MLB Totals Unders and runline System Test

[dejong77]

I am going full force on the 1pm games

Yankees-Orioles U 7,5 +100
Rays-Jays U8 -110
Braves-Rangers U8 -115

[RollinDo]

I have No Score 1st INN for AtL-TX as part of Parlay with No Score 1st in ChiSox game.
Locked in Under 8 (-105) in Baltimore early this a.m.
betpoints bet with Under 8.5 in Toronto

[dejong77]

Anything for today man?
I have SF and Baltimore games going Under.
Also like Under in Seattle and perhaps in AZ.

SF i will skip. both are over pitchers and with line at 6,5 would go for the over more then the under.
Baltimore i am taking too. Got it right last 2 games.
I don't like the line at 6 for seattle combined with my data. But will problably go with a small play.
Arizona line looks way to high at 7,5. So would take it as a full system play.

[dejong77]

results afternoon games

Yankees-Orioles U 7,5 +100 (5) W
Rays-Jays U8 -110 (9) L
Braves-Rangers U8 -115 (5) W

2-1 + 0,86 unit

7pm game
Marlins-Phillies U 7,5 -110
Twins-White Sox G2 U9 -115

half plays (optional)
Red Sox-Royals U 7,5 -125
nationals-Mets U7 -125

I am not playing these half plays on my sbr sportsbook because sbr is a half run under this line. I am playing these on my real money sportsbook.

[dejong77]

Adding Padres-Diamondbacks U7 -110

[dejong77]

also adding:
Astros-Angels U 8,5 -110
Athletics-Mariners U6 +100 (half play)

[dejong77]

Full plays went 4-3. Half plays where 1-2. Overall should have made a slight profit 0,2 unit on all games. Because i didn't play 2 half plays sbr sportsbook posted 10 sbr credits profit.

results afternoon games


Yankees-Orioles U 7,5 +100 (5) W
Rays-Jays U8 -110 (9) L
Braves-Rangers U8 -115 (5) W


2-1 + 0,86 unit


7pm game
Marlins-Phillies U 7,5 -110 (3) W
Twins-White Sox G2 U9 -115 (13) L


half plays (optional)
Red Sox-Royals U 7,5 -125 (8) L 0,50
nationals-Mets U7 -125 (13) L 0,50




Padres-Diamondbacks U7 -110 (14) L -1
Astros-Angels U 8,5 -110 (7) W 0,91
Athletics-Mariners U6 +100 (half play) (5) W 0,50

[dejong77]

Starting with:

13:10 Nationals-Mets -110 (half play)
13:05 Indians-Tigers -110 (normal play)
13:05 Rays-Blue Jays -110 (half play)
13:35 Cubs-Pirates U 7,5 -110 (normal play)

[dejong77]

allthough i don't like the pick. I will try it

14:10 Red Sox- Royals U 7,5 -110 (half play) not playing this at sbr sportsbook as line is 0,5 run lower. only play it at my real money sportsbook.

[dejong77]

15:05 Braves-Rangers U 7,5 +100

[dejong77]

15:35 Astros-Angels U 8,5 +100

[dejong77]

16:10 Padres-Diamondbacks U 8 -110 (half bet)
16:10 Athletics-Mariners U 7 -110 ( half bet)
20:10 Yankees-Orioles U 7,5 -130 (half bet)

[dejong77]

Going with 6 full plays today.

21:40 Giants-Diamondbacks U 7,5 +105
22:10 Phillies-Padres U 6,5 +108
19:05 Blue Jays-Orioles U 7,5 -110
22:05 Mariners-Angels U 7,5 -110
20:40 Dodgers-Rockies U 10,5 -110
19:10 Marlins-Mets U 6,5 -125

[RollinDo]

Rough night for Unders.
I can only hope that Angels game stays at 8.
Otherwise lost big play on No Score 1st in Mets game.
It was -145 when I got it and jumped up to -190 soon before 1st pitch.

[RollinDo]

Wow. And I just needed M's to not score in top of 8th and was all set to live bet the Over 8.5
Rough day once again.
Unders have been just brutal the last 4 weeks.
I went from hitting 60% for almost 3 months and am down to 53% and in the red by 10%.

[dejong77]

19:05 Red Sox-Pirates U 7,5
22:06 Mariners-Angels U 8,5
20:10 Indians-Astros U 7,5
19:10 Yankees-Rays U 6,5
22:10 Phillies-Padres U 6,5
21:40 Giants-Diamondbacks U 7,5
19:10 Marlins-Mets U 6,5

[dejong77]

Rough night for Unders.
I can only hope that Angels game stays at 8.
Otherwise lost big play on No Score 1st in Mets game.
It was -145 when I got it and jumped up to -190 soon before 1st pitch.

Nope Mariners scored in the 8th.

[dejong77]

Wow. And I just needed M's to not score in top of 8th and was all set to live bet the Over 8.5
Rough day once again.
Unders have been just brutal the last 4 weeks.
I went from hitting 60% for almost 3 months and am down to 53% and in the red by 10%.

stop when you get cold.

must say its going allright with the totals i pick. last 2 days lost 3 units but still +14 units so thats okay.

[dejong77]

19:05 Red Sox-Pirates U 7,5
22:06 Mariners-Angels U 8,5
20:10 Indians-Astros U 7,5
19:10 Yankees-Rays U 6,5
22:10 Phillies-Padres U 6,5
21:40 Giants-Diamondbacks U 7,5
19:10 Marlins-Mets U 6,5

adding one normal play and 2 half plays

Dodgers-Rockies U 10,5

Blue Jays-Orioles U 8
White Sox-Royals U 8

Last 2 will not count for SBR sportsbook as the line is 7,5 there.

[dejong77]

Bah and thats 3 in a row loosing days.

But we try again today.

15:40 Giants-Diamondbacks U 7,5 -115
19:10 Nationals-Braves U 7 -115
19:10 Marlins-Mets U 6,5 +100
20:05 Reds-Cubs U 7,5 -110
20:15 Brewers-Cardinals U 6,5 -105
22:10 Phillies-Padres U 6,5 -120
19:10 Yankees-Rays U 6,5
20:10 Tigers-Twins U 7,5
added: White Sox-Royals U 6,5
19:05 Blue Jays-Orioles U 8 -110 (5 bet credits)
added: mariners-Angels U 8 -110 (5 bet credits)

[RollinDo]

Going with Phils-Pads, ChiSox-KC

[dejong77]

Going with Phils-Pads, ChiSox-KC

Going with both too. Hopefully some strong pitching today.

[alamo]

Bah and thats 3 in a row loosing days.

But we try again today.

15:40 Giants-Diamondbacks U 7,5 -115
19:10 Nationals-Braves U 7 -115
19:10 Marlins-Mets U 6,5 +100
20:05 Reds-Cubs U 7,5 -110
20:15 Brewers-Cardinals U 6,5 -105
22:10 Phillies-Padres U 6,5 -120
19:10 Yankees-Rays U 6,5
20:10 Tigers-Twins U 7,5
added: White Sox-Royals U 6,5
19:05 Blue Jays-Orioles U 8 -110 (5 bet credits)
added: mariners-Angels U 8 -110 (5 bet credits)

Oh boy, This looks like another day of overs.

[RollinDo]

Oh boy, This looks like another day of overs.

Looks like most of these are hitting.
What scores are you looking at?
Wish I had played a couple more that he had.
Just taking into account the home plate umps more and that is something I think I am relying too heavily on lately.

[dejong77]

Oh boy, This looks like another day of overs.

There where some early runs but in the end i finished on the good side. 5-4 on the normal plays and the 2 half plays went 2-0. So overall 6-4.

[dejong77]

Looks like most of these are hitting.
What scores are you looking at?
Wish I had played a couple more that he had.
Just taking into account the home plate umps more and that is something I think I am relying too heavily on lately.

I only account the umps for a small part. But starting pitchers, pens, on base %, hits and errors i look more at. plus there record home/away over/under.

[dejong77]

small card today. So will not be full action like yesterday.

will have action on the afternoon game:
15:35 Rangers-Athletics U 7,5 -105

evening games:
19:05 Blue Jays-Yankees U 7,5 -110
22:05 Mariners-Angels U 6,5 -110
20:10 Indians-Astros U 8 +102

2 games are still on my watchlist.
Brewers-Cardinals. If it moves to 7,5 i will pick it. if its stays 7 i will not play.
Diamondbacks-Rockies at 10,5 now. if it moves to 11 i will pick it. if it stays 10,5 i will not play it.

[RollinDo]

I like 3 of your 4 and will be playing those.
No play on Yanks game for me.

Chasing Under in SD tonught with betpoints.

Going to do am If Win bet:

Cle-Hou (U 8) -105
TX - Oak (U 8) -125

I will likely play No Score 1st in Angels game and small play on Under 6.5
Just don't know how Angels will treat the game and how long they will keep Weaver in...the bullpen might be hung over from celebrating last night?

[dejong77]

good luck to you tonight.

Yeah asked myself the same question about the Angels. But hope they are so drunk they don't even hit a football

[alamo]

Nice job, I may have jumped gun early as thankfully games slowed down ! Good luck tonight.

[dejong77]

Nice job, I may have jumped gun early as thankfully games slowed down ! Good luck tonight.

Thanks. We hope for the best.

Brewers-Cardinals moved up to 7,5. So adding this to my list.
a lot of people pounding the under on jays-yankees as it moved down a half run.

[RollinDo]

I put in Cards Under too @ 7.5
All about the Ump in that one.
Not sure what you and others are looking at for the Under in the Bronx though.

[dejong77]

i expected Sonny Grey to go 6-7 innings giving up 1-2 runs on 5-6 hits. after 2 he gave up 5 hits and rangers scoring 4 runs lol.

[RollinDo]

i expected Sonny Grey to go 6-7 innings giving up 1-2 runs on 5-6 hits. after 2 he gave up 5 hits and rangers scoring 4 runs lol.

Yeah.
Me too.
In fact my initial bet was Texas Under 3, but at -140 and way he struggles sometimes thought that 3 was probably right.
I saw about a 4-2 or 4-3 Oakland win.
I have Under 8 but not much chance of that hitting with that 4 run 1st...otherwise probably a strong play.

[dejong77]

I put in Cards Under too @ 7.5
All about the Ump in that one.
Not sure what you and others are looking at for the Under in the Bronx though.

Well Shane Greene been solid under 3-8
Yankees at home has been a cash maker all season. 23-44.