1. #386
    Saluki09
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    Good job today Flea

  2. #387
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    I'm here for the whore talk.

    What'd I miss?
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  3. #388
    cooperman
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    Love an early winna winna chicken Dinna !

  4. #389
    reed_barrington
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    Jeeez, start an Asia vacations thread. I'm here to make money not getting tan or going swimming. Lol.
    thanks flea that was too easy .. we doin the same with Pitt in Carolina? Canes seem to have given up lately.

  5. #390
    HawthornHawks
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    found GOLD here thanks for your work Flea!!!

  6. #391
    Flea Hotel
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    no worries and no more vacation talk reed
    Quote Originally Posted by HawthornHawks View Post
    found GOLD here thanks for your work Flea!!!

  7. #392
    HockKid11
    Hey from the UK.
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    Nice work brother. Thanks for the free squid

  8. #393
    Flea Hotel
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    Yesterday's results. 1-0, +1.38u
    (YTD, +23.44u)

    Today's action by 1PM EST if not earlier. Weird card today.
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  9. #394
    doubledime
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    Thanks Flea

  10. #395
    thekoreanmang
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    Good job, Flea.

  11. #396
    weekndornah
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  12. #397
    SlickRick1382
    If hustlin' is a must; be Sosa, not Tony
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Man I can't find your NCAAB thread. Could I trouble you for the link?
    I actually never posted my NCAAB thread. I've never been a big poster mostly following other who I respect and I find that are honest cappers in their approach to betting (flat betting, methodology, etc.)

    Only thing I post was NBA since I was trying out some theories on 1Q & 2Q betting based on scheduling, rest days, etc.

    Problem is I'm an accountant so this time gets tough for me to do the necessary research that I normally like to do hence why I don't post.

    I'll try dedicate more time though...
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  13. #398
    Flea Hotel
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    Weird card. I'm trying to stick to one play per day and today's card made that easy.
    (YTD, +23.44u)

    Nashville Predators UNDER 2.5 (-125) 1.25u to win 1u
    New Jersey Devils ML (+106) 1u to win 1.06u
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-20-17 at 10:42 AM.
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  14. #399
    Flea Hotel
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    I know many people hate the TT unders but this is the best play I have. I've won six in a row. If you don't like unders, fade or pass this and wait until tomorrow when I'll have overs. And I'll still be able to say I've won six straight overs

  15. #400
    Flea Hotel
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    Fuk it, added NJD ML, I've got it winning 62% of the time. The Habs are playing like crap. This could be a rebound spot but I don't think so. I think Montoya is sketchy, and I anticipate a strong showing from Hall, who has been underachieving all season, and Pareneau to have good games. That being said, this is a great example of my intuition disagreeing with my model but I've trusted my model all season and I'm up 23 units in 34 days. BOL.

  16. #401
    readytowinem
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    Are both plays even in level of confidence? The tt i can only play for 1500 but the game i can play big. Thoughts?

  17. #402
    HoleCamels
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Fuk it, added NJD ML, I've got it winning 62% of the time. The Habs are playing like crap. This could be a rebound spot but I don't think so. I think Montoya is sketchy, and I anticipate a strong showing from Hall, who has been underachieving all season, and Pareneau to have good games. That being said, this is a great example of my intuition disagreeing with my model but I've trusted my model all season and I'm up 23 units in 34 days. BOL.
    Yeahhhhhh buddy. Def a weird card tonight though for sure

  18. #403
    Flea Hotel
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    To be honest, there will be better plays tomorrow for your 1500. The schedule looks like a big dollar sign. I'm betting a bit light tonight so I can hit tomorrow hard. Today's schedule is inbred.
    Quote Originally Posted by readytowinem View Post
    Are both plays even in level of confidence? The tt i can only play for 1500 but the game i can play big. Thoughts?

  19. #404
    goldust
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    Flea - does your Nashville under bet tie into the Edmonton moneyline being a good bet as well?

  20. #405
    Flea Hotel
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    I'm playing Edmonton PL -1.5 (+195) so yeah, the ML should cash, I like the value of the PL. I play a lot of PL's and RPL's and -0.5's but they carry a lot of risk so I don't post them much anymore. I almost posted Edmonton PL -1.5. I have them winning, my model's most popular score was 2-0, followed by 3-1, not many 4+ goals for EDM but a lot of 0-2 for the Preds, hence not playing the TT o2.5 for Edmonton but the u2.5 for the Preds.

    This is just my two cents, but if you like Edmonton ML for -155, you get an extra +145 or +150 for the second goal. If I like a team that is -150 plus, I almost always take the PL and so far this year, I'm well up. For the love of God don't take the PL but if the PL cashes, maybe take it next time I rant about it.
    Quote Originally Posted by goldust View Post
    Flea - does your Nashville under bet tie into the Edmonton moneyline being a good bet as well?

  21. #406
    reed_barrington
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    This one is tough for me.. preds are full of surprises and can score... oilers can slick it up and make mistakes.. but your the pro flea. I'm on it bol -reed

  22. #407
    Flea Hotel
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    It won't shock me to see the Oilers get crushed but my confidence is higher than it isn't. Besides, tomorrow's card is all day cash money. I already have 4 plays for tomorrow, just need to see the lines. Tonight's card is like watching Donald Trump grope his hot daughter's ass. It's hard to process.
    Quote Originally Posted by reed_barrington View Post
    This one is tough for me.. preds are full of surprises and can score... oilers can slick it up and make mistakes.. but your the pro flea. I'm on it bol -reed
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  23. #408
    DU46
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    Hey Flea,

    Just out of curiosity, do you have your W-L splits on TT Overs and TT Unders? Just curious. Good luck tonight, let's cash!

  24. #409
    thekoreanmang
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    It won't shock me to see the Oilers get crushed but my confidence is higher than it isn't. Besides, tomorrow's card is all day cash money. I already have 4 plays for tomorrow, just need to see the lines. Tonight's card is like watching Donald Trump grope his hot daughter's ass. It's hard to process.
    If only had Trudeau had a long-lost twin who was born an American.

  25. #410
    Flea Hotel
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    I could probably put one together but they're all my own personal picks and would be subject to bias. I know I'm way down on the TT unders that's I've posted here. I only play them when confidence is high because I don't like watching the game. Then again, I remember what my great-grandfather who was a massive Liverpool FC fan told me a few days before he died, when I was 10 or 11. "When you take the draw, you're ahead before the game even starts." Stupid logic but cheering for goals is a lot more fun than cheering for saves but I know I've taken a lot of unders this season and especially last season and woke up to 2-1, 3-0, 3-1 and 3-2 many o' time. The overs are like cocaine of sportsbetting, the unders are more like the opiates. What?
    Quote Originally Posted by DU46 View Post
    Hey Flea,

    Just out of curiosity, do you have your W-L splits on TT Overs and TT Unders? Just curious. Good luck tonight, let's cash!

  26. #411
    Flea Hotel
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    Trudeau shit the bed by marrying a non-Asian. Besides, he promised legal weed on the federal level within a year of him being elected and we're watching states like Maine get legal weed. smfh
    Quote Originally Posted by thekoreanmang View Post
    If only had Trudeau had a long-lost twin who was born an American.

  27. #412
    Big John Studd
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    Cheers from Australia buddy! Enjoying your picks and making cold hard cash!!!!

  28. #413
    Flea Hotel
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    Cheers! I love Australia and I love my cash cold. Some very hot Asian girls down under!
    Quote Originally Posted by Big John Studd View Post
    Cheers from Australia buddy! Enjoying your picks and making cold hard cash!!!!

  29. #414
    DU46
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    Correct, with an under, you start the game winning the bet!

  30. #415
    Big John Studd
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    Cheers! I love Australia and I love my cash cold. Some very hot Asian girls down under!
    Am coming to the U.S for the fifth time early next year to catch some NHL and NBA games, there's some quality girls over there and they love the Aussie accent!

  31. #416
    Bedard
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    If you guys are looking for quality girls, you should all look for Montreal!

  32. #417
    readytowinem
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    Ok im going to hold off for tomorrow then. No point in forcing action if sat has some gems.

  33. #418
    PokeyAristocrat
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    I'm not going to hold off. I know Flea is cash money!

  34. #419
    TheDB
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    Love it. Best of luck today Flea!

  35. #420
    PokeyAristocrat
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    Not sure if this is the right place to ask, but as a stats major myself in the second year of my BSc, what would you say some of the benefits of doing a stats major are, Flea?
    Last edited by PokeyAristocrat; 01-20-17 at 05:53 PM.

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