1. #1
    Grinder12000
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    Grinders 2014 MLB Thread (+124 units in NBA)

    Now that the NBA season is almost over and my posted system won 124 units people were asking about MLB, my favorite sport.

    WELL - I'm 60 and for 40 years I have yet to come up with a brainless system that works in MLB, HOWEVER, I do do fairly well wagering in MLB.

    For example. Two years ago I decided to bet EVERY Brewer game, for or against. Don't ever do that with your favorite team. If you do do it used a team you could not care less about. But I learned a few things along the way.

    For instance right now - bet the Brewers in every game until they start to lose. Every year they get on a roll like they have now and it can be very profitable.

    And that is how I work. I hear things, I watch games and all of a sudden situations come up that I deem profitable. Bullpens in disarray, Component ERA of a pitcher yells stay away, a clean-up hitter carrying a team with is Runs Created bruises a thumb and so forth.

    I love teams on a streak or how Twins games are averaging 11 runs a game so far this year this year.

    I don't start to play for real for another series so until next week it's still fun money time and I'm 6-6 -0.87u so far.


    • FUN MONEY games today
    • Cinci +120
    • Cleve/Sox OVER 9 Even
    • KC/Minn OVER 8.5 -105
    • Tor/Balt UNDER 8.5 Even
    • Atlanta +112
    • Milwaukee -127


    A word of warning - if I start sucking I'll stop, I don't want people blindly losing money because of some dude on the internet.

    Background

    I have an NFL system that I have posted on various forums since 1992 with a record of 558-395 58.55% with it's top "A" games 62-17

    I posted an NBA system here this year that won 124 units

    I counted cards in blackjack with success and have gone on a three island vacations from playing low limit Hold'm. At one point I had accounts in 17 poker rooms including Paradise Poker, the very 1st online poker room when I started playing online in 1999.

    Me and a buddy had a profitable parlay card system30 years ago before there were real computers. We had access to 4 different cards and we knew that lines changed but cards could not and took advantage of a profitable situation.

    -----------------------------------

    I'll have picks up before noon with no additions through out the day.

    nuff for now!

    Rod aka Grinder (Grinder comes from BJ from Stanford Wong's forum 15 years ago). I have come to realize that now "I'm" the old dude sitting on the bar stool with vast experience.

  2. #2
    Grinder12000
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    4.14.14

    3-0 in sides and 0-3 in totals

    I really want to bet AGAINST Miami but Washington lost Ryan Zimmerman who was a pretty big gun so I feel weirdness in the lines and must stay away. Damn it.

    I WILL continue to blindly play the Brewers until they prove they are human again.

    Oakland has my attention, they have only given up more then 4 runs twice this year and while the Angels are playing well I can see how Oakland is a dog . . . . wait . . . . I got them last night for -100 and are now at -115 . . . . anyway the yshould be more in teh -140 range ot something.

    Might as well start with my first real bets!


    Monday

    Milwaukee -120
    Oakland -115

  3. #3
    green7
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    Hi Grinder,

    I've admired your work on the NBA...haven't seen your NFL but I'm interested in reading about it....do you have a link to what you do?

    I use SDQL and killersports for MLB, which works well (usually) for the first two months of the year when dogs typically cover at a good rate....and then its a crap shoot.

    I've got a system that works pretty well in the NFL, NHL and moderately well in the NBA....doesn't work in college hoops or baseball. If you are interested perhaps we could do some exchanging.

  4. #4
    Grinder12000
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    4.15.14


    Results

    Milwaukee -120 Lost
    Oakland -115
    WIN
    in a rush Tuesday

    Washington -180 (-175 last night) should I post picks the night before when I can?
    Atlanta +135


    green7 - I'll get back to you - I gotta run and am in a place with now internet access today and City Council tonight (LOL - I run a city)!

  5. #5
    Grinder12000
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    4.15.14

    Record
    1-2 -1.13u

    I am promising absolutely nothing here. This is just a way for me to post what I'm playing and if I get hot jump on board. I do have a "system" but it's all just a calculated guess! Just being honest!


    Results
    Washington -180 LOST
    Wednesday

    Milwaukee -115
    NYMets +120
    Colorado +130


    ---------------------------------

    Bridgejumper ended up winning 50% last year
    , the premium picks did not do as well as hoped and it was just a weird blah year.

    I've been doing it for 23 years and the theory is so simple no one ever believes it.

    Just track how teams to ATS and when a HOT HOT team is playing a COLD COLD team - put money on the COLD team. The reason it NORMALLY works is that you are in reality betting against the public and now line makers have to tweak the lines to get a 50/50 play.

    So when a team that is getting crushed by the spread is playing a team that is crushing the spread, no one in their right mines wants to put money on the BAD team. SO the linemakers adjust the line accordingly and BAM, back door covers, OR, you look like a fool and suffer public humiliation because you are a fool for putting money on a bad team.

    The big winner is when a "bad" team is a favorite at home. The system is 62-17 ATS. Happens 2 to 4 times a year.

    I back tested this for a couple years in 1992 and have been playing it since then. Even had picks in Collage and Pro Football weekly and a 1-900 number a long long time ago. People hated the system and asked for their money back even when they were winning 60%.

  6. #6
    Grinder12000
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    4.17.14

    Record
    3-3 -0.07u

    Wednesday
    Milwaukee -115 WIN
    NYMets +120 WIN
    Colorado +130 Lose


    Thursday

    Milwaukee -105
    Colorado +110
    NYYankees +155





  7. #7
    Grinder12000
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    4.18.14

    Record 5
    -4 +1.58u

    Thursday

    Milwaukee -105 Lose
    Colorado +110 WIN
    NYYankees +155 WIN



    Friday

    St. Louis -115
    LAAngels +110

  8. #8
    Grinder12000
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    4.19.14

    Record 6
    -5 +1.68u

    Friday

    St. Louis -115 Lose
    LAAngels +110 WIN

    roll the dice Saturday - so many games look so tempting

    StL tCards -110
    LAAngles +133 Detroit - 13 calls to the pen in the last 3 days
    Baltimore +120
    Minnesota +125

    CinciReds -150 Cingrani has a Componant ERA of 2.11
    NYYankees +120
    Miami +105 Marlins are playing better then their record
    Colorado -140
    I might be stretching on this one
    Last edited by Grinder12000; 04-19-14 at 09:54 AM.

  9. #9
    ghost212
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    If it is correct what I see you bet straight 1 unit on every play? Not to win 1 unit but, 1 unit on bet, true ?

  10. #10
    Grinder12000
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    4.20.14

    Record 9
    -10 -0.64u

    Results

    StL tCards -110 WIN won by 1
    LAAngles +133 LOSE
    Baltimore +120 LOSE
    Minnesota +125 LOSE lost by 1

    CinciReds -150 LOSE
    NYYankees +120 LOSE lost by 15
    Miami +105 WIN
    Colorado -140
    WIN

    total -2.32

    ghost - correct, I RISK one unit per play.
    Sunday

    Toronto -110
    LAAngles +120
    Atlanta -110
    StLCards +130
    I want to play Milwaukee but their pen is a little tired and Estrada does not go deep into the game
    Rockies -160

  11. #11
    Grinder12000
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    That's it - I'm done!

    One thing I have learned over the years is winning means NOT losing and I know when things are not right! Too many gamblers will blindly follow something that is fun stat-wise because it's actin and they will lose money in the process. Bankroll management is the key to success. Not chasing an idea.

    Back to the drawing board.

  12. #12
    Jeremylynn
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    Betpoints: 153

    Well get back with us if any thing changes

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