AFL opening spreads

**aunty jack** · 08-19-11, 05:24 PM

some sweet hits last night! it's taken 22 rounds, but i'm finally convinced that the hawks are solid - not liquefaction.

good luck with the rest of the w'end.

**donkson** · 08-19-11, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by Lookingtostart

There's some fairly high O/U's this saturday, three of them over 190. Anyone going for unders?

GC/Ade and North/Freo definately.

**benrama** · 08-19-11, 07:25 PM

I've got Eagles in a number of parlays this weekend, biggest of all being Eagles/Manly - which probably means it will lose

Adelaide have played well their last few games but I just can't trust them and wouldn't be surprised to see them lose today - both teams have nothing to play for except pride and usually that means you can't bank on a team bringing motivation. Gold Coast got a serve publicly from the coach this week and in front of their home crowd I think they'll make it a good fight.

**Lookingtostart** · 08-19-11, 08:09 PM

I'm not confident on both the Crows and Eagles lines. I chose the Lions line, Lions are a much stronger team in past weeks except their 4th quarters, which I think will be done better this week.

**benrama** · 08-19-11, 09:01 PM

LTS - you could always take the Lions 1H, keep in mind the Pies are the strongest 4th quarter team in the comp.

I don't think betting against the Pies when the other team can't make the finals is a good general strategy but the Lions could keep it close for a while.

**Lookingtostart** · 08-19-11, 09:20 PM

I'm only with two bookies, Bet365 and Pinnacle, and neither have these kind of bets. I think Bet365 will, once the game starts with live betting. As Gee pointed out though, live betting on bet365 might not be around in the future.

**benrama** · 08-19-11, 09:42 PM

Yea, sucks that Pinnacle only offers the ATS/ML on games, hoping that will change over time. I do notice that their limits are going up and up (you can now put $3,728 on a game) so hopefully with increased volume comes increased betting options. They simply make too much money off the US sports to probably care at the moment.

When Bet365 goes, who will you guys use for live betting?

**donkson** · 08-19-11, 10:10 PM

I don't bet live so I don't really care, but there are very few options now (well next year), unless you bet by phone which seems annoying to me.

I remember seeing a total posted on an AFL game on pinnacle ages ago, never seen it again. It would so amazing if the totals and even some props started to get on there.

**GroundnPound** · 08-19-11, 10:13 PM

Hawthorn is the real deal, that final score made the game looker closer then it was. Carlton just beats up on the sorry teams like Demons and can't play against the good ones. First round exit for the blues 100%.

This afternoon not really confident on anything....

**Lookingtostart** · 08-19-11, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by GroundnPound

First round exit for the blues 100%.

Is there a prop on "next coach to get sacked?"

**TwoWays** · 08-19-11, 11:04 PM

Blues looked pretty good. Missed a lot of shots at goal. Could have easily gone Blues way if they didn't miss a few easy set shots at goal.

**donkson** · 08-19-11, 11:18 PM

Originally posted by GroundnPound

First round exit for the blues 100%.

They won't lose to Sydney at the MCG

**Gee** · 08-19-11, 11:19 PM

I am going to play Eagles -26.5 for 1.5x as well.

**TwoWays** · 08-19-11, 11:28 PM

Both teams are attacking early in this game. Wide open game early.

**TwoWays** · 08-19-11, 11:33 PM

Over in this GC vs. Adaleide game should hit.

**TwoWays** · 08-19-11, 11:38 PM

Adelaide winning almost every clearance. Could get ugly for G.C.

**rjc** · 08-20-11, 12:14 AM

Nice calls last night Gee! Iv tailed on multi too, 3x. good luck to everyone today.

**YorkHunt** · 08-20-11, 01:15 AM

Essendon looking too good

**TwoWays** · 08-20-11, 01:36 AM

Tippet show in the 4th quarter. G.C. gone.

**donkson** · 08-20-11, 01:36 AM

I think the Bombers will run out of steam.

**rjc** · 08-20-11, 02:21 AM

Originally posted by donkson

I think the Bombers will run out of steam.

I hope so!

**Gee** · 08-20-11, 02:41 AM

Eagles will cover from here!

Perfect 5-0 start to the weekend for me. +$958

Tonight I'm playing North -18.5 for 1.5x. I already have North in a 3 team parlay (not posted) for 1x, so if I didn't have that, North would be a 2.5x play. Lets keep this streak going!

**rjc** · 08-20-11, 02:52 AM

Originally posted by Gee

Eagles will cover from here!

Perfect 5-0 start to the weekend for me. +$958

Tonight I'm playing North -18.5 for 1.5x. I already have North in a 3 team parlay (not posted) for 1x, so if I didn't have that, North would be a 2.5x play. Lets keep this streak going!

nice work bro! Let's go north

**WillC** · 08-20-11, 03:32 AM

Vossy talking up the Lions ... Playing the first half only as they are the equal worst 4th qtr team in the comp

**GroundnPound** · 08-20-11, 04:00 AM

Lions +82.5 $150 on it

**Gee** · 08-20-11, 05:14 AM

Nth Melbourne lock.

Up 46 before half time and Pavlich subbed off.

Going out. Don't even need to watch the 2H.

What a great start to the weekend. Looking good on your Brisbane pick too GnP! Never know with these pies though.

**GroundnPound** · 08-20-11, 05:22 AM

Your on a roll bro, I am doing fairly good too liked Melb but liked Lions more by the looks of it both looking good

**Gee** · 08-20-11, 04:24 PM

Yeah bro, I've noticed you've been doing really well too

Today I have Saints -8 for 2x. (sportbet) Not going to play either of the late two games - both of them involve some really crappy teams this year. I'm going to lock in my profit whatever happens w/ the Saints game.

**donkson** · 08-20-11, 07:21 PM

Over on Melbourne/Richmond seems too obvious, but looks decent.

**Gee** · 08-20-11, 09:38 PM

The line looks about right there.

Don't tempt me and don't think about it. Anything could happen in the two later games. None of them give a ****. no play for me!

**Lookingtostart** · 08-20-11, 10:05 PM

I'll be surprised if Bulldogs don't cover.

Swans/saints O/U 159.5? Both teams are defensive and it's a very important game for the Swans, hmm...

**benrama** · 08-20-11, 10:05 PM

With the late outs for St Kilda and gastro going through the team, I'd be jumping on the Swans +9.5

**Gee** · 08-20-11, 11:06 PM

I can't help myself. I'm taking Bulldogs -32.5 for 1.5x. Like North yesterday, I also have them in a parlay paying +114 (with Phoenix Mercury and Storm (both already won)), so it would be a 2.5x bet regardless.

I wasn't going to touch this one, but the deeper I looked, the more I liked the Bulldogs

what a square weekend if these win!

**GroundnPound** · 08-20-11, 11:07 PM

We both looking good but are on opposite sides mate I got Port Adelaide +33.5 $200 on it. Middle at 32 what are the chances lol

**Gee** · 08-21-11, 12:34 AM

I can't help myself.

Playing Richmond -4.5 too 2.5x.

Edit: upped bet.