LTA's NCAAF Plays

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  • Dexter
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-24-08
    • 25829

    #1646
    Originally posted by ponyshowdown
    hey, dexter..just cuz u lost doesnt mean im negative...i didnt throw salt in a wound, i feel for people when they lose. im not spiteful at all. u should focus on ur capping and not talking shit, cuz youve blown it this year, bro....no offense. i still follow lta and absolutely respect his picks. i have never, and will never talk shit about lta or any of the other good cappers. as for you, well...stick to capping.
    has nothing to do with me losing. i never talk back to someone like this, and i am 100% positive your were needling the people in this thread all night.

    what did i "blow"?. i am up about $20k for 2011 and every one of those plays is clearly documented right here on SBR. go show me 1 other person on this board with the same success clearly documented you little chimp. The only sport i am not beating is the NFL, but im still within striking range.

    you're a long term losing gambler who got a little excited about a $50 win tonight.

    you'll be broke and in a Gamblers Anonymous circle in no time you little novice.

    i've blown it - haha.....love it
    Last edited by Dexter; 12-02-11, 11:11 PM.
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #1647
      hey pony - here is an updated figure for me YTD in CFB:

      98-74 (57%) +25u

      ive "blown" it....
      Comment
      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #1648
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        hey bro, u can eat my dykk...really...im not talking to you u idiot...and im not being sarcastic...so ya, eat it
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        for the over? no way...ohio is gonna drag the game out man....
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        the over is done...these teams underachieved...but whatever, its 1 bet
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        lets look forward to tomorrow...its saturday...**** the books...tonight was a fluke game....i expected under 73, but had no idea this game would be so disgusting looking....gl everyone
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        damn dude, i live bet the under like 4 times..and looks like theyre all gonna be good...what a terrible game...niu didnt come to play, and neither did ohio for that matter...
        Originally posted by ponyshowdown
        this thread died huh?
        nah - you were just being a nice guy when this entire thread had the over.
        Comment
        • Dexter
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-24-08
          • 25829

          #1649
          Originally posted by ponyshowdown
          o/u is at 58 now....bad pick, but it happens. look forward.
          lets not forget the 1st comment from mr. novice....
          Comment
          • SlickRick1382
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-11
            • 3838

            #1650
            Don't bother with him Dexter. People that know and respect you and LTA don't read too much into people like this and learn to ignore it. You don't have to prove anything to anyone. I don't post in your thread but follow it since I'm with Young Buck and notice you post in his a lot. Those that follow know how well of a capper both you and LTA are.

            We all know that although he was "trying" to be nice he couldn't help but gloat about how he made the right pick in all those posts.

            Lets talk about making money tomorrow !!!!

            Side Note: I had capped the Oregon UCLA but was out eating dinner and called it in 30 seconds after kick off
            Comment
            • tailin junkie
              SBR MVP
              • 02-06-10
              • 1409

              #1651
              ohio was what i liked originally but u scared me off of it with your extreme confidence and multiple write-ups on the over...didn't think ohio could stay with that pace so i went with the over instead of ohio and their D..my choice, ultimately...but after your multiple staments i blame 70%me, 30% you...i think you are good but i also think i am good so i should stop looking at this site to verify my own plays...no biggie...and im not a first time follower..i monitor and may play some of your plays but your confidence in this play and its loss garners some criticism..if you disagree, then you shouldn't post the way you do...
              Last edited by tailin junkie; 12-03-11, 12:40 AM.
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962

                #1652
                Originally posted by tailin junkie
                ohio was what i liked originally but u scared me off of it with your extreme confidence and multiple write-ups on the over...didn't think ohio could stay with that pace so i went with the over instead of ohio and their D..my choice, ultimately...but after your multiple staments i blame 70%me, 30% you...i think you are good but i also think i am good so i should stop looking at this site to verify my own plays...no biggie...and im not a first time follower..i monitor and may play some of your plays but your confidence in this play and its loss garners some criticsism..if you disagree, then you shouldn't post the way you do...


                This seems like an extremely unfair statement. I'm pretty sure LTA doesn't need to post a disclaimer at the bottom of each play to make it clear that we're each 100% responsible for our own money. It should go without saying that if you don't cap a game yourself, you're truly gambling rather than investing.

                And to say "I was on the right side originally but you cost me money by changing my mind" tells me that you don't have a sense of personal responsibility and shouldn't be gambling. Plain and simple.
                Last edited by suicidekings; 12-03-11, 12:50 AM.
                Comment
                • tailin junkie
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-06-10
                  • 1409

                  #1653
                  ultimately it was my choice, i agree...and that is why i should trust noone on this site like i was trying to say cuz i know i am good enough..but i like to double check..im a teacher.. haha
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #1654
                    Originally posted by tailin junkie
                    ultimately it was my choice, i agree...and that is why i should trust noone on this site like i was trying to say cuz i know i am good enough..but i like to double check..im a teacher.. haha
                    The comment came off as aggressive. I apologize if I misunderstood. I purposely do my capping before ever looking at the board so as not to be influenced, but that has been a lesson learned over time...
                    Comment
                    • tailin junkie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-06-10
                      • 1409

                      #1655
                      i am learning that lesson...it's all good (i may have been a little agressive, but just frustrated)...sorry LTA i know you are good..keep posting
                      Comment
                      • SlickRick1382
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-11
                        • 3838

                        #1656
                        Originally posted by tailin junkie
                        i am learning that lesson...it's all good (i may have been a little agressive, but just frustrated)...sorry LTA i know you are good..keep posting
                        LTA provides a great service for everyone and takes take out of his day to post these plays for us, which he doesn't have to. Attacking him like that is not only unfair but you have to consider everyone else in the thread.

                        1. If you were on one side and LTA is on another then either A) don't bet it if you became unsure B) Stick to y our gut or C) Take the loss and keep it moving.

                        No one put a gun to anyone's head. I've personally been on the other side of some of LTA's plays. Shouldn't blame not even 1% on LTA. It was your decision and that' final. I don't care if it was LTA's big play of the year. Paid Services release those all the time. If you tail and you lose then you're 100% responsible since it was ultimately your choice

                        I wish you the best in the future but it's irresponsible to come here and blame others for your mistakes.
                        Comment
                        • upscope
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-26-11
                          • 2837

                          #1657
                          Originally posted by tailin junkie
                          ohio was what i liked originally but u scared me off of it with your extreme confidence and multiple write-ups on the over...didn't think ohio could stay with that pace so i went with the over instead of ohio...but after your multiple staments i blame 70%me, 30% you...but your confidence in this play and its loss garners some criticism..if you disagree, then you shouldn't post the way you do...
                          Where do you people come from?? You're putting 30% of the blame on LTA?? Does he get 30% of the credit when he wins?? If you're gonna use this mindset you really shouldn't be here.
                          Part of being a good capper is gathering all the information including what side the "respected" cappers are on & acting on that information. Since you made the bet it was you & 100% you that deserves the blame. It's like people that claim the "best" team didn't win the championship because of key injuries. Well, part of being the best team for that season is staying healthy. So no, the injured team actually wasn't then best team that season.

                          I got buried on this game but I'm not in the least bit upset w/ LTA. He could release a 4x play again tomorrow & I wouldn't hesitate for a second to tail it. If it were that easy & all you did was win every bet you made this industry wouldn't exist.
                          Comment
                          • 1Time!
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 588

                            #1658
                            What Upscope & co said.. GTFO of here with this sad, ridiculous jibba jabba!! STFU, reload if need be & BOUNCE back!
                            Tailin Junkie - your name says it all..

                            Keep rolling LTA, do what you do!
                            Comment
                            • Trivial
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-22-09
                              • 1328

                              #1659
                              Dex, SK and upscope. You guys are why I follow this thread. I really should also follow Dex's thread for comparison and contribution (gotta look for it) but you 3 below backing LTA regardless of outcome is class. That is what this is about and why I stay here. Red and 815 as well of course. Have a great day.

                              Dex : Will contribute to you too.

                              Comment
                              • 1Time!
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 588

                                #1660
                                I follow LTA all the time.. But generally I'm too hungover to play his "Fridays" plays cos I'm on an Aussie timetable - I only noticed this play cos Upscope brought it up in Sonny,Bucks,Ayo's ball thread... So do I "blame" him 100% for my own hand clicking submit when I unloaded... You fkn clowns!
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #1661
                                  Congrats to Donnie and the rest of the Ohio +3.5 and under backers on last night's game
                                  Comment
                                  • balls2wall
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-20-09
                                    • 2642

                                    #1662
                                    Originally posted by tailin junkie
                                    ultimately it was my choice, i agree...and that is why i should trust noone on this site like i was trying to say cuz i know i am good enough..but i like to double check..im a teacher.. haha



                                    English teacher?????


                                    I don't know what all went on, but I saw the last few posts on this page. LTA is 0% to blame for whatever YOU did with your money.
                                    Comment
                                    • poloman
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 11-16-11
                                      • 44

                                      #1663
                                      Hello LTA, keep doing your good work here. We all appreciate you whatever the result is, and obviously you're more winning than losing ! Let's have a nice week-end on the gridiron !!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Krazymojo
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-01-10
                                        • 444

                                        #1664
                                        ughhhhh
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #1665
                                          Originally posted by ponyshowdown
                                          o/u is at 58 now....bad pick, but it happens. look forward.
                                          Originally posted by tailin junkie
                                          ohio was what i liked originally but u scared me off of it with your extreme confidence and multiple write-ups on the over...didn't think ohio could stay with that pace so i went with the over instead of ohio and their D..my choice, ultimately...but after your multiple staments i blame 70%me, 30% you...i think you are good but i also think i am good so i should stop looking at this site to verify my own plays...no biggie...and im not a first time follower..i monitor and may play some of your plays but your confidence in this play and its loss garners some criticism..if you disagree, then you shouldn't post the way you do...
                                          I don't have time right now, but I will respond to both of these posts later today.
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #1666
                                            Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                            ughhhhh
                                            Comment
                                            • GChild
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-11-10
                                              • 3885

                                              #1667
                                              Keep doing what your doing bro can't win them all!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #1668
                                                Originally posted by GChild
                                                Keep doing what your doing bro can't win them all!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • SUPREME
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-23-11
                                                  • 211

                                                  #1669
                                                  No plays?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Love The Action
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 10952

                                                    #1670
                                                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                    NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 14

                                                    Play #1

                                                    Northern Illinois/Ohio over (69) 4x (Locked) LOSS


                                                    Play #2

                                                    Northern Illinois (-3) 1x (Locked) PUSH

                                                    Play #3

                                                    Northern Illinois/Ohio 2h over (33)(-105) 2x (Locked) LOSS
                                                    Play #4

                                                    Uconn/Cincinnati under (48) 1x (Locked)

                                                    You one team with four straight overs in Uconn going against a team with four straight unders in Cinci. However, if you look at the Uconn games that have gone over, you will know that they have been scoring through defense and special teams. Those types of scores cannot continue on a consistent basis, especially against a team like Cincy who has solid special teams and will look to run the ball today. I think this game stays under the posted total because of quarterback play. I expect both teams to limit the pass plays in this game because that gives them the best chance to win. I do not have much confidence in the converted wide receiver in Cinci's Munchie Legroux and McEntee is still a bit raw to air it out against this Bearcat defense. Both defenses play well against the run with Uconn ranking 16th in the country in rush defense S+P+ and Cincy 45th. I think we see a classic Big East under here and once I was able to cover the key number of 48, the seventh most common final score in NCAAF, I had to lock this one up. I have this one set at 45 and we're getting a full FG of value, so I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #1671
                                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                      NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 14

                                                      Play #1

                                                      Northern Illinois/Ohio over (69) 4x (Locked) LOSS


                                                      Play #2

                                                      Northern Illinois (-3) 1x (Locked) PUSH

                                                      Play #3

                                                      Northern Illinois/Ohio 2h over (33)(-105) 2x (Locked) LOSS

                                                      Play #4

                                                      Uconn/Cincinnati under (48) 1x (Locked)

                                                      You one team with four straight overs in Uconn going against a team with four straight unders in Cinci. However, if you look at the Uconn games that have gone over, you will know that they have been scoring through defense and special teams. Those types of scores cannot continue on a consistent basis, especially against a team like Cincy who has solid special teams and will look to run the ball today. I think this game stays under the posted total because of quarterback play. I expect both teams to limit the pass plays in this game because that gives them the best chance to win. I do not have much confidence in the converted wide receiver in Cinci's Munchie Legroux and McEntee is still a bit raw to air it out against this Bearcat defense. Both defenses play well against the run with Uconn ranking 16th in the country in rush defense S+P+ and Cincy 45th. I think we see a classic Big East under here and once I was able to cover the key number of 48, the seventh most common final score in NCAAF, I had to lock this one up. I have this one set at 45 and we're getting a full FG of value, so I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                                      Play #5

                                                      SoMiss/Houston under (74.5) 1x (Locked)

                                                      The buyback started and Pinny has started juicing the under so, I locked it up at 74.5. I would recommend this play at 73 or better, but I would not recommend it below 73. I have this one set at 70 and this is the exact type of game that has seen Houston games stay under the posted total. If you go back through Houston's schedule, whenever they have faced a top 40 defense in advanced stats such as Tulsa or SMU, the game has stayed under 65 points. In addition, even though SoMiss has a solid offense, Houston's defense has played very well in the last six or so games this season. We have 80%+ of all bets on this over so I think this provides us with a nice public fade opportunity. This one will be high scoring, but I don't think it goes over 73. I have this one set at 70 and we are getting over 4 points of value, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KegKosmo
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-13-10
                                                        • 2182

                                                        #1672
                                                        on the under lets cash it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #1673
                                                          Looks like the buyback was only temporary as late steam has seen Pinny bring the Houston total up to 74. That is not what I wanted to see

                                                          Still beat the Pinny closer and got the best available number for the under, so I can't complain too much. We shall see...hopefully this one squeaks under. GL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #1674
                                                            Really sick of these bullshit scores in UConn games. It's like every week there are multiple defensive or special teams scores in their games. Here's another game where they spot the over 7 points with McEntee fumbling for a Cincy TD. So frustrating...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SlickRick1382
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-15-11
                                                              • 3838

                                                              #1675
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              Really sick of these bullshit scores in UConn games. It's like every week there are multiple defensive or special teams scores in their games. Here's another game where they spot the over 7 points with McEntee fumbling for a Cincy TD. So frustrating...
                                                              Hang in there LTA. You're due for a gift for all the travesties committed against us !!!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • buurrdman
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-28-10
                                                                • 121

                                                                #1676
                                                                There is another really getting sick of this shit!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #1677
                                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                  NCAAF 2011-2012 Week 14

                                                                  Play #1

                                                                  Northern Illinois/Ohio over (69) 4x (Locked) LOSS


                                                                  Play #2

                                                                  Northern Illinois (-3) 1x (Locked) PUSH

                                                                  Play #3

                                                                  Northern Illinois/Ohio 2h over (33)(-105) 2x (Locked) LOSS

                                                                  Play #4

                                                                  Uconn/Cincinnati under (48) 1x (Locked)

                                                                  You one team with four straight overs in Uconn going against a team with four straight unders in Cinci. However, if you look at the Uconn games that have gone over, you will know that they have been scoring through defense and special teams. Those types of scores cannot continue on a consistent basis, especially against a team like Cincy who has solid special teams and will look to run the ball today. I think this game stays under the posted total because of quarterback play. I expect both teams to limit the pass plays in this game because that gives them the best chance to win. I do not have much confidence in the converted wide receiver in Cinci's Munchie Legroux and McEntee is still a bit raw to air it out against this Bearcat defense. Both defenses play well against the run with Uconn ranking 16th in the country in rush defense S+P+ and Cincy 45th. I think we see a classic Big East under here and once I was able to cover the key number of 48, the seventh most common final score in NCAAF, I had to lock this one up. I have this one set at 45 and we're getting a full FG of value, so I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

                                                                  Play #5

                                                                  SoMiss/Houston under (74.5) 1x (Locked)

                                                                  The buyback started and Pinny has started juicing the under so, I locked it up at 74.5. I would recommend this play at 73 or better, but I would not recommend it below 73. I have this one set at 70 and this is the exact type of game that has seen Houston games stay under the posted total. If you go back through Houston's schedule, whenever they have faced a top 40 defense in advanced stats such as Tulsa or SMU, the game has stayed under 65 points. In addition, even though SoMiss has a solid offense, Houston's defense has played very well in the last six or so games this season. We have 80%+ of all bets on this over so I think this provides us with a nice public fade opportunity. This one will be high scoring, but I don't think it goes over 73. I have this one set at 70 and we are getting over 4 points of value, so I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                                                  Play #6

                                                                  Utah State/New Mexico State over (62) 1x (Locked)

                                                                  Matt Chrisitan will start for the Aggies and they need him two after getting routed three games in a row without him. However, this is senior night for NMS and I expect them to put forth the effort necessary to make this an interesting game. The problem is that the Aggie defense is horrible against both the pass and the run and will not be able to contain even a disinterested Utah State offense. Utah State boasts a top 30 offense in F/+, FEI and S&P+, while their defense is in the bottom 3rd of the NCAAF. I think we see a motivated NMS offense against a weaker Utah State defense and this one turn into a high scoring game to end the regular season for NMS. This one opened at 61 and some outlets have 63, so will take the chance of missing out on the 61 even though that is a very important key total number. I have this one set at 64 and I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

                                                                  Play #7

                                                                  Fresno State/SDST over (60.5) 1x (Locked)

                                                                  Here we have another game where motivation might be a bit of a problem for SDST who is probably locked into their bowl position. However, Fresno State will be playing its final game of a disappointing season and should play hard for its head coach Hill. Bottom line is that Fresno is all offense and no defense with a ranking in top 40 of the offensive advanced stats but well into the 100's on defense. I think we see Carr and Fresno rack up some points on an otherwise disinterested SDST defense. SDST should have no problem scoring in this game and I think we see a competitive and high scoring game. We are not getting a great number in this one after the game opened at 58, but covering the key number of 61 is pivotal. I have this one set at 63 and I'm rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KegKosmo
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-13-10
                                                                    • 2182

                                                                    #1678
                                                                    damn cincy under lookin like shit... wish i would have held off of these garbage noon games that every spread could go either way
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Love The Action
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 10952

                                                                      #1679
                                                                      Originally posted by KegKosmo
                                                                      damn cincy under lookin like shit... wish i would have held off of these garbage noon games that every spread could go either way
                                                                      There should be fourteen less points right now...tough to calculate a fumble recovery for a touchdown and an interception return for a touchdown in the same game, much less on back to back UConn possessions....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • NEOHsports4life
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-13-09
                                                                        • 1149

                                                                        #1680
                                                                        Hang in there LTA can still give up 10 pts and WIN!

                                                                        9:13 in the third, run run run the ball, defense has been steller giving up only 3 fg's

                                                                        Can see a 35-9 finish!
                                                                        Comment
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