on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

**Gndias** · 04-27-12, 06:14 AM

Originally posted by Taro Punk

no more chasing DET? lol

i wanna see if they win today agains the yanks

**DustyDiamond** · 04-27-12, 06:16 AM

Lot of action today!!

**Taro Punk** · 04-27-12, 06:22 AM

Originally posted by Gndias

i wanna see if they win today agains the yanks

hahaha

**RenoHightower** · 04-27-12, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by on3

System record 23-1-0; 6-0-0
Units +9.5
1 unit = $20

4/27

#25 -- chicago @ PHI -260/-120 (A) -- o/u 7 -- play RL
#26 -- pittsburgh @ ATL -185 (A) -- o/u 7
#27 -- ny mets @ COL -164 (A) -- o/u 9.5 -- eligible for 5/2 if (A) loses
#28 -- washington @ LAD -205/+115 (A) -- o/u 6 -- play RL
#29 -- seattle @ TOR -208/+100 (A) -- o/u 8 -- play RL
#30 -- houston @ CIN -147 (A) -- o/u 8

Game 1 win = 13-11; 4-2
Game 2 win = 8-3; 2-0
Game 3 win = 2-1; 0-0

Labby Line (regular)

15-22-21-77
x-10-10-76
10-10-10-83

reshuffle

40-37-41-37
x-45-x-41
10-30-30-33

Labby Line (filter)

x-10-15-x

PHI to win 40
ATL to win 37
COL to win 41
LAD bet 37
TOR to win 41
CIN to win 45

COL to win 25 -- filtered

**Gndias** · 04-27-12, 12:35 PM

forget the early lines...all lines went up...and its not only today

**domi** · 04-27-12, 02:29 PM

Glo good luck to day

**boycali01** · 04-27-12, 03:03 PM

Cin -138 right now are we playing it? Thank

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by boycali01

Cin -138 right now are we playing it? Thank

YES
on3 already has it posted.

**petters72** · 04-27-12, 03:47 PM

I am so confused...I forgot what I wanted to ask. So many numbers out there...

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by petters72

I am so confused...I forgot what I wanted to ask. So many numbers out there...

bet to win the amount that on3 posted... Simple

**Gamble32jn** · 04-27-12, 03:59 PM

PHI to win 40
ATL to win 37
COL to win 41
LAD bet 37
TOR to win 41
CIN to win 45

COL to win 25 -- filtered

Never seen so many plays by on3.....Im really thinking of firing 500 on each just cause I know on3 and how his system works. Never seen him fire this much in 1 night...Hell i aint seen him fire this much in a month...LOL

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 04:00 PM

I do not know why I did not think of this earlier, of course it will need a back test done, but for the filtered system since it went 63-0 last season. What did the other favorites do with the o/u at 9 or higher? I think take say -130 and higher will add a lot more plays to the filtered system, but would have to run it as a separate system once the back test is done.

I am assuming previous back test for the filtered was only tested on -145 and higher as the closing lines / opening lines. Anyone know if taking more favorites with the o/u at 9 or better is profitable? I will probably start back testing this this weekend if it has not been done already.

Thanks
jmd

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by Gamble32jn

PHI to win 40
ATL to win 37
COL to win 41
LAD bet 37
TOR to win 41
CIN to win 45

COL to win 25 -- filtered

Never seen so many plays by on3.....Im really thinking of firing 500 on each just cause I know on3 and how his system works. Never seen him fire this much in 1 night...Hell i aint seen him fire this much in a month...LOL

I think we had this many plays last week right? On3 doesn't make the lines he just follows them. If you put 500 down on each play and do that every day you will lose money by the end of the season. The line makers are smarter then we are. This system wins because we all labby it.

GL

**Gamble32jn** · 04-27-12, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

I think we had this many plays last week right? On3 doesn't make the lines he just follows them. If you put 500 down on each play and do that every day you will lose money by the end of the season. The line makers are smarter then we are. This system wins because we all labby it.

GL

This is the 1st I seen with the MLB labby system from on3. Didnt follow last year. NHL labby was very good. So basically you wouldnt bet all these games???

Rockies is my Fav pick. I was gonna fire it today anyways.

**aznknightt** · 04-27-12, 04:44 PM

How come Texas isn't a filtered play today? right now -146 and o/u 9

**dlunc3** · 04-27-12, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by aznknightt

How come Texas isn't a filtered play today? right now -146 and o/u 9

they opened well below -145.. but yea, we prob should be playing this series based on the current odds... lost all value if we do though at the current price

**redsox3g2** · 04-27-12, 05:08 PM

Originally posted by aznknightt

How come Texas isn't a filtered play today? right now -146 and o/u 9

Opened at -130

**dlunc3** · 04-27-12, 05:14 PM

Balls to the wall tonight

this system needs to carry us

gets get it done

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 06:32 PM

im jumping on texas for 2 units -1 line though.
-108 odds for the (-1) line.

Good Luck

NOT AN OFFICIAL PLAY
PLAY IT AT YOUR OWN RISK

**sweatypalms** · 04-27-12, 06:37 PM

first of all thanks to everyone for the work on this system

quick question - sorry if it has been asked before.

this is about the RL. I only have access to -1.5 or +1.5. I live in Vegas and have never seen a -1 or +1 at any of the casinos.

Should I still be playing that for example:

#25 -- chicago @ PHI -260/-120 (A) -- o/u 7 -- play RL

for today

Do I just take it at -1.5?

Thanks,
Peter

**on3** · 04-27-12, 06:38 PM

TEX could be added, but I think there needs to be more consistency with the fringe plays. I'll try and correct and be stricter with the opening lines and post earlier instead of later.

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 06:38 PM

Good Luck Dlunc.... Glad to see you jumped up a few thousand since I was in your thread last.

Sticking with the bet amounts based on unit size on3 post will net you a decent amount by years end... I think 70 units?

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by on3

TEX could be added, but I think there needs to be more consistency with the fringe plays. I'll try and correct and be stricter with the opening lines and post earlier instead of later.

I think basing it on the opening lines are fine... makes it to chaotic later on with all the line movement. You never know when a play will drop out of the system or join the system based on line movement.

We could just take a vote and base it on
1) opening lines
2) lines 1 hour before the 1st game starts
3) at your own discretion

Thanks for posting On3!!

**Gamble32jn** · 04-27-12, 07:29 PM

boy aint non of them looking good atm. Reds are getting murdered!! Figures cause thats the only one i bet on

**GGPLAYER** · 04-27-12, 07:31 PM

Where's Philly's bat's tonight?

**dlunc3** · 04-27-12, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

Where's Philly's bat's tonight?

left em on 1st and 3rd after stranding them in the first inning with no outs

**xgame** · 04-27-12, 07:45 PM

busy day

**Gamble32jn** · 04-27-12, 07:48 PM

LOL i pick the only team that is getting blasted outta the f-ing water...WOW is all i can say. Reds can suck a d1ck!!

**Gndias** · 04-27-12, 07:52 PM

its gonna be a bad night...

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 08:32 PM

wISH i was as lucky as you and only bet on one of them.

say average juice -150 2units a game so 3 units at risk = 18% of your bankrolls get wiped out today

grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

**alxsamsonov** · 04-27-12, 09:02 PM

wow. the jays rallied for 2 runs in the bottom of the 8th and their closer comes right back and gives back a run in the top of the ninth. buried.

**alxsamsonov** · 04-27-12, 09:08 PM

well at least he didn't get the save after giving up 2 runs. our only hope now is a walk-off 2 run HR

**WVU9494** · 04-27-12, 09:17 PM

As a big Philly fan going to have a real tough time going further in that series. The offense is one of the worst I have ever seen and Kendrick and Blanton are on the mound the next 2 days.

**alxsamsonov** · 04-27-12, 09:22 PM

Originally posted by WVU9494

As a big Philly fan going to have a real tough time going further in that series. The offense is one of the worst I have ever seen and Kendrick and Blanton are on the mound the next 2 days.

I was thinking the same thing. irregardless of what happens I'm laying off the Phillies for the next few days and will chalk them up as a loss. I don't want to risk losing any more units on them. Between this and system integrity I've been getting buried this week. At least the A3 plays from Dex have been hitting for me. up 15 units on them alone.

**xgame** · 04-27-12, 09:27 PM

50/50 tonight A Bet