Under umpire streakers

[lore22]

Good luck today!

[mitch51]

Good morning all


Sun, 8/17/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#968 UN 8 -120 CLE/BAL 1.20u to win 1.00u
Hickox 6ov/14un L20gms 70.0%

#956 UN 7 -115 STL/SD 1.15u to win 1.00u
Hoye 8ov/14un L22gms 63.6%

#974 UN 9.5 -115 CWS/TOR 1.15u to win 1.00u
Fagan 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%



Sun, 8/17/14 DOGS

#965 SEA +105 1.00u to win 1.05u
#967 BAL +118 1.00u to win 1.18u
#969 HOU +124 1.00u to win 1.24u
#961 MIL +107 1.00u to win 1.07u



Sun, 8/17/14 FUN

#951 CUBS -116 1.00u to win .86u



GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[J.M. Disciple]

If I can wake up early enough before work I am going to start playing 1st 5 innings as well as FG as I have talked about before with this system and with on3's home game chase. Have a small dent in my BR this week, so need the extra action. Have the strategy locked in today with everything except BAL game which I got a live bet in at u5.5 hopefully thats good enough.

[mitch51]

If I can wake up early enough before work I am going to start playing 1st 5 innings as well as FG as I have talked about before with this system and with on3's home game chase. Have a small dent in my BR this week, so need the extra action. Have the strategy locked in today with everything except BAL game which I got a live bet in at u5.5 hopefully thats good enough.

Good luck on your system and we hope you win big.

[J.M. Disciple]

I picked the worse possible day to start betting 1st 5 and FG for the under. I got destroyed, going 1-2 for the unders is not a bad thing for the FG, but combined that with 1st 5 innings and on3 system looking at a pretty
bad day. 1-6 day so far pending SF. Wish I could of got BAL 1st 5 under.

Any wisdom for the late games today? Might have to make a big bet / parlay.

chalking this up as a "fun" sunday. Back to business following the systems with strict bankroll management tomorrow. I got A's and Rocks for g2. Big bets on RL and ML for both and small parlay 1st 5 innings ML.

[mitch51]

I picked the worse possible day to start betting 1st 5 and FG for the under. I got destroyed, going 1-2 for the unders is not a bad thing for the FG, but combined that with 1st 5 innings and on3 system looking at a pretty
bad day. 1-6 day so far pending SF. Wish I could of got BAL 1st 5 under.

Any wisdom for the late games today? Might have to make a big bet / parlay.

chalking this up as a "fun" sunday. Back to business following the systems with strict bankroll management tomorrow. I got A's and Rocks for g2. Big bets on RL and ML for both and small parlay 1st 5 innings ML.

Here is my wisdom, what little I have. DO NOT CHASE. Our dogs went 4-0 on our thread, our FUN game came through. We were 6-2. Don't forget those other games.

[J.M. Disciple]

true that. $$$$$$$$ should be my mind set. Not action of gamble. Hopefully A's and COL(G2) come through. Lesson learned either way. I usually try not to watch or check the scores of any games because then I want to chase if I am losing.

Just going to cut my unit size in half and play all the system plays 1st 5 and whole game. Usually profitable every week or 5 out of 7 weeks. Its managing those two down weeks that causes a problem.

[turbozed]

Dogs were barking today. 4 winners with 3 of them being total laughers. Thanks for the great work!

[mitch51]

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/I8jkz0pdHk8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Here's to Gambling God.

[mitch51]

Early evening update and 110* here:



Sun, 8/17/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#968 UN 8 -120 CLE/BAL 1.20u to win 1.00u
Hickox 6ov/14un L20gms 70.0%

#956 UN 7 -115 STL/SD 1.15u to win 1.00u
Hoye 8ov/14un L22gms 63.6%

#974 UN 9.5 -115 CWS/TOR 1.15u to win 1.00u
Fagan 8ov/16un L24gms 66.7%

1-2 -1.30u
72-45-4 +16.78u 61.5%



Sun, 8/17/14 DOGS

#965 SEA +105 1.00u to win 1.05u
#967 BAL +118 1.00u to win 1.18u
#969 HOU +124 1.00u to win 1.24u
#961 MIL +107 1.00u to win 1.07u

4-0 +4.54u
134-127 +20.82u 51.3%



Sun, 8/17/14 FUN

#951 CUBS -116 1.00u to win .86u

1-0 +.86u
15-7 +6.12u 68.2%



Hope it's cooler where you're at and enjoy the rest of your evening.

Ali & Mitch

[J.M. Disciple]

Are you east coast or west coast mitch? I am trying to decide if I wake up early enough before work (west coast) if I will be able to place all my bets in the morning for this system and on3's. Are plays usually posted by 7:30am pacific time? Just out of curiousity. If not I can do it during break or whatever at work. Trying not to mix business with pleasure

[mitch51]

Are you east coast or west coast mitch? I am trying to decide if I wake up early enough before work (west coast) if I will be able to place all my bets in the morning for this system and on3's. Are plays usually posted by 7:30am pacific time? Just out of curiousity. If not I can do it during break or whatever at work. Trying not to mix business with pleasure

Pacific coast time. No, we are usually still handicapping them at 7:30am. Check back later.

Ali

[mitch51]

Good morning


Mon, 8/18/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers


NONE



Mon, 8/18/14 DOGS

#903 ATL +100 1.00u to win 1.00u
#907 CIN +140 1.00u to win 1.40u




Mon, 8/18/14 FUN

#901 CUBS -109 1.00u to win .92u




GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[mitch51]

So far, so good with the Cubbies for a FUN pick.

[mitch51]

Dogs were barking today. 4 winners with 3 of them being total laughers. Thanks for the great work!

How you bet all these, don't let dogs scare you.

[RollinDo]

How you bet all these, don't let dogs scare you.

I am scared of dogs and almost always bet favorites.
Scared of juice too after backing Kershaw the other night.
I can't get my mind blocked from dogs in baseball and nhl, but that seems to be the way to make $$.

[mitch51]

I am scared of dogs and almost always bet favorites.
Scared of juice too after backing Kershaw the other night.
I can't get my mind blocked from dogs in baseball and nhl, but that seems to be the way to make $$.

Dogs are the only way you can consistently make money betting baseball. That was hard going from favs to dogs for us but it sure paid off. Bad news is, you lose damn near half your games. And every single game you bet is scary. But the winnings more than make up for it.

[turbozed]

Dogs are the only way you can consistently make money betting baseball. That was hard going from favs to dogs for us but it sure paid off. Bad news is, you lose damn near half your games. And every single game you bet is scary. But the winnings more than make up for it.

There always seems to be a lot more parity in baseball than the public would believe, especially recently. I'm curious to see what would be the result if someone had just played +200 or more dogs blindly over the past few seasons.

[mitch51]

There always seems to be a lot more parity in baseball than the public would believe, especially recently. I'm curious to see what would be the result if someone had just played +200 or more dogs blindly over the past few seasons.

I think there is a lot more parity but if you took every game blindly over +200, I'm pretty sure you'd lose your bankroll. If you bet all dogs blindly, you would lose units as only 44.2% win. So, any intelligent capping pushes that number up to over 50%. Of course if you bet favorites blindly, just check yourself into the nearest poorhouse.

[EXhoosier10]

There always seems to be a lot more parity in baseball than the public would believe, especially recently. I'm curious to see what would be the result if someone had just played +200 or more dogs blindly over the past few seasons.

2014: 2014 dogs >= +200 2-21 ~~~ -16u

2013: 2013 dogs >= +200 33-77 ~~~ -4u

2012: 2012 dogs >= +200 15-53 ~~~ -20u

total including 2011 through today: 2012 dogs >= +200
65-197 ~~~ bet on: -55u bet against: +30u

[mitch51]

2014: 2014 dogs >= +200 2-21 ~~~ -16u

2013: 2013 dogs >= +200 33-77 ~~~ -4u

2012: 2012 dogs >= +200 15-53 ~~~ -20u

total including 2011 through today: 2012 dogs >= +200
65-197 ~~~ bet on: -55u bet against: +30u

We knew it was a bad idea but didn't know where to get the info.

Thanks

[J.M. Disciple]

at 44% win rate. Could just play all dogs +130 to +150 and show a profit I would think if that is the true win rate. Maybe ExHoosier has some stats on that as well. Figure at +130 and 44% win rate 44 x $130 = $5720 and flip side $100 loss every time at 56% would show a very small proift of 1.2u over that sample.

Books are not stupid. They always have a 10-20% edge on these games via their simulations. I am sure no matter what we come up with via blind betting and flat betting books will have the edge. It really does have to be capped or some type of chase to show a profit.

[J.M. Disciple]

Almost pulled off a positive night with CINCI. I missed out on the cubies. Only a losing night because of cubs and washington only winning by 1 on on3's system.

Anyways Going to be playing the system as is but going to impliment a increase strategy up to 3u per play. Small units such as today was $10 a game. Tomorrow I will do $15 a game until I am showing a profit in the week. If tomorrow I lose again will do $20 a game until you guessed it!! I am in the green for the week. Just hope I dont have too many losing days.

Good Luck and onto tomorrow!

[turbozed]

2014: 2014 dogs >= +200 2-21 ~~~ -16u

2013: 2013 dogs >= +200 33-77 ~~~ -4u

2012: 2012 dogs >= +200 15-53 ~~~ -20u

total including 2011 through today: 2012 dogs >= +200
65-197 ~~~ bet on: -55u bet against: +30u

Thanks!

This is great. Do you know how to specify a range? Like between +120 and +140?

[mitch51]

Evening update:


Mon, 8/18/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

NONE
72-45-4 +16.78u 61.5%



Mon, 8/18/14 DOGS

#903 ATL +100 1.00u to win 1.00u
#907 CIN +140 1.00u to win 1.40u

1-1 .00u
135-128 +20.82u 51.3%





Mon, 8/18/14 FUN

#901 CUBS -109 1.00u to win .92u
1-0 +.92u
16-7 +7.04u 69.6%



Goodnight all

Ali & Mitch

[alamo]

Will take 2-1 everytime👏

[mitch51]

Will take 2-1 everytime

Yup. If you could just do that for a year you wouldn't need to vacation in the Caribbean, you could buy it. Good day for us, we hate losing games.

[1fastmr2]

Thanks for the winning day!!

[mitch51]

Thanks for the winning day!!

You're welcome. We have been trying to get up over +45 units for our thread for a while. Hopefully, today's the day. Over+45 or bust.

[phokingjuice]

Over+45 or bust.

That's what I like to hear

[mitch51]

Good morning all


Tues, 8/19/14 UNDER Umpire Streakers

#951 UN 7.5 -110 ATL/PIT 1.10u to win 1.00u
Carapazza 9ov/16un L25gms 64.0%

#971 UN 7 -105 SEA/PHI 1.05u to win 1.00u
Danley 4ov/19un L23gms 82.6%


Guccione BAL/CWS game didn't line up.



Tues, 8/19/14 DOGS

#968 MIN +102 1.00u to win 1.02u
#959 SD +102 1.00u to win 1.02u




Tues, 8/19/14 FUN

#965 DET -119 1.00u to win .84u
#969 BAL -108 1.00u to win .93u



GLTA

Ali & Mitch

[1fastmr2]

Good luck everyone!!

[funnyman]

Liking this thread a lot. No b.s., trolling,excuses.
And most important: Winners! Good guys.

[mitch51]

Liking this thread a lot. No b.s., trolling,excuses.
And most important: Winners! Good guys.

Thanks! Love "No b.s., trolling, excuses." Quote of the year, here. It'd make a good tattoo.

[funnyman]

How about a bumper sticker. Hate tattoos.