Snowball's Live Chases & Fades

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30056

    #71
    Tigers RL chase completed (1)
    White Sox chase completed (1)

    Summary:

    29 chases/fades won on 1st game
    14 on 2nd game
    2 on 3rd
    1 on 4th
    1 discontinued after 4th
    Success Rate: 97.77 %

    active
    (3) Athletics chase +106
    (2) Dodgers fade (Pirates -128)

    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30056

      #72
      Athletics chase completed (3)
      Dodgers fade completed (2)

      Summary:

      29 chases/fades won on 1st game
      15 on 2nd game
      3 on 3rd game

      Change to system: Although there were only 2 instances in which I chased to a
      Fourth game, one loss and one win, (wash) I'm not going to keep those two in the tally
      anymore, because I am limiting the system to a 3-game chase.

      active
      (1) Diamondbacks RL chase (-115)
      (1) Tigers RL chase (-120)
      (1) Mariners chase (-128)
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #73
        havnt been around as much lately, till this last weekend, didnt notice this thread till now..hope it going well snow...dbags rl only bet i made today so we on same page there, wasnt really thinking bout it in chase terms, hopefully wont even have to worry bout but yea gotta think they can beat stros down one of these gms...
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30056

          #74
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          havnt been around as much lately, till this last weekend, didnt notice this thread till now..hope it going well snow...dbags rl only bet i made today so we on same page there, wasnt really thinking bout it in chase terms, hopefully wont even have to worry bout but yea gotta think they can beat stros down one of these gms...
          bank my friend, take a look through this thread from the start..
          you're looking at a 98% win percentage. This combo pick/chase
          system is the "holy grail". I found it.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #75
            Originally posted by Snowball
            bank my friend, take a look through this thread from the start..
            you're looking at a 98% win percentage. This combo pick/chase
            system is the "holy grail". I found it.
            i remember looking when you first started it and thought you had a really good idea brewing, doesnt surprise me at all it is going well as i respect your opinion..
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30056

              #76
              Originally posted by 2daBank
              i remember looking when you first started it and thought you had a really good idea brewing, doesnt surprise me at all it is going well as i respect your opinion..
              yeah, the thread is running at approximately 45x starting funds, not counting
              unit expansion.
              Comment
              • 7secondsOrLess
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-10
                • 1576

                #77
                wat made u limit it to 3?
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30056

                  #78
                  Originally posted by 7secondsOrLess
                  wat made u limit it to 3?
                  1. The goal has always been to finish the chase/fade ASAP. I've done well
                  with that. Only 4% (2/49) chases needed a 4th game. So, it should not
                  impact the winning at all.
                  2. When I pick the entry points, I only look 2-3 games ahead... so, the 4th
                  starts to journey into the unknown too far.
                  3. If a team loses 3 straight, or can't win by the RL in 3 straight, they have
                  issues that were not forseen, and rather than commit 4x to garnish a
                  single unit, it's probably best to cut the cord. They may always be revisited
                  after skipping the 4th game as a brand new chase.
                  Comment
                  • Gambaholic
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 08-16-12
                    • 4

                    #79
                    Do you ever have plans to incorporate different unit amounts?

                    I.E. Dropping 2 units on the diamondbacks RL chase because they're playing astros.
                    Comment
                    • ridims
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-15-10
                      • 3863

                      #80
                      Originally posted by Snowball
                      Athletics chase completed (3)
                      Dodgers fade completed (2)

                      Summary:

                      29 chases/fades won on 1st game
                      15 on 2nd game
                      3 on 3rd game

                      Change to system: Although there were only 2 instances in which I chased to a
                      Fourth game, one loss and one win, (wash) I'm not going to keep those two in the tally
                      anymore, because I am limiting the system to a 3-game chase.

                      active
                      (1) Diamondbacks RL chase (-115)
                      (1) Tigers RL chase (-120)
                      (1) Mariners chase (-128)
                      Nice sweep!!!
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Snowball
                        yeah, the thread is running at approximately 45x starting funds, not counting
                        unit expansion.
                        very nice...
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30056

                          #82
                          Originally posted by Gambaholic
                          Do you ever have plans to incorporate different unit amounts?

                          I.E. Dropping 2 units on the diamondbacks RL chase because they're playing astros.
                          no.
                          Comment
                          • nosaij
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-16-12
                            • 986

                            #83
                            whats the play for tonight boss?
                            Comment
                            • Snowball
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-15-09
                              • 30056

                              #84
                              Tigers RL chase completed (1)
                              Diamondbacks RL chase completed (1)
                              Mariners chase completed (1)

                              Summary:
                              32 chases/fades won on 1st game
                              15 on 2nd game
                              3 on 3rd game
                              1 on 4th game
                              1 discontinued after 4th

                              active
                              (1) Mets chase +133
                              (1) Marlins +1.5 RL fade (Rockies RL +150)
                              (1) Giants fade (Padres -105)
                              (1) Tigers RL chase -101

                              note: the reason why I am fading Marlins +1.5 instead of
                              chasing Rockies RL is if it goes to 3, I would rather have
                              the D-backs -1.5 hosting Miami than the Rockies -1.5 at Mets.

                              I am also putting the two 4th game results back in the Summary.
                              I feel torn on whether to keep options open on any
                              chase reaching a 4th game. They will be evaulated on an
                              individual basis.
                              Comment
                              • 7secondsOrLess
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-10
                                • 1576

                                #85
                                love those tigers huh
                                Comment
                                • Snowball
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-15-09
                                  • 30056

                                  #86
                                  Mets chase completed (1)

                                  Summary:
                                  33 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                  15 on 2nd game
                                  3 on 3rd game
                                  1 on 4th game
                                  1 discontinued after 4th

                                  active
                                  (2) Marlins +1.5 RL fade (take Rockies ML here because they are +115)
                                  (2) Giants fade (Padres +118)
                                  (2) Tigers RL chase +109
                                  Comment
                                  • Snowball
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-15-09
                                    • 30056

                                    #87
                                    Marlins fade completed (2)
                                    Giants fade completed (2)

                                    Summary:
                                    33 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                    17 on 2nd game
                                    3 on 3rd game
                                    1 on 4th game
                                    1 discontinued after 4th

                                    active
                                    (3) Tigers RL (day off)
                                    (1) Braves chase +127
                                    (1) Rangers RL chase +115
                                    (1) Athletics RL chase +125


                                    Comment
                                    • nosaij
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-16-12
                                      • 986

                                      #88
                                      gl
                                      Comment
                                      • AceKingHigh
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-23-09
                                        • 3888

                                        #89
                                        starting to follow again lol, re-deposited haha
                                        Comment
                                        • Snowball
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 30056

                                          #90
                                          Rangers RL chase completed (1)

                                          Summary:
                                          34 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                          17 on 2nd game
                                          3 on 3rd game
                                          1 on 4th game
                                          1 discontinued after 4th

                                          active
                                          (3) Tigers RL chase -110
                                          (2) Athletics RL chase +140
                                          (2) Braves chase +158

                                          Comment
                                          • Snowball
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-15-09
                                            • 30056

                                            #91
                                            Tigers RL chase completed (3)
                                            Athletics RL chase completed (2)

                                            Summary:

                                            34 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                            18 on 2nd game
                                            4 on 3rd game
                                            1 on 4th game
                                            1 discontinued after 4th
                                            overall successful chase/fade rate: 98.27%

                                            active
                                            (3) Braves chase -112
                                            (1) Marlins +1.5 fade (Diamondbacks RL +130)
                                            (1) Padres fade (Pirates -130)
                                            (1) Cardinals RL chase -120

                                            note: doubleheader in Arizona. fade on Marlins +1.5
                                            moves to Gm2 at night if Gm1 loses.
                                            Comment
                                            • Snowball
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 11-15-09
                                              • 30056

                                              #92
                                              ok, Arizona won 3-2 in Gm1, but we are on the RL
                                              so we have to play tonight's.

                                              active
                                              (3) Braves chase -112
                                              (2) Marlins +1.5 fade (Diamondbacks RL +100)
                                              (1) Padres fade (Pirates -130)
                                              (1) Cardinals RL chase -120
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30056

                                                #93
                                                Braves chase completed (3)
                                                Marlins +1.5 fade completed (2)
                                                Cardinals RL chase completed (1)

                                                Summary:

                                                35 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                                19 on 2nd game
                                                5 on 3rd game
                                                1 on 4th game
                                                1 discontinued after 4th
                                                successful chase/fade rate: 98.36%

                                                active
                                                (2) Padres fade (day off)
                                                (1) Braves chase -116
                                                Comment
                                                • altieriflyers
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-23-12
                                                  • 777

                                                  #94
                                                  Good Job!!! Keep em coming. BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Snowball
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-15-09
                                                    • 30056

                                                    #95
                                                    Summary:
                                                    35 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                                    19 on 2nd game
                                                    5 on 3rd game
                                                    1 on 4th game
                                                    1 discontinued after 4th

                                                    active
                                                    (2) Padres fade (Diamondbacks -178)
                                                    (2) Braves chase +105
                                                    (1) Pirates chase +108

                                                    things are going to be slowing down here, guys.. we're heading
                                                    into the final month of the regular season. That's when
                                                    things get too dicey to use a chase/fade strategy.
                                                    Sometime over the next 7-14 days, it's likely I will end the system for 2012.
                                                    So there will be a few weeks of no action until I apply the
                                                    same system to NHL beginning first week of October.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • AceKingHigh
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                      • 3888

                                                      #96
                                                      Cant wait to do cya in th nhl!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Snowball
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 30056

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                                        Cant wait to do cya in th nhl!
                                                        yeah, I'm getting psyched for the NHL. Going to study during our layoff.
                                                        will be nice to see how much we can make in an entire season.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nosaij
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 03-16-12
                                                          • 986

                                                          #98
                                                          does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

                                                          thanks
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cboogie
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-23-12
                                                            • 568

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by nosaij
                                                            does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

                                                            thanks
                                                            Hope no one chased the bucs lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Snowball
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 11-15-09
                                                              • 30056

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by nosaij
                                                              does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

                                                              thanks
                                                              i don't think so. reason being that NFL money lines are often too high chalk.
                                                              same with NCAA. plus, the seasons are too short and home teams cost too much premium.
                                                              Football and Basketball are not going to work with this.
                                                              Which is why it's important to segregate strategies.
                                                              The record here speaks volumes, it's just steady dollars.
                                                              The other sports and spot betting and point betting is
                                                              just raw gambilng.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • altieriflyers
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-23-12
                                                                • 777

                                                                #101
                                                                Can“t wait for hockey season with your system snowball, you are going to kick some butt

                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30056

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Summary:
                                                                  35 chases/fades won on 1st game
                                                                  19 on 2nd game
                                                                  5 on 3rd game
                                                                  1 on 4th game
                                                                  1 discontinued after 4th

                                                                  active
                                                                  (3) Padres fade (Diamondbacks -179)
                                                                  (3) Braves chase +137
                                                                  (2) Pirates chase -106
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • nosaij
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-16-12
                                                                    • 986

                                                                    #103
                                                                    hope braves pull through today. So much juice on dbags
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Snowball
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                                      • 30056

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by nosaij
                                                                      hope braves pull through today. So much juice on dbags
                                                                      i know, this system has never laid this kind of juice before. I don't usually lay
                                                                      anything over -140, but i had to follow the Padres fade into the Dbacks
                                                                      series, and they were overpriced last night.. still, if they get it done tonight
                                                                      which is likely, it's a winner.
                                                                      If you look at the last week and compare it to all the other plays in the system
                                                                      you can see it's just about time to walk away. I may just ride these out and
                                                                      call it over. Walking away a big winner is THE time to walk away.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nosaij
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 03-16-12
                                                                        • 986

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by Snowball
                                                                        i know, this system has never laid this kind of juice before. I don't usually lay
                                                                        anything over -140, but i had to follow the Padres fade into the Dbacks
                                                                        series, and they were overpriced last night.. still, if they get it done tonight
                                                                        which is likely, it's a winner.
                                                                        If you look at the last week and compare it to all the other plays in the system
                                                                        you can see it's just about time to walk away. I may just ride these out and
                                                                        call it over. Walking away a big winner is THE time to walk away.
                                                                        100% agree mate! again, cant wait for HOCKEY TIME snow!!! GL
                                                                        Comment
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