1. #1
    Flea Hotel
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    Flea Hotel's NHL Legend's Club

    Unless you're really new to the site, have been in a coma, been in detox or rehab, been in prison due to owing child support and/or alimony, or just dumb, you already know who I am.

    I'm Flea Hotel. I started picking winners 26 days ago. Including my short lived NBA totals thread and MMA thread, I'm up almost 30 units in 26 days. All but one play was 1 unit. My plays range from team totals, to in regs, PL -1.5 and even PL -2.5. In fact, I'm 2/2 on the PL -2.5's.

    In other words, I'm the man. I pick winners. I've been picking winners for over 10 years, and I'm not even 27. I'm wrapping up a PhD in Statistics after crushing a MSc in the same and a combined honours in Mathematics and Statistics BSc, with first honours, from the UoT in Toronto Canada, one of the best schools in North America. Moreover, I'm now finishing my PhD at McGill university, which is arguably the best school in the world. Considering that most of my profs are from Harvard, MIT and Oxford, I'd say that I'm one well-educated person.

    Anyway, due to my love of cash money and my altruistic nature of sharing my winning picks with people, I need to consolidate two existing threads into this one. I was going to start a new one picking sides, MLs, and totals but instead, I will move everything here, so effective tomorrow, ALL MY PLAYS will be here. I will continue to find funky chalk free plays, but my main goal will be to continue to collect cash money. My goal is to get to 50 units by the end of the season, including the playoffs.

    I'm also quite profitable betting baseball so I'll start a similar MLB thread in the spring, which will probably be another cash cow for myself and whomever tails.

    For newbies and SBR zombies, my other threads can be found here.

    My Legendary "Chalk-Free" Picks Thread, +10.88u
    My Iconic Team Totals Thread, +13.38u

    I also pick NBA totals (up 56.75% this season) but I don't have time, at the moment, to work on that thread. Since 99% of you have no idea how hard doing a doctorate is, let's just say, imagine you couldn't imagine. Now imagine that. In other words, right now I'm focused on NHL but I might open an NBA thread, similar to this one, probably after the all-star game.

    I'm not perfect. I can't cap soccer, college sports or the NFL to save my life. Well, I can, but just at a marginal profit. For that, I tail a couple of SBR's finest cappers. If you don't know who they are, you should.

    That's all. For those who tail my picks, let me reiterate: THIS IS NOW THE ONE STOP HOME FOR ALL MY PICKS. Team Totals, Sides, Game Totals, anything that will make money will be here. Effective tomorrow, my other NHL threads are retired, for people to study for years, and ALL of my picks will be here. Haters and trolls are somewhat welcomed. Your pitiful lives entertain me and I love imagining all the drugs you're addicted to, the money you owe, the children you don't see or are raising like crap, and all the other things that would make someone wanna hate my winners instead of tailing them and enjoying cash money. You will be generally ignored and/or reported. Just because you signed up here eons ago doesn't mean you do what I do: make people cash money.

    Lastly, I've been tailing Asian girls since Grade 9. I have a yellow belt from more or less every country in East Asia. Brown belts in quite a few as well.

    Enjoy the winners. There are other decent cappers doing NHL but I am the best of the best. Let the winning begin, tomorrow. Remember the goal, 50 overall units by the end of the NHL season but that is just a minimum.

    Sell anything you can, if you have anything to sell, and start tailing. Don't chase losses, bet as instructed and you'll have a lot more money at the end of the season than you do now.

    P.S. I've been third party tracking myself since 2011 and my overall ROI is over 8. I'd post the links (yeah, more than one third party tracking site) but I, unlike some, follow the rules. BOL!

  2. #2
    reed_barrington
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    Careful, vegas is reading this.

  3. #3
    Flea Hotel
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    No worries, I've always beat Vegas. I have something called discipline, a trait many don't have. I could name names but why bother. To prevent Vegas from moving my lines around however, all my plays will be in by 1PM EST. If I have no plays by then because I'm busy, I may post leans after that, but all official picks will always be posted by 1PM EST. Nothing more annoying than waiting all afternoon for winners and nothing more professional than getting them in before line fuckery takes over.
    Quote Originally Posted by reed_barrington View Post
    Careful, vegas is reading this.

  4. #4
    Flea Hotel
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    ALL LINES 5DIMES UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.

  5. #5
    HockKid11
    Hey from the UK.
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    Keep winning, will keep tailing! Can't wait for BB season, last year didn't cap a single game myself (never even been to a game as live in the UK) and made 15-20 units simply tailing Mag & DD. This year looking to make 40 simply tailing the right people again. Flea you are the real deal man.

  6. #6
    Flea Hotel
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    DD was money this year in MLB. I hope to compliment his picks this year. Who if you don't mind is "Mag". I don't want to not know any good cappers. This thread is messed, some dude just picked the second best tea in the league to win tonight and then called me a douche bag for calling him out as a tard. In the words of my gf, who is prob half his age, "whatevez".
    Quote Originally Posted by HockKid11 View Post
    Keep winning, will keep tailing! Can't wait for BB season, last year didn't cap a single game myself (never even been to a game as live in the UK) and made 15-20 units simply tailing Mag & DD. This year looking to make 40 simply tailing the right people again. Flea you are the real deal man.

  7. #7
    HockKid11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    DD was money this year in MLB. I hope to compliment his picks this year. Who if you don't mind is "Mag". I don't want to not know any good cappers. This thread is messed, some dude just picked the second best tea in the league to win tonight and then called me a douche bag for calling him out as a tard. In the words of my gf, who is prob half his age, "whatevez".
    44 Mag - Seen him cap NBA & MLB at a profit all the time. He's +17u or something in NBA and not 100% sure what he went in MLB last year but was around the +30u mark I think. Really nice guy as well which always helps.

    MLB thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-complete.html

  8. #8
    nature_one
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    I know there's no luck involved in what you do,as you've worked a lot,but want to wish you lot of good fortunes and everything well moving forward!

    p.s. happy to see the 2 threads merge into 1

    Cheers

  9. #9
    Flea Hotel
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    Right on, thanks.
    Quote Originally Posted by HockKid11 View Post
    44 Mag - Seen him cap NBA & MLB at a profit all the time. He's +17u or something in NBA and not 100% sure what he went in MLB last year but was around the +30u mark I think. Really nice guy as well which always helps.

    MLB thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-complete.html

  10. #10
    Flea Hotel
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    It'll be easier for everyone and I should be able to get a better variety of winners this way. Thanks for the good words.
    Quote Originally Posted by nature_one View Post
    I know there's no luck involved in what you do,as you've worked a lot,but want to wish you lot of good fortunes and everything well moving forward!

    p.s. happy to see the 2 threads merge into 1

    Cheers

  11. #11
    Flea Hotel
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    All future plays will be posted here from now on. Main focus will be on team totals, but depending on the day, we could see game totals, -.5s, PLs, ML dogs, and occasional chalky plays. My main goal is to finish the season with 50 units.

    NHL STAT LINE TO DATE
    (+25.46u since December 13th.)

    So, we're averaging almost a unit a day. Prob can't keep that up but I think we can get to 50+ units by the time they hoist the cup. Will be back later with a pick. Small card tonight but I'll try to find a winner.

  12. #12
    KANSAS24
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  13. #13
    Flea Hotel
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    Today's play. Maybe another added later. 1PM EST is my cutoff. Washington should handle Montreal tonight.
    (+25.46u)

    Washington ML (+110) 1u to win 1.10u
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-09-17 at 09:03 AM. Reason: typo

  14. #14
    jpeterb
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    Hey Flea,
    Did you want to repost your money management in this thread?
    Also your charitable side?
    Last edited by jpeterb; 01-09-17 at 08:14 AM. Reason: Forgot that

  15. #15
    Flea Hotel
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    Nah, those memories and insight can live in posterity forever, wherever they may lye. I'm trying to focus on winners and cash money. I do like to give a nice donation to The Canadian Mental Health Association every week in honour of those stricken with mental illness. Lately, I've been dedicating them to an old Swedish friend whom I heard passed away from a broken wrist.
    Quote Originally Posted by jpeterb View Post
    Hey Flea,
    Did you want to repost your money management in this thread?
    Also your charitable side?
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-09-17 at 09:03 AM. Reason: typo

  16. #16
    Flea Hotel
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    Will be adding another pick once 5Dimes posts their fuking TT lines, FFS.

  17. #17
    Flea Hotel
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    Adding..

    New Jersey Devils (1st 60 min) -.5 (+132) 1u to win 1.32u

    New Jersey Devils TEAM TOTAL OVER 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

  18. #18
    Flea Hotel
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    That's all for today. In summary, for those who have a hard time reading.
    All one unit plays, always one unit plays.

    Washington ML (+110)
    NJD in reg (+132)
    NJD TT o2.5 (-115)
    CAL TT o2.5 (-115)


    BOL
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-09-17 at 03:04 PM.

  19. #19
    JayRow
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    ​i think we nail this NJD game homie! I'm on the over for the game as well and as an added bonus we have good public #s early on in the day.

  20. #20
    Flea Hotel
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    Indeed. Curious to observe the line movement on a light NHL schedule with the big NCAAF game (why doesn't it have a name? All the other bowl games have names and the one for the championship doesn't? wtf). I like the Devils, value playing the Caps (going to the game, the Habs always lose when I go, except the time they won 10-1 vs the Avs in early December)
    Quote Originally Posted by JayRow View Post
    ​i think we nail this NJD game homie! I'm on the over for the game as well and as an added bonus we have good public #s early on in the day.

  21. #21
    HoleCamels
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayRow View Post
    ​i think we nail this NJD game homie! I'm on the over for the game as well and as an added bonus we have good public #s early on in the day.
    Why so high on the over? NJ been playing good defensively lately and hasn't really been lighting up the lamp
    Last edited by HoleCamels; 01-09-17 at 12:09 PM.

  22. #22
    Bedard
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    I'm surprised you're not playing CGY team total over 2.5 as I'm all over it !

    Would you mind telling me what your model says about it?
    Points Awarded:

    Flea Hotel gave Bedard 10 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  23. #23
    JayRow
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoleCamels View Post
    Why so high on the over? NJ been playing good defensively lately and hasn't really been lighting up the lamp
    Not to Hi-jack Flea's Thread (i have a thread of my own!) and i don't know all that much about his methodology, but I would say just because someone does something relatively well recently doesn't mean they're actually good at it.

  24. #24
    Flea Hotel
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    Sweet Jesus, I didn't even run that game through my model. I gotta start doing this stuff after coffee. Thanks. I'm all over it.
    Quote Originally Posted by Bedard View Post
    I'm surprised you're not playing CGY team total over 2.5 as I'm all over it !

    Would you mind telling me what your model says about it?

  25. #25
    Flea Hotel
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    Adding (thanks to Bedard, I didn't even seen this on my schedule and run it. Calgary has been money for me all season. Tempted to play the ML but I'll settle for the o2.5)

    Calgary Flames Ov 2.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

  26. #26
    Bedard
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    Great, best of luck! With Laine out, I'm also on CGY ML.

  27. #27
    Flea Hotel
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    I love a good, occasional thread hi-jacking. To answer dude's question on my end, I didn't even pick the over, I took NJ TT 2.5 so I don't know why he's commenting on your pick. I'm leaning the over since I expect NJ or get 3 or 4 on their own. I'm sure JayRow is the same as I, we have our own methodologies that are probably very dynamic and not exclusive to trends. Mine looks at variables like player vs goalie matchups, recent minutes on ice, ref info, any some stat driven stuff that is part of my PhD dissertation, which is privileged info (not sure if you know this, but a dissertation has to be original, tested and applicable).

    My advice to anyone who is on the other side of my picks, and I'm sure JR, DD, HG and all the good cappers here would agree, is to simply NOT PLAY THEM. It takes us hours to get these picks, it takes you seconds to say we're wrong. Go start your own thread and tail your own picks. I can guarantee no one this site whose a proven winner will ever come into your thread and question your picks.
    Quote Originally Posted by JayRow View Post
    Not to Hi-jack Flea's Thread (i have a thread of my own!) and i don't know all that much about his methodology, but I would say just because someone does something relatively well recently doesn't mean they're actually good at it.

  28. #28
    Flea Hotel
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    It'll be hard for me not to play it as well. I have them winning 4.09 to 2.37 mean projected score.
    Quote Originally Posted by Bedard View Post
    Great, best of luck! With Laine out, I'm also on CGY ML.

  29. #29
    reed_barrington
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    Love the merge. Thanks flea. Great picks today I'm on it!

  30. #30
    HoleCamels
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    I love a good, occasional thread hi-jacking. To answer dude's question on my end, I didn't even pick the over, I took NJ TT 2.5 so I don't know why he's commenting on your pick. I'm leaning the over since I expect NJ or get 3 or 4 on their own. I'm sure JayRow is the same as I, we have our own methodologies that are probably very dynamic and not exclusive to trends. Mine looks at variables like player vs goalie matchups, recent minutes on ice, ref info, any some stat driven stuff that is part of my PhD dissertation, which is privileged info (not sure if you know this, but a dissertation has to be original, tested and applicable).

    My advice to anyone who is on the other side of my picks, and I'm sure JR, DD, HG and all the good cappers here would agree, is to simply NOT PLAY THEM. It takes us hours to get these picks, it takes you seconds to say we're wrong. Go start your own thread and tail your own picks. I can guarantee no one this site whose a proven winner will ever come into your thread and question your picks.
    You shouldn't get so defensive when someone asks about a pick. Its a forum for discussion. Relax

  31. #31
    DU46
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    GL Flea, I've been tailing since last Thursday, glad to be on board the money train!

  32. #32
    Flea Hotel
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    You're right but try running a few winning threads and having random people come in and question your picks all the time. Trust me, it wears thin. I will relax though. Got some very nice legal marijuana and 10mg of brand name Valium after a long day of school and watching hot Asian girls start classes, all dressed up in their daddy's expensive new winter clothes. Sigh.
    Quote Originally Posted by HoleCamels View Post
    You shouldn't get so defensive when someone asks about a pick. Its a forum for discussion. Relax

  33. #33
    Flea Hotel
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    This is the place to be ONLY if you like cash money. We're gonna at over 50 units when the cup is hoisted!
    Quote Originally Posted by DU46 View Post
    GL Flea, I've been tailing since last Thursday, glad to be on board the money train!

  34. #34
    Flea Hotel
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    Ty reed, I hate the small cards and Monday's. I'm going to the game tonight (I live in Montreal), I love fading my city's team LIVE. Nothing like winning a bet while walking out of the Bell Centre listening to a bunch of angry Habs speak in this citiy's weird half-English/half-French thing with overtones of Chinese in the background.
    Quote Originally Posted by reed_barrington View Post
    Love the merge. Thanks flea. Great picks today I'm on it!
    Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-09-17 at 02:12 PM. Reason: Found a grammar mistake. I'm educated so grammar matters to me.

  35. #35
    DU46
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    Quote Originally Posted by Flea Hotel View Post
    This is the place to be ONLY if you like cash money. We're gonna at over 50 units when the cup is hoisted!

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