Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014

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  • calmeat
    SBR MVP
    • 05-04-11
    • 1678

    #526
    yeah i went PIT across the board. GL! Those damn flyers today i was tempted to put money on them since i was going to the game but glad i didnt they looked bad
    Comment
    • Rumplebeanskin
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-13-13
      • 203

      #527
      Glad Pittsburgh got the 1st goal. I got the feeling watching that Calgary started brightly looking to cast off their recent terrible form, and they did look pretty. If the Flames had got that first goal, this game might have been really tight. Penguins get that first goal though, 1 more and you'd think Calgary heads will drop.

      That's my psychoanalysis complete for this evening
      Comment
      • calmeat
        SBR MVP
        • 05-04-11
        • 1678

        #528
        Bam! Good night tonight i had PIT ML for 3 bets and 1 bet with PIT Reg.
        BR started at 50 now at 188.92.

        Lets keep it GOIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
        Comment
        • mitch51
          SBR MVP
          • 05-15-12
          • 4587

          #529
          Gr8 Day

          Ali & Mitch
          Comment
          • thedazzler18
            SBR Rookie
            • 12-17-13
            • 9

            #530
            Took PIT regular time and CBJ moneyline. Thanks!
            Comment
            • calmeat
              SBR MVP
              • 05-04-11
              • 1678

              #531
              Consensus
              WSH
              NYI
              CHI
              NSH
              ANA

              Comment
              • thedazzler18
                SBR Rookie
                • 12-17-13
                • 9

                #532
                Once again a good evening. Took under at BUF-WSH just as NYI and NJD ml. Too bad the devils lost after penalties.
                Comment
                • calmeat
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-04-11
                  • 1678

                  #533
                  Yup another good one took chi reg and Ana ML
                  Comment
                  • Rumplebeanskin
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-13-13
                    • 203

                    #534
                    Originally posted by calmeat
                    Yup another good one took chi reg and Ana ML
                    I parlayed those 2 myself, happy times!

                    I'm now only £5 away from hitting £100, quite the improvement from the £27 I did have. I should probably quit now I've clawed my way back to evens lol
                    Comment
                    • calmeat
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-04-11
                      • 1678

                      #535
                      haha cmon rumple stick with us we have more to make!
                      Comment
                      • Rumplebeanskin
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-13-13
                        • 203

                        #536
                        You know how to twist my arm

                        I'll wait for the numbers as always, but I think there's definitely going to be some of my money on my Canes tonight.

                        Carolina:
                        At home.
                        Won 5 of their last 6.
                        Eric Staal is set to return tonight.
                        Juri Tlusty is set to return tonight.

                        Calgary
                        Away.
                        Won 2 of their last 11.
                        Mike Cammalleri is out tonight with concussion.

                        Might parlay them with someone, or look to take them -1.5 or in reg. We will see
                        Comment
                        • mitch51
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-15-12
                          • 4587

                          #537
                          Mornin'

                          These are the games that stand out but won't know for sure til I see the goalie, etc.

                          CAR
                          CBJ
                          PHX
                          VAN

                          OVER 5.5 PHX

                          Be back later

                          Ali & Mitch
                          Comment
                          • calmeat
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-04-11
                            • 1678

                            #538
                            1/13/14
                            Value Plays
                            Gold($10.00) = 37-36 +$29
                            Silver($5.00) = 73-76 -$55.50
                            Bronze($2.50) = 65-54 +$2.96

                            Game Win %
                            ML= 358-263 57.65%
                            ML(Regulation)= 281-77 78.49%
                            O/U= 80-65 55.17%

                            Game Win % breakdown
                            50-54%= 70-70 50.00%
                            55-59%= 95-68 58.28%
                            60-64= 86-65 56.95%
                            65-69%= 64-47 57.66%
                            70+%= 45-11 80.36%

                            Consensus 191-127 60.06%
                            CBJ
                            LAK

                            Comment
                            • Rumplebeanskin
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-13-13
                              • 203

                              #539
                              Time to get silly! Finally built some more bank, time to take another shot. Pretty much every time I do, it blows up in my face, but that's the fun of it, right?

                              Bit of a big parlay, but it's only really a 2 pick parlay IMO, lot of chalks in there.

                              Canes to win, draw no bet (not risking any OT or SO nonsense!) -222
                              Marin Cilic to beat Marcel Granollers -450

                              Then added in:
                              Andy Murray -3330
                              Rafael Nadal -2000
                              Juan Martin Del Potro - 5000
                              Milos Raonic -5000
                              Jo-Wilfred Tsonga -10000

                              As a 7 pick parlay, comes out at pretty much evens, +101.

                              I've got £20 on it, wins £40.29.

                              I figure even if I lose, it just takes me £20 further away from that £100 mark, and keeps me around you good people for even longer without the temptation to cash out at evens and riding off into the sunset
                              Comment
                              • mitch51
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-15-12
                                • 4587

                                #540
                                I'm just betting OV 5.5 on Phx.

                                @Rumple - Your write-up was good and funn

                                GLTA

                                Ali & Mitch
                                Comment
                                • calmeat
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-04-11
                                  • 1678

                                  #541
                                  Well rumple hope it hits for me when I do those it's always one bet screws the whole thing is rather lose them all rather just one of them. Any how good luck I got Car ml Car reg and LAK ml
                                  Comment
                                  • Rumplebeanskin
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-13-13
                                    • 203

                                    #542
                                    Nothing is a given in sport, but if any of those 5 favourites lose I'd be pretty annoyed. Cilic should be a fairly confident win, big server or a fast hard court. Just gotta hope my Canes do it!
                                    Comment
                                    • Rumplebeanskin
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-13-13
                                      • 203

                                      #543
                                      Also, if Canes can get a goal in the first, maybe end the 1st 1-0, I'd imagine I can get a great price, +300, +400 on Calgary REG as insurance.
                                      Comment
                                      • Rumplebeanskin
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-13-13
                                        • 203

                                        #544
                                        Same as usual haha
                                        Comment
                                        • Depch
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 01-13-14
                                          • 1

                                          #545
                                          Been following this for a while. Love the daily post of the spreadsheet & stats, very helpfull.

                                          Had to register to comment that. I'm more of a thrillseeker myself trying to find the discipline to do this properly. Currently testing a system of my own (Similar to Wallco) that is new so not much to talk about it yet. But got Calgary ml, Tampa ml & Winnipeg ml singles today also a tennis parlay for 1€ that 10€ is gonna come a long way in building the br slowly if anything comes out of it.

                                          Rumple same as me (usually), parlays usually kill me so I set up a rule for those, only one a day and with 1€ or 5€ at max. Was up at around 700€ and then just completely wasted it on a run of thrillseeking during the weekend and now on a run back and hopefully learned something as that made me feel pretty shitty (again) when things didn't hit my way at all, now sticking mostly to singles and gotta do it slowly but steady from 200€.
                                          Comment
                                          • mitch51
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-15-12
                                            • 4587

                                            #546
                                            @Rumple

                                            Thanks for the points.

                                            Ali & Mitch
                                            Comment
                                            • calmeat
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-04-11
                                              • 1678

                                              #547
                                              Thanks for the PTS!

                                              Last night not such a great night. but not too bad. Lost on the CAR bets but won on the LAK ML. I have a feeling tonight will be a much better night!
                                              Comment
                                              • Rumplebeanskin
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-13-13
                                                • 203

                                                #548
                                                Yeah, not the end of the world. Made some cash back betting on the tennis games that were going on once I woke up. All good fun

                                                I only tend to do a big bet around once a month, just a shame it always kicks my ass haha

                                                Lets go get em tonight!
                                                Comment
                                                • mitch51
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-15-12
                                                  • 4587

                                                  #549
                                                  Yea Yea Yea tonight


                                                  Back later

                                                  Ali & Mitch Have a super day wherever you are!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mitch51
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-15-12
                                                    • 4587

                                                    #550
                                                    These are the games that stand out after crunching the numbers but a lot of them have high lines. Will decided later on bets after seeing the goalies, etc.

                                                    WAS
                                                    TB
                                                    BOS
                                                    BUF
                                                    MTL
                                                    MIN
                                                    CHI
                                                    NASH
                                                    STL
                                                    DAL
                                                    ??? NYI OR FL


                                                    Be back later

                                                    Ali & Mitch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • calmeat
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-04-11
                                                      • 1678

                                                      #551
                                                      1/14/14
                                                      Value Plays
                                                      Gold($10.00) = 37-36 +$29
                                                      Silver($5.00) = 73-76 -$55.50
                                                      Bronze($2.50) = 66-56 +$.83

                                                      Game Win %
                                                      ML= 360-265 57.60%
                                                      ML(Regulation)= 284-77 78.67%
                                                      O/U= 80-65 55.17%

                                                      Game Win % breakdown
                                                      50-54%= 70-70 50.00%
                                                      55-59%= 96-68 58.54%
                                                      60-64= 88-65 57.52%
                                                      65-69%= 64-48 57.14%
                                                      70+%= 45-11 80.36%

                                                      Consensus 193-127 60.31%
                                                      BOS
                                                      PHI
                                                      NYI
                                                      MIN
                                                      CHI
                                                      STL

                                                      Comment
                                                      • Rumplebeanskin
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-13-13
                                                        • 203

                                                        #552
                                                        Originally posted by Depch
                                                        Been following this for a while. Love the daily post of the spreadsheet & stats, very helpfull.

                                                        Had to register to comment that. I'm more of a thrillseeker myself trying to find the discipline to do this properly. Currently testing a system of my own (Similar to Wallco) that is new so not much to talk about it yet. But got Calgary ml, Tampa ml & Winnipeg ml singles today also a tennis parlay for 1€ that 10€ is gonna come a long way in building the br slowly if anything comes out of it.

                                                        Rumple same as me (usually), parlays usually kill me so I set up a rule for those, only one a day and with 1€ or 5€ at max. Was up at around 700€ and then just completely wasted it on a run of thrillseeking during the weekend and now on a run back and hopefully learned something as that made me feel pretty shitty (again) when things didn't hit my way at all, now sticking mostly to singles and gotta do it slowly but steady from 200€.
                                                        Always good to get good advice. When I used to lose my bigger bets, it used to really annoy me. Like I'd work hard to get some BR and deserved that shot to pay off. Probably because I've got more BR now, and I am doing better, dunno, last night didn't bother me as much as it had before. It'll still be a once every 3/4 week thing, if I get a good feeling about something.

                                                        Can't do it more often anyway, since it always loses for me haha!

                                                        As for tonight, I like Boston and St Louis. Both quite high lines though, so probably take them both in REG and parlay them together. Comes out at +188.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hawksdynasty
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 01-14-14
                                                          • 1

                                                          #553
                                                          Ive been following the thread for about a month now and decided to make an accnt.

                                                          I like the 3 team parlay CHI, BOS, STL all ML came out to +215. Stastny is out for COL and their season series is split 1-1 with the home team prevailing each time, leads me to think CHI is a lock... Now that i said that they'll probably lose haha
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mitch51
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-15-12
                                                            • 4587

                                                            #554
                                                            These are the dawgs that stand out

                                                            WAS +126
                                                            TB +148
                                                            BUF +133

                                                            GLTA

                                                            Ali & Mitch
                                                            Comment
                                                            • calmeat
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-04-11
                                                              • 1678

                                                              #555
                                                              So went with a couple plays and of course threw some parlays in there.
                                                              STL Reg, NSH ML main bets

                                                              Parlays - BOS reg STL reg

                                                              BOS reg CHI reg STL reg PHI ML NSH ML +1102
                                                              Comment
                                                              • calmeat
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-04-11
                                                                • 1678

                                                                #556
                                                                Not a bad night lost the parlays but i figured i would. I only played them small so still came out on top.
                                                                BR now up to 211.38
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thedazzler18
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 12-17-13
                                                                  • 9

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Thanks again. Took STL reg, NJD ml, MIN under 5,5 all normal stakes and small stake on NSH under 5,5. Good night again!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mitch51
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-15-12
                                                                    • 4587

                                                                    #558
                                                                    I took quick look last night and lines are high, maybe one possibility.

                                                                    Last night TB

                                                                    Back later

                                                                    Ali & Mitch
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mitch51
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-15-12
                                                                      • 4587

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Appearances are that Andersen will be in the net for the Ducks and that they have a supersonic charter jet to get him there from Norfolk. Hiller is sick and not practicing on ice this morning. It will be a game-time decision on Hiller vs Andersen.

                                                                      I was considering this game and if I do it'll probably be the under.

                                                                      Ali
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mitch51
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-15-12
                                                                        • 4587

                                                                        #560
                                                                        Originally posted by mitch51
                                                                        Appearances are that Andersen will be in the net for the Ducks and that they have a supersonic charter jet to get him there from Norfolk. Hiller is sick and not practicing on ice this morning. It will be a game-time decision on Hiller vs Andersen.

                                                                        I was considering this game and if I do it'll probably be the under.

                                                                        Ali
                                                                        Now possible Hiller/Andersen/Gibson, we'll see.
                                                                        Comment
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