System Integrity?

Vincepcion · 05-03-09, 06:12 PM

$$$$$$$$$

ploben · 05-03-09, 08:09 PM

A nice weekend all in all (cept for going back to work on Monday) and a fresh start with day A tomorrow.

Looks like TB will be the play, opening @ -230, behind Kazmir. This line might do some interesting things tomorrow.

See everyone tomorrow.

coreygman · 05-03-09, 09:35 PM

Starting to like this system!

Looks like the Rays for me also in my book, but will not make the bet until the morning...

TAM S KAZMIR -L -230 u9½ -115 -1½ -110

ploben · 05-03-09, 09:47 PM

April gave us a scare but we pushed through. I like it so far. 8-12 in April, 2-1 May so far.

coreygman · 05-03-09, 09:53 PM

Originally posted by ploben

April gave us a scare but we pushed through. I like it so far. 8-12 in April, 2-1 May so far.

paw · 05-03-09, 10:12 PM

System looks great Good job guys.

2 questions for everyone.

1. are you wagering the - 1.5 or are you buying down to -1 ????

2. Are you playing just highest priced money line team solo, or are you playing top 2or 3 teams ??? As I read earlier in this thread that maybe it could work just as well playing top teams.

Thank you

PAW

Slanina · 05-04-09, 01:14 AM

Originally posted by paw

System looks great Good job guys.

2 questions for everyone.

1. are you wagering the - 1.5 or are you buying down to -1 ????

2. Are you playing just highest priced money line team solo, or are you playing top 2or 3 teams ??? As I read earlier in this thread that maybe it could work just as well playing top teams.

Thank you

PAW

1. Run line at -1.5

2. Playing just the biggest favorite of the day according to when the lines are released. I used to use the site I bet at, which is bodog. But now I go by the opening lines at covers.com They have the true lines before the public can influence them.

3. If you do decide to give it a shot. You should have 75x whatever you want to win per series. Ex. $1 per win would need a bankroll of $75. $5 would need $375 and so on...

Slanina · 05-04-09, 01:16 AM

Originally posted by ploben

April gave us a scare but we pushed through. I like it so far. 8-12 in April, 2-1 May so far.

Yeah, when i started the SU record was like 2-6 and I was ready to jump ship. But since then it seemed to mellow out. Lets hope May runs smoothly.

JayRow · 05-04-09, 01:50 AM

Can somebody PLEASE PM me the betting structure for Chase Systems? (you can use a base unit of 10$) such as...
Game 1: bet X
if loss..
Game 2: bet X.

That would be very helpful to me as I have not really been into chase betting, but want to get into it.

JIMMYG13 · 05-04-09, 02:01 AM

Yeah new to site what kinda system u running im intrested

Slanina · 05-04-09, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by JayRow

Can somebody PLEASE PM me the betting structure for Chase Systems? (you can use a base unit of 10$) such as...
Game 1: bet X
if loss..
Game 2: bet X.

That would be very helpful to me as I have not really been into chase betting, but want to get into it.

It depends on what the line is for the given game you are betting on. It's rather simple. I put a fake line in for the game in parenthesis.

Game 1: (-110) Which means you lay $11 to win 10. If that bet loses you move to game 2. Simple enough.

Game 2: (-120) You want to win back the $11 you lost on the first game plus your initial unit. Which in your case would be $10. So you want to win 21 on this game. At a -120 line means you would have to bet 25.20 on game 2. If it wins you start over at game 1 with a profit of 10$ overall. If not, you continue to game 3.

Game 3: (-110) Now this game you want to win back the $11 you lost on game 1. And the 25.20 you lost on game 2. Plus the initial $10 you set out to win to begin with. Which is a total of 46.20 So your bet on game 3 would be $50.82 once the -110 line is factored in. If it wins, this will erase all of your losses occured on game 1 and 2 and would profit $10 overall. If not, continue to game 4.

Game 4: (+100) Assuming the first 3 bets lost you are now down a total of 87.02 Now add the $10 you set out to win and the next bet amount is 97.02 Since the line is even money you bet exactly that 97.02 If it wins you start over with game 1. If not, continue to game 5. This should be a good enough of an example. You should get the idea by now.

I would also like to suggest if you were to try it. You would want to have about 70-75x the money you are trying to win. So if you do the chase with $10 per win. You would want to have between 700-750 incase it were to reach a game 6. This is to be safe. If it got to a game 6 and the line was -120 and you have to bet 320 on it you want to make sure you ahve enough. In your case, since you are new to chase systems, I would highly suggest you start with half bets. As in $5 per win. Just for the first few series till you get the hang of how and what to bet.

Slanina · 05-04-09, 02:26 AM

Originally posted by JIMMYG13

Yeah new to site what kinda system u running im intrested

Your answer lies in post #1 of this thread.

JIMMYG13 · 05-04-09, 02:53 AM

Thanks i will check it out gl to u

ploben · 05-04-09, 07:04 AM

Very interesting early action on BAL, 25%. I think the books tried to inflate both ML and RL and I don't think the public is having any of it. Definatly monitor the line during the afternoon but I think come game time you should be able to get a good price for this bet today.

do5000 · 05-04-09, 10:10 AM

so far, so good.
past couple of weeks have been great.

i think we're all on the A bet for the Rays tonight.

coreygman · 05-04-09, 10:59 AM

Now the run line for the Rays is -115 for me....

dchecks · 05-04-09, 11:07 AM

It is -115 for me too.. Jumping on it now, I think it will go to -120 by days end..

GL All!!!!

Slanina · 05-04-09, 03:09 PM

My line is at -120. I'll wait another hour or so and see where it stands. If it drops I'll jump on it. If it goes up, I'll do this

coreygman · 05-04-09, 03:23 PM

Which book do you all use again? I would lock it now, does not seem to be getting any lower.

ploben · 05-04-09, 03:46 PM

Bookmaker...mine has been at -115 all day so no incentive to book the bet now. I don't think they will move the line unless the get some serious heat of sharp money with TB RL.

Slanina · 05-04-09, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by coreygman

Which book do you all use again? I would lock it now, does not seem to be getting any lower.

Bodog. I'm thinking of opening another account with someone. I used to use sportsinteraction, but 90% of the favorites I find the lines much better somewhere else.

do5000 · 05-04-09, 04:29 PM

slanina, i also have an account with SI, and i agree.
their lines for favs are bad.

i only stick with them cause they have good teaser options for the nfl.

Slanina · 05-04-09, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by do5000

slanina, i also have an account with SI, and i agree.
their lines for favs are bad.

i only stick with them cause they have good teaser options for the nfl.

Haha, same here. I always check their lines and will use them every now and then when I find a decent line. But the majority of my bets are now placed with Bodog.

Slanina · 05-04-09, 04:45 PM

It looks like I have to book it at -120. I'm taking my bike out and won't be back in time. If it drops before I get back I'll laugh at life.

ploben · 05-04-09, 04:51 PM

I think across the board -115 is the line but we are cashing tonight anyway so it doesn't matter.

TAM -115 RL.

Slanina · 05-04-09, 06:32 PM

Well that isn't the start we wanted. Hopefully, Kazmir locks it down and gives us a chance.

coreygman · 05-04-09, 07:59 PM

i opened an account with BetJamaica and have been watching there lines, then seem to be lower most all the time

ploben · 05-04-09, 08:00 PM

Rays fighting back

ploben · 05-04-09, 08:34 PM

And the proceeding to roll over

tbill11 · 05-04-09, 08:50 PM

Looks like the Rays are the line again tomorrow...which I don't like all that much since the O's already messed up this system a few times. Hopefully Garza will come out smoking tomorrow.

ploben · 05-04-09, 09:19 PM

I am seeing that when a big favorite (like the ones we play) lose SU the books automatically set them up again to try and recovers from the night before. Saw that with the Yanks too.

coreygman · 05-05-09, 08:13 AM

Yep looks like Tampa in my book (betez)

TAM M GARZA -R-200 u9 -105 -1½ +105

do5000 · 05-05-09, 08:21 AM

i think its all related to series wins. everytime the fav loses its that much more likely they win the next game.
i have TAM +100 on one book and +105 on another.

ploben · 05-05-09, 08:30 AM

+105 @ Bookmaker....very nice to see plus money for a change...but that just means the books think it's less likely to happen.

Is anyone else keeping a spreadsheet or something like that for this system? I will be on vacation and unable to be near any Internet (cruise) from the 16th till the 25th and just want to see what I miss when I get back. I will be cutting the chase early as it gets closer so I am not in the middle of one when I leave.

JayRow · 05-05-09, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

It depends on what the line is for the given game you are betting on. It's rather simple. I put a fake line in for the game in parenthesis.

Game 1: (-110) Which means you lay $11 to win 10. If that bet loses you move to game 2. Simple enough.

Game 2: (-120) You want to win back the $11 you lost on the first game plus your initial unit. Which in your case would be $10. So you want to win 21 on this game. At a -120 line means you would have to bet 25.20 on game 2. If it wins you start over at game 1 with a profit of 10$ overall. If not, you continue to game 3.

Game 3: (-110) Now this game you want to win back the $11 you lost on game 1. And the 25.20 you lost on game 2. Plus the initial $10 you set out to win to begin with. Which is a total of 46.20 So your bet on game 3 would be $50.82 once the -110 line is factored in. If it wins, this will erase all of your losses occured on game 1 and 2 and would profit $10 overall. If not, continue to game 4.

Game 4: (+100) Assuming the first 3 bets lost you are now down a total of 87.02 Now add the $10 you set out to win and the next bet amount is 97.02 Since the line is even money you bet exactly that 97.02 If it wins you start over with game 1. If not, continue to game 5. This should be a good enough of an example. You should get the idea by now.

I would also like to suggest if you were to try it. You would want to have about 70-75x the money you are trying to win. So if you do the chase with $10 per win. You would want to have between 700-750 incase it were to reach a game 6. This is to be safe. If it got to a game 6 and the line was -120 and you have to bet 320 on it you want to make sure you ahve enough. In your case, since you are new to chase systems, I would highly suggest you start with half bets. As in $5 per win. Just for the first few series till you get the hang of how and what to bet.

Absolutely marvelous post. Thanks.