If you want a real prediction, here's a +220 dog that will cash.... of this, I have little doubt. If you're scared, that's cool. Roll with the +7.5 points.
Chuckie Keeton is the new college version of Collin Kaepernick. He'S a senior leader who had led his physically inferior team into big games with big boys and given them a run for their money. Keeton is a legit early round draft pick at QB for the next level. He's come so close a couple of times to being a BCS buster, but this one I think he'll finally win.
Tennessee has essentially zero returning starters on both their offensive and defensive lines. Just about 1/3 of their roster has never played one down of college football. They have the size, yes. They have some skilled position players. They have depth, especially compared to Utah State. But they won't be able to stop a playmaker QB like Keeton.
I've been high on this Keeton kid since his freshman year, when I rode him and the Aggies +22 against post Cam Auburn big. Honestly, I didn't know who the kid was back then... I just thought it was a stupid week 1 number to pound. Go back and see how he played in that game as a true frosh, and youll see why I've tracked him ever since. He's an unreal talent that gets even less coverage than Kaepernick got at Nevada. Yes, he is coming off ACL surgery. Obviously, that and the talent gap play a factor. I'm not saying bet the farm on it. But if that line gets moved a little more by SEC public homers, it's something to look into. And if you like a good dog bet in week 1, this one has killer value.