o/u 0.5 1st inning plays

**thekoreanmang** · 07-27-16, 12:03 PM

I guess the only problem is if you don't have time to put in bets more than once or if all of the games start around the same time. If you did the first half or whatever number of bets that have earlier start times and wait to see if they win or lose to place the second batch of bets you may not be able to place that second batch for whatever reason.

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-27-16, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

I guess the only problem is if you don't have time to put in bets more than once or if all of the games start around the same time. If you did the first half or whatever number of bets that have earlier start times and wait to see if they win or lose to place the second batch of bets you may not be able to place that second batch for whatever reason.

My other issue is the time difference i am EST+6hr...

**TanBanana** · 07-27-16, 01:02 PM

Damn I missed the first two on early start times. Played TOR and that lost. Fingers crossed on the rest! Thanks again TT for the time put in.

**jlani93** · 07-27-16, 01:40 PM

Originally posted by TanBanana

Damn I missed the first two on early start times. Played TOR and that lost. Fingers crossed on the rest! Thanks again TT for the time put in.

Same here! Some guy took up 10 mins. getting his picks. Missed first 2 waiting on him, then TOR lost. :\

**BIG** · 07-27-16, 07:32 PM

Originally posted by BIG

If they come up as a play I say still give it out and record it. Could have been a 6-1 day ya never know.

Good point 2nite 2-0.... nice and thanKS for your effort

**Stammertime91** · 07-27-16, 07:34 PM

On fire again man! 4-1 day.

**Ro0k** · 07-27-16, 08:04 PM

Awesome, thank you.

**Fabiodog** · 07-27-16, 08:50 PM

Thanks for the picks

**jlani93** · 07-27-16, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

2 for 2 so far. I think, going forward ill post all picks but if I hit the first two, maybe just call it a day. I just added a good 8% to my br with thise two winners. Last night I was 4 and 1 with two games pending. I would've completely killed it last night had i've called it a night at 3:1...

Thoughts ladies and gents???

There are definitely days I should have just appreciated the early wins and just quit while I was ahead. There are other days I regret not playing my other picks I had planned that day.

Now that my nice winning streak has ended, it really just depends on how confident I am in the remaining picks on whether or not to bet on the rest. The days I am distracted by other things are usually the days I skip the others (well for the most part).

**jlani93** · 07-27-16, 09:34 PM

Good job today! Congrats to everyone who played them.

I was distracted w/work this afternoon so missed the later games.

**Pimp178** · 07-27-16, 09:36 PM

Like A Doctor, Good Shit Keep It Up. Really Appreciated it

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-28-16, 02:23 AM

Not sure how accurate this is, will have to update it when I get back.

Record: 82-47
Total Profit: 151.06%
Bankroll day 35: $1757.44

Hit rate: 63.57%

Thanks again for all of the feedback, don't dorget we are all in here to make some money TOGETHER so feel free to throw some more questions/feedback at me. The hit rate is crazy good and my gut feeling says I could get it up. When I get back, I'll play around with a few more filters... Heck, maybe I can get it above 65%.

See everyone in a few hours

**jefff** · 07-28-16, 06:45 AM

thanks TT

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-28-16, 10:41 AM

Overs:
NYMCOL 3%
ARZMIL 4%
BALMIN 4%
STLMIA 3%

Unders:
WSHSFG 3%

**TanBanana** · 07-28-16, 11:28 AM

COL/NYM score 1st inn yes +130
ARI/MIL score 1st inn yes -120
STL/MIA score 1st inn yes +115
BAL/MIN score 1st inn yes -130
WAS/SFO no score 1st inn -130

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-28-16, 11:42 AM

No Ces, Villar, Lucroy. Be careful ladies and gents. I'm not really feeling the first two bets.

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-28-16, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by TanBanana

COL/NYM score 1st inn yes +130
ARI/MIL score 1st inn yes -120
STL/MIA score 1st inn yes +115
BAL/MIN score 1st inn yes -130
WAS/SFO no score 1st inn -130

Thank you!

**TanBanana** · 07-28-16, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

Thank you!

You bet! I looked into the NYMCOL game and all my signals said under, ended up passing on it. Let's cash on the last 3!

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-29-16, 02:46 AM

3 for 5, slightly up on the day

Record: 85-49
Total Profit: 157.43%
Bankroll day 36: $1802.01

Hit rate: 63.43%

**TanBanana** · 07-29-16, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

2 for 2 so far. I think, going forward ill post all picks but if I hit the first two, maybe just call it a day. I just added a good 8% to my br with thise two winners. Last night I was 4 and 1 with two games pending. I would've completely killed it last night had i've called it a night at 3:1...

Thoughts ladies and gents???

My thoughts are the same as BIG on this. If you play them all, you're better off. If you hit 63% over the long term, playing 100 plays at 63% win rate is a ton better than playing only 50 plays with the same win %.

@TT: How much higher do you think you could get the % if you only play your favorite two or 3 plays? Enough to make it worth skipping a few plays? I'm looking at the gross number of plays and it seems like playing them all would be more profitable long term. I admit it's not a very analytical "scientific" approach, but those are my thoughts.

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-29-16, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by TanBanana

My thoughts are the same as BIG on this. If you play them all, you're better off. If you hit 63% over the long term, playing 100 plays at 63% win rate is a ton better than playing only 50 plays with the same win %.

@TT: How much higher do you think you could get the % if you only play your favorite two or 3 plays? Enough to make it worth skipping a few plays? I'm looking at the gross number of plays and it seems like playing them all would be more profitable long term. I admit it's not a very analytical "scientific" approach, but those are my thoughts.

Very tough question to answer. The back- and forward-testing I've been doing have all been based on the system you have all seen. Ii would have to go back to each day I've tested and filter out games I would've laid off. Honestly, I have no idea....

Well, it looks like we'll have six to seven bets for you guys today. One of the unders is a boraderline no-go, so I might lay off of it but will still post it. The same with one of the overs.

See you in an hour or two.

**BonesPausch** · 07-29-16, 10:48 AM

Hey Tech Trader, I had to register to the forum to say thank you.

I have been tailing you for a week. If you keep on this pace I have a feeling my book will cut me off. After missing a couple, I am 9 -3 with your picks. The max they allow for me is $200 per prop play, which limits the profits, but I am very happy. Keep up the work and hope the streak continues. I am a believer. -Bones

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-29-16, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by BonesPausch

Hey Tech Trader, I had to register to the forum to say thank you.

I have been tailing you for a week. If you keep on this pace I have a feeling my book will cut me off. After missing a couple, I am 9 -3 with your picks. The max they allow for me is $200 per prop play, which limits the profits, but I am very happy. Keep up the work and hope the streak continues. I am a believer. -Bones

Good shitt, thanks for joining the party.

Lets do it!

COL/NYM O (4%)
NYY/TB U (2%)
OAK/CLE U (3%)
STL/MIA O (4%)
PIT/MIL O (2%)
ARZ/LAD 0 (4%)
WAS/SFG U (3%)

**TanBanana** · 07-29-16, 11:23 AM

Here are the lines from 5Dimes

STL/MIA score 1st inn yes -105
COL/NYM score 1st inn yes +115
PIT/MIL score 1st inn yes -110
ARI/LOS score 1st inn yes +100
WAS/SFG no score 1st inn -130
NYY/TAM no score 1st inn -125
OAK/CLE no score 1st inn -105

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-29-16, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by TanBanana

Here are the lines from 5Dimes

STL/MIA score 1st inn yes -105
COL/NYM score 1st inn yes +115
PIT/MIL score 1st inn yes -110
ARI/LOS score 1st inn yes +100
WAS/SFG no score 1st inn -130
NYY/TAM no score 1st inn -125
OAK/CLE no score 1st inn -105

Thanks and greetings from Bosa, Italy.

**BIG** · 07-29-16, 03:38 PM

Those of you that have put your bets in early please check the Washington San Francisco game five dimes has had it listed Washington and Atlanta I had to call and have them change it

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-30-16, 12:22 AM

Not a huge day but the day ended in the green, up $26.96 going 3-2.

Record: 88-51
Total Profit: 161.28%
Bankroll day 37: $1828.97

Hit rate: 63.31%

**jlani93** · 07-30-16, 01:56 AM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

Not a huge day but the day ended in the green, up $26.96 going 3-2.

Record: 88-51
Total Profit: 161.28%
Bankroll day 37: $1828.97

Hit rate: 63.31%

Thanks for the wins today, TT.

Ending the day in the green is always a good day.

**jlani93** · 07-30-16, 02:08 AM

Off Topic:

Anyone heard from Lep? It's been a while since he's posted. He didn't really get banned from winning too much, did he?

Hope everything is ok with him.

SaveSave

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-30-16, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by jlani93

Anyone heard from Lep? It's been a while since he's posted. He didn't really get banned from winning too much, did he?

Hope everything is ok with him.

SaveSave

No idea what happened to him, I hope the same doesn't happen to me if it was anything bad.

Looking at 5 overs and 1 under today. Will update in a few hours.

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-30-16, 10:21 AM

Here we go:
Overs
BOS/LAA 4%
NYM/COL 3%
SEA/CHC 3%
WAS/SFG 4%
STL/MIA 4%

Under
HOU/DET 4%

**jeffjam_** · 07-30-16, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

Here we go:
Overs
BOS/LAA 4% +105
NYM/COL 3% -105
SEA/CHC 3% +115
WAS/SFG 4% -110
STL/MIA 4% +100

Under
HOU/DET 4% -135

Odds via Bet365.

**TechnicalTrader** · 07-30-16, 11:05 AM

Bet365 lines are usually terrible. This what i got'

BOS/LAA 4% -105
NYM/COL 3% -105
SEA/CHC 3% +105
WAS/SFG 4% -105
STL/MIA 4% -105

HOU/DET 4% -110

**jeffjam_** · 07-30-16, 11:40 AM

Usually they are, this time they came out better than 5D.

**HockeyRocks** · 07-30-16, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by TechnicalTrader

Bet365 lines are usually terrible. This what i got'

BOS/LAA 4% -105
NYM/COL 3% -105
SEA/CHC 3% +105
WAS/SFG 4% -105
STL/MIA 4% -105

HOU/DET 4% -110

Please forgive me. The games you have listed. Are you taking these games to have a run scored in the first inning? TY in advanve