nba chase 12/13

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  • knugen
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-09
    • 2612

    #3326
    Hm both out? they scored alot against raptors last night.
    Comment
    • Zii
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-05-13
      • 453

      #3327
      That is exactly why lines are how they are now
      Comment
      • itsjhurley
        SBR Rookie
        • 11-09-12
        • 43

        #3328
        +2 now this line gonna go up!
        Comment
        • noveggies
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-24-13
          • 110

          #3329
          Originally posted by knugen
          Hm both out? they scored alot against raptors last night.
          So fresh bodies to replace them right!

          Originally posted by Zii
          That is exactly why lines are how they are now
          How so?
          Comment
          • TB12
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-04-12
            • 130

            #3330
            Cavs have been red hot!
            Comment
            • Zii
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-05-13
              • 453

              #3331
              Originally posted by noveggies
              So fresh bodies to replace them right!



              How so?
              I'm not saying that I support or deny that, but that is why BOOKMAKERS moved the line
              Comment
              • itsjhurley
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-09-12
                • 43

                #3332
                Lock your bets in now line went opposite way. Im assuming curry is in
                Comment
                • Zii
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-05-13
                  • 453

                  #3333
                  Originally posted by itsjhurley
                  Lock your bets in now line went opposite way. Im assuming curry is in
                  yeah, just noticed it too. there is some bizzare sh*t going on out there
                  Comment
                  • dlunc3
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-31-09
                    • 9129

                    #3334
                    Kyrie is a game time call... Locked my bet in at gs -1
                    Comment
                    • CrazyCarl
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-09-11
                      • 1437

                      #3335
                      Originally posted by BuckeyeKaptn
                      First, I don't do the chase. I did for 3 systems and they went kaput! Followed them like a good little soldier. Then the kaput happened. I started making formulas in my spreadsheet, checking how the plays were doing. As an example, from when I started tailing Wallco's chase on the JM thread, it is 17w/23l...less than 50%. Should I keep playing them? Nope, I stopped, it's not even bad enough to fade. However, the following B bets, are 15w and 8l. There's the place to start. Except for S4 here and the V1 plays in the JM thread, I think it's foolish to play the A bets. and I don't. Second, I, now, do a modified labby. See no need to make a huge bet on a worthless team.
                      All that being said, for all the whining going on here and elsewhere, I was putting out there that quite a few should adjust their BRs accordingly. Make your unit size 1%, and leave it there until the end of the season, adjust it accordingly for next year or for MLB. You'll be able to handle the D bets then.
                      Sample size insignificant.
                      Comment
                      • tr4sh
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-06-12
                        • 311

                        #3336
                        Just my 2 cents but on a game like this with lots of 50/50 injury reports to important players, it's best to wait as much as possible before tipoff to place the bet. And also, this system was back tested off the covers closing line anyway.
                        Comment
                        • BuckeyeKaptn
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-16-12
                          • 271

                          #3337
                          Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                          Sample size insignificant.
                          I was just going by the "Company Line!!!", lol.
                          One way I read about, was to play only 25% of your BR (daily, weekly? They weren't specific) and after a month (?) or so, see where you are at, and again adjust your 25% play. Example, start with $100. You only wager out $25, over several bets. After a month, your total BR is now $150, wager out at 25% is now $37.50. I tend to go this way, depending on how strong I think the bet is. No matters.
                          BTW, loved you in that movie!!!
                          Comment
                          • Stifler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 3511

                            #3338
                            - Cleveland line added. This line is really going crazy. HArd to decide when to jump on the train. I may wait long till i place the GS bet.

                            29.01.2013

                            S2

                            (D Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u | Golden State - waiting...
                            (A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +1,5 1,10u


                            ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                            all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                            Comment
                            • Stifler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-11-09
                              • 3511

                              #3339
                              - Golden State line updated(hopefully the right decision)

                              29.01.2013

                              S2

                              (D Bet) Cle fade: Atlanta -4 1,10u | Boston -4 2,31u | Milwaukee -4 4,85u | Golden State -1,5 10,19u
                              (A Bet) Cle: Cleveland +1,5 1,10u


                              ________________________________________ ________________________________________

                              all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586
                              Comment
                              • samrock67
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-05-12
                                • 647

                                #3340
                                Would not mind cashing in that D bet tonight to help gear up for tomorrow's big day- 4 B bets, 1 C bet, 1 D bet...its gonna be rainin!!!
                                Comment
                                • noveggies
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-24-13
                                  • 110

                                  #3341
                                  Gonna wait for Kyrie confirmation (I think he'll play and the line will go back to Cavs being favored) -- at least that's my story for now.

                                  EDIT: maybe in 20 years they can make a gatorade commercial about kyrie having a cold and playing in this game
                                  Comment
                                  • TB12
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-04-12
                                    • 130

                                    #3342
                                    Just locked in at -1.5 and I think it was a good idea!
                                    Comment
                                    • zonedog
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 10-08-10
                                      • 28

                                      #3343
                                      Both Curry and Kyrie Irving are game time decision. If one of them plays and the other does not, that makes a huge difference. Kyrie has been averaging 25 points per game and Curry 21. I am going to wait the until the final starting line up is known before the game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Melda
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-11
                                        • 1028

                                        #3344
                                        Too many people are on the CAVS bandwagon right now, we're still the CAVS.... GS will take this one. Glad i see its a D bet.
                                        Comment
                                        • gamewinninglv
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-18-12
                                          • 207

                                          #3345
                                          Let's Go Warriors !!!



                                          IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post #1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day !!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Pickle2728
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 01-19-12
                                            • 8

                                            #3346
                                            I just love being puckered up every other day.

                                            Let's go you Sons O' Bitches!
                                            Comment
                                            • itsjhurley
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 11-09-12
                                              • 43

                                              #3347
                                              Originally posted by Melda
                                              Too many people are on the CAVS bandwagon right now, we're still the CAVS.... GS will take this one. Glad i see its a D bet.
                                              I was hoping you commented something like this today!
                                              Comment
                                              • Melda
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-27-11
                                                • 1028

                                                #3348
                                                Originally posted by itsjhurley
                                                I was hoping you commented something like this today!
                                                That a diss? , or.... you value my worthless opinion?
                                                Comment
                                                • Asset
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 326

                                                  #3349
                                                  Originally posted by TB12
                                                  Just locked in at -1.5 and I think it was a good idea!
                                                  Dam you got -1.5 I must have it pretty good then LOL

                                                  Anywayz BOL on today's games every1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • itsjhurley
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-09-12
                                                    • 43

                                                    #3350
                                                    Originally posted by Melda
                                                    That a diss? , or.... you value my worthless opinion?
                                                    Value amigo
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vigster
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-18-12
                                                      • 1032

                                                      #3351
                                                      I'm getting it at -2... Do you think I should wait and it might come down a half point or should i just buy a half point? Thanks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Melda
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-27-11
                                                        • 1028

                                                        #3352
                                                        I think its possible it goes to 3, 3.5 if its confirmed Irving is out.. If he plays it probably goes back to GS -1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Asset
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-07-09
                                                          • 326

                                                          #3353
                                                          Originally posted by vigster
                                                          I'm getting it at -2... Do you think I should wait and it might come down a half point or should i just buy a half point? Thanks
                                                          If it matters, in my opinion, it won't come down. But as alwayz don't listen to me.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • J.M. Disciple
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-16-10
                                                            • 5154

                                                            #3354
                                                            - S2 Orl, D Bet on 30.01.2013 vs NYK
                                                            - S1 Tor (+6.5), C Bet on 30.01.2013 vs ATL
                                                            - S2 Bos fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs SAC (+7.5)
                                                            - S4 Atl fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs TOR (+6.5)
                                                            - S3 Char fade, B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs SAS
                                                            - S1 Denver (-4.5), B Bet on 30.01.2013 vs HOU

                                                            These are not all the plays tomorrow, but I wanted to look ahead at what B-C-D bets we have. I have been skipping all A bets and playing a 3 game chase starting from B. Usually we have quite a few games that overlap where the teams are playing against each other. However, tomorrow looks like not too many games if any overlap on the B-C-D bets.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pellumb341
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-25-11
                                                              • 1183

                                                              #3355
                                                              orlando is +11.5 at bwin ; sas -14.5

                                                              anything new on gsw match ? GSW's odd has decreased from 1.86 to 1.80
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stifler
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-11-09
                                                                • 3511

                                                                #3356
                                                                i already booked:

                                                                S1 Den (B Bet): Denver -4,5

                                                                for tomorrow...unfortunately Sacramento went to +7, i would have placed +7.5 aswell.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • zonedog
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                                  • 28

                                                                  #3357
                                                                  I got GSW at -1.5 like half an hour ago at LVH and now the line there -1 Cleveland. WTF! Some weird sh*t going on with this game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hotshotz3
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-05-09
                                                                    • 217

                                                                    #3358
                                                                    Bookmaker has line at pk right now. . Read Irving is on the floor for warm ups
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Asset
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 326

                                                                      #3359
                                                                      The line is jumping crazy, I hope ppl that didn't place their bets yet maybe you should really soon. Looks like they giving points lol. And I thought I had it good with my PK lol. Owells
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • CheeseHead
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-03-10
                                                                        • 439

                                                                        #3360
                                                                        Irving is going to play tonight that's why the line is moving
                                                                        Comment
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