Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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  • atthehalf
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-31-13
    • 5045

    #1016
    Rot.#152 Indiana-24

    Comment
    • atthehalf
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-31-13
      • 5045

      #1017
      Rot.#193 UNLV+3.5

      Comment
      • atthehalf
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-31-13
        • 5045

        #1018
        Rot.#196 South Alabama-6
        Comment
        • atthehalf
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-31-13
          • 5045

          #1019
          Rot.#196 South Alabama-6
          Comment
          • atthehalf
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-31-13
            • 5045

            #1020
            Rot.#182 Arizona-28.5 3 UNITS

            Comment
            • atthehalf
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-31-13
              • 5045

              #1021
              Boy-there is no preseason for CFB so by buying the best football numbers worked so-so in week 1. The numbers that I purchased were hitting at an insane clip last season....

              College Football football odds and football betting line history results. Includes updated point spreads and totals lines.
              Comment
              • atthehalf
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-31-13
                • 5045

                #1022
                Sticking strictly to the script of the system today as there are some teams in line to be swept. Mind you that ordinarily I would NEVER make a move against Wrobleski and the Dodgers in this situation especially against Pfaadt who I have ranked as a DNS starter at #23. I took the Rl -either they are going to do it or they arent. So why pay ANY vigorous if they don't. Wrobleski will have a short leash tho given the circumstances of what's at stake in this series. Crochet only threw 4 pitches the last outing due to rain-so it's only the FF RL for the Pale Hose.

                Rot.#958 Snakes-1.5 +170 RL Pfaadt 2 UNITS
                Rot.#976 Pale Hose+0.5 FF RL-112 Crochet 2 UNITS
                Rot.#952 Red Leggins+104 Williamson 3 UNITS
                Rot.#954 Nats+104 Parker 3 UNITS
                Rot.#977 Buccos+131 Keller 1 UNIT
                Rot.#973 Fathers/Rays UNDER 3.5 +100 FF Cease/Pepiot 1 UNIT
                Rot.#959 Braves/Blunts UNDER 4.5 FF -125 Schwellenbach/Nola


                Comment
                • atthehalf
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-31-13
                  • 5045

                  #1023
                  Ok so real quick I am just gonna roll with the dogs today that have a higher rank than the favorite and of course Bido! I am gonna keep rolling with him because he is filling my pockets and I will continue to ride the wave-even if he is up against my #2 for today. I moved him up into my top ten at #10

                  I have Woods Richardson ranked at #13 and Littell as a DNS. Woods-Richardson isn't the best arm out there and is sometimes a little inconsistent-however it's the Rays vs a RHP. Littell doesn't do enough for me to chase him.

                  Jones was a little off in his return from the IL. I decided to stash him and didn't take a hit from that performance-however I am keeping the faith as his stuff is so dang good, I have Taillon as a QUESTIONABLE START today although he is a good QUALITY START candidate but his skill set a is a little too mid to move up to a top tier status. Once Jones K's info is released I am probably going to get a taste of that providing it is less than 7 K's

                  Rot.#909 Guardians+115 Williams 2 UNITS
                  Rot.#905 Buccos+132 Jones 2 UNITS
                  Rot.#905 Buccos (Jones) OVER K's NO LINE 1 UNIT
                  Rot.#921 Red Sox+112 Bello 2 UNITS
                  Rot.#914 Athletics+125 Bido 2 UNITS
                  Rot.#911 Twinkies-108 Woods-Richardson 1 UNIT


                  Comment
                  • atthehalf
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-31-13
                    • 5045

                    #1024
                    My TOP TEN STREAMERS for today

                    Orioles Burnes#1 Added 5 inches of drop on his cutter last start producing 10/41 whiffs with it. And it's the Pale Hose
                    Sailors Gilbert#2 Aces gonna ace
                    Dodgers Flaherty#3 Aces gonna ace
                    Bombers Cole#4 This is it-do the damn thing
                    Fathers Musgrove#5 The breakers weren't solid last time out-I expect a strong recovery
                    Brews Peralta#6 As long as he isn't erratic in and outside of the zone and uses it upstairs he will be fine
                    Buccos Jones#7 Already spoke about this stud
                    Guardians Williams#8 The 4 seamer is ELITE and as long as his secondaries earn enough strikes-he's SOLID
                    Red Sox Bello#9 He rebounded well after cutting his hair last week and I expect him to be in full control of his 3 pitches
                    Athletics Bido#10 Historically he wasn't so great-but he's found IT and is performing at a high level
                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 5045

                      #1025
                      Crochet was lifted after 3 1/3 frames yesterday after garnering 8 K's and 0 BB. All that he did was give up a dinger to Lindor...although I love the guy and his stuff is electric I have already made my last move on him this season
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 5045

                        #1026
                        Good and surprising huge wins yesterday was Mitchell Parker (Nats) going 6 frames and giving me 8 K's and just 1BB-a clear example of how I can pick up a big win streaming when a team gets blown the heck out with traditional sides and totals moves. He had a use rate of 4% and as a result once the split of the shares came out the Commish called it genius level betting as he issued me my shares for him and also for Keller (Buccos)who went 5 1/3rd with 7 K's and no walks with a use rate of 12%. Pfaadt (Snakes)also was a good amount of ROI as well with a use rate of 33% yesterday and gave me 10 K's and 2 BB over a 5 1/3rd frames. He was crisp to say the least!
                        Comment
                        • atthehalf
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-31-13
                          • 5045

                          #1027
                          As far as CFB is concerned the AWAY+16 is hitting at a robust 69.2% so that would be the number that I am looking for to close. Anything other than that and I will pass and gladly watch rooting for the Noles to just win
                          Comment
                          • sevenbar10
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 06-03-13
                            • 74

                            #1028
                            Whew!!! Ya’ll bad bud I know stating the obvious
                            Comment
                            • atthehalf
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-31-13
                              • 5045

                              #1029
                              Originally posted by sevenbar10
                              Whew!!! Ya’ll bad bud I know stating the obvious
                              Yeah the Noles stunk up the joint pretty bad...
                              Comment
                              • atthehalf
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-31-13
                                • 5045

                                #1030
                                Kutter Crawford is in my top ten today and Peterson is NOT! So of course I blasted away on the Sox. I hate to pile on the Royals but when Bibee has the numbers and the ranking #4 over Singer's #17 the choice is obvious and just live with the results. The Royals put a thumping on the Guardians in Cleveland a few weeks back and this appears to be a big payback spot. Also I have Bassitt at #14 and Phillips at a DNS position

                                Rot.#973 Red Sox+122 Crawford 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#965 Guardians-115 Bibee 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#972 Jays-1.5 +170 RL Bassitt 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#955 Buccos-130 Skenes 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#955 Buccos (Skenes) OVER 6.5 K's -125 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#960 Giants+115 ML Harrison 2 UNITS
                                Rot.#964 Twinkies/Rays UNDER 7.5 -125 2 UNITS
                                Last edited by atthehalf; 09-03-24, 12:35 PM.
                                Comment
                                • atthehalf
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 5045

                                  #1031
                                  Kyle Harrison wasn't named as the starter for the Giants at the time of my post-now that he is listed I am on the Giants as he has more historically good number vs the Snakes than nelson does vs the Giants

                                  Nelson vs Giants 61 AB; 5K 2BB; .295 AVG; 317 OBP; .492 SLG, .809 OPS
                                  Harrison vs Snakes 27 AB; 8K ; 0BB; .185 AVG; .185 OBP; .222 SLG; .407 OPS

                                  Rot.#960 Giants+115 ML Harrison 2 UNITS
                                  Comment
                                  • atthehalf
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-31-13
                                    • 5045

                                    #1032
                                    For some reason the joes are forgetting that the Rox played the braves TOUGH the last series against them and actually won the series 2-1 and the only win that the Braves got in that series was a come from behind effort after Fried and co were down 8-5.

                                    I'm sorry y'all the juice is worth the squeeze. I think it's worth a shot tomorrow with Morton vs Blalock. if Blalock was pitching for any other team he would get a lot of press.

                                    Anyway here are my rankings for today

                                    Braves Sale#1 C'mon man-aces gonna ace
                                    Buccos Skenes#2 Aces gonna ace
                                    Sailors Castillo#3 Aces gonna ace
                                    Cubs Steele#4 Obviously. If you've got him start him-do this
                                    Cardinals Gray#5 I know that Matz is in-so go get a replacement bat and keep him on roster
                                    Bombers Rodon#6 As inconsistent as you want-still gotta roll him out there tho
                                    Guardians Bibee#7 He could be a cherry bomb against a good and desperate offense
                                    Rays Springs#8 I'm all for it-even if his changeup may or may not be there
                                    Snakes Nelson#9 The 4 seamer is ELITE & his secondaries work just enough to compliment it
                                    Red Sox Crawford#10 He's been leaning on his namesake and this is a good matchup for him
                                    Comment
                                    • atthehalf
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-31-13
                                      • 5045

                                      #1033
                                      The matchup that I am most wanting to see tonight is David Festa (Twinkies) vs Jeff Springs (Rays); there's enough electricity between these two to keep the lights on across a disheveled battlefield. And what's even better neither opposing team is familiar with their approaches. May as well get in on the action

                                      Rot.#964 Twinkies/Rays UNDER 7.5 -125 2 UNITS
                                      Comment
                                      • atthehalf
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-31-13
                                        • 5045

                                        #1034
                                        For those who are thinking of taking an UNDER for Skenes/Steele-be advised the wind is blowing OUT for Wrigley today
                                        Comment
                                        • atthehalf
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-31-13
                                          • 5045

                                          #1035
                                          Also the man of a zillion grips comes back tomorrow-that's right! Yu Darvish (Fathers)! So grab him NOW and STASH him immediately then activate him after 2 starts to sneak in some frames and K/W ratios later on at a discounted price for your educated method to use him. He may get shelled a bit until he gets all stretched out
                                          Comment
                                          • atthehalf
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-31-13
                                            • 5045

                                            #1036
                                            Boy...the Jays bullpen got blasted last night and foiled a good move-it's collateral damage tho so no worries.. Oddly enough some of the teams in a position to be swept are decent teams which of course means that they are overvalued. I am still sticking with my principle to not pay over -140 (which is rare to begin with) and staying within my guidelines and simply taking the RL to get things done. Also I am gonna run with some of the young studs on my roster in Blalock and Bellozo and Rea. Sonny Gray is just too dang good to pass up for getting K's so in a arbitrage fashion I am on the Brews to win and Gray for K's in this format

                                            Rot.#916 Royals-1.5 +155 RL Lugo#5 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#925 Red Sox-1.5 +155 RL Houck#9 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#906 Cubs-1.5 +110 RL Imanaga#1 3 UNITS
                                            Rot.#919 Sailors-1.5 +120 RL Kirby #2 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#907 Cardinals (Gray#3) OVER 6.5 K's -105 1 UNIT
                                            Rot.#902 Fish+122 ML Bellozo#23 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#903 Rox+250 ML Blalock 2 UNITS
                                            Rot.#908 Brews+100 ML Rea#21 1 UNIT
                                            Rot.#918 Wanderers-108 Eovaldi 2 UNITS
                                            Last edited by atthehalf; 09-04-24, 08:35 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • atthehalf
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-31-13
                                              • 5045

                                              #1037
                                              Blalock's 4 seamer is LEGIT! With an IBV like that who wouldn't. He shut down the Bombers in the Bronx in ways that they still can't understand. He uses it 46% of the time too which I love and of of it his secondaries are a splitter 19%; slider 18%; curveball 14% and an occasional cutter for 3%. It's gonna be really interesting how the Braves try to deal with is skill set having never seen him before. One thing I do know-the moment won't be too big for him. Ok now for my top ten streamers

                                              Cubs Imanaga#1 Aces gonna ace
                                              Sailors Kirby#2 Are you good? I need ya
                                              Cardinals Gray#3 He strikes out too many to ignore this
                                              Astronauts Arrighetti#4 He's been on such a good run I would never bench him
                                              Royals Lugo#5 He came through against the Astronauts and should do the same against the Guardians
                                              Blunts Sanchez#6 The Jays lineup isn't scary
                                              Snakes Gallen#7 He's in a weird place-but it's the Giants
                                              Wanderers Eovaldi#8 He's looking sharp-I just wish it weren't the Bombers he was facing
                                              Red Sox Houck#9 Aside from one clunker his results have been great
                                              Jays Francis#10 I get it-he's been great-but this is the first legit offense he will be facing with the 4 seam/splitter combo
                                              Comment
                                              • atthehalf
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-31-13
                                                • 5045

                                                #1038
                                                Ok so looking at this I have found that one of my studs is a underdog today. I have Eovaldi ranked at #8 and I have Stroman ranked at #13. translated i should and will also get some

                                                Rot.#918 Wanderers-108 Eovaldi 2 UNITS
                                                Comment
                                                • atthehalf
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                  • 5045

                                                  #1039
                                                  One that is bothering me is Albert Suarez (Orioles) who is getting 98% of the action in our group vs one of my young guns Jonathan Cannon (Pale Hose). if Cannon can find rhythm and not let up he could get the 5-6 frames. The odds of an unproductive start are very high as the Pale Hose have shown a penchant lately of pulling their young arms out early-sometimes after just 4 frames. This of course makes the likelihood of Suarez getting a clear win chance in streaming as well as in this format. The reality is that he's only faced 5 Pale Hose over 7 at bats. Dudes are only going to get back enough return to pay for a carton of milk with is use rate and should Cannon come through the Commish will be adding new brass rails to his yacht over the winter months from this one move alone.

                                                  In other things to discuss; I did get snatch up Yu Darvish as a #18 DNS and I stashed him retroactive yesterday so I can sit on him for 2-3 starts and monitor his progress. It is my hope that he is in good form when the playoffs start and I can use him as a day draft/trade for oodles of value
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atthehalf
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                    • 5045

                                                    #1040
                                                    At the conclusion of this evening or tomorrow morning I will tidy up the record for y'all!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • atthehalf
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 5045

                                                      #1041
                                                      Originally posted by atthehalf
                                                      One that is bothering me is Albert Suarez (Orioles) who is getting 98% of the action in our group vs one of my young guns Jonathan Cannon (Pale Hose). if Cannon can find rhythm and not let up he could get the 5-6 frames. The odds of an unproductive start are very high as the Pale Hose have shown a penchant lately of pulling their young arms out early-sometimes after just 4 frames. This of course makes the likelihood of Suarez getting a clear win chance in streaming as well as in this format. The reality is that he's only faced 5 Pale Hose over 7 at bats. Dudes are only going to get back enough return to pay for a carton of milk with is use rate and should Cannon come through the Commish will be adding new brass rails to his yacht over the winter months from this one move alone.

                                                      In other things to discuss; I did get snatch up Yu Darvish as a #18 DNS and I stashed him retroactive yesterday so I can sit on him for 2-3 starts and monitor his progress. It is my hope that he is in good form when the playoffs start and I can use him as a day draft/trade for oodles of value
                                                      Looking like those brass rails are already on special order for the Commish. Cannon has gone 5 frames with 3 K's and no walks and Suarez didn't even make 5 frames with 2K's and 2 walks in 4 1/3 frames
                                                      Comment
                                                      • atthehalf
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                        • 5045

                                                        #1042
                                                        Cannon final line for the evening 5 2/3rds frames 4 K's and 1 BB. Fine work by one of my young guns against a legit offense
                                                        Comment
                                                        • atthehalf
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-31-13
                                                          • 5045

                                                          #1043
                                                          Damn that was crazy! So hardly anyone in the group had Jonathan Cannon yesterday on roster and I mean at all.

                                                          I did have him rostered as a DNS at #26 so I was privy to a share of the payout. I had no idea it would payout that much until this morning even without pushing him up to a QS. Incredible. With the Pale Hose arms it seems you only have to be right every once in a while to bring back ignorant sized loads..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • atthehalf
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 5045

                                                            #1044
                                                            So for those interested in the Ravens/Chiefs opener this evening-know this-the only number that would get me interested in this tilt is if the Chiefs fall to -2-in which case I would take the Ravens-of course that isn't going to happen because then the books would be put in the unenviable position of being vulnerable to arbitrage bettors like me. The HOME -2 is a bad number for a favorite who win outright only 20% of the time and have a average margin of victory of -12.00.

                                                            Me personally I am not making a move of any type on this game. That doesn't mean that I would steer you wrong purposefully.

                                                            Look the Chiefs are the darlings of the NFL and get the benefit of the doubt from the referee crews-they seemingly NEVER get called for blatant and obvious offensive holding and every borderline call goes their way. It just is what it is, So if you must bet this game out of boredom and anxiety I would recommend that you take the

                                                            Chiefs-150 ML and the Ravens +4.5 -154 (ARBITRAGE).

                                                            You were going to lose some money anyway so you may as well take a chance at winning both moves and sit yo ass down and drink some beers and eat some wings knowing that you can either lose a few shillings or win both moves
                                                            Comment
                                                            • atthehalf
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-31-13
                                                              • 5045

                                                              #1045
                                                              My TOP TEN STREAMING OPTIONS

                                                              Giants Snell#1 Aces gonna ace
                                                              Twinkies Lopez#2 Aces gonna ace
                                                              Braves Lopez#3 This is too good of a win chance to pass on
                                                              Sailors Woo#4 I love Woo in this spot even away from home
                                                              Astronauts Brown#5 He's on a roll and you're not benching him-even in Cin City
                                                              Blunts Suarez#6 It's a great situation even tho he's not on the same roll as in may
                                                              Snakes Kelly#7 The results haven't been there but he was sitting 92-93 MPH his last time out
                                                              Athletics Estes#8 Same as Kelly against a poor offense
                                                              Nats Irvin#9 He's a cherry bombs sometimes without his old curveball
                                                              Fathers Perez#10 I wanted to push him higher but he hasn't had the good rhythm recently
                                                              Comment
                                                              • atthehalf
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 5045

                                                                #1046
                                                                Here's what you want-Irvin as an underdog that is ranked higher than the favorite Falter#11. Also there are some teams in line to be swept and naturally I am going to make a move on them blindly regardless of the competition. I am going into each and every day knowing that I am going to take losses in this format so who cares? If the books will take the action then so can I.

                                                                Rot.#952 Giants-1.5 +150 Snell 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#965 Astronauts-1.5 +108 Brown 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#957 Rox+244 ML Gomber 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#967 Tigers+140 ML Mize 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#955 Nats+100 Irvin 2 UNITS
                                                                Rot.#959 Twinkies/Rays UNDER 4 FF Lopez/Bradley 1 UNIT


                                                                Comment
                                                                • atthehalf
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                                  • 5045

                                                                  #1047
                                                                  Dang this is gonna be bittersweet for those who are following me. On one hand Hunter Brown delivered in a big way going 6 frames with only one walk which is a decent win for my streaming and at the same time it looks like the Astronauts are going down in flames for the RL move. i hate it when that happens...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atthehalf
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                                    • 5045

                                                                    #1048
                                                                    Wonderful read-should take about 5 minutes or so-about Cesar Paz and a heartwarming tale of the most unlikely of outcomes for a group of underdog kids who took the Little League World Series Championship in 1957

                                                                    Pitcher Angel Macias stood on the mound surrounded by 10,000 spectators in a place he never knew existed, in a game he never imagined he would play, on the verge of doing something that had never been done. A month earlier, Macias and his teammates with the Industrials had left their home in Monterrey, Mexico, […]


                                                                    Last edited by atthehalf; 09-05-24, 02:25 PM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • atthehalf
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                                      • 5045

                                                                      #1049
                                                                      Shaping up to be one of those days today! Yikes!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • atthehalf
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                                        • 5045

                                                                        #1050
                                                                        Halfway home and some decent results so far


                                                                        Kelly 7 frames 8 K's 0 BB
                                                                        Lopez 6 2/3rds frames 9 K's 1 BB
                                                                        Brown 6 frames 6 K's 1 BB

                                                                        Snell 1 frame 2K 2BB
                                                                        Woo 5 frames 6 k's 1 BB
                                                                        Estes 4 frames 3 K's 0 BB

                                                                        So far pretty decent for the top tens; but with Snell leaving after 1 frame the Commish is killing it yet again. Having Kelly ranked at #7 turned out to be a wonderful arbitrage move to cover that loss for me. The Giants may have won outright but didn't cover my RL.

                                                                        Estes didn't have his good stuff today and I was openly and selfishly praying for him to stumble down the finish line and get one more frame in because his K/W ratio was good despite not having it today.

                                                                        I didn't like Lowder's skill set coming into today and I still don't. Can't back a guy with more free passes than K's...EVER. The Astronauts had too many LOB to win in this format
                                                                        Comment
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