Thatguy's NRL Plays

[ThaBigG]

Sweet cheers for that TG!!

[rjc]

Good call TG

[YEP]

Cheers TG, great call.

[Domestic]

Nice to end the round with a winner.

[aussieH]

Great work TG.

[Coopertrooper]

Awesome stuff

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 47-4-33 +14.24

End Round 15 2-1-0
Great end to the round with a solid UNDER from Storm / Titans. Love this part of the season where things just seem to stick to the plan!

[Ohhsnap]

Great work champ

[brettels]

Any interest in tonight's lions tour vs rebels union match?

[That Guy]

Any interest in tonight's lions tour vs rebels union match?

Not for me mate - Union not my forte unfortunately!
Maybe next year?

[aussieH]

Any action bets on the origin match.

[That Guy]

Any action bets on the origin match.

Got on QLD ML but didn't have time to post.. sorry!!

[aussieH]

That's cool buddy. I played qld at the line so had a good result. Qld played a great game. Thaiday is a beast

[That Guy]

BONUS PLAY:

CFL (Canadian Football)
Winnipeg vs Montreal -4 2x 1.95
Have not posted a non-NRL play all year but feel there is massive value in this play if anyone is interested. Looking at CFL modelling this year and have this game at a bargain price for Montreal who should win by 10+ easily.
Winnipeg's first game at new stadium. Will be lots of support for the home team but Montreal still the better side.
If modelling goes well in first few games I'll look to start at CFL thread.. but in the mean time here's some opener action. GL

Got some 'real' football plays tomorrow!

[aussieH]

Why not play the cfl. Are you thinking weak lines in the cfl or do you know a bit about gridiron

[That Guy]

Why not play the cfl. Are you thinking weak lines in the cfl or do you know a bit about gridiron

Weak lines.. not a big sport with Vegas and very little action domestically in Canada.
Familiar with CFL and keen to exploit weaknesses with the books. See how the model goes and re-asses things as they happen.

[Vinnie Paz]

Cfl?! Nice! Ill tail this

[swordsandtequila]

BONUS PLAY:

CFL (Canadian Football)
Winnipeg vs Montreal -4 2x 1.95
Have not posted a non-NRL play all year but feel there is massive value in this play if anyone is interested. Looking at CFL modelling this year and have this game at a bargain price for Montreal who should win by 10+ easily.
Winnipeg's first game at new stadium. Will be lots of support for the home team but Montreal still the better side.
If modelling goes well in first few games I'll look to start at CFL thread.. but in the mean time here's some opener action. GL

Got some 'real' football plays tomorrow!

Others are touting this game as well. Hammer on!

[fitguy67]

I'm a Canadian...but never liked what North Americans call football...have been watching rugby now for a few months...and really got to like it...it is to turf what hockey is to ice...non-stop flowing "tough as nails" action...

thot I'd take a second look at the N.American game...after getting used to rugby...hate it!...the one-play-at-a-time with some sort of break in between each and every play...annoying as shit...keep expecting the tackled guy to just step on the ball and away we go...but no...over-officiated no-flow crap...just as i so not-fondly remember it

N.America greatly improved on cricket IMO...but sure made a "dog's breakfast" out of rugby

[That Guy]

NRL Season 2013 47-4-33 +14.24

Round 16

Play#1
Rabbitohs vs Raiders OVER 38 1x 1.95
Watch for this total to sail lower with heavy rain in Sydney. Raiders have conceded at least 36pts in their last 3 games at ANZ and they average 26pts against the Rabbitohs - a good figure and well above average. Rabbitohs should be a class above and Origin players on track to back up well.. even so the fill-in's have shown they are more than capable of putting points on the board. Both handle the wet pretty well and are adventurous when it comes to attck.
Have this game at 42.5pts on the model.. if you can hold out and grab a lower total before kick off than do that. Could drop to 36.5 if the wet weather squares get involved and hammer this one. GL

[RedDevil89]

BONUS PLAY:

CFL (Canadian Football)
Winnipeg vs Montreal -4 2x 1.95
Have not posted a non-NRL play all year but feel there is massive value in this play if anyone is interested. Looking at CFL modelling this year and have this game at a bargain price for Montreal who should win by 10+ easily.
Winnipeg's first game at new stadium. Will be lots of support for the home team but Montreal still the better side.
If modelling goes well in first few games I'll look to start at CFL thread.. but in the mean time here's some opener action. GL

Got some 'real' football plays tomorrow!

Nice work the the CFL pick. I tailed a unit on it, came it just but surely!! Cheers

[RedDevil89]

NRL Season 2013 47-4-33 +14.24

Round 16

Play#1
Rabbitohs vs Raiders OVER 38 1x 1.95
Watch for this total to sail lower with heavy rain in Sydney. Raiders have conceded at least 36pts in their last 3 games at ANZ and they average 26pts against the Rabbitohs - a good figure and well above average. Rabbitohs should be a class above and Origin players on track to back up well.. even so the fill-in's have shown they are more than capable of putting points on the board. Both handle the wet pretty well and are adventurous when it comes to attck.
Have this game at 42.5pts on the model.. if you can hold out and grab a lower total before kick off than do that. Could drop to 36.5 if the wet weather squares get involved and hammer this one. GL

I agree with you on the total going over, another great fact is over the past 3 meetings between the two Rabbitohs have put on 121 points over the Raiders, that just points scored. Im just not too sure as it is heavily raining here in sydney (im only 20min away from ANZ stadium) so it will make things abit tighter.

[hjrozay]

BONUS PLAY:

CFL (Canadian Football)
Winnipeg vs Montreal -4 2x 1.95
Have not posted a non-NRL play all year but feel there is massive value in this play if anyone is interested. Looking at CFL modelling this year and have this game at a bargain price for Montreal who should win by 10+ easily.
Winnipeg's first game at new stadium. Will be lots of support for the home team but Montreal still the better side.
If modelling goes well in first few games I'll look to start at CFL thread.. but in the mean time here's some opener action. GL

Got some 'real' football plays tomorrow!

Awesome pick TG. Montreal did their best to throw away the game in the 3rd Quarter as the opposition went on a 20-0 run but happen to rally and score 14 unanswered points in the 4thQ. I'm still confused with the CFL rules as they play a different set to the NFL.

Montreal received a 1 point advantage at the end when i was following for us to cover. I'm not complaining though, awesome pick and good luck tonight in the League. I am located close to ANZ stadium and the rain has cleared and the weather has improved over the last two hours.

The ground is going to be dewy but still decent conditions for attacking football and for Adam Reynolds to reap havoc and pin Canberra into their own end.

[That Guy]

Awesome pick TG. Montreal did their best to throw away the game in the 3rd Quarter as the opposition went on a 20-0 run but happen to rally and score 14 unanswered points in the 4thQ. I'm still confused with the CFL rules as they play a different set to the NFL.

Montreal received a 1 point advantage at the end when i was following for us to cover. I'm not complaining though, awesome pick and good luck tonight in the League. I am located close to ANZ stadium and the rain has cleared and the weather has improved over the last two hours.

The ground is going to be dewy but still decent conditions for attacking football and for Adam Reynolds to reap havoc and pin Canberra into their own end.

Cheers
Winning CFL and a tough beat at 'real footy' - NRL... just not on. That changes tonight

[That Guy]

Adding:

Play #2
Tigers vs Storm OVER 32 1x 1.95
The UNDER has been pounded in this game to the point where the OVER looks very very good. Yes it's been raining in Sydney, yes Storm defense is great.. BUT.. we saw last night that the Rabbitohs were still able to ply on the points. I have no doubt the Storm will be capable today as well and they will be fired up - they rarely lose two in a row. The fact is we're getting an extremely low total for the team with the second worst defensive record: Tigers give up 26ppg on avg VS the second best attacking side: Storm avg 23ppg. Despite the media hype the Tigers are not world beaters, they've been cleaned up by "average" sides like the Broncos putting 32pts on them just 2 weeks ago, Cowboys loss and the Rabbitohs 56pt destruction will still be in their memory.
Model has this game at 38pts in the wet and rolling 1x OVER. GL

[That Guy]

Adding:
Play #3
Warriors vs Knights OVER 42 1x 1.95
No time for a write up. Have this pegged at 48pts. GL

[That Guy]

Adding:
Play #4
Knights vs Titans UNDER 32.5 1x 1.95
Shocking weather conditions. We've seen what the weather is doing to NRL games and drainage at Newcastle is horrendous. Rolling 1x UNDER GL

[ExodusNZ]

Adding:
Play #3
Warriors vs Knights OVER 42 1x 1.95
No time for a write up. Have this pegged at 48pts. GL

Broncos?

[sando]

I've got the same 2 totals. Particularly like Broncos/Warriors Over. Good luck mate.

[s2230011]

Can't remember anything like this before

[benrama]

Well at least we won't be sweating that Knights total

[Sol]

Thought i did well getting the Knights/Titans under at 38......that was horrendous from the Titans.

[s2230011]

Yeah I got a great line from one of the books that take a bit longer to react and got pounded pretty bad !!

My fault

[That Guy]

updated: NRL Season 2013 47-4-36 +11.19

Round 16 0-3


burn burn burn... first down week in almost 10weeks and when it rains it pours. Couldn't catch a break!
Not pretty this week.
At least I laid off the tennis - it could have been much much worse. Better luck next week

[That Guy]

Well at least we won't be sweating that Knights total

ahhh yeah. Not sure the last time I remember a total falling to 33.5pts and the result being 60+ points. All over within 15mins.