nba chase 12/13

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-20-12, 08:14 PM

Maybe someone should put definition of fade in post 1586

**Want2Win** · 12-20-12, 08:23 PM

that could help if new people would take the time to read post #1586, but obviously people don't even want to go back 5 pages or even look at results from yesterday and figure out what the play might be.

**gamewinninglv** · 12-20-12, 08:29 PM

Originally posted by bossman71

im new to this what exactly is his bet? sorry

DAL fade means dont bet them and take miami?
Philly doesnt play tonight?

sorry guys just trying to get that hang of this

Don't be sorry, just read the following.

IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go topage 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day!!!

**Wallco99** · 12-20-12, 08:41 PM

Originally posted by bossman71

im new to this what exactly is his bet? sorry

DAL fade means dont bet them and take miami?
Philly doesnt play tonight?

sorry guys just trying to get that hang of this

I guess I was wrong gamewinninglv. I really did think that was going to work. However, it is three posts back. It might has well be on page 1.

**Wallco99** · 12-20-12, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by Want2Win

that could help if new people would take the time to read post #1586, but obviously people don't even want to go back 5 pages or even look at results from yesterday and figure out what the play might be.

Five pages????? They won't even go back 5 posts.

**gamewinninglv** · 12-20-12, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

I guess I was wrong gamewinninglv. I really did think that was going to work. However, it is three posts back. It might has well be on page 1.

Maybe it does work for most, we don't know because there is no way to track it. We only get to see the ones that doesn't follow.

IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day!!!

**Wallco99** · 12-20-12, 09:19 PM

Originally posted by gamewinninglv

Maybe it does work for most, we don't know because there is no way to track it. We only get to see the ones that doesn't follow.

IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day!!!

True, I'll go with that.

**Grinder12000** · 12-20-12, 11:25 PM

Got a live one maybe in Dallas. Any of you that can play LIVE games.

Man - costs -120 for a 4th Qt point spread. Have to look elsewhere.

**Asset** · 12-20-12, 11:50 PM

Haha, my first live play...

**Grinder12000** · 12-21-12, 12:01 AM

Are live plays normally -120 or was that an anomaly?? Stifler did you say you had some tested numbers for the live betting?

**Asset** · 12-21-12, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Are live plays normally -120 or was that an anomaly?? Stifler did you say you had some tested numbers for the live betting?

@5dimes it was -110, so...and I just won!! YAHOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!! DOUBLE WINNER

<3 you Stif

**gh0zt** · 12-21-12, 12:21 AM

man i was tracking this game waiting for that live play and forgot all about it when it came time to put a bet in. oh well, another winning night is fine by me.

**rina23** · 12-21-12, 12:59 AM

Stifler for President!!!!

**J.M. Disciple** · 12-21-12, 01:25 AM

Holy crap, i was wondering how Dallas won 4th quarter when they lost game by 15pts. I just looked at the quarters and they outscored Mia by 15pts in the 4th but still lost by double digits LOL

**olmec** · 12-21-12, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Earth! And you?

Hey Stifler you ve really changed than last the time i saw you

**bossman71** · 12-21-12, 02:54 AM

love the thread stifler.. just curious is anyone is taking stats on the 4 Q system you were talking about in previous posts?
-I would love to see how those numbers look

keep it up

**Stifler** · 12-21-12, 03:31 AM

20.12.2012

S4

(B Bet) Dal fade: Philadelphia +6 1,10u | Miami -5,5 2,31u

records:
S1: W 26 | L 1 (+7,55 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 8 | L 0 (+8,00 units)
S4: W 18 | L 0 (+19,00 units)

pending:
- S4 Wash fade, B Bet on 21.12.2012

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Stifler** · 12-21-12, 03:48 AM

Originally posted by bossman71

love the thread stifler.. just curious is anyone is taking stats on the 4 Q system you were talking about in previous posts?
-I would love to see how those numbers look

keep it up

im checking this daily based on sbr historical 4Q lines. but those lines could be different from the live lines. Sbr historical 4Q is the pregame 4Q line for the game and actually differs a bit from live lines. I think this system is 13-0-1 since i posted it and somewhere around 48-15-2 overall for the season. Im not @ home atm no check the exact data, but its somewhere in that range. Just a reminder that the record is based on sbr 4Q lines, live lines mostly are a bit worse than that. This could have changed the outcome of maybe 2/3 games so far.

Are live plays normally -120 or was that an anomaly?? Stifler did you say you had some tested numbers for the live betting?

when i was checking some live lines i was seeing alot of -120 lines aswell. But this is different from game to game and depends what bookie ur playing. I think bet365 4Q live lines would be -115 long run or something like that.

**Look4Cover** · 12-21-12, 04:36 AM

Cashed, again. Way to go Stifler!

**Samsung95** · 12-21-12, 08:49 AM

Hey Stifler,

Please excuse my ignorance. But Detroit just lost three in a row, thus shouldn't S1 (A) bet be the next bet for Det (Detroit to lose that is, since S1 states to chase the 3 game losing streak)? How come instead you are going with S4 Wash fade, B Bet on 21.12.2012 which happens to be against Detroit. What made you decide to go with the S4 Wash fade and not the S1 Detroit losing streak?

Thank you so much.

**Grinder12000** · 12-21-12, 09:26 AM

Stifler has not yet posted any picks - plus if there is a conflict please read post #1586. pending: is what is pending from past past chases.

Wait for the picks from Stifler before questioning the picks LOL

BTW - before and after photos of my house after a 21 inch snowstorm

**Asset** · 12-21-12, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Stifler has not yet posted any picks - plus if there is a conflict please read post #1586. pending: is what is pending from past past chases.

Wait for the picks from Stifler before questioning the picks LOL

BTW - before and after photos of my house after a 21 inch snowstorm

Wow!! I wish I could touch/see snow...btw nice looking house you've got there Grinder

**Stifler** · 12-21-12, 10:28 AM

21.12.2012

S1

(A Bet) Atl fade: 76ers +2,5 1,10u
(A Bet) Det fade: Washington +6 1,10u

S4

(B Bet) Wash fade: Orlando -7,5 1,10u | Detroit - waiting on line movement

- Before the question comes up: Yes bet on both teams Detroit and Washington.

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1586

**Samsung95** · 12-21-12, 11:11 AM

What's the point of betting on both teams? You'll just break even not including the juice.

**Nino7** · 12-21-12, 11:14 AM

Originally posted by Samsung95

What's the point of betting on both teams? You'll just break even not including the juice.

He doesnt pick the lines at the same time so we might win both if we're lucky!

**CrazyCarl** · 12-21-12, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by Samsung95

What's the point of betting on both teams? You'll just break even not including the juice.

You can either try to middle the play (like Stifler seems to do) or simply subtract the lesser bet from the larger bet (as to avoid paying extra juice). I go with the latter.

**Asset** · 12-21-12, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by Samsung95

What's the point of betting on both teams? You'll just break even not including the juice.

I hate to sound rude, but if you feel uncomfortable, then don't follow. As you can see, Stif's system has only had 1 D Bet loss so far. I'm hoping this is the only loss lol. There are different roads at the end of each bet...hopefully

If you understand what I'm trying to get at.

**twerkforturk** · 12-21-12, 11:48 AM

Locked in the S1 bets as a parlay. Let's go Stifler!

**overcome** · 12-21-12, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by Asset

I hate to sound rude, but if you feel uncomfortable, then don't follow. As you can see, Stif's system has only had 1 D Bet loss so far. I'm hoping this is the only loss lol. There are different roads at the end of each bet...hopefully

If you understand what I'm trying to get at.

i still dont understand how you guys calculate a loss. couple days ago he lost a majority of his system picks so why doesnt that get counted?

**Asset** · 12-21-12, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by overcome

i still dont understand how you guys calculate a loss. couple days ago he lost a majority of his system picks so why doesnt that get counted?

Okay I normally don't like to answer questions, but here we go...

It's a chase system, so if A bet loses, we chase it to the next bet which is the B bet, and so on until the last bet. The last bet is the D bet which if and i'll say again, if we lose this last bet (D Bet) ONLY then it's counted as a loss. I hope this helps you understand...

Btw if you choose to follow. Word of advice MONEY MANAGEMENT is the key!! GL

I'm chatting today...is there a D bet coming up???? LOL

**Nino7** · 12-21-12, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by overcome

i still dont understand how you guys calculate a loss. couple days ago he lost a majority of his system picks so why doesnt that get counted?

Because it works by serie of 4 games.If you lose one bet,you will raise you bet size on the next bet in order to get your money back + a profit.ie: you bet 1.1 unit to win 1 unit on bet A:that bet lose.Then you will bet to recover 1.1 lost + 1 additional unit (2.31 to win 1.1+1=2.1).if that bet wins your in profit.If it loses you continue to raise until you win one or lose 4 in a row (D bet loss).That's why he doesnt count a loss until a serie of 4 games is closed.

**gamewinninglv** · 12-21-12, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by overcome

i still dont understand how you guys calculate a loss. couple days ago he lost a majority of his system picks so why doesnt that get counted?

IMPORTANT: If you are new to this thread or if you don't know what's going on. Please go to page 46 and read post # 1586 for a quick understanding BEFORE posting any questions/comments that may already been covered in that post. Thank you for your cooperation and have a Great Day!!!

**bkric flaire** · 12-21-12, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by BuckeyeKaptn

I just try to help out as I have learned. Stif does enough that he doesn't need to answer...us followers should help out. Someone else pointed out how long the thread is cause all the questions asked etc. I read back pages a few times to get it and then PM someone for help.

i have questions bro

**overcome** · 12-21-12, 12:10 PM

OHHH thank you!! i love this chase system and only recently started tailing it but it all makes sense now. i will make spreadsheets now

thanks guys

**Riceboi** · 12-21-12, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by Samsung95

What's the point of betting on both teams? You'll just break even not including the juice.

The pistons bet is a B bet so it's a bigger bet than the wizards bet (A), so you won't break even. i'm sure we'll all be cheering for the B bet and we'll get the pistons fade bet next time.