ElCapitan's 2010-2011 NHL Season

[ElCapitan]

11/9/10 Results

V2 Calgary Flames (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) *WIN*

V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) ML -115 (1.15 to win 1) *LOSS*
V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.15 to win 1) *LOSS*

Record:
ML: 35(A)-16(B)-12(C) (+10.53)
PL: 35(A)-9(B)-5(C) (-20.71)

[ElCapitan]

11/10/10 Plays

V1 New York Islanders (A) ML +148 (1 to win 1.48)
V1 New York Islanders (A) PL -204 (2.04 to win 1)

[Wilba]

Hey El Captain - clearly the ML is doing better so far this season with this system, do you know what the end of year results were last year for ML vs PL?

thanks a lot

[stevex]

ML made about +40 units. PL I forget, but it wasn't close at all. ML = Better profit if you don't have a GIGANTIC bankroll.

stevex

[ElCapitan]

2009 Stats
V1 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING ML: +24.59
V1 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING PL: +19.75

V2 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING ML: +21.12
V2 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING PL: +0.34

[DarkTommy]

2009 Stats
V1 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING ML: +24.59
V1 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING PL: +19.75

V2 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING ML: +21.12
V2 TOTAL UNITS PLAYING PL: +0.34

Gave you a few points EC. Been tailing your system since last season. You run the system well. No B.S., excellent stats, no fluff. Just wanted to say I appreciate it.

[ElCapitan]

Thanks, Tommy. Good luck to you!

[cleonhr]

Do we have something today except Vancouver (B) ?

[cmdyrds]

stars v2 b i think. it was actually c and it lost.

[sportscreep1]

Did we already finish the Nashville series, did I miss it? Thought they were (c) ML bet, they haven't played in forever.

[teecee]

if i'm not mistaken, nashville was defeated by the kings for a *c bet loss.


* moneyline "c" bet.

[ElCapitan]

11/10/10 Results

V1 New York Islanders (A) ML +148 (1 to win 1.48) *LOSS*
V1 New York Islanders (A) PL -204 (2.04 to win 1) *WIN*

Record:
ML: 36(A)-16(B)-12(C) (+9.53)
PL: 36(A)-9(B)-5(C) (-19.71)

[teecee]

hey, the blues are coming off a thumping, so if you want to hit up nashville for a unit or two, it may be a good spot. the only problem is, the predators have lost 5 straight themselves.

[ElCapitan]

if i'm not mistaken, nashville was defeated by the kings for a *c bet loss.


* moneyline "c" bet.

Correct. They lost on 11/6 for the C ML loss.

[ElCapitan]

11/11/10 Plays

Three B bets tonight.

Vancouver is the fav at most books but I can still get the +1.5 at Matchbook (although the juice is HUGE!) so I'm playing it as prescribed.


V2 Dallas Stars (B) ML +170 (1.18 to win 2)
V2 Dallas Stars (B) PL -190 (6.27 to win 3.3)

V1 New York Islanders (B) ML +260 (0.77 to win 2)

V2 Vancouver Canucks (B) ML -113 (2.43 to win 2.15)
V2 Vancouver Canucks (B) PL -375 (8.06 to win 2.15)

[cleonhr]

Vancouver is V1, isnt it?

[jphil]

yes.

[teecee]

hey, the blues are coming off a thumping, so if you want to hit up nashville for a unit or two, it may be a good spot. the only problem is, the predators have lost 5 straight themselves.

as it turns out, the predators woulda been a good bet to get a couple units back. i wasn't on them, but it was nice to get that vancouver ml outta the way. i have a small roll, as i stated a page or two back, so i'm just gonna stick to playing ml's on teams winning at about a .6oo clip. hopefully that will cut down on the losses. g/l, boys.

[Kev the Brit]

Big C Bet on Dallas coming up tonight....

[teecee]

.571 win pct. for dallas. think i'll take a stab at the play. if they win, i'll just follow that up with another play on dallas; the back-end of a home-and-home v. the ducks, on tuesday night.

[ElCapitan]

11/11/10 Results

Yes, VAN was a V1. Thanks for pointing that out.


V2 Dallas Stars (B) ML +170 (1.18 to win 2) *LOSS*
V2 Dallas Stars (B) PL -190 (6.27 to win 3.3) *LOSS*

V1 New York Islanders (B) ML +260 (0.77 to win 2) *LOSS*

V1 Vancouver Canucks (B) ML -113 (2.43 to win 2.15) *WIN*
V1 Vancouver Canucks (B) PL -375 (8.06 to win 2.15) *WIN*


Record:
ML: 36(A)-19(B)-12(C) (+9.73)
PL: 36(A)-11(B)-5(C) (-23.83)

[ElCapitan]

11/12/10 Plays

I'm about tired of these C bets already.


V2 Dallas Stars (C) ML +135 (2.36 to win 3.18)
V2 Dallas Stars (C) PL -205 (19.62 to win 9.57)

[jphil]

System Results:
JM V1 Plays using ML: 80(A)-40(B)-16(C) (+24.59)
JM V1 Plays using PL: 80(A)-24(B)-5(C) (+19.75)

JM V2 Plays using ML: 93(A)-49(B)-23(C) (+21.12)
JM V2 Plays using PL: 93(A)-31(B)-11(C) (+0.34)


By the looks of last season, V2 (c) bets might be due for some more.

[Kev the Brit]

Dallas lost the C Bet.

It was a Version 2 series. Last year, when V2 was first published by Morrison, I told everyone that they should treat V2 with caution.

Anyone who thinks that V2 is a good system needs to remember that it is not based on any back testing at all (except last year as it was rolled out). This is now the 3rd time this season (Anaheim and NY) that V2 has failed. V1, the original and properly tested system, is still 100% this year. What more needs to be said about Morrison's NHL systems?

Regards
Kev

[stevex]

Umm, the fact that playing the ML gets you +40 Units a year?

Honestly, even if I HAD a huge bankroll, why even bother with the PL?

stevex

[SpookyFellow]

Dallas lost the C Bet.

It was a Version 2 series. Last year, when V2 was first published by Morrison, I told everyone that they should treat V2 with caution.

Anyone who thinks that V2 is a good system needs to remember that it is not based on any back testing at all (except last year as it was rolled out). This is now the 3rd time this season (Anaheim and NY) that V2 has failed. V1, the original and properly tested system, is still 100% this year. What more needs to be said about Morrison's NHL systems?

Regards
Kev

JM NHL V1 had 2 system losses last season. That is enough to wipe out all winnings for the season.

[ElCapitan]

11/12/10 Results

V2 Dallas Stars (C) ML +135 (2.36 to win 3.18) *LOSS*
V2 Dallas Stars (C) PL -205 (19.62 to win 9.57) *LOSS*


Record:
ML: 36(A)-19(B)-13(C) (+7.37)
PL: 36(A)-11(B)-6(C) (-43.46)

[ElCapitan]

11/13/10 Plays

V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +190 (1 to win 1.9)
V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1)

V1 New York Islanders (C) ML +250 (1.11 to win 2.77)

V2 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +150 (1 to win 1.50)
V2 Ottawa Senators (A) PL -200 (2 to win 1)

V2 St. Louis Blues (A) ML -107 (1.07 to win 1)
V2 St. Louis Blues (A) PL -325 (3.25 to win 1)

[JW Cash]

That puckline juice is just way too high for me....I went ML....

[edh1011]

i only play puckline if odds are reasonable. if it's over -200, forget it.

[PockyStick]

Islanders totally outmatched.

[ElCapitan]

V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +190 (1 to win 1.9) *LOSS*
V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1) *LOSS*

V1 New York Islanders (C) ML +250 (1.11 to win 2.77) *LOSS*

V2 Ottawa Senators (A) ML +150 (1 to win 1.50) *WIN*
V2 Ottawa Senators (A) PL -200 (2 to win 1) *WIN*

V2 St. Louis Blues (A) ML -107 (1.07 to win 1) *LOSS*
V2 St. Louis Blues (A) PL -325 (3.25 to win 1) *LOSS*


Record:
ML: 39(A)-19(B)-14(C) (+5.69)
PL: 39(A)-11(B)-6(C) (-47.36)

[ElCapitan]

11/14/10 Plays

V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) ML +157(1 to win 1.57)
V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) PL -189 (1.89 to win 1)

[ElCapitan]

11/14/10 Results

V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) ML +157(1 to win 1.57) *LOSS*
V2 Anaheim Ducks (A) PL -189 (1.89 to win 1) *WIN*


Record:
ML: 40(A)-19(B)-14(C) (+4.69)
PL: 40(A)-11(B)-6(C) (-46.36)

[ElCapitan]

11/15/10 Plays

V1 New Jersey Devils (A) ML +164 (1 to win 1.64)
V1 New Jersey Devils (A) PL -180 (1.8 to win 1)

V2 St. Louis Blues (B) ML +106 (1.95 to win 2.07)
V2 St. Louis Blues (B) PL -290 (12.32 to win 4.25)