MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/21


- Bal A bet - currently -161, play Money Line (705 est)
- Was A bet - currently -154, play Money Line (705 est)
- NYM A bet - currently -108, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -245 (840 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[bryanoens]

Like the wash play. Let's cash

[grombom125]

Im a silent follower but had to speak up to let you know were not taking it for granted. Sweep yesterday? Thank you for your work ledjend!

[ledjend]

Im a silent follower but had to speak up to let you know were not taking it for granted. Sweep yesterday? Thank you for your work ledjend!

Thanks for sharing grom - love seeing new faces!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/21

Flat Betting (Entered day 118-70, -8.73 u)

- Bal at -160 - Loss
- Was at -147 - Loss
- NYM +1.5 at -220 - Win


1-2, -2.07 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 82-51, +1.53 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 37-21, -12.33 u

Year to date combined - 119-72, -10.80 u



Chase (Entered day 117-3, +63.5 u)

- Bal A bet - Loss
- Was A bet - Loss
- NYM A bet - Win


Year to date - 118-3, +64.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/22


- Bal B bet - currently -164, play Money Line (705 est)
- Bal A bet - currently -164, play Money Line (705 est)
- Was B bet - currently -148, play Money Line (705 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/22

Flat Betting (Entered day 119-72, -10.80 u)

- Bal at -152 - Loss
- Bal at -152 - Loss
- Was at -155 - Win


1-2, -2.04 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 83-53, -.51 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 37-21, -12.33 u

Year to date combined - 120-74, -12.84 u



Chase (Entered day 118-3, +64.5 u)

- Bal A bet - Loss
- Bal B bet - Loss
- Was B bet - Win


Year to date - 119-3, +65.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/23


- Bal B bet - currently -160, play Money Line (135 est)
- Bal C bet - currently -160, play Money Line (135 est)
- LAA A bet - currently -112, play Alt Run Line at not listed yet (335 est)
- Pit A bet (vs SF) - currently -170, play Money Line (808 est)


Another Sunday, another C bet.

Good luck today!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[sportsbetter21]

another c bet means another unit
thanks for posting

[bob6199]

Ouch, 16.82 unit loss then have to bet on a -190 spread against the best team in baseball.

[sportsbetter21]

Ouch, 16.82 unit loss then have to bet on a -190 spread against the best team in baseball.

Just bet todays losses on Baltimore tomorrow
Boom problem solved

[ledjend]

Painful loss today considering how it happened - but we've definitely had our share of close calls go our way.

Hopefully Baltimore can get their shit together for tomorrow.

[ledjend]

Just bet todays losses on Baltimore tomorrow
Boom problem solved

This actually made me laugh.

The odds are well in our favor, but I hope no one takes this post literally.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/23

Flat Betting (Entered day 120-74, -12.84 u)

- Bal at -181 - Loss
- Bal at -181 - Loss
- LAA +1.5 at -190 - Loss
- Pit at -180 - Win


1-3, -4.52 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 84-56, -5.03 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 37-21, -12.33 u

Year to date combined - 121-77, -17.36 u



Chase (Entered day 119-3, +65.5 u)

- Bal B bet - Loss
- Bal C bet - Loss...-160, -152, -181 = -17.41 (rounded to -17.5)
- LAA A bet - Loss
- Pit A bet (vs SF) - Win


Year to date - 120-4, +49 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[stacks on deck]

Figure we got two more losses in us.. lets hope it's not back to back.

[Grivas_Digeni]

Just bet todays losses on Baltimore tomorrow
Boom problem solved

If you are a guy, that attitude is very likely to get your teeth kicked in on a regular basis.
If you are a girl, never mind.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fILpCqPBAiY (approx. min 20-25 for how women abuse the unspoken rule:noone with a vagina is supposed to get punched for being a total moron/asshole).. the whole show is hilarious - this is what you should be watching when you have a shitload of money riding on the next C bet. DO NOT WATCH THE GAME!

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/24


- NYY A bet - currently -126, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -210 (705 est)
- Bal C bet - currently +111, play Run Line +1.5 at -195 (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[sportsbetter21]

If you are a guy, that attitude is very likely to get your teeth kicked in on a regular basis.
If you are a girl, never mind.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fILpCqPBAiY (approx. min 20-25 for how women abuse the unspoken rule:noone with a vagina is supposed to get punched for being a total moron/asshole).. the whole show is hilarious - this is what you should be watching when you have a shitload of money riding on the next C bet. DO NOT WATCH THE GAME!

Doesn't matter to me
Ive been straight betting the C games
Just think: Baltimore wins +1 unit
Baltimore loses another 19 units down the pisser
but hey you're up if you have been chasing since the start
So good luck yall

[Grivas_Digeni]

nice trolling

are you upset you're only going to win 1 unit with this C play?

[stacks on deck]

geez hr. come on ubaldo

[bob6199]

Ouch 30+ units loss on one team........ very happy i only lost 4-5 units on Both combined.

[stacks on deck]

well that's the 5th loss. hopefully only one more before the season is over.

[bob6199]

60 units in about 5 weeks will probably be impossible unless you go undefeated, definitely the worse year this will have, hopefully you can still finish 50+ units and it still ends up being a good year.

[ledjend]

Unbelievable to think a 2 out seeing eye RBI single against an All-Star closer just cost us 36.5 units - but it happens.

Fact is that we've just had 2 tornadoes hit us in the past 3 weeks and we're still solidly sitting at +31 units.

As far as winning 100 units goes, we'll probably see anywhere from 80-100 plays over the next 30 days. So although getting to 100 seems unlikely at the moment, it is still very possible.

Bottom line - my confidence in this system is still sky high. I am not worried at all and I have no doubt that when all is said and done, those of you who had the investor mindset to stay the course, will be rewarded.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/24

Flat Betting (Entered day 121-77, -17.36 u)

- Bal +1.5 at -180 - Loss
- NYY at -153 - Win


1-1, -.8 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 85-57, -5.83 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 37-21, -12.33 u

Year to date combined - 122-78, -18.16 u



Chase (Entered day 120-4, +49 u)

- Bal C bet - Loss...-152, -181, -180 = -18.82 (rounded to -19)
- NYY A bet - Win


Year to date - 121-5, +31 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[sportsbetter21]

nice trolling


are you upset you're only going to win 1 unit with this C play?

No because it lost

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/25


- NYY A bet (vs Hou) - currently +116, play Run Line +1.5 at -150 (705 est)
- LAA B bet - currently -115, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -245 (708 est)
- Cle A bet - currently -154, play Money Line (710 est)
- LAD A bet - currently -142, play Money Line (710 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[stacks on deck]

what's the new projected season win total? will it make it to 75 units?

[ledjend]

what's the new projected season win total? will it make it to 75 units?

Losses after 8/25:

2014 - 2 = -29 units
2013 - 1 = -17 units
2012 - 1 = -18 units
2011 - 2 = -41 units
2010 - 2 = -43 units

Total = 8 for -148 units


We've lost a total of 128 units after 8/25 over the last 5 seasons. That averages out to 29.6 units per season (rounded up to 30 units). We have an estimated 90 plays left.


88 wins - 2 losses (30 units) = +58 units


Going by the above numbers, current projected profit by end of season would be 89 units.

[CubsFan1908]

Love the investing mindset. Good luck the rest of the way

[ledjend]

Love the investing mindset. Good luck the rest of the way

Thanks dude!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/25

Flat Betting (Entered day 122-78, -18.16 u)

- NYY +1.5 at -140 - Loss
- LAA +1.5 at -245 - Win
- Cle at -163 - Win
- LAD +1.5 at -280 - Win


3-1, +1.6 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 86-58, -6.23 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 39-21, -10.33 u

Year to date combined - 125-79, -16.56 u



Chase (Entered day 121-5, +31 u)

- NYY A bet (vs Hou) - Loss
- LAA B bet - Win
- Cle A bet - Win
- LAD A bet - Win


Year to date - 124-5, +34 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/26


- NYY B bet (vs Hou) - currently -135, play Money Line (105 est)
- NYY A bet - currently -135, play Money Line (105 est)
- Tor A bet (vs Tex) - currently -170, play Money Line (805 est)
- CHW A bet (vs Bos) - currently -178, play Money Line (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/26

Flat Betting (Entered day 125-79, -16.56 u)

- NYY at -145 - Loss
- NYY at -145 - Loss
- CHW at -212 - Loss
- Tor at -186 - Win


1-3, -4.02 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 87-60, -8.13 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 39-22, -12.45 u

Year to date combined - 126-82, -20.58 u



Chase (Entered day 124-5, +34 u)

- NYY B bet (vs Hou) - Loss
- NYY A bet - Loss
- CHW A bet (vs Bos) - Loss
- Tor A bet (vs Tex) - Win


Year to date - 125-5, +35 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/27


No games today - big day Friday!