New Baseball Power Rating System

ShivaBowl · 07-27-10, 07:56 AM

Team Projected Runs for 7/27/2010
Updated 07/28
BOS 1.6 Win
CHC 1.5 Loss
NYY 1.5 ? Loss N/P
TOR 1.3 ? Win N/P
CWS 1.3 ? Win N/P
No TPR Plays if -175 & over
Complimentary Selection from Sportrends 7/27/2010 No Play
Take Florida W/Johnson over San Fran W/Cain NO PLAY if < -125 or > -175
TPR, since A.S. break, 14-15
COMP, since A.S. break, 7-1

Originally Posted by Formulawiz
Todays ML plays based on early lines
STL, MIL

HoulihansTX · 07-27-10, 09:38 AM

7/27

S/A System

Twins (No Play >-155)
Marlins (No Play >-127)
STL (No Play >-157)
Oak (No Play < +145)
Brewers (No Play >-175)

ZombieWolverine · 07-27-10, 10:11 AM

Bol to ya

ShivaBowl · 07-27-10, 11:08 AM

Team Projected Runs for 7/28/2010
BOS 1.6
CWS 1.5
CUB 1.4
NYY 1.4
MIN 1.0

Complimentary Selection for 7/28/2010
Take Chi Cubs W/Wells over Houston W/Norris NO PLAY if < -130 or > -175

Formulawiz · 07-28-10, 06:55 AM

ML system went 0-2 yesterday.

Plays later today

HoulihansTX · 07-28-10, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

7/27
S/A System

Twins (No Play >-155)(-150) W
Marlins (No Play >-127)(-115) L
STL (No Play >-157)(-145) L
Oak (No Play < +145)(+220) L
Brewers (No Play >-175) (-150) L

7/27 (1-4) -2.1units

Formulawiz · 07-28-10, 08:41 AM

Todays ML plays based on early lines

CHC, MIN, NYY, TEX

HoulihansTX · 07-28-10, 09:19 AM

7/28

S/A System

Cubs (No Play >-175)
Reds (No Play >-175)
Marlins (No Play <+153)
Cards (No Play <+132)
Twins (No Play >-175)
Cleve (No Play <+149)

ShivaBowl · 07-28-10, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

ML system went 0-2 yesterday. Plays later today

Wiz, why 0-2 yesterday, I thought STL, dropped out <-150
Tks

Formulawiz · 07-28-10, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Wiz, why 0-2 yesterday, I thought STL, dropped out <-150
Tks

Thats because the NYM Proj line was -125 fav and the Act was STL -145.

ShivaBowl · 07-28-10, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

Thats because the NYM Proj line was -125 fav and the Act was STL -145.

OK thanks, STL if >-125
GL

HoulihansTX · 07-28-10, 11:49 AM

Fellas are you guys weeding out plays if their are INJ's due to everyday player no longer in the lineup?

Cubs, and Reds are resting significant players today. I will be avoiding those teams as plays.

Formulawiz · 07-28-10, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Fellas are you guys weeding out plays if their are INJ's due to everyday player no longer in the lineup?

Cubs, and Reds are resting significant players today. I will be avoiding those teams as plays.

No we are not.

Joe Dogs · 07-28-10, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Fellas are you guys weeding out plays if their are INJ's due to everyday player no longer in the lineup?

Cubs, and Reds are resting significant players today. I will be avoiding those teams as plays.

I believe sportrends stated that INJ'S are already factored into the line.

Nice move laying off the Cubs.BOL

HoulihansTX · 07-28-10, 10:24 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

7/28

S/A System

Cubs (No Play >-175) (-140) L
Reds (No Play >-175) (-115) W
Twins (No Play >-175) (-135) W

Pittsburgh +190 W

7/28 (3-1) +2.5 units

Edited, as I left them out yesterday. Thanks Formula

ShivaBowl · 07-29-10, 12:50 AM

Team Projected Runs for 7/28/2010
Update 07/29
BOS 1.6 WIN
CWS 1.5 WIN
CUB 1.4 LOSS
NYY 1.4 WIN
MIN 1.0 WIN

TPR, since A.S. break, 18-16
COMP, since A.S. break, 7-2

The Cubs; before the start of yesterdays game were the hottest team in baseball,
batting nearly .320 as a team, since the A.S. break.

The M/L, S/A and TPR, all went down with the Cubs yesterday, Boycott?

HoulihansTX · 07-29-10, 01:15 AM

Cubs suck. Sportrends just needs to remove all Cubs games from their systems.

They have been all over the Scrubs this season.

Formulawiz · 07-29-10, 04:43 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Cubs suck. Sportrends just needs to remove all Cubs games from their systems.

They have been all over the Scrubs this season.

Your probably correct about the CUBS but I believe they recently won 3 or 4 games in a row for us.
By the way I think you missed PIT yesterday and they were + 190. COL who they played was on a 7 game losing streak as well. Pro line for COL was -1.89 and act was -2.30. The overlap is > 25 cents

Formulawiz · 07-29-10, 06:59 AM

ML system went 2-2 yesterday

ML plays later today

Formulawiz · 07-29-10, 07:46 AM

Todays ML plays based on early lines

ATL

ZombieWolverine · 07-29-10, 07:59 AM

BOL to ya

ShivaBowl · 07-29-10, 08:17 AM

Team Projected Runs for 7/29/2010
Update 07/30
CWS 1.5 WIN
NYY 1.4 WIN, n/p IP <-20
COL 1.2 WINN, n/p L/8
TPR, since A.S. break, 19-16
COMP, since A.S. break, 7-3

Complimentary Selection for 7/29/2010 LOSS

San Fran W/Bumgarner over Florida W/Sanchez NO PLAY if > -175

HoulihansTX · 07-29-10, 09:26 AM

7/29

S/A System

Mets (No Play >-138)
Wash (No Play <+116)
Pitt (No Play <+234)
San Fran (No Play >-160)

Formulawiz · 07-29-10, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

7/29

S/A System

Mets (No Play >-138)
Wash (No Play <+114)
Pitt (No Play <+234)
San Fran (No Play >-160)

I think you meant NYY and not the NYM

ShivaBowl · 07-29-10, 10:55 AM

This may help, with S/A Plays Today.
Mets If >-138
I'm lost with Wash, I think its, Wash If >+134
Pitt If >+234
SFG If >-160
NYY If >-162 Out IP
ARI If >+149 Out Lost 6
SEA If >+160 Out Lost 3
BAL if >+141 Out Lost 5

TX, I'm having one of those days, what do you think, about the S/A plays?
Tks

HoulihansTX · 07-29-10, 11:08 AM

Washington is favored @-1.09. So they would have to be a dog with a 25 cent overlay. (-1.09 +.09 = +100. Then +16 = +116) So I was actually 2 cents off.

Maybe I'm doing this wrong.

Though I dont understand how they are favor on the projections, and then would have to be +134 to be a play. Is that not a 43cent overlay?

Would not -134 make the Braves a play? Is that what was meant.

HoulihansTX · 07-29-10, 11:10 AM

If Shiva, and forumula agree that my calculations are wrong I will change the number. This system will only work if we agree, and I am malleable enough to work with you guys.

ShivaBowl · 07-29-10, 11:31 AM

HoulihansTX
The new system is a ton of work and your doing a good job with it.
EX; when you post the math formula, along with the plays , your teaching people
on how the new system works. Tks
BOL

Joe Dogs · 07-29-10, 11:33 AM

There's no play on the yankees today......New meat on the hill.

Izatnice · 07-29-10, 05:00 PM

which one on the SR site is the S/A system? I am still using the Best Bet system which i am up about 3 units since i purchased it 2 weeks ago. BOL

Joe Dogs · 07-29-10, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by Izatnice

which one on the SR site is the S/A system? I am still using the Best Bet system which i am up about 3 units since i purchased it 2 weeks ago. BOL

On the Sportrends site hit team stats....By baseball,hit match up analyses...Thats were you'll find SA System.

ShivaBowl · 07-29-10, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Washington is favored @-1.09. So they would have to be a dog with a 25 cent overlay. (-1.09 +.09 = +100. Then +16 = +116) So I was actually 2 cents off. Maybe I'm doing this wrong. Though I dont understand how they are favor on the projections, and then would have to be +134 to be a play. Is that not a 43cent overlay? Would not -134 make the Braves a play? Is that what was meant.

Your right Houlihans,
I was looking at it incorrectly the play was only on Wash Proj M/L line, Wash -109 Play On Wash if >+116
Thanks for your help.
Forget the Mets you were right no play if >-138
Bad day yesterday.
Thanks

HoulihansTX · 07-29-10, 11:14 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

7/29

S/A System

Mets (No Play >-138) (-148) No Play
Wash (No Play <+116) (+130) W
Pitt (No Play <+234) (+240) L
San Fran (No Play >-160) (-150)L

7/29 (1-2) -1.2 Units

EXhoosier10 · 07-29-10, 11:33 PM

Tough day. Systems have been alright the past week. Lets hope for some W's coming up

Formulawiz · 07-30-10, 07:43 AM

ML system went 0-1 yesterday

ML plays later today