Lions vs. Alouettes Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds

With Nathan Rourke coming off his best game of the season, the BC Lions now must take on the top team in the league. Can Rourke repeat the magic and top the Montreal Alouettes?

Rob Paul

Last Updated: September 6, 2024 12:16 PM EDT • 2 minute read

BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke in the first half against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. We expect Rourke to struggle in our Lions vs. Alouettes prediction. — BC Lions quarterback Nathan Rourke in the first half against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Photo by James Carey Lauder via Imagn Images.

The two top teams by the Grey Cup odds play Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET from Percival Molson Memorial Stadium as the BC Lions take on the Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is a 3.5-point favorite at our best sportsbooks in Canada, and our Lions vs. Alouettes prediction breaks down how the CFL's top two teams matchup
With Nathan Rourke coming off his biggest game of the year, can he continue to thrive against a top-notch defense on the road?

Lions vs. Alouettes odds

Lions vs. Alouettes odds via Betway as of Friday at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Teams	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Alouettes	-182	-3.5 (-105)	Over: 50.5 (-115)
Lions	+150	+3.5 (-115)	Under: 50.5 (-105)

Lions vs. Alouettes prediction: Stick a fork in Rourke hype

CFL picks confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Nathan Rourke Under 279.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Without a doubt, Rourke was unbelievable in his third game back in the CFL.

He torched an Ottawa Redblacks team that held him to just 234 passing yards the week before. But that's the thing, Rourke and the Lions had the benefit of seeing Ottawa's defense for two straight games.

And because he threw for 325 in that second game, his passing yards total is inflated, despite Montreal having one of the best defenses in the league.

In three starts since returning from the NFL, Rourke's been inconsistent and is averaging just 228.3 passing yards per game.

Defense wins championships

The Alouettes are coming off a bye week, which means their defense has had extra time to prepare for Rourke.

Montreal ranks top three in most statistical categories on defense - including passing yards allowed (249.1), QB rating allowed (88.6), and points allowed (21.1).

That's going to make it tough for Rourke to get into a rhythm, and BC might want to lean on its run game instead. The Als struggle against the ground attack, allowing the third most rushing yards per game (105.5).

If Rourke doesn't go Over 279.5 passing yards, a $10 bet pays an $8.47 profit.

Odds: -118 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.05%

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Lions vs. Alouettes game info

When: Friday, Sept. 6 (7:30 p.m. ET)
Where: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium (Montreal, Que.)
How to watch: TSN/RDS, CFL+
Weather: 73 degrees, 10-mph winds, 10% chance of precipitation
Favorite: Alouettes -3.5 (-105 via Betway)

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Written by:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.