Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #3816
    Originally posted by Vaughany
    Adding:


    10.301 units on Russow at -160 to win 6.438 units.
    Added more to Russow at -160 and arbed out with Einemo at +190. Will make now make 3.32 units if Einemo wins, 0r 0.325 units profit if Russow wins.
    Comment
    • Educ8d Degener8
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-10
      • 3177

      #3817
      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
      what I recall from that fight is Dunham taking Griffins back and staying there for at least one round
      It was quite the intimate affair with Dunham implementing the "monkey-on-my-back" maneuver for a good portion of the bout...



      The discrepancy in weight classes between these two monkeys seems a bit unfair...

      Comment
      • varkolek
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-17-11
        • 230

        #3818
        Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
        what I recall from that fight is Dunham taking Griffins back and staying there for at least one round
        Griffin gives up his back a lot, Sean Sherk actually said that in the post-fight interview after beating Griffin. Sean Sherk and Evan Dunham both took Griffin's back for a long time. I think at least one other person did also, but can't remember.
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #3819
          Check out Sean McCorkle on mmahour... http://www.mmafighting.com/

          Some funny gags involving Hermes Franca, Houston Alexander, and Lesnar!
          Comment
          • bjpenn85
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-17-11
            • 5059

            #3820
            same play here, but i didnt have any money left on moneybookers, had to buy einemo at 2.80, for 2units of profit of he wins.
            Comment
            • Sano
              SBR Rookie
              • 01-14-12
              • 19

              #3821
              Hey Vaughany. Great thread.

              What is your view on Maia vs Weidman? I think it's a pretty even fight, Weidman is strong, but Maia has developed. He is more well rounded and experienced. The line is +130 for Maia at the place I am betting. Sounds like it warrants a small play imo.

              Also, Bisping is like +350. I mean, I expect Sonnen to win, but still. Imo Bisping has more than a 22% chance of winning, he is way more well rounded than Stan. Thoughts?
              Comment
              • gabe
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-12-11
                • 7405

                #3822
                Originally posted by Sano
                Hey Vaughany. Great thread.

                What is your view on Maia vs Weidman? I think it's a pretty even fight, Weidman is strong, but Maia has developed. He is more well rounded and experienced. The line is +130 for Maia where I am betting. Sounds like it warrants a small play imo.

                Also, Bisping is like +350. I mean, I expect Sonnen to win, but still. Imo Bisping has more than a 22% chance of winning, he is way more well rounded than Stan. Thoughts?
                I'd say both of those fighters are the right play, but losses shouldn't come as a surprise.
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #3823
                  Originally posted by bjpenn85
                  same play here, but i didnt have any money left on moneybookers, had to buy einemo at 2.80, for 2units of profit of he wins.
                  Do u use moneybookers to deposit into Sportbet and BM?
                  Comment
                  • Mr.Kitty
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-10-09
                    • 1880

                    #3824
                    Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8
                    It was quite the intimate affair with Dunham implementing the "monkey-on-my-back" maneuver for a good portion of the bout... The discrepancy in weight classes between these two monkeys seems a bit unfair...
                    Ha! Reminded me of this video posted below. According to this Kung Fu expert MMA fighters use the baby monkey technique 65% of the time in the cage

                    Check out the sweet monkey spinning armbar he does @1.28min

                    Comment
                    • Sano
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 01-14-12
                      • 19

                      #3825
                      Originally posted by gabe
                      I'd say both of those fighters are the right play, but losses shouldn't come as a surprise.
                      Thanks Gabe, but I would like to hear what Vaughany's thinks also
                      Comment
                      • Vaughany
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 03-07-10
                        • 45563

                        #3826
                        Originally posted by Sano
                        Thanks Gabe, but I would like to hear what Vaughany's thinks also
                        ha yeah, pretty much stated the obvious there Gabe!

                        Will give my thoughts on those two fights shortly bro
                        Comment
                        • bjpenn85
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-17-11
                          • 5059

                          #3827
                          i use moneybookers to deposit to 5dimes and neteller into bookmaker. Bookmaker and moneybookers have parted ill guess after bookmaker got investigated.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #3828
                            Originally posted by bjpenn85
                            i use moneybookers to deposit to 5dimes and neteller into bookmaker. Bookmaker and moneybookers have parted ill guess after bookmaker got investigated.
                            Ah right...tht was what I was gonna say. Went to deposit in to BM the other day through moneybookers and obviously couldnt. So have had to set up a neteller account but gotta go through the hassle of uploading all the documents and verification bullsh*t! Can only transfer £112 or something in to bookmaker until ive been verified on neteller
                            Comment
                            • Sano
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-14-12
                              • 19

                              #3829
                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                              ha yeah, pretty much stated the obvious there Gabe!

                              Will give my thoughts on those two fights shortly bro
                              Great! You are doing a good job here
                              Comment
                              • bjpenn85
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-17-11
                                • 5059

                                #3830
                                especially right now...where i can se another opportunity to free money with einemo at 2.9 and russow at 1.62 at bookmaker...fakk fakk fakk
                                Comment
                                • gabe
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-12-11
                                  • 7405

                                  #3831
                                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                                  ha yeah, pretty much stated the obvious there Gabe!

                                  Will give my thoughts on those two fights shortly bro
                                  You're the King of stating the obvious lol
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #3832
                                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                    especially right now...where i can se another opportunity to free money with einemo at 2.9 and russow at 1.62 at bookmaker...fakk fakk fakk
                                    Russow -160 on pinnacle.. EDIT just noticed he's now +150 on WH
                                    Comment
                                    • NunyaBidness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 07-26-09
                                      • 9345

                                      #3833
                                      Was -145 on bodog's openers. I expect the line to move slightly that direction by close.
                                      Comment
                                      • PunisherIND
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-24-11
                                        • 4980

                                        #3834
                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                        Russow -160 on pinnacle.. EDIT just noticed he's now +150 on WH
                                        +150?!? and i thought i got a good price at -145 on bodog.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vaughany
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 03-07-10
                                          • 45563

                                          #3835
                                          Originally posted by PunisherIND
                                          +150?!? and i thought i got a good price at -145 on bodog.
                                          No sorry, I meant Einemo is now at +150 as BJPenn was talking about arbing Russow at -160 with Einemo at +190 on William Hill
                                          Comment
                                          • koscheckbaby
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-05-10
                                            • 1314

                                            #3836
                                            Isn't it surprising that the Einemo line is actually now going down? I figured Russow would close at like -300. I mean, I'm leery of the fight, since Einemo probably shook some rust off his last fight, and HWs can always be a battle of who lands first. But at a close number, I'm surprised people aren't all over Russow, who showed he can win a fight after impersonating a pinata.
                                            Comment
                                            • koscheckbaby
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-05-10
                                              • 1314

                                              #3837
                                              I want to be on Dunham. But why didn't he finish Shamar Bailey? That guy is a ******* can. Dunham only decisioned him. Did Guillard beat the good out of Dunham?
                                              Comment
                                              • The Fobfather
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-25-12
                                                • 156

                                                #3838
                                                There's been some crazy movement on the russow line. Wish I jumped in when the lines opened.
                                                Comment
                                                • NunyaBidness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-26-09
                                                  • 9345

                                                  #3839
                                                  Originally posted by koscheckbaby
                                                  Isn't it surprising that the Einemo line is actually now going down? I figured Russow would close at like -300. I mean, I'm leery of the fight, since Einemo probably shook some rust off his last fight, and HWs can always be a battle of who lands first. But at a close number, I'm surprised people aren't all over Russow, who showed he can win a fight after impersonating a pinata.
                                                  Perception. Einemo came off an exciting fight that he was winning in spots, Russow is remembered best for getting punched 200 times until the dude couldn't punch him anymore and collapsed from exhaustion.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • koscheckbaby
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-05-10
                                                    • 1314

                                                    #3840
                                                    Russow's last performance was a dominating win of Jon Madsen, who a lot of people were perceiving to be the Jon Fitch of HW. Russow was fresh going into the 3rd round as well. Einemo lost to Pee Wee Herman and gassed early. Figured that'd at least make -300
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vaughany
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                      • 45563

                                                      #3841
                                                      Also, people remember tht Einemo was an ADCC Champion beating Roger Gracie. Has also beaten Alexandre Ferreira and Rolles Gracie so some put a lot of stock in that accomplishment. I guess they also think that he can compete standing as he trains at Golden Glory. Furthermore, he'd been out for ages before the Herman fight so had to shake of the cobwebs, while Russow hasn't fought in 10 months and we haven't really seen him tested on the ground. Both the Duffee and Madsen fights were 100% standing if I remember correctly?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Beelzebubzy
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-06-11
                                                        • 6995

                                                        #3842
                                                        What aboutthe mccully fight
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vaughany
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 03-07-10
                                                          • 45563

                                                          #3843
                                                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                          What aboutthe mccully fight
                                                          That was three rounds of Russow putting McCully on his back and controlling him on the ground whilst the audience booed. I highly doubt Russow will have the same strategy against Einemo so u can't take much from tht fight. Had it been the other way round and been Russow on his back for three rounds then yes tht fight would be very relevant (as Einemo is likely to be the one looking to get the takedown and be on top if he's smart).
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bjpenn85
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5059

                                                            #3844
                                                            didnt russow stuff takedown and reversing madsen a whole lot? if i remeber correctly the fight was both standing and on the ground were russow just seemed better everywhere..i may be wrong..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vaughany
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 03-07-10
                                                              • 45563

                                                              #3845
                                                              Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                              didnt russow stuff takedown and reversing madsen a whole lot? if i remeber correctly the fight was both standing and on the ground were russow just seemed better everywhere..i may be wrong..
                                                              Yeah I think Russow stuffed one half-hearted takedown attempt and then got Madsen to the mat for a minute and took his back at one stage but not much happened at all. The crowd were also booing in this one too! The main reason I liked Russow in first place was that he has the wrestling to stop the take-down. But we haven't seen what he's like on his back which is why I've arbed out.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #3846
                                                                Adding:


                                                                8.823 units on Sonnen by Decision at -117.65 to win 7.5 units;

                                                                3.046 units on Sonnen by Decision at -120 to win 2.538 units;

                                                                5.048 units on Sonnen/Bisping to Go the Distance at -200 to win 2.524 units.



                                                                Wouldn't play Sonnen by Decision at worse than -120 and wouldnt play fight goes distance at worse than -200. I also have about 30 units on Sonnen straight-up at -350 which I will use as an arb with Bisping straight-up. Hoping to get Bisping at +400 though. Will probably have fight starts Round 2 in a couple of parlays as well.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bjpenn85
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                                  • 5059

                                                                  #3847
                                                                  Me to. I have learned that 50 50 can be pretty bad. In vegas i went for red on the roulette, black showed up 15 times. im happy with my 2 units in this fight.

                                                                  btw life is too shirt is hiiiiiiilarious
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Vaughany
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                                    • 45563

                                                                    #3848
                                                                    Originally posted by bjpenn85
                                                                    Me to. I have learned that 50 50 can be pretty bad. In vegas i went for red on the roulette, black showed up 15 times. im happy with my 2 units in this fight.

                                                                    btw life is too shirt is hiiiiiiilarious
                                                                    haha Glad ur enjoying it. What episode are u up to? It's funny because after the first episode everybody was saying it wasn't that funny and that the only funny thing Ricky Gervais has ever done was the Office (which also got a lot of bad reviews after the first episode then became a massive hit). Then by the third or fourth episode of Life's Too Short it was pretty clear that Gervais had created another genius show! It's ultimate cringe and although nothing will ever top the Office it is still superb and as good as Extras (which was also amazing!).
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Vaughany
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 03-07-10
                                                                      • 45563

                                                                      #3849
                                                                      One of the trailers for Life's Too Short for those that haven't heard of it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R4OIZJljMWA

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bjpenn85
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 5059

                                                                        #3850
                                                                        Good point. In the beginning i felt like the show was to typical gervais, and just to similar to his previous work. But like you said, it is faaaaakkking funny after a while.
                                                                        Comment
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