Originally Posted by
chunk
I've been at this a long time and really am not concerned with line moves other than trying to get the best possible price. I used to like to hit openers as soon as I could, but have found it to be more difficult to beat initial moves (some major markets, the line can be moved with as little as a $500 wager). Although I have been successful long term, when it comes to anticipating a move, I doubt that I am any better than 50%. I believe anyone that predicates wagers on line moves is barking up the wrong tree. I think that there are many reasons including possible shenanigans that influence movement even assuming no new prevalent information.
I am estimating that although I beat the closer ~ 70% of the time(estimation), BCL is also an over blown concept. In short, I believe that anyone that truly (there aren't many ) handicaps their own games, aren't all that concerned with line moves or BCL.
I'm guessin