Snowball's Live Chases & Fades

[Snowball]

Tigers RL chase completed (1)
White Sox chase completed (1)

Summary:
29 chases/fades won on 1st game
14 on 2nd game
2 on 3rd
1 on 4th
1 discontinued after 4th
Success Rate: 97.77 %

active
(3) Athletics chase +106
(2) Dodgers fade (Pirates -128)

[Snowball]

Athletics chase completed (3)
Dodgers fade completed (2)

Summary:
29 chases/fades won on 1st game
15 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game

Change to system: Although there were only 2 instances in which I chased to a
Fourth game, one loss and one win, (wash) I'm not going to keep those two in the tally
anymore, because I am limiting the system to a 3-game chase.

active
(1) Diamondbacks RL chase (-115)
(1) Tigers RL chase (-120)
(1) Mariners chase (-128)

[2daBank]

havnt been around as much lately, till this last weekend, didnt notice this thread till now..hope it going well snow...dbags rl only bet i made today so we on same page there, wasnt really thinking bout it in chase terms, hopefully wont even have to worry bout but yea gotta think they can beat stros down one of these gms...

[Snowball]

havnt been around as much lately, till this last weekend, didnt notice this thread till now..hope it going well snow...dbags rl only bet i made today so we on same page there, wasnt really thinking bout it in chase terms, hopefully wont even have to worry bout but yea gotta think they can beat stros down one of these gms...

bank my friend, take a look through this thread from the start..
you're looking at a 98% win percentage. This combo pick/chase
system is the "holy grail". I found it.

[2daBank]

bank my friend, take a look through this thread from the start..
you're looking at a 98% win percentage. This combo pick/chase
system is the "holy grail". I found it.

i remember looking when you first started it and thought you had a really good idea brewing, doesnt surprise me at all it is going well as i respect your opinion..

[Snowball]

i remember looking when you first started it and thought you had a really good idea brewing, doesnt surprise me at all it is going well as i respect your opinion..

yeah, the thread is running at approximately 45x starting funds, not counting
unit expansion.

[7secondsOrLess]

wat made u limit it to 3?

[Snowball]

wat made u limit it to 3?

1. The goal has always been to finish the chase/fade ASAP. I've done well
with that. Only 4% (2/49) chases needed a 4th game. So, it should not
impact the winning at all.
2. When I pick the entry points, I only look 2-3 games ahead... so, the 4th
starts to journey into the unknown too far.
3. If a team loses 3 straight, or can't win by the RL in 3 straight, they have
issues that were not forseen, and rather than commit 4x to garnish a
single unit, it's probably best to cut the cord. They may always be revisited
after skipping the 4th game as a brand new chase.

[Gambaholic]

Do you ever have plans to incorporate different unit amounts?

I.E. Dropping 2 units on the diamondbacks RL chase because they're playing astros.

[ridims]

Athletics chase completed (3)
Dodgers fade completed (2)

Summary:
29 chases/fades won on 1st game
15 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game

Change to system: Although there were only 2 instances in which I chased to a
Fourth game, one loss and one win, (wash) I'm not going to keep those two in the tally
anymore, because I am limiting the system to a 3-game chase.

active
(1) Diamondbacks RL chase (-115)
(1) Tigers RL chase (-120)
(1) Mariners chase (-128)

Nice sweep!!!

[2daBank]

yeah, the thread is running at approximately 45x starting funds, not counting
unit expansion.

very nice...

[Snowball]

Do you ever have plans to incorporate different unit amounts?

I.E. Dropping 2 units on the diamondbacks RL chase because they're playing astros.

no.

[nosaij]

whats the play for tonight boss?

[Snowball]

Tigers RL chase completed (1)
Diamondbacks RL chase completed (1)
Mariners chase completed (1)

Summary:
32 chases/fades won on 1st game
15 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(1) Mets chase +133
(1) Marlins +1.5 RL fade (Rockies RL +150)
(1) Giants fade (Padres -105)
(1) Tigers RL chase -101

note: the reason why I am fading Marlins +1.5 instead of
chasing Rockies RL is if it goes to 3, I would rather have
the D-backs -1.5 hosting Miami than the Rockies -1.5 at Mets.

I am also putting the two 4th game results back in the Summary.
I feel torn on whether to keep options open on any
chase reaching a 4th game. They will be evaulated on an
individual basis.

[7secondsOrLess]

love those tigers huh

[Snowball]

Mets chase completed (1)

Summary:
33 chases/fades won on 1st game
15 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(2) Marlins +1.5 RL fade (take Rockies ML here because they are +115)
(2) Giants fade (Padres +118)
(2) Tigers RL chase +109

[Snowball]

Marlins fade completed (2)
Giants fade completed (2)

Summary:
33 chases/fades won on 1st game
17 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(3) Tigers RL (day off)
(1) Braves chase +127
(1) Rangers RL chase +115
(1) Athletics RL chase +125

[nosaij]

gl

[AceKingHigh]

starting to follow again lol, re-deposited haha

[Snowball]

Rangers RL chase completed (1)

Summary:
34 chases/fades won on 1st game
17 on 2nd game
3 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(3) Tigers RL chase -110
(2) Athletics RL chase +140
(2) Braves chase +158

[Snowball]

Tigers RL chase completed (3)
Athletics RL chase completed (2)

Summary:
34 chases/fades won on 1st game
18 on 2nd game
4 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th
overall successful chase/fade rate: 98.27%

active
(3) Braves chase -112
(1) Marlins +1.5 fade (Diamondbacks RL +130)
(1) Padres fade (Pirates -130)
(1) Cardinals RL chase -120

note: doubleheader in Arizona. fade on Marlins +1.5
moves to Gm2 at night if Gm1 loses.

[Snowball]

ok, Arizona won 3-2 in Gm1, but we are on the RL
so we have to play tonight's.

active
(3) Braves chase -112
(2) Marlins +1.5 fade (Diamondbacks RL +100)
(1) Padres fade (Pirates -130)
(1) Cardinals RL chase -120

[Snowball]

Braves chase completed (3)
Marlins +1.5 fade completed (2)
Cardinals RL chase completed (1)

Summary:
35 chases/fades won on 1st game
19 on 2nd game
5 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th
successful chase/fade rate: 98.36%

active
(2) Padres fade (day off)
(1) Braves chase -116

[altieriflyers]

Good Job!!! Keep em coming. BOL

[Snowball]

Summary:
35 chases/fades won on 1st game
19 on 2nd game
5 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(2) Padres fade (Diamondbacks -178)
(2) Braves chase +105
(1) Pirates chase +108

things are going to be slowing down here, guys.. we're heading
into the final month of the regular season. That's when
things get too dicey to use a chase/fade strategy.
Sometime over the next 7-14 days, it's likely I will end the system for 2012.
So there will be a few weeks of no action until I apply the
same system to NHL beginning first week of October.

[AceKingHigh]

Cant wait to do cya in th nhl!

[Snowball]

Cant wait to do cya in th nhl!

yeah, I'm getting psyched for the NHL. Going to study during our layoff.
will be nice to see how much we can make in an entire season.

[nosaij]

does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

thanks

[cboogie]

does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

thanks

Hope no one chased the bucs lol

[Snowball]

does this chase system work for nfl/college foot?

thanks

i don't think so. reason being that NFL money lines are often too high chalk.
same with NCAA. plus, the seasons are too short and home teams cost too much premium.
Football and Basketball are not going to work with this.
Which is why it's important to segregate strategies.
The record here speaks volumes, it's just steady dollars.
The other sports and spot betting and point betting is
just raw gambilng.

[altieriflyers]

Can´t wait for hockey season with your system snowball, you are going to kick some butt

[Snowball]

Summary:
35 chases/fades won on 1st game
19 on 2nd game
5 on 3rd game
1 on 4th game
1 discontinued after 4th

active
(3) Padres fade (Diamondbacks -179)
(3) Braves chase +137
(2) Pirates chase -106

[nosaij]

hope braves pull through today. So much juice on dbags

[Snowball]

hope braves pull through today. So much juice on dbags

i know, this system has never laid this kind of juice before. I don't usually lay
anything over -140, but i had to follow the Padres fade into the Dbacks
series, and they were overpriced last night.. still, if they get it done tonight
which is likely, it's a winner.
If you look at the last week and compare it to all the other plays in the system
you can see it's just about time to walk away. I may just ride these out and
call it over. Walking away a big winner is THE time to walk away.

[nosaij]

i know, this system has never laid this kind of juice before. I don't usually lay
anything over -140, but i had to follow the Padres fade into the Dbacks
series, and they were overpriced last night.. still, if they get it done tonight
which is likely, it's a winner.
If you look at the last week and compare it to all the other plays in the system
you can see it's just about time to walk away. I may just ride these out and
call it over. Walking away a big winner is THE time to walk away.

100% agree mate! again, cant wait for HOCKEY TIME snow!!! GL