Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #5391
    Originally posted by gabe
    That was beautiful.
    yeeeeeeee buddy
    Comment
    • Vaughany
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 03-07-10
      • 45563

      #5392
      Originally posted by Vaughany
      Current plays for UFC on Fuel 2:


      82.588 units on Nunes at -150 to win 55.059 units.
      .
      Arbed out of some of this Nunes play with Siver at +177. So now have:


      26.736 units on Diego Nunes to win 23.504 units.


      Successful night so far, dont wanna risk Nunes ruining it!
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #5393
        Probably should of arbed completely out of tht Nunes play...perhaps put too much stock in Siver missing weight
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #5394
          Risk free play on Siyar next for 6 units profit
          Comment
          • gabe
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-12-11
            • 7405

            #5395
            "Siver is gonna win. Not even worried about that one." -Me

            Hit Siver +175, +185, and Fight Goes Over 2.5

            3-0 so far w/ Pickett, Maguire, and Siver.

            Couldn't get my bet in for Carmont on time. Siyar, Siyar/Thiago Under 2.5, and Stann are my remaining plays... Will prolly play Gustaffson, too.
            Comment
            • getlucky2win
              SBR MVP
              • 01-14-12
              • 1119

              #5396
              i thought siver would b gassed halfway through
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563

                #5397
                Bravo
                Comment
                • gabe
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-12-11
                  • 7405

                  #5398
                  You guys are welcome.

                  "Siyar by first round KO." -your cousin gabe
                  Comment
                  • Thor4140
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-09-08
                    • 22296

                    #5399
                    R u kidding me. The guy last with all top competition and gets hit with a shot like that that wasn't even that impressive. My goodness
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #5400
                      Ahh tht 6 units helps! Crazy stuff!
                      Comment
                      • Thor4140
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-09-08
                        • 22296

                        #5401
                        And he knocks him out with possibly a broken hand lol. Boy i wonder why Fitch and the boy's never tested Paulo chin
                        Comment
                        • Vaughany
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 03-07-10
                          • 45563

                          #5402
                          Adding:


                          1.381 units on Stann by TKO/KO at -110 to win 1.255 units.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #5403
                            **** it....Adding:


                            6.311 units on Stann in Round 1 at +200 to win 12.622 units.
                            Comment
                            • gabe
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-12-11
                              • 7405

                              #5404
                              Went bigger on Gustaffson than I should have, but only because I've had a perfect night thus far, including the beautiful dogs! Had been saying Siver and Siyar for a while, hope some listened.
                              Comment
                              • Beelzebubzy
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-06-11
                                • 6995

                                #5405
                                Originally posted by gabe
                                "Siver is gonna win. Not even worried about that one." -Me

                                Hit Siver +175, +185, and Fight Goes Over 2.5

                                3-0 so far w/ Pickett, Maguire, and Siver.

                                Couldn't get my bet in for Carmont on time. Siyar, Siyar/Thiago Under 2.5, and Stann are my remaining plays... Will prolly play Gustaffson, too.
                                congrats gabe.
                                You did call Siver and I give you props. Nunes should have pushed a pace.
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #5406
                                  Forgot my plays for main event:


                                  Got the Gust/Silva to go distance opener of +280 (6.3 units) and also put a further 6.3 units on distance at +165. Then bought back on that with Not Distance at -110 and -150 so now have:



                                  1.357 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to Go the Distance to win 11.691 units;

                                  Then also the following plays (pretty much relying on there not being a submission and preferably a Gust TKO/KO:



                                  7.572 units on Not Gustafsson Inside the Distance at -120 to win 6.31 units;

                                  1.6 units on Gustafsson by TKO/KO at +250 to win 4 units;
                                  1.778 units on Gustafsson by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.01 units;
                                  6 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at -120 to win 5 units;

                                  1.567 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at -125 to win 1.254 units;

                                  0.746 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at 1.268 units.
                                  Last edited by Vaughany; 04-14-12, 04:16 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #5407
                                    About 96 units profit for the night...just what I needed going in to a big one next weekend.
                                    Comment
                                    • BIGDAY
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 02-17-10
                                      • 48245

                                      #5408
                                      Rock on pal! I went relatively light tonight for some reason. Didnt love anything. Just took Stann inside the distance for small and lost a little on Nunes. Might have a larger wager for next weekend.
                                      Comment
                                      • Eccocide
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 2126

                                        #5409
                                        Great Job V!
                                        Comment
                                        • Oblivian
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-27-12
                                          • 163

                                          #5410
                                          Congrats!
                                          Comment
                                          • gabe
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-12-11
                                            • 7405

                                            #5411
                                            I was 8-1 with my picks today. 11-1, if you include props. 7-0 with bets I was actually able to place on time. Abedi would have been my only loss, had I put in all my bets on time.

                                            I hit some parlays, too: Siyar/Siver/Maguire, Pickett/Siyar/Siver, Pickett/Maguire/Siyar, Picket/Maguire/Siver
                                            Comment
                                            • gabe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 7405

                                              #5412
                                              25-6 this MLB season, so far. (26-6 once the DBacks cover the +1. Game is tied now, I'm sure they'll win it straight up. Have a straight dog play on 'em, too.)

                                              Cousin Gabe pwnin' on...
                                              Comment
                                              • Vaughany
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 03-07-10
                                                • 45563

                                                #5413
                                                Dana interview after press conference last night...some funny shiit! "Super Fuckhead League"!!...



                                                Comment
                                                • Vaughany
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                  • 45563

                                                  #5414
                                                  Primetime Ep 2 Part 1:

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #5415
                                                    UFC on Fuel 2 Review:

                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    Current plays for UFC on Fuel 2:



                                                    16.506 units on Stann at -250 to win 6.602 units;

                                                    7.5 units on Stann by TKO/KO at Evens to win 7.5 units;

                                                    4 units on Stann by TKO/KO at Evens to win 4 units;

                                                    1.147 units on Stann by TKO/KO at +110 to win 1.262 units;

                                                    2.35 units on Stann/Sakara to End by TKO/KO at -187.5 to win 1.253 units;

                                                    Parlay (double): 6.313 units on Stann/Sakara to Not Go the Distance (-170), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 5.05 units;


                                                    29.5 units on Maguire at -117.65 to win 25.07 units;

                                                    20 units on Maguire at -114 to win 17.5 units;

                                                    5.5 units on Maguire at -110 to win 5 units;

                                                    5 units on Maguire at Evens to win 5 units;

                                                    15.778 units on D.Johnson Inside Distance at +187 to win 29.504 units;

                                                    14.03 units on Carmont at -140.3 to win 10 units;

                                                    6.716 units on Carmont at -149.25 to win 4.5 units.
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    Arbed out of some of this Nunes play with Siver at +177. So now have:


                                                    26.736 units on Diego Nunes to win 23.504 units.


                                                    Successful night so far, dont wanna risk Nunes ruining it!
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    Risk free play on Siyar next for 6 units profit
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    Adding:


                                                    1.381 units on Stann by TKO/KO at -110 to win 1.255 units.
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    **** it....Adding:


                                                    6.311 units on Stann in Round 1 at +200 to win 12.622 units.
                                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                                    Forgot my plays for main event:


                                                    Got the Gust/Silva to go distance opener of +280 (6.3 units) and also put a further 6.3 units on distance at +165. Then bought back on that with Not Distance at -110 and -150 so now have:



                                                    1.357 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to Go the Distance to win 11.691 units;

                                                    Then also the following plays (pretty much relying on there not being a submission and preferably a Gust TKO/KO:



                                                    7.572 units on Not Gustafsson Inside the Distance at -120 to win 6.31 units;

                                                    1.6 units on Gustafsson by TKO/KO at +250 to win 4 units;
                                                    1.778 units on Gustafsson by TKO/KO at +225 to win 4.01 units;
                                                    6 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at -120 to win 5 units;

                                                    1.567 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at -125 to win 1.254 units;

                                                    0.746 units on Gustafsson/Thiago Silva to end by TKO/KO at 1.268 units.

                                                    Total stake: 183.075 units

                                                    Return: 248.435 units

                                                    Profit: +65.35 units (+96.435 units inc' Siyar arb and Madadi play)


                                                    Also have below parlay pending (as long as Overeem is still fighting!):


                                                    Parlay (double): 6.313 units on Stann/Sakara to Not Go the Distance (-170), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 5.05 units.


                                                    On to UFC 145 next weekend...
                                                    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3els3wlnLM





                                                    Last edited by Vaughany; 04-15-12, 07:52 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vaughany
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                      • 45563

                                                      #5416
                                                      Pending UFC 145 plays:

                                                      Originally posted by Vaughany



                                                      15.633 units on Schaub at -250 to win 6.253 units;



                                                      Parlay: 6.373 units on Miocic (-440), Simpson/Markes Starts Round 2 (-765), Ellenberger/Sanchez Starts Round 2 (-410), Not Bader Inside the Distance (-905), Schaub (-260), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 18.554 units;


                                                      Parlay: 6.371 units Simpson/Markes Starts Round 2 (-593), Not Bader Inside the Distance (-905), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-900) to win 5.814 units;


                                                      1.578 units on Udinese Advances (-182), AC Milan 1st Halft PK (-167), Miocic (-440), Not Bader Inside the Distance (-905), Rory MacDonald (-380), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-600) to win 6.275 units;



                                                      5.625 units on Ellenberger (-250), Jones (-400), & Anderson Silva (-225) to win 8.594 units;


                                                      5.625 units on Sonnen (-225), & Jones (-400) to win 4.531 units;



                                                      2.273 units on Ben Henderson (+110), & Jones (-400) to win 3.694 units;


                                                      1.523 units on Jones/Evans to End by TKO/KO at -120 to win 1.269 units;


                                                      3.157 units on Noons/Thomson to Go the Distance (-185), Jones Inside the Distance (-172), & JDS/Overeem to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 5.56 units;


                                                      Parlay (double): 15.977 units on Maiquel Falcao (-345), & Jones/Evans to Not Go the Distance (-295) to win 11.617 units;


                                                      Parlay (double): 50 units on Saunders (-275), & Rory MacDonald (-400) to win 35.327 units;


                                                      Adding 124.545 units on Rory MacDonald at -400, will arb out with Che Mills straight up when he reaches +450 to +500 range which I think he will by fight time. Or I'll take Mills by TKO/KO as can't see him winning by sub or decision. Either way, will act as coverage for the pending parlays I have involving Rory Mac, and I'll probably have MacDonald Submission of the Night as well.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #5417
                                                        Other pending plays for future events:

                                                        Originally posted by vaughany

                                                        Parlay (double): 6.313 units on Stann/Sakara to not go the distance (-170), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 5.05 units;



                                                        Parlay: 3.191 units on Ellenberger (-375), Edgar/henderson to go the distance (-280), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-600) to win 3.208 units;


                                                        Parlay: 6.371 units on Herman/struve to not go the distance (-420), Ellenberger/sanchez starts round 2 (-445), Pat barry (-205), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-600) to win 10.402 units;


                                                        Parlay:6.306 units on Mighty mouse/mccall starts round 3 (-360), Benavidez/urushitani starts round 2 (-377), Rousey/tate to not go the distance (-380), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 8.289 units.


                                                        Parlay: 6.315 units on
                                                        Te-huna inside distance (-175), Rousey/tate to not go the distance (-380), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 7.891 units;


                                                        Parlay (double): 6.315 units on
                                                        Rousey inside the distance (-165), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 5.18 units;


                                                        Parlay: 1.577 units on
                                                        Semerzier/pineda under 2.5 rounds (-110), Te-huna (-325), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 2.884 units;


                                                        Parlay (double): 15.795 units on Maiquel falcao (-345), & Jds/overeem to not go the distance (-750) to win 7.295 units;


                                                        1 unit on Cerrone at -250 to win 0.4 units;


                                                        1 unit on Boetsch at +240 to win 2.4 units;


                                                        Parlay (treble): 6.294 units on Ben saunders (-300), Not Nate Diaz inside distance (-635), & not Jds/overeem to go the distance (-900) to win 4.499 units;


                                                        Parlay (double): 6.294 units on Myles Jury (-185), & Not Nate Diaz inside distance (-635) to win 4.929 units.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • the josh
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 03-20-12
                                                          • 115

                                                          #5418
                                                          V, youre a champion.

                                                          +2.8u for the night

                                                          Didnt follow the usual betting system for the next event, have way too much on some fighters, hopefully that doesnt **** me.

                                                          Was watching your argument with fight ghost. made me laugh.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #5419
                                                            Originally posted by the josh
                                                            V, youre a champion.

                                                            +2.8u for the night

                                                            Didnt follow the usual betting system for the next event, have way too much on some fighters, hopefully that doesnt **** me.

                                                            Was watching your argument with fight ghost. made me laugh.
                                                            Cheers buddy, good job

                                                            ha yeah, I just thought it was pretty funny that he was saying DeBlass has zero heart and cardio when he stepped in on 12 days notice with an ankle injury! Then got about 6 tweets in a row from him
                                                            Comment
                                                            • the josh
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-20-12
                                                              • 115

                                                              #5420
                                                              Yea.. It was obvious that that was an ill prepared fighter in there. Would have been a sad fight for me if i didnt have money on Diabete.

                                                              Fight ghost is a knowledgable dude, but that made me sad. I hate people who shit all over fighters. At least do it politely if you have a problem with someone.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bjpenn85
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 5059

                                                                #5421
                                                                Good job as always V. No point even having a thread with your merits.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gabe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 7405

                                                                  #5422
                                                                  Might wanna arb out of that play on Rory.

                                                                  I'm gonna be on Che, big.

                                                                  A similar version of the Siyar/Thiago fight would be beautiful. 2 quick KO's in his first 2 fights. I def think he can put Rory away, if he connects.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • v1y
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-02-11
                                                                    • 1138

                                                                    #5423
                                                                    rory mac inside distance at -166 is the play all day.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • the josh
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-20-12
                                                                      • 115

                                                                      #5424
                                                                      ill be playing che KO line to keep me safe.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                        • 45563

                                                                        #5425
                                                                        Originally posted by gabe
                                                                        Might wanna arb out of that play on Rory.

                                                                        I'm gonna be on Che, big.

                                                                        A similar version of the Siyar/Thiago fight would be beautiful. 2 quick KO's in his first 2 fights. I def think he can put Rory away, if he connects.
                                                                        I will be as I said! Just waiting for Mills by TKO/KO
                                                                        Comment
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