New Baseball Power Rating System

[EXhoosier10]

ML looks something like this today


Tampa Bay <-140 to -175>
Detroit <-130 to -175>
San Francisco <-110 to -175>
Philadelphia <-120 to -175>
Seattle <-105 to -175>
Dodgers <-130 to -175>

ML plays went 1-3 yesterday

Plays later today

My closing lines were:

Tampa Bay -150 L
Detroit -150 L
Philadelphia -120 W
Seattle -115 L
Dodgers -160 L
San Francisco -105 NP

Wouldn't this make it 1-4?

Guys, do you play those picks for real money or is it just a test?

Here is the record with units since the All star break. You can play at your own risk
ML.... (28-28) -11u
TPR.... (22-20) -4u
SA.... (59-69) -13u

[HoulihansTX]

8/6

S/A System

Reds (No Play >-126)
Yanks (No Play >-136)
Colorado (No Play >-175)
Toronto (No Play <+136)
STL (No Play >-175)
KC (No Play >-175)

[havana]

8/6

S/A System

Reds (No Play >-126)
Yanks (No Play >-136)
Colorado (No Play >-175)
Toronto (No Play <+136)
STL (No Play >-175)
KC (No Play >-175)

good luck tomorow

[Formulawiz]

My closing lines were:

Tampa Bay -150 L
Detroit -150 L
Philadelphia -120 W
Seattle -115 L
Dodgers -160 L
San Francisco -105 NP

Wouldn't this make it 1-4?



Here is the record with units since the All star break. You can play at your own risk
ML.... (28-28) -11u
TPR.... (22-20) -4u
SA.... (59-69) -13u

Thank you

[HoulihansTX]

Added S/A System play
8/6

Washington (No play <+205)

[Formulawiz]

Added S/A System play
8/6

Washington (No play <+205)

That was a nice +200 win yesterday on WAS. By the way It does not matter what the line on WAS is. It dependes what the line for the favorite is and in this case LAD was the fav -225. Therefore as long as the Actual ML for LAD was > -205, WAS was the play.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 4-4 yesterday.
Wins COL, STL, MIL, TEX
Loss MIN, NYY, SEA, ATL

Plays later today.

[HoulihansTX]

8/6
S/A System

Reds (No Play >-126) (-115) W
*Bos* (No Play >-136) (+145) W
Colorado (No Play >-175) (-130) W
Toronto (No Play <+136) (+105) No Play
STL (No Play >-175) (-125) W
KC (No Play >-175) (-145) L

Washington (No play <+205) (+210) W

8/6 (4-1) +5.1units

*Bos* I made a mistake listing Yanks as the play. But it was Boston. I misread Yanks as the play.

[Formulawiz]

ML plays today based on early lines.

COL No Play if < -125
MIL No Play if < -125
MIN No Play if < -140
CWS No Play if < -155

NO play if > -175

[HoulihansTX]

8/7

S/A System

Cincy (No Play >-137)
Tex (No Play <+130)
Minny (No Play >-175)
Colorado (No Play >-130)
Washington (No Play <+116)

Corrected Formula

[Formulawiz]

8/7

S/A System

Cincy (No Play >-137)
Tex (No Play <+130)
Minny (No Play >-175)
Mets (No Play <+115)
Colorado (No Play >-130)
Washington (No Play <+116)

NYM no play 2 game losing streak

[ShivaBowl]

Team Projected Runs for 8/6/2010
TPR Update 08/06
MIL 1.6 WIN
COL 1.5 WIN
MIN 1.4 N/P > -175
K.C 1.3 LOSS
ARZ 1.0 WIN
Comp Play WIN
TPR, since A.S. break, 28-22
COMP, since A.S. break,10-4


Team Projected Runs for 8/7/2010
TPR Update 08/07
MIL 1.6 WIN
COL 1.5 LOSS
MIN 1.3 WIN
K.C 1.2 WIN N/P KC lost 2
ARI 1.0 WIN
Comp, WIN MIL
TPR, since A.S. break, 31-23
COMP, since A.S. break,11-4

[HoulihansTX]

8/7

S/A System

Cincy (No Play >-137) (+100) W
Tex (No Play <+130) (+105) No Play
Minny (No Play >-175) (-135) W
Colorado (No Play >-130) (-140) No Play
Washington (No Play <+116) (+160) L

Corrected Formula

8/7 (2-1) +1Unit

[Formulawiz]

8/7 (2-1) +1Unit

You left CWS out and that was a win using the S/A system.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 3-1 yesterday

Todays plays based on early lines.

STL, MIN, TEX, SEA, NYY

[HoulihansTX]

You left CWS out and that was a win using the S/A system.

Balty was on a winning streak. 4 game win streak entering that game.

[ShivaBowl]

Team Projected Run Plays for 8/8/2010
Update 08/08
MIL 1.6 WIN
COL 1.5 WIN
MIN 1.4 WIN
KC 1.2 LOSS
ARZ 1.0 LOSS

Comp Play From Sportrends.com 08/08 WIN
Take Minnesota W/Duensing over Cleveland W/Huff NO PLAY if < -145 or > -175
ARZ looking to sweep SD
MIL looking to sweep HOU
TPR, since A.S. break, 34-25
COMP, since A.S. break,12-4

[HoulihansTX]

8/8

S/A System

Minny (No Play >-175)
Angels (No Play >-132)**
CWS (No Play >-175)
Braves (No Play >-129)
Mets (No Play <+160)**
Colorado (No Play >-175)**
Cincy (No Play >-175)
Tex (No Play <+111)
Dodgers (No Play >-175)
NYY (No Play >-161)

** Both of the starting pitchers accumulated their IP's in a relievers role. 3 starts in between both pitchers. Proceed with caution.
** Personal play of the day. The line on Philly is so obviously inflated.

[ShivaBowl]

Red Sox @ Yankees (-140) with a total of 9; J. Beckett vs. A. Burnett;
Oh, A.J. Burnett, will you ever figure out how to just go 6 innings and give up 2 runs every time out, please? I doubt it. He's going to keep doing what he's been doing, going 3 straight starts without allowing a run, then giving up 11 runs in his next 2 starts. Which one will this one be? Well, if history is any indicator, he should stink. Since Burnett moved over to the Yankees, the Red Sox have clobbered him, including two ugly starts against them this year. Josh Beckett appears to be feeling pretty good, these days. He's one of the few starters we've seen come back from a substantial injury, and not really have a letdown game. Tough to have a letdown against the Yankees. I know his career numbers against New York aren't too good, but when he's on his game, Beckett can be flat out un hittable.

[HoulihansTX]

I wouldnt play the Yankees either today. Burnett is garbage.

[ShivaBowl]

I wouldnt play the Yankees either today. Burnett is garbage.

The Line on this game is fascinating to me.
Be leave it or not I would be happy to pay > -150 with NYY.

I just close my eyes on Sun night games and play the home team,
but my ass still hurts, from the last time NYY played on Sun night LAD.

[HoulihansTX]

I'm on the over in the Yankees game.

[Formulawiz]

Balty was on a winning streak. 4 game win streak entering that game.

Correct

[EXhoosier10]

ML system went 3-1 yesterday

Todays plays based on early lines.

STL, MIN, TEX, SEA, NYY

Would like to see your 4 plays. Thanks

[bobby29]

ML system went 3-1 yesterday

Todays plays based on early lines.

STL, MIN, TEX, SEA, NYY

why not keep track of your record everyday based on units or dollars won-lost.
just saying you went 3-1 is decieving, because on most days your plays are huge favorites and when you lose one of them its like losing 2 plays. Any real gambler keeps an honest record with units, not just wins-losses.

[EXhoosier10]

why not keep track of your record everyday based on units or dollars won-lost.
just saying you went 3-1 is decieving, because on most days your plays are huge favorites and when you lose one of them its like losing 2 plays. Any real gambler keeps an honest record with units, not just wins-losses.

Bobby, here is the expected response from formulawiz. "If you want to keep track of units, then you can do so yourself. I'm only have 15 minutes a day to figure out the plays and I'm not here to spoonfeed you. If you want to be spoonfed, go elsewhere. Unit-wise, we're up a over a zillion during the last 3 years. This year though, Vegas has figured us out and we are only up a couple of million units. Like I said, I'm not going to spoon feed you. If you want to keep track of my record and how my systems are doing, then do it yourself."

Since the All star break
ML system
Road Dog 2-1 $1.10
Road Fav 10-13 ($7.75)
Home Dog 0-0 $0.00
Home Fav 21-17 ($3.70)
TOAL 33-31 ($10.35)

TPR system
Road Dog 4-2 $2.60
Road Fav 15-13 ($1.80)
Home Dog 1-0 $1.25
Home Fav 7-6 ($2.15)
TOTAL 27-21 ($0.10)

SA system
Road Dog 19-36 ($10.70)
Road Fav 26-18 $2.85
Home Dog 2-2 $0.50
Home Fav 10-8 ($1.25)
TOTAL 65-71 ($7.35)

[HoulihansTX]

Hoosier:
Thanks for that breakdown. Thats going to extra mile.

Do you agree that the Phillies line is inflated?

[VegasPlayer]

55K views on a system that is down 18K in a month??
What is missing here?

[HoulihansTX]

55K views on a system that is down 18K in a month?? What is missing here?

Where does it say that its down 18K?

Trust me I feel no personal slight whatsoever, but I'm curious.

[VegasPlayer]

Just glancing at post #1986.
According to those numbers a dime player is down almost 18K assuming $1.00 = 1 unit
No offense or slight intended. Just wondering what the numbers mean?

[Formulawiz]

Bobby, here is the expected response from formulawiz. "If you want to keep track of units, then you can do so yourself. I'm only have 15 minutes a day to figure out the plays and I'm not here to spoonfeed you. If you want to be spoonfed, go elsewhere. Unit-wise, we're up a over a zillion during the last 3 years. This year though, Vegas has figured us out and we are only up a couple of million units. Like I said, I'm not going to spoon feed you. If you want to keep track of my record and how my systems are doing, then do it yourself."

Since the All star break
ML system
Road Dog 2-1 $1.10
Road Fav 10-13 ($7.75)
Home Dog 0-0 $0.00
Home Fav 21-17 ($3.70)
TOAL 33-31 ($10.35)

TPR system
Road Dog 4-2 $2.60
Road Fav 15-13 ($1.80)
Home Dog 1-0 $1.25
Home Fav 7-6 ($2.15)
TOTAL 27-21 ($0.10)

SA system
Road Dog 19-36 ($10.70)
Road Fav 26-18 $2.85
Home Dog 2-2 $0.50
Home Fav 10-8 ($1.25)
TOTAL 65-71 ($7.35)

Why are you only keeping records after the allstar break. Did you forget the 2 weeks prior to the allstar break we were 22-4 and since May 1st I believe we were probably between 65-70% and up quite a few units. If your going to keep the record I suggest you go back and keep an accurate record. I dont have the time but I know we made quite a bit of money.

[EXhoosier10]

Just glancing at post #1986.
According to those numbers a dime player is down almost 18K assuming $1.00 = 1 unit
No offense or slight intended. Just wondering what the numbers mean?

Yes, those were assuming $1 units. The thread started last year and Formula never uses units, just makes sure to promote these systems when they are hot. Normal tout behavior of course. Here is the best part though... He claims that Vegas and offshore books are onto his systems and moving lines just so some plays don't count.

[EXhoosier10]

Why are you only keeping records after the allstar break. Did you forget the 2 weeks prior to the allstar break we were 22-4 and since May 1st I believe we were probably between 65-70% and up quite a few units. If your going to keep the record I suggest you go back and keep an accurate record. I dont have the time but I know we made quite a bit of money.

65-70% since May 1st? Even including that hot streak, ML system is 59% and +2.9units. Let me repeat. For about a month and a half, including a 22-4 run, the system is hitting 59% for a profit of 3u. 3. Since July 4, this system has played 7 dogs and 85 favorites. assuming the same average line of -137, your system needs to hit at 58% to break even. Congrats.

And please, for the sake of everyone else, PLEASE post your record since May 1st or give some kind of units "won". You dont' list the plays every day, just an imaginary record where, countless times, I have found an error and you have corrected it. How many times have you posted a record where an error wasn't corrected? Please, for the sake of your credibility, post your units or record since may 1st

[bobby29]

65-70% since May 1st? Even including that hot streak, ML system is 59% and +2.9units. Let me repeat. For about a month and a half, including a 22-4 run, the system is hitting 59% for a profit of 3u. 3. Since July 4, this system has played 7 dogs and 85 favorites. assuming the same average line of -137, your system needs to hit at 58% to break even. Congrats.

And please, for the sake of everyone else, PLEASE post your record since May 1st or give some kind of units "won". You dont' list the plays every day, just an imaginary record where, countless times, I have found an error and you have corrected it. How many times have you posted a record where an error wasn't corrected? Please, for the sake of your credibility, post your units or record since may 1st

my guess hes in business with sam and thats why he always defends the guy when somebody posts one of sports trneds plays. Touts are always the ones who post great record but never attach units won to their systems.
I have been gambling for over 30 years and i have yet to see any system that plays huge favorites win at the end of the year. It would have been nice to see formula keep a unit record for the whole year, to see exactly how the system goes, but i guess that extra 2 minutes a day would have been to much for him.

[Extra Innings]

Yes, those were assuming $1 units. The thread started last year and Formula never uses units, just makes sure to promote these systems when they are hot. Normal tout behavior of course. Here is the best part though... He claims that Vegas and offshore books are onto his systems and moving lines just so some plays don't count.