Those dudes at CPG are pretty fanatical about their umps, so it would not surprise me to see Davis. I don't think he changes my thoughts on that game much....it would be extra sweet to get Gibson and a total of 8. Instead, I'm expecting to see the under juiced at 7.5 on the open.
While I like STL in theory, I am not so sure they can pull off the sweep today. For all of his faults, Cueto certainly has the ability to have a solid outing against a team that will be without one of its main guys in Berkman. Garcia has typically fared well against Cincy in the past, but it was a small sample and Cincy should once again have good numbers against lefties. STL is coming out of the gates, but this will be a tough one to win. It will be impressive if they can pull off the early season sweep against one of their main divisional challengers. I think the price is accurate in that +117 to +120 range. If you can get on your local's slow moving lines around the opener of +130, that's a much stronger play. If you are getting +113 range, then not so much.
Wandy....I love backing him at home but I wish the books were giving us more than the +113 right now. Houston is Houston after all with not much pop in that lineup and a lot of unproven commodaties. Despite Holbrook, I like the under as well as Houston. I can currently get 8 -115 on the under which intrigues me with most of the market still at 7.5. What are your thoughts on Delgado this year? I think he might prove successful on some unders the first time through the league and then maybe reevaluate once he starts seeing lineups multiple times. He definitely got lucky in his starts late last season with an ultra low BABIP, high LOB% and fielding independent numbers. Still not sure about this game, but lean Houston and under. Good luck today buddy.
While I like STL in theory, I am not so sure they can pull off the sweep today. For all of his faults, Cueto certainly has the ability to have a solid outing against a team that will be without one of its main guys in Berkman. Garcia has typically fared well against Cincy in the past, but it was a small sample and Cincy should once again have good numbers against lefties. STL is coming out of the gates, but this will be a tough one to win. It will be impressive if they can pull off the early season sweep against one of their main divisional challengers. I think the price is accurate in that +117 to +120 range. If you can get on your local's slow moving lines around the opener of +130, that's a much stronger play. If you are getting +113 range, then not so much.
Wandy....I love backing him at home but I wish the books were giving us more than the +113 right now. Houston is Houston after all with not much pop in that lineup and a lot of unproven commodaties. Despite Holbrook, I like the under as well as Houston. I can currently get 8 -115 on the under which intrigues me with most of the market still at 7.5. What are your thoughts on Delgado this year? I think he might prove successful on some unders the first time through the league and then maybe reevaluate once he starts seeing lineups multiple times. He definitely got lucky in his starts late last season with an ultra low BABIP, high LOB% and fielding independent numbers. Still not sure about this game, but lean Houston and under. Good luck today buddy.
), and correlates with them missing bats at a high %. He seems to be league average in that department, not along term recipe for stardom. Still, I think he could have some early success with his movement and the unfamiliarity angle. I think much will depend on what typeof lineups he faces, young and undisciplined he will probably have them chasing, a veteran/patient lineup could be combustible.
