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  • Redscot
    SBR MVP
    • 05-16-11
    • 2571

    #5636
    Lost money on that one with all of you but honestly, that stopped being a sick beat the inning before when the ump called a strike against Thole that was a joke and would have forced in the 7th run. Doesn't get Murphy off my shit list though . If you were watching the game, you know we were playing with house money after that call.
    Comment
    • Les_Nuts
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-01-12
      • 931

      #5637
      Originally posted by Redscot
      Lost money on that one with all of you but honestly, that stopped being a sick beat the inning before when the ump called a strike against Thole that was a joke and would have forced in the 7th run. Doesn't get Murphy off my shit list though . If you were watching the game, you know we were playing with house money after that call.
      Agreed. It's annoying but we caught a huge break there so it felt inevitable something was going to happen
      Comment
      • JM92
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-12
        • 1140

        #5638
        Originally posted by Redscot
        Lost money on that one with all of you but honestly, that stopped being a sick beat the inning before when the ump called a strike against Thole that was a joke and would have forced in the 7th run. Doesn't get Murphy off my shit list though . If you were watching the game, you know we were playing with house money after that call.
        I wasn't watching and like I said I know shit about baseball. But because of the number of hits I figured we were getting a little lucky. still sucks to lose in the last inning.
        Comment
        • Redscot
          SBR MVP
          • 05-16-11
          • 2571

          #5639
          Originally posted by JM92
          I wasn't watching and like I said I know shit about baseball. But because of the number of hits I figured we were getting a little lucky. still sucks to lose in the last inning.
          No doubt man, after we got away with the bad call I thought we were gonna slide by. It could not have been an easier grounder that Murphy muffed too, grrrrrrrrrr!
          Comment
          • absolutkaos
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-29-11
            • 213

            #5640
            tough night, that beat was a bad one, and now the Arizona game is at 8 runs in the 3rd....oooff....
            Comment
            • Sidetracked
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-21-09
              • 751

              #5641
              phillies game was a rough way to lose, i blame friday the 13th well get em tomm LTA
              Comment
              • H1Cypher
                SBR MVP
                • 12-25-11
                • 1494

                #5642
                Originally posted by WVU9494
                Used 5 dimes son. Now down $2650 in 2 months just on these picks (and basketball)
                Have not looked in depth in MLB just getting my feet wet very slowly. Have found not 1 person worth tailing because of the capacity/quantity of picks everyone releases on this forum. 3+ picks a day, not gonna tail especially on a sport where I dunno if I'm being led into dark waters or not.

                I notice with LTA you pretty much gotta catch every single pick. He is definitely a grinder; which is what it takes to make it in this game of sports gambling. If he is hot of course you can hop on for the ride, but you can do that with any capper during a hot streak(during my hot streaks you can take my picks and pull one out of a hat and you'll have a better than 3 in 4 chance of randomly picking a winner). If you don't have the time to check frequently for new plays I would not tail non-paid touts. That is just my personal opinion hope it helps you out and you start doing better =).

                Also, maybe look for a new book for baseball. Alot of times I see a baseball line and I go to 5dimes it usually is more juiced at dimes. Like I said just wetting my feet real slow but it looks like 5dimes has shitty odds on baseball.

                Hopefully I'm not a jinx but this guy Rich has been getting murdered in all sports he bets including baseball. He is a great fade lately, 0/4 today did Rich:

                Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                Last edited by H1Cypher; 04-14-12, 03:47 AM.
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #5643
                  Originally posted by H1Cypher
                  Have not looked in depth in MLB just getting my feet wet very slowly. Have found not 1 person worth tailing because of the capacity/quantity of picks everyone releases on this forum. 3+ picks a day, not gonna tail especially on a sport where I dunno if I'm being led into dark waters or not.

                  I notice with LTA you pretty much gotta catch every single pick. He is definitely a grinder; which is what it takes to make it in this game of sports gambling. If he is hot of course you can hop on for the ride, but you can do that with any capper during a hot streak(during my hot streaks you can take my picks and pull one out of a hat and you'll have a better than 3 in 4 chance of randomly picking a winner). If you don't have the time to check frequently for new plays I would not tail non-paid touts. That is just my personal opinion hope it helps you out and youstart doing better =).

                  Also, maybe look for a new book for baseball. Alot of times I see a baseball line and I go to 5dimes it usually is more juiced at dimes. Like I said just wetting my feet real slow but it looks like 5dimes has shitty odds on baseball
                  I am saying this in a nice way, but that post was very ignorant in parts. It sounds like you are a novice baseball investor, but you are giving advice about the proper way to invest therein. Why should one novice listen to your recommendations when you yourself admit you are new to baseball?

                  In baseball, you have ten to 15 games to choose from everyday. You need to play every game where you have an edge. Some days I have 5 plays and other days just one or none (e.g. yesterday I had two plays while a few days before I had seven). It all depends on the value of each play. If you are saying that one play a day is the best way to make money in baseball, then you are sorely mistaken and I would be happy to discuss further. However, it all comes down to calculating your expected value. If you don't maximize your edge, you are leaving profit on the table.

                  What is a non-paid tout? Please explain that term. While I agree that people should not tail anyone and should instead make their own plays, the fact of the matter is that people are going tail others because they don't have the skill, time or desire to make their own plays. Are you seriously recommending that people follow the lying, cheating scum of the earth touts instead of some of the guys who track their plays here for free? That is utter ridiculousness if that is the case. I do agree, however, that you cant cherry pick plays and if you are going to properly tail someone you should try to get all their plays. That does make tailing difficult and exactly why I recommend that people use my threads as a tool for learning how to make their own plays as opposed to just blindly tailing. In my year on SBR, countle people have told me I helped them do just that which is my ultimate goal and why I try to help.

                  Finally, you really expose yourself as uneducated about baseball investing when you imply that 5d is a bad baseball book and has "shitty" lines. 5d has 5 cent lines overnight, but otherwise sticks to dime lines while most other books are 20 cent lines. 5d is clearly and factually one of the best baseball books out there. I don't even play offshore, but if I were going to put my money anywhere, I would put it at 5d for the reduced juice. With all that said, you do need multiple options. I always recommend one sharp book such as 5d or Pinny and one book more like Legends, Blowdog or another square book where you can get good value on totals after the sharp books take a position.

                  All in all, you need to be careful about giving advice on baseball investing when you yourself are a novice to this market. If people want to learn, I recommend they read this thread from the start because both myself and many others contributed a wealth of baseball investing information in here last year throughout the season and its all documented in here along with my 1,100+ plays from last season that hit at 54% with total profit exceeding +40x.

                  Good luck buddy.
                  Last edited by Love The Action; 04-14-12, 10:44 AM.
                  Comment
                  • Love The Action
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-08-10
                    • 10952

                    #5644
                    MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/13/2012 Recap

                    0 - 2 = -2x

                    MLB 2012 Regular Season

                    15 - 14 = +1.03x

                    We have suffered quite a few tough beats this year already, but that's just part of the business. Good luck on Saturday.
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #5645
                      MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/14/2012

                      Play #1

                      Astros ML (+163) 1x (Locked)

                      This is great value for the better starting pitcher. Norris should pitch well tonight and Zambrano is a mental midget that has been hit hard by this Astros lineup, especially Lee. No time for a full writeup, but if the Astros can get Zambrano in trouble there is a good chance he falls apart. I have this game set at +148 giving us 15 cents of value and I am rolling with the Astros for 1x. Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • Redscot
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-16-11
                        • 2571

                        #5646
                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                        MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/14/2012

                        Play #1

                        Astros ML (+163) 1x (Locked)

                        This is great value for the better starting pitcher. Norris should pitch well tonight and Zambrano is a mental midget that has been hit hard by this Astros lineup, especially Lee. No time for a full writeup, but if the Astros can get Zambrano in trouble there is a good chance he falls apart. I have this game set at +148 giving us 15 cents of value and I am rolling with the Astros for 1x. Good luck.
                        I agree here, far too much value to pass up with this match up. Despite Marlins stadium looking like a pitchers park early, I also lean over in this one. Speed at the top of the Marlins line up can generate runs easy and the power bats in the middle bound to wake up at some point. Zambrano, nuff said. I like the chances of this one going over 7 runs personally, but may like the side better.

                        Cashed the Yanks under yesterday and like it again today. Zito throws one good game and now gets a 7 total, hmmm. Lean under in the Cubs game and also think there is value on the Cubs side. Also liking Neise at that price. BOL today bud
                        Comment
                        • pacocn
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-05-10
                          • 12934

                          #5647
                          Lta, I like the stros play, great value, norris should saw off
                          some louisville sluggers today
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #5648
                            Originally posted by Redscot
                            I agree here, far too much value to pass up with this match up. Despite Marlins stadium looking like a pitchers park early, I also lean over in this one. Speed at the top of the Marlins line up can generate runs easy and the power bats in the middle bound to wake up at some point. Zambrano, nuff said. I like the chances of this one going over 7 runs personally, but may like the side better.

                            Cashed the Yanks under yesterday and like it again today. Zito throws one good game and now gets a 7 total, hmmm. Lean under in the Cubs game and also think there is value on the Cubs side. Also liking Neise at that price. BOL today bud
                            I wanted to bet Samardzja and the Cubs yesterday, but chickened out. I will probably do the same today. Still need to do some work on that total though.

                            Good luck on the Yanks total, but I need to see more out of Hughes before I can back him on an under, especially with LAA's bullpen struggling right now.

                            I sort of like the Mets/Philly under but Niese also looks good.

                            I don't know if you've experienced this yet, but every day I look at the card, I want to back Washington on either the side or the under. I have already made nice money off them, but could have had more. They are quickly becoming one of my favorite teams as they specialize in pitching, defense and timely situational hitting which is the formula I recommend for success. Unfortunately, we are losing value on them quickly as the books catch up. Nevertheless, they are still a team that bears watching.
                            Comment
                            • Redscot
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-16-11
                              • 2571

                              #5649
                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                              I wanted to bet Samardzja and the Cubs yesterday, but chickened out. I will probably do the same today. Still need to do some work on that total though.

                              Good luck on the Yanks total, but I need to see more out of Hughes before I can back him on an under, especially with LAA's bullpen struggling right now.

                              I sort of like the Mets/Philly under but Niese also looks good.

                              I don't know if you've experienced this yet, but every day I look at the card, I want to back Washington on either the side or the under. I have already made nice money off them, but could have had more. They are quickly becoming one of my favorite teams as they specialize in pitching, defense and timely situational hitting which is the formula I recommend for success. Unfortunately, we are losing value on them quickly as the books catch up. Nevertheless, they are still a team that bears watching.
                              If Washington gets a healthy Storen back even more so. I have watched a number of their games too, and the situational hitting and working at bats (Desmond withstanding) has been impressive.

                              Had a small play on the Cubs yesterday, wish I had gone bigger, se la vie. I like Lynn, but -190ish in his 2nd career big league start! Volstad, well, he's not good, lol, but he isn't the 5 era pitcher from last year either imo.

                              Point taken on Hughes, his arm seems to be healthy though,maybe a pass today and keep an eye on him. I don't know if you recall me having a conversation with Highness before the season. I was alarmed when I crunched the Angels numbers that EVERY reliever projected regression. Lot of vets and good arms there though,they will round out.

                              This kid Wilk in Wsox game looks like he couldn't crack and egg with his FB, but is the typical lefty nibbler with good control. Floyd has some UGLY numbers against the Tigers lineup in a pretty decent sample size. How bout that Peavy! If he stays healthy he will have a big bounce back year imo.
                              Comment
                              • Redscot
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-16-11
                                • 2571

                                #5650
                                NYY: Hoye
                                Bos: Tichenor
                                Chi: Cederstrom -------------------63% home team win over 212 game sample size since 2005
                                StL: Cuzzi --------------------generous strike zone and 61% home team over 216 games
                                KC: Darling
                                SF: Hudson
                                Wsh: Tim Welke
                                Phi: Marquez -------------------62% home team over 180 games
                                Tor: Cousins
                                Mia: DeMuth
                                Atl: Guccione
                                Min: Rapuano ----------------------semi stingy strike zone
                                Col: Knight
                                Sea: Kellogg
                                LA: Bucknor

                                I include the umps who have over a 60% home team bias because it seems to be relevant. From the book Scorecasting:

                                For Major League Baseball, they write, "In baseball, it turns out that the most significant difference between home and away teams is that home teams strike out less and walk more—a lot more—per plate appearance than do away teams....For the most ambiguous pitches—the ones on the corners—the home-away called-strike discrepancy is largest, which makes sense....Over the course of a season, all of this adds up to 516 more strikeouts called on away teams and 195 more walks awarded to home teams than there otherwise should be, thanks to the home plate umpire’s bias. And this includes only terminal pitches—where the next called pitch will result in either a strikeout or a walk. Errant calls given earlier in the pitch count could confer an even greater advantage for the home team....Taking the value of a walk and a strikeout in various game situations, this adds up to an extra 7.3 runs per season given to each home team by the plate umpire alone. That might not sound significant but cumulatively, home teams outscore their visitors by only 10.5 runs in a season. Thus, more than two-thirds of the home field advantage in MLB comes by virtue of the home plate umpire’s bad calls."

                                Would love to hear your thoughts on this subject LTA, why hasn't this been corrected by the powers that be? Do you believe in this bias and do you utilize it in any way in your capping?


                                In terms of key elements, Rockies bullpen only concern for me today.

                                A lot of wind it seems today blowing out,check the weather dashboard fella's.

                                daily baseball, weather, baseball contest, daily contest, baseball lineup, baseball matchup, ballpark weather, draftstreet, daily joust, draftbug, snapdraft, fantasy sports live, baseball betting, baseball analysis, fanduel, daily baseball stats, weekly contest, weekly baseball
                                Last edited by Redscot; 04-14-12, 08:58 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #5651
                                  Originally posted by Redscot
                                  NYY: Hoye
                                  Bos: Tichenor
                                  Chi: Cederstrom -------------------63% home team win over 212 game sample size since 2005
                                  StL: Cuzzi --------------------generous strike zone and 61% home team over 216 games
                                  KC: Darling
                                  SF: Hudson
                                  Wsh: Tim Welke
                                  Phi: Marquez -------------------62% home team over 180 games
                                  Tor: Cousins
                                  Mia: DeMuth
                                  Atl: Guccione
                                  Min: Rapuano ----------------------semi stingy strike zone
                                  Col: Knight
                                  Sea: Kellogg
                                  LA: Bucknor

                                  I include the umps who have over a 60% home team bias because it seems to be relevant. From the book Scorecasting:

                                  For Major League Baseball, they write, "In baseball, it turns out that the most significant difference between home and away teams is that home teams strike out less and walk more—a lot more—per plate appearance than do away teams....For the most ambiguous pitches—the ones on the corners—the home-away called-strike discrepancy is largest, which makes sense....Over the course of a season, all of this adds up to 516 more strikeouts called on away teams and 195 more walks awarded to home teams than there otherwise should be, thanks to the home plate umpire’s bias. And this includes only terminal pitches—where the next called pitch will result in either a strikeout or a walk. Errant calls given earlier in the pitch count could confer an even greater advantage for the home team....Taking the value of a walk and a strikeout in various game situations, this adds up to an extra 7.3 runs per season given to each home team by the plate umpire alone. That might not sound significant but cumulatively, home teams outscore their visitors by only 10.5 runs in a season. Thus, more than two-thirds of the home field advantage in MLB comes by virtue of the home plate umpire’s bad calls."

                                  Would love to hear your thoughts on this subject LTA, why hasn't this been corrected by the powers that be? Do you believe in this bias and do you utilize it in any way in your capping?
                                  I agree and that is a great book. In fact, I mentioned this very topic the other day when I stated that there is no such thing as home field advantage in MLB. It all depends on the ump as to whether the home team has an advantage. Our job is to differentiate between the umps that give more favorable calls to the home team and the ones that don't.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #5652
                                    Pirates also look interesting....
                                    Comment
                                    • mlb
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-04-09
                                      • 10509

                                      #5653
                                      LTA, was honestly just about to ask you ... have you done your due dilligence on the pirates???

                                      I kind of like them.

                                      Yes, they have stuggled, and if I'm backing them I know I'm backing a shitty offense but that doesn't mean they arent going to win games this year. Zito is coming off of an unbelievable performance and the line stinks. Morton is not bad and people forget the Giants offense sucked before 2 games ago ... whats your take?
                                      Comment
                                      • Redscot
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-16-11
                                        • 2571

                                        #5654
                                        Originally posted by Love The Action
                                        Pirates also look interesting....
                                        I like Pittsburgh here, my rough calculations have this total as the most off today too. This game should be set at 8 imo., and I backed a Zito under in his first game this season. Giants lineup much improved this year, Melky, a motivated and healthy Sandoval, Posey. Wind blowing out pretty good it seems as well. Pittsburgh, they gotta break out at some point right? Only concern here is if Pittsburgh is pressing, Zito could frustrate them 85 mph fastball, but he throws nothing straight, if they are patient I think they make him work and knock him around today.
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #5655
                                          Originally posted by Love The Action
                                          MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/14/2012

                                          Play #1

                                          Astros ML (+163) 1x (Locked)

                                          This is great value for the better starting pitcher. Norris should pitch well tonight and Zambrano is a mental midget that has been hit hard by this Astros lineup, especially Lee. No time for a full writeup, but if the Astros can get Zambrano in trouble there is a good chance he falls apart. I have this game set at +148 giving us 15 cents of value and I am rolling with the Astros for 1x. Good luck.
                                          Play #2

                                          Brewers/Braves under (8) 1x (Locked)

                                          Some books have started to juice this below -115 or more so I'm going to jump on it now at -110. I expect to see a closer around -120 on the under at 8 or perhaps a drop down to 7.5. I know Minor disappointed us in his first start, but I still have reason to be optimistic. I think getting a total of 8 is too good to pass up as I have this game set at 6.9. Marcum is all about consistency and I think he will prove to earn a WAR of around 2 year in and year out. Last year he was 2.7 after 3.5 the previous year when he was with Toronto in the AL (with the DH). In this game, I think we see the bats cool down a bit after pouring in 18 yesterday. Guccione is the ump and although he is around .500 o/u, he typically has a high strike rate above 62.6% for his career (last year over 63%). I have this game at 6.9 and it's going to take a final score of 9 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • Love The Action
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 10952

                                            #5656
                                            Originally posted by Redscot
                                            I like Pittsburgh here, my rough calculations have this total as the most off today too. This game should be set at 8 imo., and I backed a Zito under in his first game this season. Giants lineup much improved this year, Melky, a motivated and healthy Sandoval, Posey. Wind blowing out pretty good it seems as well. Pittsburgh, they gotta break out at some point right? Only concern here is if Pittsburgh is pressing, Zito could frustrate them 85 mph fastball, but he throws nothing straight, if they are patient I think they make him work and knock him around today.
                                            Over is getting hit right now....good luck if you play it. I like Morton in this game but feel the total is relatively accurate at 7.5 (I have it 7.6).
                                            Comment
                                            • Love The Action
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 10952

                                              #5657
                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                              MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/14/2012

                                              Play #1

                                              Astros ML (+163) 1x (Locked)

                                              This is great value for the better starting pitcher. Norris should pitch well tonight and Zambrano is a mental midget that has been hit hard by this Astros lineup, especially Lee. No time for a full writeup, but if the Astros can get Zambrano in trouble there is a good chance he falls apart. I have this game set at +148 giving us 15 cents of value and I am rolling with the Astros for 1x. Good luck.

                                              Play #2

                                              Brewers/Braves under (8) 1x (Locked)

                                              Some books have started to juice this below -115 or more so I'm going to jump on it now at -110. I expect to see a closer around -120 on the under at 8 or perhaps a drop down to 7.5. I know Minor disappointed us in his first start, but I still have reason to be optimistic. I think getting a total of 8 is too good to pass up as I have this game set at 6.9. Marcum is all about consistency and I think he will prove to earn a WAR of around 2 year in and year out. Last year he was 2.7 after 3.5 the previous year when he was with Toronto in the AL (with the DH). In this game, I think we see the bats cool down a bit after pouring in 18 yesterday. Guccione is the ump and although he is around .500 o/u, he typically has a high strike rate above 62.6% for his career (last year over 63%). I have this game at 6.9 and it's going to take a final score of 9 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.
                                              Play #3

                                              Angels ML (+116) 1x (Locked)

                                              I'm just not a believer in Hughes and I expect those improved Angels bats to be sharp today. Wilson is the better pitcher, even if you compare him to Hughes' best full year in 2010. Even if Wilson is not the 5 WAR guy he has been the last two years, and I do expect a regression this year, I still expect him to post a WAR above 3 with an ERA in the high 3's. As you know, I like to back "good" offenses coming off a shutout and that is what we have today. I have the Angels set at +107 in this game giving us 9 cents of value. In this case, I think we see late Angels money dropping the price down to around +110 at close and I am rolling with the Angels for 1x. Good luck.
                                              Comment
                                              • ebbearsfb1
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-07-08
                                                • 18815

                                                #5658
                                                Good luck lta... on angels first 5... bullpen scaries the piss out of me
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #5659
                                                  Originally posted by Redscot
                                                  This kid Wilk in Wsox game looks like he couldn't crack and egg with his FB, but is the typical lefty nibbler with good control.
                                                  You should be a sports writer Red.

                                                  Love your posts.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mlb
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                    • 10509

                                                    #5660
                                                    i do like backing good teams after poor performances...good luck LTA
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChicagoCover
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 07-11-10
                                                      • 661

                                                      #5661
                                                      Best of luck today guys, LTA- tailing your first two plays
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #5662
                                                        That move to 9 sure makes that Clev/KC under look interesting....especially at -105 or better.

                                                        EDIT: I see why it moved....wind is blowing out to left center at 25mph and it will likely rain. Pass for me.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Redscot
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-16-11
                                                          • 2571

                                                          #5663
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          You should be a sports writer Red.

                                                          Love your posts.
                                                          Thanks for the love NoCo. I actually covered boxing for a minute back in the days.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #5664
                                                            Originally posted by Redscot
                                                            I actually covered boxing for a minute back in the days.
                                                            I believe boxing was your "first love" if memory serves me correct....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Redscot
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-16-11
                                                              • 2571

                                                              #5665
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              I believe boxing was your "first love" if memory serves me correct....
                                                              Well there was big booty Judy................yeah it definitely was bro. I have a huge library of fights going all the way back to Jack Johnson.

                                                              looking forward to watching baseball ALL DAY today, woot. Liking your plays thus far....keep on firing
                                                              Comment
                                                              • H1Cypher
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-25-11
                                                                • 1494

                                                                #5666
                                                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                All in all, you need to be careful about giving advice on baseball investing when you yourself are a novice to this market. If people want to learn, I recommend they read this thread from the start because both myself and many others contributed a wealth of baseball investing information in here last year throughout the season and its all documented in here along with my 1,100+ plays from last season that hit at 54% with total profit exceeding +40x.

                                                                Good luck buddy.
                                                                Thanks for the advice . The only advice I was giving out was don't tail unless you can afford to tail everything otherwise you may be disapointed. Which is great advice when it comes to tailing 1 person.

                                                                Nice to know that there are things at 5dimes to look forward to when it comes to baseball. I'm probably looking at the lines too late in the day.

                                                                And I was suggesting he Fade Rich... follow lol =0.
                                                                Last edited by H1Cypher; 04-14-12, 11:57 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dredmahawkus
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-26-09
                                                                  • 1803

                                                                  #5667
                                                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                  Play #3

                                                                  Angels ML (+116) 1x (Locked)

                                                                  I'm just not a believer in Hughes and I expect those improved Angels bats to be sharp today. Wilson is the better pitcher, even if you compare him to Hughes' best full year in 2010. Even if Wilson is not the 5 WAR guy he has been the last two years, and I do expect a regression this year, I still expect him to post a WAR above 3 with an ERA in the high 3's. As you know, I like to back "good" offenses coming off a shutout and that is what we have today. I have the Angels set at +107 in this game giving us 9 cents of value. In this case, I think we see late Angels money dropping the price down to around +110 at close and I am rolling with the Angels for 1x. Good luck.

                                                                  every year for like the last decade the angels usually win 2 out of 3 when they visit NY.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #5668
                                                                    Originally posted by Redscot

                                                                    A lot of wind it seems today blowing out,check the weather dashboard fella's.

                                                                    http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
                                                                    I always question the accuracy and up-to-date information of that site. I'm not sure if they update their information throughout the day. I like to check multiple sites and if you don't have a paid site, I like this one.

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Love The Action
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                                      • 10952

                                                                      #5669
                                                                      Originally posted by H1Cypher
                                                                      Thanks for the advice . The only advice I was giving out was don't tail unless you can afford to tail everything otherwise you may be disapointed. Which is great advice when it comes to tailing 1 person.

                                                                      Nice to know that there are things at 5dimes to look forward to when it comes to baseball. I'm probably looking at the lines too late in the day.

                                                                      And I was suggesting he Fade Rich... follow lol =0.
                                                                      Always bet the overnight lines at 5dimes. You'll get great odds if you are looking to get on a play early because you know it's going to move. I have two locals, one that follows 5dimes/Pinny numbers and one that follows Legends. By giving yourself a "sharp" book option and a "square" book option, you are able to shop for the best price. On moneylines, you will be able to bet "dime" lines -- or those in which you find ten cents of difference between the favorite and the dog (e.g. Ranges +116, Yankees -126 today) -- at the sharper books. Otherwise, you will be stuck with 20 cent lines at the square book. For totals, having both types of books will save you BIG money in the long run because the "square" books are less likely to react to sharp action. Therefore, if everyone's on the over but Pinny is juicing the under, you can still get plus odds at the square book because of their slow adjustment. When investing in the baseball market, the most important concept is "price." If you are getting the best available prices and beating the closing price consistently, you will be a long term winning player.

                                                                      Good luck buddy
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #5670
                                                                        BOL today, LTA. gotta love that Stanton and Infante are out of the Marlins lineup.
                                                                        Comment
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