Boyd Cordner is a great player but who's idea was it to let him kick?
Comment
benrama
SBR MVP
01-19-11
1499
#1157
Tough one, Maloney's goal kicking was the X factor none of us seem to have factored in - Roosters 2nd options are horrendous. Pearce miss was just amateur central, and 2 other tries were 80%+ conversions for even most 2nd option kickers.
So over ended up indeed the +EV play here and it was just a case of sh.it happens. MNF is wired for wackiness.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1158
Going all in was obviously a bad idea. But having seen the game it should've gone over. There were plenty of chances but the bombed tries & retarded kicking buried it. I though it was headed for a golden point finale.
In a way it's a relief, as this has been a difficult NRL season. it's been a disaster from week 1 with one tough loss after another and chase plays. That fukkn Bulldogs game where they went scoreless in the 2nd half to kill the over sums it all up.
Made good money in the NBA playoffs tailing Sando & T-Wizz so overall the year has been profitable.
Today: 0-1 -9 units -$450
NRL Season Record: 45-39 0 units $0.0
Comment
rohan22no
SBR Sharp
07-20-11
365
#1159
Keep the tips up man...your tips are good, just think of it as a small downswing that you're on. You'll make 1k and more easily, and I'm sure your long term record is great.
Take it on the chin and STAY OFF TILT!
The forum needs guys like you!
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1160
CRONULLA SHARKS vs WESTS TIGERS SHARKS -5.5 @1.90 x2
MELBOURNE STORM vs BRISBANE BRONCOS Game Total OVER 38.0 @1.90 x1
Expecting a huge improvement from the Sharks after being crushed by the Cowboys last week. The Tigers can never be taken lightly, they've have turned their season around and are very confident of an upset. It's a must win for both sides but the Sharks will have the edge at home and could possibly win by 8+ points. Meanwhile the Storm will be looking to strike some much needed form against the Broncos tonight. Watch out for a fast paced game with an explosion of points towards the end of the second half.
Comment
Tim Gerry Mander
SBR Wise Guy
11-14-12
869
#1161
Welcome back mate...
I really like the first and expecting the second to happen too - GL.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1162
Originally posted by rohan22no
Keep the tips up man...your tips are good, just think of it as a small downswing that you're on. You'll make 1k and more easily, and I'm sure your long term record is great.
Take it on the chin and STAY OFF TILT!
The forum needs guys like you!
Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
Welcome back mate...
I really like the first and expecting the second to happen too - GL.
Thanks guys.
Sharks up 24-0 at halftime then came close to blowing the easy cover. Great win by the Storm, though not enough to cash the over.
Today: 1-1 +0.90 units +$45
NRL Season Record: 46-40 0.90 units $45
Comment
burkestar
SBR Sharp
04-02-13
276
#1163
Did you watch the storm, Broncos game? Should have sailed over, was a much closer game than the scoreline suggested, Broncos crossed the tryline many times the tries just didn't stick, dropping it over the line, forward passes, disallowed tries, a dubious no try, trysaving tackles..real unlucky not to hot that! I guess thats the risk u run playing the totals often your sweating on that one last try to get the cake
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1164
Glad i didn't watch that game until today, fukkn Broncos. Ever since Lockyer retired they've become terrible at finishing, always find ways to bomb tries.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1165
ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS ROOSTERS -11.5 @1.90 x3
Game Total OVER 36.0 @1.90 x2
Lost some value in waiting until today. It won't matter because the Roosters will run away with it and could win 42-0. Dragons are autofade material after this game buries their season.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1166
Roosters win 36-0 to cash the side & push the total.
Today: +2.7 units +$135
NRL Season Record: 47-1-40 3.6 units $180
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1167
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x3
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#1168
Originally posted by MrXYZ
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x3
Im on it too, glad too see you on the same side and so confident on the play mate.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1169
Thanks mate. 3 tries already but they've missed their kicks.
Comment
rohan22no
SBR Sharp
07-20-11
365
#1170
omfg convert a try!!
Comment
Sol
SBR High Roller
01-29-12
111
#1171
Real unlucky man.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1172
Buried again.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1173
Knights edge out the Dogs 18-12. Tough loss on the total. Both teams couldn't find the goalposts.
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS Game Total OVER 44.0 @1.90 x1
Souths bursting with talent & if they get rolling this contest goes off for 48+ points. Knowing my luck it could be scoreless at half time.
Today: -3 units -$150
NRL Season Record: 47-1-41 0.6 units $30
Comment
Tim Gerry Mander
SBR Wise Guy
11-14-12
869
#1174
Did anyone watch the game?
Hodkinson hadn't missed a kick in 8 weeks, then misses 3 in a game?
Fkn Dogs are garbage, they were meant to be even better this year, yet they've gone backwards.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1175
And now Burgess can't hold on to the fukkn ball. Here comes another loser to cap off the day.
Comment
Sol
SBR High Roller
01-29-12
111
#1176
Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
Did anyone watch the game?
Hodkinson hadn't missed a kick in 8 weeks, then misses 3 in a game?
Fkn Dogs are garbage, they were meant to be even better this year, yet they've gone backwards.
Unfortunately wind was a factor. On another day the total goes over. Even considering their early season dramas/circumstances the Dogs seemingly have taken a step back, i doubt they will be contenders until they sign a legitimate playmaker.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1177
Game lands on 43 points. lol you can't make this sh#t up.
-1 unit -$50
NRL Season Record: 47-1-42 -0.40 units -$20
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1178
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs PARRAMATTA EELS Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x2
Found this number at Sportsbet. Other books have 41.5, still worth a play. 7 converted tries needed to cash it. Parra face an 18 point spread against a Manly side desperately needing a solid win. With the NRL's fiercest rivalry hitting on MNF, an upset is possible and wouldn't surprise me. Either way I'm expecting a high scoring game. Manly have been frustrating to watch lately, and I was initially leaning to the under. However this is a perfect set up for them to put on a tryfest.
Tail or fade, good luck.
Comment
Libert1ne
SBR Sharp
02-15-12
253
#1179
How confident are you on this one XYZ?
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1180
Originally posted by Libert1ne
How confident are you on this one XYZ?
Confident enough to risk 2 units.
Comment
the tross
SBR Sharp
02-14-13
450
#1181
im with you X. MNF, im like a moth to the flame.
Comment
Tim Gerry Mander
SBR Wise Guy
11-14-12
869
#1182
Eels have done their bit.....
6 points in 15 mins, surely this hits FFS
Comment
the tross
SBR Sharp
02-14-13
450
#1183
feels a bit strange to have MNF go to script. Feeling a lot of love right now.
Comment
Sol
SBR High Roller
01-29-12
111
#1184
Good call XYZ. Nice to get an easy winner after a couple of lame losses.
Comment
MrXYZ
SBR MVP
02-18-11
2342
#1185
Thanks guys. Easy money tonight. Manly with a huge win 50-10. Unbelievable stuff, 24 points in the last ten minutes
Today: +1.8 units +$90
NRL Season Record: 48-1-42 -1.40 units $70
Comment
Tim Gerry Mander
SBR Wise Guy
11-14-12
869
#1186
Originally posted by Sol
Unfortunately wind was a factor. On another day the total goes over. Even considering their early season dramas/circumstances the Dogs seemingly have taken a step back, i doubt they will be contenders until they sign a legitimate playmaker.
It didn't help that Kasiano and Eastwood pulled out before the match.
Eastwood has been one of our best this season and Kasiano is always a handful.
They are really looking flat and their defence has gotten worse instead of better and that is strange for a Hasler coached team.
Maybe they learnt from last year not to peak too early, but they are leaving it a little late to make a charge for the eight.
Comment
Sol
SBR High Roller
01-29-12
111
#1187
Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
It didn't help that Kasiano and Eastwood pulled out before the match.
Eastwood has been one of our best this season and Kasiano is always a handful.
They are really looking flat and their defence has gotten worse instead of better and that is strange for a Hasler coached team.
Maybe they learnt from last year not to peak too early, but they are leaving it a little late to make a charge for the eight.
Absolutely. Two massive outs that can't be overlooked. Full strength no one will want to vs the Dogs in the finals but that said it does feel as though they're a fair bit behind the top 3 at the moment. As a neutral it's disappointing when a team doesn't play to it's potential. Not including the obvious it's felt as though something has been a bit off at Canterbury all year, but there is still time to rectify the season.
Comment
Tim Gerry Mander
SBR Wise Guy
11-14-12
869
#1188
Originally posted by Sol
Absolutely. Two massive outs that can't be overlooked. Full strength no one will want to vs the Dogs in the finals but that said it does feel as though they're a fair bit behind the top 3 at the moment. As a neutral it's disappointing when a team doesn't play to it's potential. Not including the obvious it's felt as though something has been a bit off at Canterbury all year, but there is still time to rectify the season.
That rubbish with Barba at the start of the season didn't help and there is a whole heap of rumours that won't go away about squad disharmony and Barba being heavily courted by the Broncos.
They have a pretty comfortable run home, with their next 4 games being the Origin-less Storm, then Eels, Dragons and Titans.
With the bye, that's 10 points provided they can win all these games, taking them to 28 which is the usual cutoff for the top 8.
My bet is they finish on 32 points, which is probably around 6th.
By the way XYZ, sorry to hijack your thread!
Comment
sando
SBR MVP
04-30-12
3723
#1189
Dog's can win the G/F if they get their shit together in time, no doubt about it, they have more than enough talent. There are only 6 teams that can take the premiership this year (in my humble opinion) and two of them aren't even in the 8 at the moment.
No doubt the g/f will be contested by two of the above teams and no chance the winner comes from outside this group. The Cowboys, Broncos and Titans are a joke, with the Cowboys and their "World's best front row" being massive under-achievers this year. The Sharks are 1 or 2 key players short of a premiership team, the Raiders are still too young, Newcastle is over-hyped and over-rated. The Storm are no longer the force they were, as Souths and Easts are clearly the two best teams in the league this season and will most likely contest the g/f themselves.
Comment
s2230011
SBR Sharp
06-14-10
368
#1190
I honestly dont think the Dogs are a chance. Warriors are lucky to be in that list, but it is doable on their day, but not that Dogs. They dont have the halves or the backs that the other teams have.