MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

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  • ledjend
    Restricted User
    • 10-14-14
    • 1111

    #106
    Originally posted by keel44
    Thanks for all of your hard work. It looks like a killer system for sure.

    I cannot for the life of me figure out how the Phillies could have been a play 2 games before the All-Star break on the road, then come home after the All-Star break and beat Fernandez and the Marlins for the all important "C" bet. I don't see how the plays are made, but it seems the results are good.
    Yeah man - low juice took some of the pressure off but you never like to lose a C.

    At least we got paid for having to sit through that awful display of garbage they called baseball. Those teams are bad!
    Comment
    • ledjend
      Restricted User
      • 10-14-14
      • 1111

      #107
      Originally posted by stickbit
      Great system here thanks for your hard work and posting! Let's have a great 2nd half of the season with this! Question...does this system cutoff say around 9/1? Or safe to play after that? Just because subs etc.come in Sept gets crazy and usually kills systems.
      Good question!

      A series is disqualified if the A bet for/against that team is within their last 3 series of the season. This year that date would be somewhere around 9/22-23.

      Over the last 5 years, each season has had exactly one loss in September - but even with that loss, each season has also profited 20+ units in September.

      I have also, like you, seen systems fall to pieces before in September - but according to the last 5 years of data, this is not one of them.
      Comment
      • ledjend
        Restricted User
        • 10-14-14
        • 1111

        #108
        Originally posted by bob6199
        on the first page 2014 had 5 losses, now it has 2. Which one is it?
        First page was a rough draft.
        What I posted yesterday was the final draft.
        Comment
        • ledjend
          Restricted User
          • 10-14-14
          • 1111

          #109
          Originally posted by BOA12
          the juice on the alt rl is sweet nectar
          Lol - yeah those 260s are beast.
          Comment
          • ledjend
            Restricted User
            • 10-14-14
            • 1111

            #110
            YESTERDAY 7/18

            Flat Betting
            (Entered day 33-24, -9.22 u)

            - NYY at -158 - Loss
            - Cle - Win


            1-1, -.58 u on day

            Year to date - 34-25, -9.80 u



            Chase
            (Entered day 32-1, +17.5u)

            - NYY A bet (vs Sea) - Loss
            - Cle C bet - Win
            * Pit A bet Loss from yesterday -2 units*


            Year to date - 33-1, +16.5u



            Last edited by ledjend; 07-19-15, 12:54 AM.
            Comment
            • ledjend
              Restricted User
              • 10-14-14
              • 1111

              #111
              TODAY 7/19


              - NYY B bet (vs Sea) -
              currently +114, play Run Line +1.5 at -150 (105 est)
              - Tor A bet -
              currently +101, play Run Line +1.5 at -170 (105 est)
              - KC A bet (vs CHW) -
              currently +144, play Run Line +1.5 at -160 (210 est)
              - NYM A bet -
              currently +125, play Run Line +1.5 at -180 (215 est)
              - Oak A bet (vs Min) -
              currently -135, play Money Line (405 est)
              - SD A bet (vs Col) -
              currently not listed yet (410 est)


              Good Luck!



              *IMPORTANT:
              Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363

                #112
                5-0

                nice
                Comment
                • ledjend
                  Restricted User
                  • 10-14-14
                  • 1111

                  #113
                  YESTERDAY 7/19

                  Flat Betting
                  (Entered day 34-25, -9.80 u)

                  - NYY - Win
                  - Tor - Win
                  - KC - Win
                  - NYM - Win
                  - Oak - Win


                  5-0, +5 u on day

                  Year to date - 39-25, -4.80 u



                  Chase
                  (Entered day 33-1, +16.5u)

                  - NYY B bet (vs Sea) - Win
                  - Tor A bet - Win
                  - KC A bet (vs CHW) - Win
                  - NYM A bet - Win
                  - Oak A bet (vs Min) - Win


                  Year to date - 38-1, +21.5u



                  Comment
                  • ledjend
                    Restricted User
                    • 10-14-14
                    • 1111

                    #114
                    Originally posted by keel44
                    5-0

                    nice
                    We're just gettin started!
                    Comment
                    • ledjend
                      Restricted User
                      • 10-14-14
                      • 1111

                      #115
                      TODAY 7/20


                      - Det A bet (vs Sea) -
                      currently -110, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (708 est)
                      - Ari A bet (vs Mia) -
                      currently -140, play Money Line (940 est)


                      The San Diego A bet has been cancelled due to the rain-out yesterday. Also, there could be an added play for tonight depending on the results of the first game between Bos/LAA. Stay tuned.

                      Good luck tonight!



                      *IMPORTANT:
                      Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                      Comment
                      • ledjend
                        Restricted User
                        • 10-14-14
                        • 1111

                        #116
                        YESTERDAY 7/20

                        Flat Betting
                        (Entered day 39-25, -4.80 u)

                        - Det - Win
                        - Ari - Win


                        2-0, +2 u on day

                        Year to date - 41-25, -2.80 u



                        Chase
                        (Entered day 38-1, +21.5u)

                        - Det A bet (vs Sea) - Win
                        - Ari A bet (vs Mia) - Win



                        Year to date - 40-1, +23.5u


                        Comment
                        • BOA12
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-19-12
                          • 20622

                          #117
                          keep it going and the legend lives bol
                          Comment
                          • ledjend
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-14-14
                            • 1111

                            #118
                            TODAY 7/21


                            - Tex A bet - currently +109, play Run Line +1.5 at -175 (840 est)
                            - Min A bet - currently +129, play Run Line +1.5 at -173 (1005 est)


                            Good luck tonight!



                            *IMPORTANT:
                            Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                            Comment
                            • ledjend
                              Restricted User
                              • 10-14-14
                              • 1111

                              #119
                              YESTERDAY 7/21

                              Flat Betting
                              (Entered day 41-25, -2.80 u)

                              - Min at -205 - Loss
                              - Tex - Win


                              1-1, -1.05 u on day

                              Year to date - 42-26, -3.85 u



                              Chase
                              (Entered day 40-1, +23.5u)

                              - Tex A bet - Win



                              Year to date - 41-1, +24.5u


                              Comment
                              • ledjend
                                Restricted User
                                • 10-14-14
                                • 1111

                                #120
                                TODAY 7/22


                                - CHC A bet (vs Cin) -
                                currently -107, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -240 (1235 est)
                                - Det A bet (vs Sea) -
                                currently -132, play Money Line (708 est)
                                - Min B bet -
                                currently +156, play Run Line +1.5 at -140 (1005 est)


                                The CHC A bet is the first game of a doubleheader. If the A bet loses, make sure you play the B in the second game. Also, there's a chance that we win and the second game qualifies as another A bet. If it does, I'll be sure to post it.

                                Good luck today/tonight!



                                *IMPORTANT:
                                Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                                Comment
                                • ledjend
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 10-14-14
                                  • 1111

                                  #121
                                  YESTERDAY 7/22

                                  Flat Betting
                                  (Entered day 42-26, -3.85 u)

                                  - CHC at -260 - Loss
                                  - Min at -135 - Loss
                                  - CHC - Win
                                  - Det - Win


                                  2-2, -1.95 u on day

                                  Year to date - 44-28, -5.80 u



                                  Chase
                                  (Entered day 41-1, +24.5u)

                                  - CHC B bet - Win
                                  - Det A bet (vs Sea) - Win



                                  Year to date - 43-1, +26.5u
                                  Comment
                                  • ledjend
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 10-14-14
                                    • 1111

                                    #122
                                    TODAY 7/23


                                    - Tor A bet -
                                    currently +108, play Run Line +1.5 at -195 (335 est)
                                    - Min C bet -
                                    currently +153, play Run Line +1.5 at -150 (335 est)
                                    - LAD A bet (vs NYM) -
                                    currently -226, play Money Line (710 est)


                                    As of today, any game with a line of -200 or above I will not be flat betting. Moving forward the records will reflect this change.

                                    Good luck today/tonight!



                                    *IMPORTANT:
                                    Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                                    Comment
                                    • ledjend
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-14-14
                                      • 1111

                                      #123
                                      YESTERDAY 7/23

                                      Flat Betting
                                      (Entered day 44-28, -5.80 u)

                                      - Min at -145 - Win
                                      - Tor at -240 - Win
                                      - LAD at -255 - Win


                                      3-0, +3 u on day

                                      Year to date only -199 lines and below - 37-19, +7.45 u
                                      Year to date only -200 lines and above - 10-9, -10.25 u

                                      Year to date combined - 47-28, -2.80 u





                                      Chase
                                      (Entered day 43-1, +26.5 u)

                                      - Min C bet - Win
                                      - Tor A bet - Win
                                      - LAD A bet (vs NYM) - Win


                                      Year to date - 46-1, +29.5 u
                                      Comment
                                      • stickbit
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-09-08
                                        • 265

                                        #124
                                        rollin!
                                        Comment
                                        • ledjend
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 10-14-14
                                          • 1111

                                          #125
                                          TODAY 7/24


                                          - Det A bet -
                                          currently +128, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (710 est)
                                          - Det A bet (vs Bos) -
                                          currently +128, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (710 est)
                                          - Cin A bet -
                                          currently +109, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (840 est)


                                          Yes, Detroit is a double play.

                                          Good luck tonight!



                                          *IMPORTANT:
                                          Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                                          Last edited by ledjend; 07-24-15, 02:16 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • bob6199
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-10-14
                                            • 1609

                                            #126
                                            the AVG unit loss for a chase is 17.8 using your full numbers
                                            Comment
                                            • ledjend
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 10-14-14
                                              • 1111

                                              #127
                                              YESTERDAY 7/24

                                              Flat Betting
                                              (Entered day 47-28, -2.80 u)

                                              - Det at -150 - Win
                                              - Det at -150 - Win
                                              - Cin at -185 - Win


                                              3-0, +3 u on day

                                              Year to date only -199 lines and below - 40-19, +10.45 u
                                              Year to date only -200 lines and above - 10-9, -10.25 u

                                              Year to date combined - 50-28, +.20 u




                                              Chase
                                              (Entered day 46-1, +29.5 u)

                                              - Det A bet +1.5 - Win
                                              - Det A bet +1.5 - Win
                                              - Cin A bet +1.5 - Win


                                              Year to date - 49-1, +32.5 u


                                              Comment
                                              • ledjend
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 10-14-14
                                                • 1111

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by bob6199
                                                the AVG unit loss for a chase is 17.8 using your full numbers
                                                Not sure what you expect me to do with this buddy - I said it was 17.69...it's like arguing over who gets the last piece of gum.
                                                Comment
                                                • ledjend
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 10-14-14
                                                  • 1111

                                                  #129
                                                  "Whoever you're following right now - stop! Unless they're making you 100 units every 3 months, there's just no reason to even look back - this is the only thread you need. It is a living, breathing cash cow - so make sure you subscribe so you don't miss any money!"


                                                  Exactly 3 weeks ago I began this thread with that quote. Since then, we've gone on to win 42 consecutive series. If you missed out, I get it. There's threads being made every day by morons making empty promises. So how would you know right off the bat that I was different? Even if you had a feeling, you still wouldn't know for sure. So to put your hard earned money on the line taking advice from someone making outrageous claims would be borderline special ed.

                                                  But now it's 3 weeks later - and pretty much every promise I've made has played out to a "T". I said this was the greatest system I'd seen in over 20 years - we've won 42 straight. I said it averaged over 100 units of profit per year over the last 3 years - we're up 32.5 units with still almost 2 months to go. And remember that one and only series on Pittsburgh that was cancelled after the A bet - it lost!

                                                  If you were waiting around to see if this was for real - that's fine. Like I said, you didn't know me from Adam. But now you've seen proof. We've gone 7-0 on C bets for Christ's sake!

                                                  If you're in this thread right now but following someone else - I hope they're making you 100 units every 3 months. Because if they're not, and you still continue to follow them even after reading this - you're an idiot and you don't deserve money!

                                                  See you guys on Sunday.









                                                  Comment
                                                  • benkyoq
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 01-15-15
                                                    • 25

                                                    #130
                                                    thanks alot for your picks and system, ledjend. I have 1 question about yesterday picks

                                                    Originally posted by ledjend
                                                    TODAY 7/24


                                                    - Det A bet -
                                                    currently +128, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (710 est)
                                                    - Det A bet (vs Bos) -
                                                    currently +128, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (710 est)
                                                    - Cin A bet -
                                                    currently +109, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (840 est)


                                                    Yes, Detroit is a double play.

                                                    Good luck tonight!.
                                                    If detroit couldn't cover RL, does it mean Cincinnati is a x4 bet?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BOA12
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-19-12
                                                      • 20622

                                                      #131
                                                      the legend lives thanks for sharing bol legend in my mind
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Slipknot26
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 07-17-15
                                                        • 5046

                                                        #132
                                                        Great job ledjend
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ledjend
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 10-14-14
                                                          • 1111

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by benkyoq
                                                          thanks alot for your picks and system, ledjend. I have 1 question about yesterday picks



                                                          If detroit couldn't cover RL, does it mean Cincinnati is a x4 bet?
                                                          Every series should be treated separately. If we have an A bet on Detroit, it has absolutely nothing to do with the A bet on Cincinnati. If Detroit wouldn't have covered, the B bet would've been played on Detroit today, and Cincinnati would have remained their own separate A bet.

                                                          Got it?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ledjend
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 10-14-14
                                                            • 1111

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by BOA12
                                                            the legend lives thanks for sharing bol legend in my mind
                                                            Thanks and my pleasure!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ledjend
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 10-14-14
                                                              • 1111

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by Slipknot26
                                                              Great job ledjend
                                                              Thanks buddy!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ledjend
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-14-14
                                                                • 1111

                                                                #136
                                                                TODAY 7/26


                                                                - LAD A bet -
                                                                currently -135, play Money Line (110 est)
                                                                - Hou A bet -
                                                                currently -113, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (210 est)
                                                                - St L A bet (vs Atl) -
                                                                currently -215, play Money Line (215 est)
                                                                - Tex A bet (vs LAA) -
                                                                currently +180, play Run Line +1.5 at -115 (335 est)


                                                                Good luck today!



                                                                *IMPORTANT:
                                                                Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Slipknot26
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-17-15
                                                                  • 5046

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Thank you for the plays ledjend
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ledjend
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 10-14-14
                                                                    • 1111

                                                                    #138
                                                                    YESTERDAY 7/26

                                                                    Flat Betting
                                                                    (Entered day 50-28, +.20 u)

                                                                    - Hou +1.5 at -275 - Loss
                                                                    - St L at -190 - Loss
                                                                    - Tex +1.5 at -125 - Loss
                                                                    - LAD +1.5 at -325 - Win


                                                                    1-3, -4.9 u on day

                                                                    Year to date only -199 lines and below - 40-21, +7.3 u
                                                                    Year to date only -200 lines and above - 11-10, -12 u

                                                                    Year to date combined - 51-31, -4.7 u




                                                                    Chase
                                                                    (Entered day 49-1, +32.5 u)

                                                                    - Hou A bet - Loss
                                                                    - St L A bet (vs Atl) - Loss
                                                                    - Tex A bet (vs LAA) - Loss
                                                                    - LAD A bet - Win


                                                                    Year to date - 50-1, +33.5 u


                                                                    Important Note:
                                                                    As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ledjend
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 10-14-14
                                                                      • 1111

                                                                      #139
                                                                      TODAY 7/27


                                                                      - Bal B bet (vs Atl) -
                                                                      currently -172, play Money Line (705 est)
                                                                      - Cin A bet -
                                                                      currently +169, play Run Line +1.5 at -135 (815 est)


                                                                      Good luck today!



                                                                      *IMPORTANT:
                                                                      Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jeffjam_
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 11-02-14
                                                                        • 107

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Two questions. How are STL and TEX not B plays? And where does BAL B game come from, cant see any A game?
                                                                        Comment
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