MrXYZ's NRL thread

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  • sweepem
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-26-11
    • 459

    #1156
    Boyd Cordner is a great player but who's idea was it to let him kick?
    Comment
    • benrama
      SBR MVP
      • 01-19-11
      • 1499

      #1157
      Tough one, Maloney's goal kicking was the X factor none of us seem to have factored in - Roosters 2nd options are horrendous. Pearce miss was just amateur central, and 2 other tries were 80%+ conversions for even most 2nd option kickers.

      So over ended up indeed the +EV play here and it was just a case of sh.it happens. MNF is wired for wackiness.
      Comment
      • MrXYZ
        SBR MVP
        • 02-18-11
        • 2342

        #1158
        Going all in was obviously a bad idea. But having seen the game it should've gone over. There were plenty of chances but the bombed tries & retarded kicking buried it. I though it was headed for a golden point finale.

        In a way it's a relief, as this has been a difficult NRL season. it's been a disaster from week 1 with one tough loss after another and chase plays. That fukkn Bulldogs game where they went scoreless in the 2nd half to kill the over sums it all up.

        Made good money in the NBA playoffs tailing Sando & T-Wizz so overall the year has been profitable.

        Today: 0-1 -9 units -$450
        NRL Season Record: 45-39 0 units $0.0
        Comment
        • rohan22no
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-20-11
          • 365

          #1159
          Keep the tips up man...your tips are good, just think of it as a small downswing that you're on. You'll make 1k and more easily, and I'm sure your long term record is great.

          Take it on the chin and STAY OFF TILT!

          The forum needs guys like you!
          Comment
          • MrXYZ
            SBR MVP
            • 02-18-11
            • 2342

            #1160
            CRONULLA SHARKS vs WESTS TIGERS
            SHARKS -5.5 @1.90 x2

            MELBOURNE STORM vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
            Game Total OVER 38.0 @1.90 x1

            Expecting a huge improvement from the Sharks after being crushed by the Cowboys last week. The Tigers can never be taken lightly, they've have turned their season around and are very confident of an upset. It's a must win for both sides but the Sharks will have the edge at home and could possibly win by 8+ points. Meanwhile the Storm will be looking to strike some much needed form against the Broncos tonight. Watch out for a fast paced game with an explosion of points towards the end of the second half.
            Comment
            • Tim Gerry Mander
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-14-12
              • 869

              #1161
              Welcome back mate...

              I really like the first and expecting the second to happen too - GL.
              Comment
              • MrXYZ
                SBR MVP
                • 02-18-11
                • 2342

                #1162
                Originally posted by rohan22no
                Keep the tips up man...your tips are good, just think of it as a small downswing that you're on. You'll make 1k and more easily, and I'm sure your long term record is great.

                Take it on the chin and STAY OFF TILT!

                The forum needs guys like you!
                Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                Welcome back mate...

                I really like the first and expecting the second to happen too - GL.
                Thanks guys.

                Sharks up 24-0 at halftime then came close to blowing the easy cover. Great win by the Storm, though not enough to cash the over.

                Today: 1-1 +0.90 units +$45
                NRL Season Record: 46-40 0.90 units $45
                Comment
                • burkestar
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 04-02-13
                  • 276

                  #1163
                  Did you watch the storm, Broncos game? Should have sailed over, was a much closer game than the scoreline suggested, Broncos crossed the tryline many times the tries just didn't stick, dropping it over the line, forward passes, disallowed tries, a dubious no try, trysaving tackles..real unlucky not to hot that! I guess thats the risk u run playing the totals often your sweating on that one last try to get the cake
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #1164
                    Glad i didn't watch that game until today, fukkn Broncos. Ever since Lockyer retired they've become terrible at finishing, always find ways to bomb tries.
                    Comment
                    • MrXYZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-11
                      • 2342

                      #1165
                      ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
                      ROOSTERS -11.5 @1.90 x3
                      Game Total OVER 36.0 @1.90 x2


                      Lost some value in waiting until today. It won't matter because the Roosters will run away with it and could win 42-0. Dragons are autofade material after this game buries their season.
                      Comment
                      • MrXYZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-18-11
                        • 2342

                        #1166
                        Roosters win 36-0 to cash the side & push the total.

                        Today: +2.7 units +$135
                        NRL Season Record: 47-1-40 3.6 units $180
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #1167
                          CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                          Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x3
                          Comment
                          • sando
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 3723

                            #1168
                            Originally posted by MrXYZ
                            CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
                            Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x3
                            Im on it too, glad too see you on the same side and so confident on the play mate.
                            Comment
                            • MrXYZ
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-18-11
                              • 2342

                              #1169
                              Thanks mate. 3 tries already but they've missed their kicks.
                              Comment
                              • rohan22no
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-20-11
                                • 365

                                #1170
                                omfg convert a try!!
                                Comment
                                • Sol
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-29-12
                                  • 111

                                  #1171
                                  Real unlucky man.
                                  Comment
                                  • MrXYZ
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-18-11
                                    • 2342

                                    #1172
                                    Buried again.
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #1173
                                      Knights edge out the Dogs 18-12. Tough loss on the total. Both teams couldn't find the goalposts.

                                      SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEW ZEALAND WARRIORS
                                      Game Total OVER 44.0 @1.90 x1

                                      Souths bursting with talent & if they get rolling this contest goes off for 48+ points. Knowing my luck it could be scoreless at half time.


                                      Today: -3 units -$150
                                      NRL Season Record: 47-1-41 0.6 units $30
                                      Comment
                                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-14-12
                                        • 869

                                        #1174
                                        Did anyone watch the game?

                                        Hodkinson hadn't missed a kick in 8 weeks, then misses 3 in a game?

                                        Fkn Dogs are garbage, they were meant to be even better this year, yet they've gone backwards.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #1175
                                          And now Burgess can't hold on to the fukkn ball. Here comes another loser to cap off the day.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sol
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-29-12
                                            • 111

                                            #1176
                                            Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                            Did anyone watch the game?

                                            Hodkinson hadn't missed a kick in 8 weeks, then misses 3 in a game?

                                            Fkn Dogs are garbage, they were meant to be even better this year, yet they've gone backwards.
                                            Unfortunately wind was a factor. On another day the total goes over. Even considering their early season dramas/circumstances the Dogs seemingly have taken a step back, i doubt they will be contenders until they sign a legitimate playmaker.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrXYZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-11
                                              • 2342

                                              #1177
                                              Game lands on 43 points. lol you can't make this sh#t up.

                                              -1 unit -$50
                                              NRL Season Record: 47-1-42 -0.40 units -$20
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #1178
                                                MANLY SEA EAGLES vs PARRAMATTA EELS
                                                Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x2

                                                Found this number at Sportsbet. Other books have 41.5, still worth a play. 7 converted tries needed to cash it. Parra face an 18 point spread against a Manly side desperately needing a solid win. With the NRL's fiercest rivalry hitting on MNF, an upset is possible and wouldn't surprise me. Either way I'm expecting a high scoring game. Manly have been frustrating to watch lately, and I was initially leaning to the under. However this is a perfect set up for them to put on a tryfest.

                                                Tail or fade, good luck.
                                                Comment
                                                • Libert1ne
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-15-12
                                                  • 253

                                                  #1179
                                                  How confident are you on this one XYZ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MrXYZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-18-11
                                                    • 2342

                                                    #1180
                                                    Originally posted by Libert1ne
                                                    How confident are you on this one XYZ?
                                                    Confident enough to risk 2 units.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • the tross
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-14-13
                                                      • 450

                                                      #1181
                                                      im with you X. MNF, im like a moth to the flame.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-14-12
                                                        • 869

                                                        #1182
                                                        Eels have done their bit.....

                                                        6 points in 15 mins, surely this hits FFS
                                                        Comment
                                                        • the tross
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-14-13
                                                          • 450

                                                          #1183
                                                          feels a bit strange to have MNF go to script. Feeling a lot of love right now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sol
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-29-12
                                                            • 111

                                                            #1184
                                                            Good call XYZ. Nice to get an easy winner after a couple of lame losses.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MrXYZ
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-18-11
                                                              • 2342

                                                              #1185
                                                              Thanks guys. Easy money tonight. Manly with a huge win 50-10. Unbelievable stuff, 24 points in the last ten minutes

                                                              Today: +1.8 units +$90
                                                              NRL Season Record: 48-1-42 -1.40 units $70
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-14-12
                                                                • 869

                                                                #1186
                                                                Originally posted by Sol
                                                                Unfortunately wind was a factor. On another day the total goes over. Even considering their early season dramas/circumstances the Dogs seemingly have taken a step back, i doubt they will be contenders until they sign a legitimate playmaker.
                                                                It didn't help that Kasiano and Eastwood pulled out before the match.
                                                                Eastwood has been one of our best this season and Kasiano is always a handful.
                                                                They are really looking flat and their defence has gotten worse instead of better and that is strange for a Hasler coached team.
                                                                Maybe they learnt from last year not to peak too early, but they are leaving it a little late to make a charge for the eight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sol
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 01-29-12
                                                                  • 111

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                  It didn't help that Kasiano and Eastwood pulled out before the match.
                                                                  Eastwood has been one of our best this season and Kasiano is always a handful.
                                                                  They are really looking flat and their defence has gotten worse instead of better and that is strange for a Hasler coached team.
                                                                  Maybe they learnt from last year not to peak too early, but they are leaving it a little late to make a charge for the eight.
                                                                  Absolutely. Two massive outs that can't be overlooked. Full strength no one will want to vs the Dogs in the finals but that said it does feel as though they're a fair bit behind the top 3 at the moment. As a neutral it's disappointing when a team doesn't play to it's potential. Not including the obvious it's felt as though something has been a bit off at Canterbury all year, but there is still time to rectify the season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                                    • 869

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    Originally posted by Sol
                                                                    Absolutely. Two massive outs that can't be overlooked. Full strength no one will want to vs the Dogs in the finals but that said it does feel as though they're a fair bit behind the top 3 at the moment. As a neutral it's disappointing when a team doesn't play to it's potential. Not including the obvious it's felt as though something has been a bit off at Canterbury all year, but there is still time to rectify the season.
                                                                    That rubbish with Barba at the start of the season didn't help and there is a whole heap of rumours that won't go away about squad disharmony and Barba being heavily courted by the Broncos.

                                                                    They have a pretty comfortable run home, with their next 4 games being the Origin-less Storm, then Eels, Dragons and Titans.
                                                                    With the bye, that's 10 points provided they can win all these games, taking them to 28 which is the usual cutoff for the top 8.
                                                                    My bet is they finish on 32 points, which is probably around 6th.

                                                                    By the way XYZ, sorry to hijack your thread!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sando
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-30-12
                                                                      • 3723

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      Dog's can win the G/F if they get their shit together in time, no doubt about it, they have more than enough talent. There are only 6 teams that can take the premiership this year (in my humble opinion) and two of them aren't even in the 8 at the moment.

                                                                      Rabbitohs
                                                                      Roosters
                                                                      Storm
                                                                      Sea Eagles
                                                                      Warriors
                                                                      Bulldogs

                                                                      No doubt the g/f will be contested by two of the above teams and no chance the winner comes from outside this group. The Cowboys, Broncos and Titans are a joke, with the Cowboys and their "World's best front row" being massive under-achievers this year. The Sharks are 1 or 2 key players short of a premiership team, the Raiders are still too young, Newcastle is over-hyped and over-rated. The Storm are no longer the force they were, as Souths and Easts are clearly the two best teams in the league this season and will most likely contest the g/f themselves.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • s2230011
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 06-14-10
                                                                        • 368

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        I honestly dont think the Dogs are a chance. Warriors are lucky to be in that list, but it is doable on their day, but not that Dogs. They dont have the halves or the backs that the other teams have.
                                                                        Comment
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