New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-08-11, 01:50 PM

07/07/11
H/A System Plays Went 2-2
Start Date 05/29
46-32 +9.83u

P/T System Plays Went 0-1
Start Date 06/12
25-20 +3.33u

07/08/11
H/A Plays
FLA ½ Unit
MLW 2 Units
ARZ ½ Unit
SFO 1 Unit
Tracking on a new H/A filter, when it does not support a favored.
Yesterdays play TAM, today’s play SDP 1/2Unit

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
BOS
ARI
SFO

**Formulawiz** · 07-08-11, 02:48 PM

Todays ML Plays. Fav must be < -140

FLA, LAD

**wikaj** · 07-08-11, 03:56 PM

Thanks wiz

**Tommygunn** · 07-08-11, 05:38 PM

Complimentary Selection for 7/8/2011

Take Arizona W/Kennedy over St Louis W/Lohse NO PLAY if STL < -130

**karlito** · 07-09-11, 05:52 AM

ouch bullpen is going every day down hope it ll get back on the track

**Formulawiz** · 07-09-11, 07:09 AM

ML plays went 2-0, +2.0 units

YTD 82-48, +23.85 units

ML plays later today

**ShivaBowl** · 07-09-11, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by karlito

ouch bullpen is going every day down hope it ll get back on the track

July 7
Bullpen Projection System
KC 7.56L (+105) BP did not factor into loss.
SD 4.91 L (-105) BP did not factor into loss.
Stl 4.71 L (-130 BP did not factor into loss.
Cincy 2.37 L (+100) BP did not factor into loss.
Florida 2.15 W (-140) BP was a factor.
Sea 1.54 L (+175) BP gave up 2 runs in the 8th.

If the BPR System is going to take a loss, the teams BP should factor into it?
Case it point, yesterdays play on ATL.
BOL

**joeytunes** · 07-09-11, 08:26 AM

lol good point shiva

**ShivaBowl** · 07-09-11, 08:50 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

lol good point shiva

Joeytunes; I’m sure the BPR gets lucky from time to time, when it has a play and the pitcher goes 9IP
and gets the win for BPR.
But as we all know, its rear to see a pitcher go 9IP today.

**joeytunes** · 07-09-11, 09:15 AM

only halladay usually..i think bp..may be more important the more i watch..

**Formulawiz** · 07-09-11, 09:32 AM

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

COL, LAD

**ShivaBowl** · 07-09-11, 09:48 AM

07/08/11
H/A System Plays Went 3-1
Start Date 06/01
49-33 +11.85u

P/T System Plays Went 1-1
Start Date 06/12
26-21 +3.45u

07/09/11
H /A Plays
TAM 1 unit
OAK ½ unit *L/2
SEA ½ unit *L/3
SFO ½ unit *>-150

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
All one unit plays.
TAM
FLA >-150 ?
SEA

**BrewMaster** · 07-09-11, 10:50 AM

Guys I'm out on a boat all day. Someone please post the SA plays. Thanks sorry forthe short notice.

**HoulihansTX** · 07-09-11, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall (154-144) +8.30Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 8
Bullpen Projection System
Atl 3.96 L (+145)
Cubs 1.02 (1/2Unit) L (+110)
________________
TPR
(60-75) –21.03Units
TX 2.3[/I] W (-145)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(154-146) +6.80Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 9
Bullpen Projection System
Mets 3.72
Zona 2.16
Cubs 1.81 (1/2Unit)
Atl 1.39
Dodgers 1.31

No Plays
CWS np L2 6.48
KC np L2 4.44
Cincy np L2 2.83
Sea np L2 2.72
Wash np L2 2.60
Yanks np L2 2.08
Oak np L2 1.89
Balty np L2 1.14
Hou np L2 1.05
________________
TPR
(61-75) –20.03Units

Angels 1.2

No Plays
TX np>-150 2.3
Boston np>-150 1.5
Yanks np L2 1.0

BPR is Hemorrhaging Units

**joeytunes** · 07-09-11, 12:47 PM

SA

tb,atl,det,pitt,nym

i think double check

**ShivaBowl** · 07-10-11, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by joeytunes

SA tb,atl,det,pitt,nym i think double check

Thanks joeytunes;
TAM
ATL
DET
PITT
NYM No Play

**Formulawiz** · 07-10-11, 07:08 AM

ML system went 2-0, +2.0 units

YTD 84-48,+25.85 units

Plays later today

**ShivaBowl** · 07-10-11, 07:26 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

TPR (61-75) –20.03Units Angels 1.2 No Plays TX np>-150 2.3 Boston np>-150 1.5 Yanks np L2 1.0\

TX: TPR Yesterday? without filters, went 4-0
07/07 TEX 6 runs scored W
07/08/ TEX 8 runs scored W
07/09 LAA 9 runs scored W

Don’t call TPR out just yet; remember we made a ton $ with it last year
it may be the right time to jump back in? Also, keep your eyes on overall league scoring,
its been down all year, if it starts to trend > witch I think it will, we need to be on the TPR System $$
Thanks,
Shiva

ST, Regression to the Mean. This is when teams have a powerful tendency to return to the form in which they previously held. Whatever you call it, regression to the mean is a fact of life and teams will always go back to their norm in all sports. By combining our mathematical equations and concepts into a powerful system, beating the bookmaker becomes an easier task.

**Formulawiz** · 07-10-11, 07:30 AM

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

FLA, COL, LAD, LAA

**agos** · 07-10-11, 07:43 AM

BOL on your plays today

**ShivaBowl** · 07-10-11, 09:06 AM

07/09/11
H/A System Went 1-3
Start Date 06/01
50-36 +10.35u

P/T System Went 0-2
Start Date 06/12
26-23 +1.45u

07/10/11
H/A Plays
Updated due to BPR
SFO 1 Unit
WAS 1/2 Unit
CWS 1/2 Unit
NYY 1/2 Unit

P/T Plays
Filter No Play if >-150
SFO
LAA
HOU No Play L/3
WAS No Play L/3
PHI No play if >-150
CWS No Play if >-150
SDP No play L/4

**HoulihansTX** · 07-10-11, 09:15 AM

July 10
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 3.72
Cincy 2.83
Zona 2.16
Atl 1.39
Dodgers 1.31
Cubs 1.28 (1/2U)
Angels 1.05

No Plays
CWS np>-150 6.48
Wash np L2 6.26
Oak np L2 1.89
Yanks np>-150 1.55
Cleve np L2 1.47
Houston np L2 1.43

TPR

TX 2.3
Angels 1.3

No Plays
Boston np>-150 1.7
Yanks np>-150 1.1

**BrewMaster** · 07-10-11, 09:22 AM

You guys are gonna kill me. out again today sorry I'd do it from my phone but its impossible. I'm in amidst of a bad break up so between moving AGAIN and the weekend plans, its been rough!

I will try and update the record tonight. Joey and Shiva, thanks for filling in!

**ShivaBowl** · 07-10-11, 09:49 AM

BrewMaster
Scientific Approach for 7/10/2011
CHC, If CHC >+118
LAA, If LAA <-123
CLE No Play L/2
HOU No Play L/3
SDP No play L/4

**ShivaBowl** · 07-10-11, 10:04 AM

Complimentary Selection from Sportrends, for 7/10/2011

Take Colorado W/Chacin over Washington W/Zimmerman NO PLAY if WAS < -140

**Tommygunn** · 07-10-11, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

FLA, COL, LAD, LAA

How is COL a money line play? Wash - Proj = -115, Actual - 130 ???

Wash is the play at -140 only

**alydar** · 07-10-11, 11:43 AM

shiva kind of confused

joeytunes put up the s a picks and he had
pittsburg
tb
atl
det
n y m
you came back and said
mets are no play
then you put up brew master picks
and u got cubs
so is the pick in that game cubs or pitt?
thank you

**Mr.Carrot** · 07-10-11, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

July 10
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 3.72
Cincy 2.83
Zona 2.16
Atl 1.39
Dodgers 1.31
Cubs 1.28 (1/2U)
Angels 1.05

No Plays
CWS np>-150 6.48
Wash np L2 6.26
Oak np L2 1.89
Yanks np>-150 1.55
Cleve np L2 1.47
Houston np L2 1.43

TPR

TX 2.3
Angels 1.3

No Plays
Boston np>-150 1.7
Yanks np>-150 1.1

Just one correction for Bullpen
3:35 PM ET
979 Seattle 43-47 (20-25 V)
980 LA Angels 49-42 (25-22 H)
1.05

It should be play on Seattle and it is filtered L2
Its not play on Angels
Im on Seattle because AVOID sweep game I play doesnt matter filter L2

**Formulawiz** · 07-10-11, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

How is COL a money line play? Wash - Proj = -115, Actual - 130 ???

Wash is the play at -140 only

Neither WAS L3 or COL was a play. My error.

Anyway terrific end to half a season.
ML plays went 3-0, +3 units

FLA, LAD, LAA

YTD 87-48, +28.85 units

**usernametaken** · 07-10-11, 07:21 PM

this is like going to school

**Formulawiz** · 07-11-11, 06:10 AM

Lets post all the system win/loss records for the first half of the season. This is a good idea since we may look at changing the filters for those systems not performing good.

YTD ML system since May 15 is 87-48, +28.85 units.

**Mr.Carrot** · 07-11-11, 07:17 AM

Hi,

can you explain me in detail how ML system works, please?
I understand filters IP, L2, W2, -175, long distance but I am not sure about lines, which play is on what team.
the great will be post yesterdays plays, on what team, what filter was used etc.
Are there any other filters?
Is that system on FAVORITES only?

I would like make deeply checking on this system.

Thanks

**agos** · 07-11-11, 10:00 AM

Thank you again.
Very good job.
Good luck

**Tommygunn** · 07-11-11, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by usernametaken

this is like going to school

Bahahaha

No, this is like getting paid to go to school

**Formulawiz** · 07-11-11, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Mr.Carrot

Hi,

can you explain me in detail how ML system works, please?
I understand filters IP, L2, W2, -175, long distance but I am not sure about lines, which play is on what team.
the great will be post yesterdays plays, on what team, what filter was used etc.
Are there any other filters?
Is that system on FAVORITES only?

I would like make deeply checking on this system.

Thanks

Read this and then use our filters

www.sportrends.com

http://www.sportrends.com/team_ml.htm