John Morrison 2011 MLB

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  • SUPEREAGLE43
    SBR Hustler
    • 06-12-11
    • 51

    #6441
    Wouldnt you know, I missed the COL play and its one of the only chances to get a win.
    Comment
    • honeyeater
      Restricted User
      • 01-20-11
      • 253

      #6442
      Originally posted by Wilba


      wow I feel sorry for the "guys" who give honeyeater 50K to invest on sportsbetting when he calculates that a return of 20% a month = 120% return over a year

      20% return a month compounding for 12 months over a year = 1.2 ^ 12 = 8.916 which is a 891.6% return on investment every year (if you invested 50K and made 20% of total roll per month at years end you have 8.916 * 50,000 = $ 445,800 - after two years at that rate you have 4 million $)

      AND HIS CLIENTS WHO INVEST 50K WOULD NOT BE SATISFIED WITH 50K --> 1/2 MILLION DOLLARS OVER A YEAR EVEN THOUGH HE CAN "easily make a return of 20% a month"

      imagine investing 50K with someone who can't calculate compound interest of making +20% a month over a year

      honeyeater you seriously think anyone in this forum believes these ridiculous stories that you make up

      I'm actually crying now from laughing so much
      Who says I compound? We stay at principle- As for if anyone believes me I couldn't care less about that- Your the one with so much time you have to comment on other peoples posts. You are a loser- I could care less what people believe. I just sit back and play my picks. Period. You know nothing about trading or gambling or else you would understand what I was saying. This is the second time I have felt I needed to respond to such a ridiculous statement of yours. I'm glad I could make you laugh because I'm sure your life is very sad.
      Comment
      • mikey360
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-06-08
        • 388

        #6443
        Originally posted by 1gamer
        Sportrends.com continues to hit at a blistering pace of 71% going 32-13 since the start of the MLB 2011. Their FREE DAILY picks has won eight (8) straight days in a row.

        DISCLAIMER: I'm in no way affiliated with this service.
        Thanks for mentioning them before, been running the daily play in a 4 line labby since you mentioned them and its doing good.
        Comment
        • J.M. Disciple
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-16-10
          • 5154

          #6444
          3* Star pick: Arizona Diamondbacks.... Game just started
          2* Star pick: Detroit Tigers............. lose
          1* Star pick: Baltimore Orioles >>>>>>>lose
          1* Star pick: Boston Red Sox>>>>>>>>>Lose
          1* Star pick: Cincinnati Reds.........Lose
          Are we just treating each star as a unit?

          Record 0-4 so far; thats some GrEaT INSIDE INFO !

          unit count -5 units
          Comment
          • ken23lau
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-11-10
            • 297

            #6445
            Wow, what a shitty day. On to the next one.
            Comment
            • ok15533
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-14-09
              • 220

              #6446
              I am serious this time guyz. I am deeply sorry for another loss. keep put, hopefully things turn arround, but for me I am going shopping. see ya later. sorry for all feeling I hurt this morning but it is honest truth you guys are wasting money wake up.
              Comment
              • alexknyc
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-22-11
                • 861

                #6447
                Originally posted by ok15533
                I am serious this time guyz. I am deeply sorry for another loss. keep put, hopefully things turn arround, but for me I am going shopping. see ya later. sorry for all feeling I hurt this morning but it is honest truth you guys are wasting money wake up.
                You're not serious. You're not sorry.

                You're just a douchebag.

                I'm slightly up on the night and I think I find you even more annoying after a winning night.
                Comment
                • lawalahmed
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-13-10
                  • 1237

                  #6448
                  Hi Guys,

                  Is been a while....what is going on here ?

                  Hope G's still posting in Bold.....

                  Hope my friend Walco99 is in positive zone now........

                  Hope JM MLB still unbetable this season bcos one lost can cause you season chase......

                  Hope JM Displine still here with new method trial.........

                  See you guys later.........
                  Comment
                  • ken23lau
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-11-10
                    • 297

                    #6449
                    Originally posted by ok15533
                    I am serious this time guyz. I am deeply sorry for another loss. keep put, hopefully things turn arround, but for me I am going shopping. see ya later. sorry for all feeling I hurt this morning but it is honest truth you guys are wasting money wake up.
                    LOL how does it feel to have lost all your money? I'm surprised you can still pay for internet haha
                    Comment
                    • adidas-b 88
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-26-11
                      • 151

                      #6450
                      Heres the upcoming picks for "the champ selections" for 6/29

                      We've just had our first losing day in 11 straight days! Good news, however, is that my ultimate inside info pick on Arizona, by far the most surefire pick I've ever had this week, cashed in big time! Although our other wagers didn't come as expected, we still did not lose much momentum after banking in our 3* wager!

                      Here are my upcoming personal picks:

                      http://www.thechampselections.com/p/954941.html (Not live yet-Read below)

                      Important: Please note that the link above is not yet ready as of now. I usually have the picks posted by 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time each day. Check the link at that time and you'll find it live.

                      Best regards
                      John Morrison, PhD
                      SportsBettingChamp.com and SportsPicksBuffet.com
                      Comment
                      • J.M. Disciple
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-16-10
                        • 5154

                        #6451
                        Originally posted by lawalahmed
                        Hi Guys,

                        Is been a while....what is going on here ?

                        Hope G's still posting in Bold.....

                        Hope my friend Walco99 is in positive zone now........

                        Hope JM MLB still unbetable this season bcos one lost can cause you season chase......

                        Hope JM Displine still here with new method trial.........

                        See you guys later.........
                        Ya im still here.. People are a bit annoyed with my labby discussions, but we discussed it to the fullest extent i think, so there wont be much more discussion about it. I am always looking for new methods cause so many systems are so inconsistent. Once i have a legit bankroll or im a $50+ unit bettor i will continue to look for the fastest way to build a bankroll. It is just getting a legit starting bankroll that is the problem.

                        With that said is bet365 american friendly? My thread kinda took a dump on me and i know the system works but i have a small bankroll and actually need to have a lower unit size and rebuild.
                        I always get too excited about a new system and jump the gun too fast.
                        Comment
                        • BetaB
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-07-10
                          • 1082

                          #6452
                          for the fastest way to build a bankroll. search Kelly criteria it's the fastest way given that you can accurately determine you edge.
                          Comment
                          • J.M. Disciple
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-16-10
                            • 5154

                            #6453
                            Originally posted by BetaB
                            for the fastest way to build a bankroll. search Kelly criteria it's the fastest way given that you can accurately determine you edge.


                            where:
                            • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
                            • b is the net odds received on the wager (that is, odds are usually quoted as "b to 1")
                            • p is the probability of winning;
                            • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
                            If I understand this right, based on the example in the link. Where probability of winning a bet is 60% then you should be betting 20% on a series or a bet?

                            If it is 20% per bet we will lose for sure... If we lost 5 bets in a row our bankroll is bust.

                            Could you explain this to me a little further?

                            If we had a $1,000 bankroll and expect to win 60% of our series, then our maximum risk for total series should be $200?

                            That or is kelly criterion only based on flat betting? I think many people will disagree with this formula because of the huge variance in sports betting. very common to lose 20 or even 30 units in a week.

                            --JMD
                            Comment
                            • hagball52
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-22-10
                              • 3053

                              #6454
                              [quote=adidas-b 88;10615273]Heres the upcoming picks for "the champ selections" for 6/29

                              We've just had our first losing day in 11 straight days! Good news, however, is that my ultimate inside info pick on Arizona, by far the most surefire pick I've ever had this week, cashed in big time! Although our other wagers didn't come as expected, we still did not lose much momentum after banking in our 3* wager!

                              Here are my upcoming personal picks:

                              http://www.thechampselections.com/p/954941.html (Not live yet-Read below)

                              Important: Please note that the link above is not yet ready as of now. I usually have the picks posted by 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time each day. Check the link at that time and you'll find it live.

                              Best regards
                              John Morrison, PhD
                              Thanks for posting the selections. I had his "champselections" from Nov. 2009 to April 2011 and was posting them in another thread. He was awful. He is very streaky. He just had a win streak so beware. Cost me my whole bankroll one time. The guy has more ways to spin a story and try and sell his garbage. Thanks again. GL
                              Comment
                              • hagball52
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-22-10
                                • 3053

                                #6455
                                JM MLB System

                                2011 Official season series record 11-1 (v1)
                                (A) 8-4
                                (B) 2-2
                                (C) 1-1
                                V2 plays 2-1
                                V3
                                system 2-1
                                Unofficial series 8-0


                                Next Plays
                                (7/01/2011) Cincinnati
                                v Cleveland
                                (7/01/2011) San Diego @ Seattle
                                (7/01/2011) Minnesota v Milwaukee

                                Notes: Finally coming to the end of interleague. One more series starting Friday and then back to normal. There are 3 possible sweeps today but there won't be any system plays from it. Will post an updated list of all upcoming plays on Friday. GL all
                                Comment
                                • knugen
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 2612

                                  #6456
                                  [QUOTE=hagball52;10616797]
                                  Originally posted by adidas-b 88
                                  Heres the upcoming picks for "the champ selections" for 6/29

                                  We've just had our first losing day in 11 straight days! Good news, however, is that my ultimate inside info pick on Arizona, by far the most surefire pick I've ever had this week, cashed in big time! Although our other wagers didn't come as expected, we still did not lose much momentum after banking in our 3* wager!

                                  Here are my upcoming personal picks:

                                  http://www.thechampselections.com/p/954941.html (Not live yet-Read below)

                                  Important: Please note that the link above is not yet ready as of now. I usually have the picks posted by 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time each day. Check the link at that time and you'll find it live.

                                  Best regards
                                  John Morrison, PhD
                                  Thanks for posting the selections. I had his "champselections" from Nov. 2009 to April 2011 and was posting them in another thread. He was awful. He is very streaky. He just had a win streak so beware. Cost me my whole bankroll one time. The guy has more ways to spin a story and try and sell his garbage. Thanks again. GL
                                  So is anyone fading his pick?
                                  Comment
                                  • hagball52
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-22-10
                                    • 3053

                                    #6457
                                    Hey Wallco, just read your post in G's. Good job. I don't want to comment in his thread cause I don't want him in mine but the asshole is nothing but a self absorbed arrogant douchebag. He is not happy with just posting his plays and talking baseball (like he says) but goes into other threads and pokes people in the ribs with a sharp stick. What do you expect when you stick your nose in other peoples business. His thread has been a dumpster fire for a good part of the season. His conservative chase is nothing short of phenomenal hovering around 1 unit this deep into the season. And yes he is too busy to make a pick but not too busy to post in bold in other threads. The bold posts are one of the most annoying things about him. I just ignore him and move on, like we should all do. GL man.
                                    Comment
                                    • Wallco99
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-01-11
                                      • 7261

                                      #6458
                                      Wallco MLB PLU$$$
                                      2011 System to date: 113-9
                                      System profit/loss: -2.87 units(finished series)
                                      Since my first post: -23.14 units (98-9) (fin. series)
                                      Current open series: 5 (-7.36 units)

                                      (6/28/11) Minnesota (M/L) (B) – Win
                                      (6/28/11) Minnesota (-1½) (B) – Win
                                      (6/28/11) Colorado (M/L) (A) – Win
                                      (6/28/11) Colorado (-1½) (A) –Loss
                                      (6/28/11) Baltimore (M/L) (A) – Loss
                                      (6/28/11) Baltimore (-1½) (A) – Loss
                                      (6/28/11) Milwaukee (M/L) (A) – Loss
                                      (6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (A) #1 – Loss
                                      (6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) #2 – Loss


                                      (A) 62-65
                                      (B) 27-34
                                      (C) 14-19
                                      (D) 10-9


                                      Games for (6/29/11):
                                      San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (C) *Official*(8:05 pm EDT)
                                      St. Louis (M/L) @ Baltimore (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                                      St. Louis (-1 1/2) @ Baltimore (B) *Official*(7:05 pm EDT)
                                      Chicago White Sox @ Colorado (-1 ½) (B) *Official* (8:40 pm EDT)
                                      Milwaukee (M/L) @ N.Y. Yankees (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)



                                      ** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
                                      System backtest can be found in post #3446.
                                      Comment
                                      • hagball52
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-22-10
                                        • 3053

                                        #6459
                                        [quote=knugen;10617151]
                                        Originally posted by hagball52

                                        So is anyone fading his pick?
                                        Chili did that this past NBA season and the asshole went on a mini-run so chili backed off. He did go on a 13 day losing streak at one point. He hovers around a 45% win rate over time. His record for the latest NBA season was 71-84-5 up until April 30th and his MLB through the month of April was 9-17. I just avoid him like the plague.
                                        Comment
                                        • BetaB
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-07-10
                                          • 1082

                                          #6460
                                          Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                          http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion

                                          where:
                                          • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
                                          • b is the net odds received on the wager (that is, odds are usually quoted as "b to 1")
                                          • p is the probability of winning;
                                          • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
                                          If I understand this right, based on the example in the link. Where probability of winning a bet is 60% then you should be betting 20% on a series or a bet?

                                          If it is 20% per bet we will lose for sure... If we lost 5 bets in a row our bankroll is bust.

                                          Could you explain this to me a little further?

                                          If we had a $1,000 bankroll and expect to win 60% of our series, then our maximum risk for total series should be $200?

                                          That or is kelly criterion only based on flat betting? I think many people will disagree with this formula because of the huge variance in sports betting. very common to lose 20 or even 30 units in a week.

                                          --JMD
                                          Well, that is true given you can get even odd for such bet.That is why most people apply 1/2 or even 1/4 Kelly to reduce losing due to variance. The most powerful part to kelly is that you do compound your BR after every win/loss.
                                          Comment
                                          • GGPLAYER
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-26-09
                                            • 2981

                                            #6461
                                            Originally posted by Fitz22
                                            Wnba------so la sparks still a play with parker out?

                                            Hope you played it...Winner!
                                            Comment
                                            • pagodo
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-09-11
                                              • 669

                                              #6462
                                              Thanks for the plays, Wallco!

                                              The Twins got the job done, thank you -- now it's time for the Brew Crew to step up and get some hits off that North Little Rock fart AJ.

                                              I just had an epiphany -- as a White Sox fan, maybe I'm the one who's bringing bad luck when we're betting on the Cubs. I was big on them in the other two series when they were losing to Houston and Milwaukee.

                                              Oh well, let's get that C bet!


                                              --
                                              adidas-b 88, thanks, now we can all make 5.4 BILLION DOLLARS!
                                              This is so much fun, let's keep tracking these picks.
                                              Comment
                                              • thelimit0310
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-24-11
                                                • 1233

                                                #6463
                                                Cubs do it again, just when you think they couldn't **** us anymore, they find a way! Glad I laid off.
                                                Comment
                                                • sam6868
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 06-29-10
                                                  • 1

                                                  #6464
                                                  @ GGPLAYER
                                                  Thanks I did!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ken23lau
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-11-10
                                                    • 297

                                                    #6465
                                                    Hey Wallco, just wondering, it's BAL -1.5 for sure? As I recall we've never played underdog -1.5 before
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GGPLAYER
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-26-09
                                                      • 2981

                                                      #6466
                                                      Originally posted by ken23lau
                                                      Hey Wallco, just wondering, it's BAL -1.5 for sure? As I recall we've never played underdog -1.5 before

                                                      Yes we have.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-16-10
                                                        • 5154

                                                        #6467
                                                        Originally posted by BetaB
                                                        Well, that is true given you can get even odd for such bet.That is why most people apply 1/2 or even 1/4 Kelly to reduce losing due to variance. The most powerful part to kelly is that you do compound your BR after every win/loss.

                                                        Wouldn't that be the same as saying after each series bet 1% of your bankroll?

                                                        So say you had a $10,000 bankroll and your unit size was $100 after your first series you win and now your bankroll is $10,100

                                                        now your new unit size is $101. Isn't this basically the same thing as kelly criterion? Maybe just use a higher % or something.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • J.M. Disciple
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-16-10
                                                          • 5154

                                                          #6468
                                                          Originally posted by ken23lau
                                                          Hey Wallco, just wondering, it's BAL -1.5 for sure? As I recall we've never played underdog -1.5 before
                                                          you mean underdog at (+)1.5 right?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • J.M. Disciple
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-16-10
                                                            • 5154

                                                            #6469
                                                            betus.com currently has Bal at +1.5 (-150 odds) and +110 ML.

                                                            Not sure how your going to make this an official play...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • J.M. Disciple
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-16-10
                                                              • 5154

                                                              #6470
                                                              Can someone post Morrison plays for me? I know there is a link above me (i can read ), but i can not get it to work correctly for the computer I am on.

                                                              Current Record since 6/28
                                                              1-4

                                                              correct?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • c-fut
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-17-10
                                                                • 547

                                                                #6471
                                                                Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                Can someone post Morrison plays for me? I know there is a link above me (i can read ), but i can not get it to work correctly for the computer I am on.

                                                                Current Record since 6/28
                                                                1-4

                                                                correct?
                                                                From how I read it the link won't work until 3:15 P.M. Eastern Time
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wallco99
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                                  • 7261

                                                                  #6472
                                                                  Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                  betus.com currently has Bal at +1.5 (-150 odds) and +110 ML.

                                                                  Not sure how your going to make this an official play...
                                                                  That is an error, I will repost.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wallco99
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                                    • 7261

                                                                    #6473
                                                                    Wallco MLB PLU$$$
                                                                    2011 System to date: 113-9
                                                                    System profit/loss: -2.87 units(finished series)
                                                                    Since my first post: -23.14 units (98-9) (fin. series)
                                                                    Current open series: 5 (-7.36 units)

                                                                    (6/28/11) Minnesota (M/L) (B) – Win
                                                                    (6/28/11) Minnesota (-1½) (B) – Win
                                                                    (6/28/11) Colorado (M/L) (A) – Win
                                                                    (6/28/11) Colorado (-1½) (A) –Loss
                                                                    (6/28/11) Baltimore (M/L) (A) – Loss
                                                                    (6/28/11) Baltimore (-1½) (A) – Loss
                                                                    (6/28/11) Milwaukee (M/L) (A) – Loss
                                                                    (6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (A) #1 – Loss
                                                                    (6/28/11) Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) #2 – Loss


                                                                    (A) 62-65
                                                                    (B) 27-34

                                                                    (C) 14-19
                                                                    (D) 10-9



                                                                    Games for (6/29/11):
                                                                    San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (C) *Official*(8:05 pm EDT)
                                                                    St. Louis (M/L) @ Baltimore (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)
                                                                    St. Louis (-1½) @ Baltimore(B) *Official*(7:05 pm EDT)
                                                                    Chicago White Sox @ Colorado (-1 ½) (B) *Official* (8:40 pm EDT)
                                                                    Milwaukee (M/L) @ N.Y. Yankees (B) *Official* (7:05 pm EDT)

                                                                    There was an error on this morning’s post, St Louis is the play today, not Baltimore. I made the change this morning but apparently didn’t save it before I pasted it over. If you already placed the bet, just bet extra on St. Louis to offset the Baltimore bet. Sorry for the inconvenience. I will change it on the earlier post also so there is no more confusion.

                                                                    ** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
                                                                    System backtest can be found in post #3446.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • alexknyc
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-22-11
                                                                      • 861

                                                                      #6474
                                                                      Perhaps the error with the St. Louis/Baltimore game would not have occurred had Wallco not been distracted by the nonsense with G's.

                                                                      Also, perhaps G's might have been able to come up with some picks from a 16-game slate yesterday had he not been distracted by the same nonsense.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Wallco99
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                                        • 7261

                                                                        #6475
                                                                        Double post
                                                                        Comment
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