[chuda]

good point...
i`ll take over 2.0 goal line @ 1.75 ...1u

we didn`t see first half goal yesterday(with all those crazy chances), i think will see one today

[chuda]

disappointing you would think this "pinball" will produce some goal...
plenty of chances, you would expect in normal football to been put away ... awful finishing here.
i`ll be hoping on 2 goals for push in second half , when they gets more tired , seems they start do more mistakes (on top of all load of mistakes every minute )
should of just play DNB ...

[Betlitelli]

yep it`s a shame they can`t play football

[chuda]

3 penalty shouts... 2 posts ... 1 on 1 ... 3 on 2..... red card... end to end running... 0 - 0

next time DNB plays only

[DNI_M]

Good luck today friend.

Sincerely,

DNI_Mourinho

[chuda]

no luck
heading for bad day... 1 - 0 in russian game...
have 2u on spartak to get me 1u back today.. finish today

wasn`t going to play today first place ... should of take day off and do a bit running with my dog

[chuda]

what a s..t day...

striking hard.. cadiz looks good

DNB @ 4.20 ...1u

[Swish]

Way to jinx it.

[chuda]

...and 5 minutes later villareal scores...
.......................

2 - 0 ....not even chance for a draw...

[chuda]

Touluse 0.0 AH @2.00 2u

Monaco has full squad taken for game, but i am against them because of upcoming decider in CL. surely 4 days is plenty of time and you wanna be in winning mood for it, but monaco haven`t performed that bright in league and touluse is tough team to face and it won`t be a first time, than team`s performance fail to deliver, because players are in with one eye in next fixture...


Westerlo - beveren over2.5 @1.95 2u

tailing from yazworm91...
i think it`s a good price between overish teams...


Dortmund/Dortmund @2.15 1u

dortmund : Sokratis Papastathopoulos, Marco Reus
hoffenheim : Adam Szalai

it`s been almost month since dortmund played at home, Klopp said : This isn't about delivering our best performance. It's about winning. It's high noon on Friday.
Hummels is returning in back four. i think Dortmund will be eager in front of their own fans to respond to bad form so far...

Possible line-ups:

Dortmund: Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Durm - Gündogan, Kehl - Mkhitaryan, Kagawa, Großkreutz - Immobile

Hoffenheim: Baumann - Beck, Süle, Bicakcic, Kim - Schwegler, Polanski - Volland, Firmino, Elyounoussi - Modeste

Fiorentina v Juventus over 2 ; 2.5 @ 1.95 1u

Last year this game went crazy... juve went up 2 - 0 at HT just to lose 4 - 2 ...
2 goals for half a steak is likely here, as i would think both teams can score or at least one on a better day can get 2 ...


Fulham v Watford over 3.0 @ 2.03 1u

Fulham is overs bankers this year...


Ross county v Dundee over 2.5 ; 3.0 @ 1.95 1u

both team`s last 4 of 5 have hit overs...scotish league is overish... time to time they manage 4...

[chuda]

woaahh..just after some game

[chuda]

Chennaiyin/Chennaiyin @ 4 ....0.5u




hoping to see Pires later

[Vaughany]

Djemba Djemba!

[chuda]

pitty alessandro nesta is not available for this game


......................
andre santos is threat to my bet ...

[chuda]

arghhh... can`t get that indian super league right...

[Betlitelli]

Sorry I`m late to say but they play without big motivation and without 2-3 best players(Elano,Mendoza) I will be backing them in playoff games for sure.

[chuda]

my bet logic was bit more simple here, i thought got to be goal in 1st half in 3 rd game in a row... and i just gave it to home side ...
well what you know...2 goals already.. overs was great price ... 2.0 ; 2.5 @ 1.925

the funniest thing is andre santos... flops at arsenal...flops at flamengo... comes to india and becomes superstar ... hit a crazy post already and scored goal here... now he has few billion indian fun base

i`ll stay away here, 0.5 u written off for pricy try... just too hard to call, i wonder what is odds compilers reasoning setting up a prices... got to be headache

[Betlitelli]

Andre Santos is "only "31 he can still run no wonder he is superstar in India

[chuda]

yesterday Mcallister at 37... looked in better shape than decade ago must be indian curry ...

santos does have talent , he just does too many wrong decisions ... maybe he would be still better than montreal at arsenal now...

[chuda]

anyone betting fulham v Watford tonight ?

i really like fulham price @ 2.25

they becoming home stronghold (5w in last 7) whereas watford in last 4 league loses have managed 2 goals...

few absentees on both sides...
fulham : Adam Taggart, Fernando Amorebieta, Tim Hoogland
watford : Gabriel Tamas, Jonathan Bond(gk)

i would say watford is better team than table or form shows... but for tonight ?

[chuda]

adding...
german bundesliga 2 ..

Bochum , Dusseldorf double @ 2.82....1u


neither bochum , neither st. pauli form is encouraging this season. away team has 3 first team players missing, home team with one injury.. st pauli haven`t won away this season,they might pull a draw , but more likely home team to get a winner...
dusseldorf should see this as an opportunity to get 3 points for race for promotion and should win against lowest league scorers...

wouldn`t go against aalen in 3rd game...
prices ain`t best , but combined worst a bet...

[chuda]

3 - 1 in india and i got nothin...

[AceChampion]

Chuda, I need your insight into the hoffenheim/dortmund total? How does this not atleast push the 3? Looking at your projected lineups and dortmunds missing key players I'm assuming that is what put you off? Are they really that important? Hell, imo dortmund may very well lose this match 3-1 though I admittedly know shiit of soccer.

[chuda]

i don`t like play any game for overs , than "top 3" team of any league at home meets "weaker" team.
price is always low for overs , just because top team involved, and other thing it`s always heavy one sided game plan... top team tries to open up 10 men behind ball and than, when finally got they goal, they sit them selves on it...

on maths wise..
here it`s very low odds.. over 3.0 is at @ 1.72 ... you will lose long term playing them, basically you need this kind of game to hit at least 4 goals in 6 meetings out of 10 to break you evens only...

fact wise..
this season dortmund at home only got twice over 3.5 from 6 games... last 3 games at home had 1 goal...
on other hand last 5 hoffeinhaims games over 3.5 ...
lately germans are bankers for overs...

philosophic side wise..
dortmund in last game struggled for creativity, will woes continue or will they bag in 3 here?
now with hummels back they might be more solid at a back ....

go by the gut feeling or check first 5 minutes, with what kind of intent teams are out for this game...

2 - 0...3 - 1 today...hard to say
i think dortmund will come out strong , i am counting on goal in first half..

[AceChampion]

i don`t like play any game for overs , than "top 3" team of any league at home meets "weaker" team.
price is always low for overs , just because top team involved, and other thing it`s always heavy one sided game plan... top team tries to open up 10 men behind ball and than, when finally got they goal, they sit them selves on it...

on maths wise..
here it`s very low odds.. over 3.0 is at @ 1.72 ... you will lose long term playing them, basically you need this kind of game to hit at least 4 goals in 6 meetings out of 10 to break you evens only...

fact wise..
this season dortmund at home only got twice over 3.5 from 6 games... last 3 games at home had 1 goal...
on other hand last 5 hoffeinhaims games over 3.5 ...
lately germans are bankers for overs...

philosophic side wise..
dortmund in last game struggled for creativity, will woes continue or will they bag in 3 here?
now with hummels back they might be more solid at a back ....

go by the gut feeling or check first 5 minutes, with what kind of intent teams are out for this game...

2 - 0...3 - 1 today...hard to say
i think dortmund will come out strong , i am counting on goal in first half..

Thanks bud, think I'll wait and make a live play!

[chuda]

beberebozo.. just after winning overs in 1st half alone in bochum game...

seems i am gonna lose my double

[chuda]

Newcastle v Chelsea

unbelievable, but chelsea only have Matic suspended for this game, Costa is back and only Ramires, Nathan Ake and Gary Cahill to be assessed for fitness.. why unbelievable ? ... almost half of EPL teams has at least 3 - 4 influential injuries atm / or even face them for most of season...for example, man u is without 9 players for visits to saints, arsenal without 11 players, newcastle they face has 9 , stoke 8 , saints and liverpool 7...
it`s just like 2 seasons ago , when they won CL... they went through out a season of ~64 games, while being one of least rotated squads ... terry was playing with broken rib cage. they are like "german make cyborgs"
only swansea matches them for today with one injury.

long story short ... with no worries over upcoming CL and not seeing maurinho loosing points twice in row on travels, against ...injury plagued "cup team" for newcastle.... bankers.

Chelsea AH - 1 @ Evens ...2u


Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace

another london derby for spurs... will be willing to make amends from first derby. at home they are different team.. crowed drives them at white hart lane, although, they might have few db down, after chelsea humiliation i still expect them to win, for above reasons and all games in EPL this round have to been looked at with they squad depth and rotation... 3 game in row for all teams in matter of week...
yes, spurs have Europe game accumulation , but bench as well ..
Lloris, Chiriches, Davies, Fazio, Vertonghen, Lennon, Eriksen, Bentaleb, Mason, Kane, Soldado
that leaves for bench: Vorm, Kaboul, Naughton, Dembele, Paulinho, Lamela, Chadli, Rose
plenty to choose from and rotate... adebayor is still out and i don`t know what`s a story with Townsend and Capoe.. only problem for Pochetino is RB position, with Naughton and Crichies are in for late fitness test..

Palace : Joe Ledley and Dwight Gayle in for fitness test, Adrian Mariappa and Andrew Johnson injured.
they form have plummitted, after good start they have now only managed 5 points from last 24 available..
but that`s harsh stats... they got a draw at swansea and beat liverool of late. and last time we played palace - villa btts... was harshly unlucky not to score...
GK Sporeni pretty much reflects palace attitude going in this derby :
“Any point away from home is always a good point but, if you go into games with that mentality, then you tend to lose. You have to go out there thinking you can win, try to win, and then see what happens."

over 3.0 @ 2.3 ....1u
BTTS and Spurs to win @ 3.40 ...1u



todays double:

really like above two teams just to win today... Double: chelsea,Spurs @ 2.45 ... 2u



Liverpool v Sunderland

price on liverpool as always is ridicilous ... ok, one encouragement for liverpool is that coutinho is back.
i`ll tell ya something, gerrard slips and X 7.50 in your pocket value is on sunderland here.
sunderland in last 5 games only got bet by man city. with death much for all liverpool dreams against basel coming up. i stratigicaly placed 2u ...for good return risking on underdog or money back...

over 2.5 @ 1.80 ...1u
BTTS and sunderland @ 13 ...0.46u
Lay bet - liverpool @1.54 ... laying 0.54 to win 1u

as for team news
Jose Enrique and Cautinho is back for liverpool, Ballotelli and Stridge is still out...
main goalscorer for sunderland seems will miss - Fletcher. but none less Wicham can be good replacement here. Adam Johnson and Wes Brown is back for this game...



Hull City v West Brom

Abel Hernandez returns for Hll city, Gaston Ramirez and Mo Diamme not available...
Captain Chris Brunt, Jonas Olssen, Claudio Yacob are all out...

after shine of light and point from everton , camp is upbeat and will be looking for first win in this season`s 7 games. only problem in paradise is Bruce seems have dismissed Ben Arfa and he is up for axe ..
Alan Irvine becoming bookies favourite to get sacked soon enough, with Tony Pillis lurkin around a club..
with first goal from westbrom in last 4 games or 370 minutes, funs turning around him, and it will be hard for him to inspire team and lead to win here, as well as he might need to relay on not fully fit players in James Morrison and Sebastien Pocognoli.
these two are equal opponents, but with Jelavic return , point from everton, home side has good odds here... worth a play

Hull city to win @ 2.45 ...1u


QPR v Burnley

11 out of 14 points this season QPR got at home, and they have a good chance to claim another 3 vital points for survival here. in last 7 games at home they only got undesrved loss to liverpool in 90 +5` min.
holding of man city and stoke,.... beating villa, sunderland and leicester...
qpr has scored at least 2 goals in last 6 home games...
team news:
for qpr Zamora is fully fit for this game, but Sandro, Alejandro Faurlin, Adel Taarabtis out
Burnley missing defencive due for this game.. Stephen Ward and Michael Duff

for 3rd game in so short period , Harry`s "transfer-dealing" abilities is big + for this game...vs Burnley`s small squad to choose from...

QPR provisional squad:... Green, McCarthy, Murphy, Traore, Onuoha, Ferdinand, Dunne, Caulker, Yun, Hill, Isla, Henry, Barton, Fer, Mutch, Phillips, Kranjcar, Hoilett, Vargas, Zamora, Austin.

Burnley provisional squad: ... Heaton, Trippier, Shackell, Mee, Reid, Wallace, Kightly, Cisak, Sordell, Marney, Jutkiewicz, Boyd, Gilks, Keane, Long, Barnes, Arfield, Ings, Chalobah, Jones.

i say home win @ 2.10 is fair enough play ...1u
and odds for over 2.5 @ 2.10 is generous...1u


Stoke v Arsenal

if someone would ask me for advice here, i would say, no bet or try a draw because, maths, price and stats wise @ 3.60 is right way to play...
it`s arsenals bogey team, and arsenal have only won once in last 7 games here...stoke is a good team and odds @ Evens is pure coin toss here...(pick one yourself ...stoke +0.5 @1.925 or arsenal @ 2)
but i`ll be taking arsenal here, Alexis Sanchez could be a difference here, as well as loss to burnley last time here for stoke is not encouraging as well as arsenals bench is longer, and stoke might not have enough energy in 3rd game in week , for "frustrate - disrupt" arsenal`s play - game plan, as they always do here...

no important missing s from last game on both sides, gibbs in line up for montreal would be booster...

Asmir Begovic, Marc Muniesa, Phil Bardsley, Ryan Shawcross, Erik Pieters,Victor Moses, Steven N’Zonzi, Steve Sidwell, Jonathan Walters,Bojan Krkic, Mame Biram Diouf.
Damian Martinez,Calum Chambers, Per Mertesacker, Laurent Koscielny, Nacho Monreal,Mathieu Flamini, Aaron Ramsey,Alexis Sanchez, Santi Cazorla, Wellback, Olivier Giroud

Arsenal to win @ Evens ...1u
over 2.5 @ 2.05 ...1u


Manchester City v Everton

s..t odds v badly performing , good team

waiting on lineups , needs to see what`s Pellegrini`s plan for next 2 games....

[chuda]

13 units in...so....

[chuda]

Courtois; Ivanovic, Cahill, Terry (c), Azpilicueta; Mikel, Fabregas; Willian, Oscar, Hazard; Diego Costa.

(4-3-3): Elliot; Janmaat, Coloccini (c), S.Taylor, Dummett; Sissoko, Tiote, Colback; Ameobi, Perez, Cabella.


adding : over 3.0 @ 2.85 ...1u

[chuda]

- 4u already... got done by shocker, pity , but happens...
chelsea cashed in 8, -1`s this season already in epl alone... the same on hull city and money back...

[chuda]

i`m gonna be buried today...
5 of 6 games 0 - 0 at HT ...
don`t know who is bigger failure specialist wenger or maurinho...one can`t beat stoke away for decade now, other one fks up title advantage against team who is in the worse state atm, of all EPL teams. in last week`s time Burnley - bottom team, beat stoke and draw with newcastle, but should of won.

[chuda]

3 simple plays for me today...

Westham v Swansea

BTTS @ 180 ...1u

Aston Villa v Leicester

Aston Villa DNB @ 170 ...1u
Aston Villa to win @ 2.40 ...1u

[Betlitelli]

1.88 DNB for Villa at home against Leicester ? Follow

[chuda]

hard to see them loosing... with benteke , coming from win... leicester only 1 win and 6 loses on a road... price is good... have to try

[chuda]

MLS final

LA Galaxy v New England revolution

over 3.0 @ 2.25 ...1u
New England revolution DNB @ 5 ...1u