurley]

Lock your bets in now line went opposite way. Im assuming curry is in

[Zii]

Lock your bets in now line went opposite way. Im assuming curry is in

yeah, just noticed it too. there is some bizzare sh*t going on out there

[dlunc3]

Kyrie is a game time call... Locked my bet in at gs -1

[CrazyCarl]

First, I don't do the chase. I did for 3 systems and they went kaput! Followed them like a good little soldier. Then the kaput happened. I started making formulas in my spreadsheet, checking how the plays were doing. As an example, from when I started tailing Wallco's chase on the JM thread, it is 17w/23l...less than 50%. Should I keep playing them? Nope, I stopped, it's not even bad enough to fade. However, the following B bets, are 15w and 8l. There's the place to start. Except for S4 here and the V1 plays in the JM thread, I think it's foolish to play the A bets. and I don't. Second, I, now, do a modified labby. See no need to make a huge bet on a worthless team.
All that being said, for all the whining going on here and elsewhere, I was putting out there that quite a few should adjust their BRs accordingly. Make your unit size 1%, and leave it there until the end of the season, adjust it accordingly for next year or for MLB. You'll be able to handle the D bets then.

Sample size insignificant.

[tr4sh]

Just my 2 cents but on a game like this with lots of 50/50 injury reports to important players, it's best to wait as much as possible before tipoff to place the bet. And also, this system was back tested off the covers closing line anyway.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Sample size insignificant.

I was just going by the "Company Line!!!", lol.
One way I read about, was to play only 25% of your BR (daily, weekly? They weren't specific) and after a month (?) or so, see where you are at, and again adjust your 25% play. Example, start with $100. You only wager out $25, over several bets. After a month, your total BR is now $150, wager out at 25% is now $37.50. I tend to go this way, depending on how strong I think the bet is. No matters.
BTW, loved you in that movie!!!

[Stifler]

- Cleveland line added. This line is really going crazy. HArd to decide when to jump on the train. I may wait long till i place the GS bet.

29.01.2013

S2

(D Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u | Golden State - waiting...
(A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +1,5 1,10u


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[Stifler]

- Golden State line updated(hopefully the right decision)

29.01.2013

S2

(D Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u | Golden State -1,5 10,19u
(A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +1,5 1,10u


________________________________________ ________________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

[samrock67]

Would not mind cashing in that D bet tonight to help gear up for tomorrow's big day- 4 B bets, 1 C bet, 1 D bet...its gonna be rainin!!!

[noveggies]

Gonna wait for Kyrie confirmation (I think he'll play and the line will go back to Cavs being favored) -- at least that's my story for now.

EDIT: maybe in 20 years they can make a gatorade commercial about kyrie having a cold and playing in this game

[TB12]

Just locked in at -1.5 and I think it was a good idea!

[zonedog]

Both Curry and Kyrie Irving are game time decision. If one of them plays and the other does not, that makes a huge difference. Kyrie has been averaging 25 points per game and Curry 21. I am going to wait the until the final starting line up is known before the game.

[Melda]

Too many people are on the CAVS bandwagon right now, we're still the CAVS.... GS will take this one. Glad i see its a D bet.

[gamewinninglv]

Let's Go Warriors !!!



IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!

[Pickle2728]

I just love being puckered up every other day.

Let's go you Sons O' Bitches!

[itsjhurley]

Too many people are on the CAVS bandwagon right now, we're still the CAVS.... GS will take this one. Glad i see its a D bet.

I was hoping you commented something like this today!

[Melda]

I was hoping you commented something like this today!

That a diss? , or.... you value my worthless opinion?

[Asset]

Just locked in at -1.5 and I think it was a good idea!

Dam you got -1.5 I must have it pretty good then LOL

Anywayz BOL on today's games every1

[itsjhurley]

That a diss? , or.... you value my worthless opinion?

Value amigo

[vigster]

I'm getting it at -2... Do you think I should wait and it might come down a half point or should i just buy a half point? Thanks

[Melda]

I think its possible it goes to 3, 3.5 if its confirmed Irving is out.. If he plays it probably goes back to GS -1

[Asset]

I'm getting it at -2... Do you think I should wait and it might come down a half point or should i just buy a half point? Thanks

If it matters, in my opinion, it won't come down. But as alwayz don't listen to me.

[J.M. Disciple]

- S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.01.2013 vs NYK
- S1 Tor (+6.5), C Bet on 30.01.2013 vs ATL
- S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs SAC (+7.5)
- S4 Atl fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs TOR (+6.5)
- S3 Char fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs SAS
- S1 Denver (-4.5), B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs HOU

These are not all the plays tomorrow, but I wanted to look ahead at what B-C-D bets we have. I have been skipping all A bets and playing a 3 game chase starting from B. Usually we have quite a few games that overlap where the teams are playing against each other. However, tomorrow looks like not too many games if any overlap on the B-C-D bets.

[pellumb341]

orlando is +11.5 at bwin ; sas -14.5

anything new on gsw match ? GSW's odd has decreased from 1.86 to 1.80

[Stifler]

i already booked:

S1 Den (B Bet): Denver -4,5

for tomorrow...unfortunately Sacramento went to +7, i would have placed +7.5 aswell.

[zonedog]

I got GSW at -1.5 like half an hour ago at LVH and now the line there -1 Cleveland. WTF! Some weird sh*t going on with this game.

[hotshotz3]

Bookmaker has line at pk right now. . Read Irving is on the floor for warm ups

[Asset]

The line is jumping crazy, I hope ppl that didn't place their bets yet maybe you should really soon. Looks like they giving points lol. And I thought I had it good with my PK lol. Owells

[CheeseHead]

Irving is going to play tonight that's why the line is moving