Shari's tennis plays

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  • shari91
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-23-10
    • 32661

    #7036
    Originally posted by paciophobia
    shari what do you think about a baghdatis/seppi parlay at -120?
    I really don't like Seppi on this surface and facing Lucky Losers at home is always a bit frightening but I think he should be ok if he plays half decently. Baggy - still hard for me to say. He could fade after a good run last week and since this is his first match here this year, we have no clue how motivated he is. But the same goes with Seppi - if Baggy wants to win this match and his serve is working, he'll win. If Phau takes him to 3 sets though, I stand by what I said about Baggy last week: get out of your bet if you can as he just hasn't seemed fit enough to go the distance for awhile now.
    Comment
    • paco
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-07-09
      • 62873

      #7037
      What's the play?
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #7038
        would i be insane if i took becker straight up too?
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • shari91
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-23-10
          • 32661

          #7039
          Originally posted by paco
          What's the play?
          Just started looking for something good. Will post it in a bit if I come across one for you that looks like a great chance.

          Originally posted by Goat Milk
          would i be insane if i took becker straight up too?
          No, I don't think you'd be insane but the way the lines are jumping around is a bit of a worry for me considering where they're playing. But if I were to take someone here, it'd be Becker. I watched his match yesterday and he looked good.
          Comment
          • GiveMeaBJ
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-08-09
            • 8449

            #7040
            Pick me a winner please Shari!!! These are my locals lines. I refuse to waste money offshore on a sport I know nothing about.

            Oct 28 4135 RAJEEV RAM +295
            2:00 AM 4136 VICTOR HANESCU -370

            Oct 28 4145 ILLYA MARCHENKO -180
            1:30 AM 4146 KONSTANTIN KRAVCHUK +150

            Oct 28 4147 PAUL-HENRI MATHIEU -125
            1:50 AM 4148 BENJAMIN BECKER -105
            Comment
            • shari91
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-23-10
              • 32661

              #7041
              Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
              Pick me a winner please Shari!!! These are my locals lines. I refuse to waste money offshore on a sport I know nothing about.

              Oct 28 4135 RAJEEV RAM +295
              2:00 AM 4136 VICTOR HANESCU -370

              Oct 28 4145 ILLYA MARCHENKO -180
              1:30 AM 4146 KONSTANTIN KRAVCHUK +150

              Oct 28 4147 PAUL-HENRI MATHIEU -125
              1:50 AM 4148 BENJAMIN BECKER -105
              Out of all the matches you give me, you give me these friggin ones?

              This is my take on these matches and I'll leave the decision making up to you.

              Hanescu/Ram: The guy Hanescu is playing sucks balls and Hanescu has already shown in his first match (when I faded his dodgy ass) that he at least may want to be here. Downside: He's a dirty fixer so you can never be safe laying heavy chalk with him. If you take him, just cross your fingers that he's finally going to play it straight and flat bet it.

              Marchenko/Kravchuk: Marchenko got through to this round because Istomin started pouting and retired when it looked like he was going to lose the match so it's hard to properly gauge his form. Marchenko's form hasn't been the best but this is his strongest surface so if he's going to turn it around, now would be his chance. But Kravchuk is a scrappy guy who made his way through the qualifiers to be here and this is also his strongest surface. Plus he has the added bonus of being a Russian in Russia. For me this equals no play or else a small play on Kravchuk I guess.

              Mathieu/Becker: I didn't watch his first match so I have no clue on Mathieu's form but this is his worst surface. Becker's match yesterday I watched and he was fairly strong, his serve was getting in and he stayed focus mentally on the court. Plus after grass this surface is where he has the most success. At first glance Mathieu should beat him but I personally wouldn't feel right recommending that bet here and I think it will be a hard match for either player to win. Although the bouncy odds movement is a bit of a worry, if I was going to take anyone it'd be Becker as I just don't trust Mathieu to put in the effort to win it if it gets tough.
              Comment
              • GiveMeaBJ
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-08-09
                • 8449

                #7042
                Originally posted by shari91
                Out of all the matches you give me, you give me these friggin ones?

                This is my take on these matches and I'll leave the decision making up to you.

                Hanescu/Ram: The guy Hanescu is playing sucks balls and Hanescu has already shown in his first match (when I faded his dodgy ass) that he at least may want to be here. Downside: He's a dirty fixer so you can never be safe laying heavy chalk with him. If you take him, just cross your fingers that he's finally going to play it straight and flat bet it.

                Marchenko/Kravchuk: Marchenko got through to this round because Istomin started pouting and retired when it looked like he was going to lose the match so it's hard to properly gauge his form. Marchenko's form hasn't been the best but this is his strongest surface so if he's going to turn it around, now would be his chance. But Kravchuk is a scrappy guy who made his way through the qualifiers to be here and this is also his strongest surface. Plus he has the added bonus of being a Russian in Russia. For me this equals no play or else a small play on Kravchuk I guess.

                Mathieu/Becker: I didn't watch his first match so I have no clue on Mathieu's form but this is his worst surface. Becker's match yesterday I watched and he was fairly strong, his serve was getting in and he stayed focus mentally on the court. Plus after grass this surface is where he has the most success. At first glance Mathieu should beat him but I personally wouldn't feel right recommending that bet here and I think it will be a hard match for either player to win. Although the bouncy odds movement is a bit of a worry, if I was going to take anyone it'd be Becker as I just don't trust Mathieu to put in the effort to win it if it gets tough.
                Wow you are the best. Kravchuk/Becker it is. Throwing a little against the match fixer.
                Comment
                • GiveMeaBJ
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-08-09
                  • 8449

                  #7043
                  Just a few questions. #1. Will you be posting your plays here for the night/morning.
                  #2. Do you have a record?

                  I know you are $$$ but I am new to this blind tailing crap.
                  Comment
                  • lasker
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-10
                    • 1683

                    #7044
                    Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                    Just a few questions. #1. Will you be posting your plays here for the night/morning. #2. Do you have a record? I know you are $$$ but I am new to this blind tailing crap.
                    your description is "Too Sharp For My Own Good" and yet you're blindly tailing...
                    Comment
                    • shari91
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-23-10
                      • 32661

                      #7045
                      Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                      Just a few questions. #1. Will you be posting your plays here for the night/morning.
                      #2. Do you have a record?

                      I know you are $$$ but I am new to this blind tailing crap.
                      I will be posting plays once I figure them out but you'll have to kind of read between the lines for a bit in my responses in here if you want them before you go to sleep. Someone's been taking mine and Paco's plays and posting them on another forum so I'm trying to make them at least have to work for it until they move on to someone else or have the decency to contact me personally and give me the heads up.

                      I don't have a forum record yet. Started this thread just to give my plays on one particular day and it kind of just snowballed from there somehow. It literally was supposed to be a one day thing - that's the reason for the shonky title of the thread. I keep a personal record of all of my plays but that doesn't really apply here since I sometimes miss posting in time or don't feel comfortable having people tail certain ones if I'm taking a bit more of a risk. I have started to compile my SBR record (for the 3rd time thanks to 2 laptops blowing up on me) and it will be coming hopefully sooner than later although I've posted so many damn plays every day that it's taking ages to do and each day that passes makes it that much worse. It won't be entirely accurate since I now post everything on here as either 1 unit or 'small' plays although I'm actually fluctuating bet amounts IRL. I just don't want to have any part of encouraging people to bet more than they feel comfortable with or an amount that is unrealistic for their bankroll so I leave that decision in their hands. For what it's worth for the time being though, I actually do quite ok in tennis since I tend to avoid heavy chalk for the most part and just try to pick and choose my spots. And I hope I've helped others make a bit of cash as well. Hope that helps a bit.
                      Comment
                      • GiveMeaBJ
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 8449

                        #7046
                        Originally posted by lasker
                        your description is "Too Sharp For My Own Good" and yet you're blindly tailing...
                        In tennis absolutely I am blindly tailing. I know nothing about it. I am so sharp in other sports I can afford to throw away money on late night tennis when I am bored.
                        Comment
                        • GiveMeaBJ
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-08-09
                          • 8449

                          #7047
                          Originally posted by shari91
                          I will be posting plays once I figure them out but you'll have to kind of read between the lines for a bit in my responses in here if you want them before you go to sleep. Someone's been taking mine and Paco's plays and posting them on another forum so I'm trying to make them at least have to work for it until they move on to someone else or have the decency to contact me personally and give me the heads up.

                          I don't have a forum record yet. Started this thread just to give my plays on one particular day and it kind of just snowballed from there somehow. It literally was supposed to be a one day thing - that's the reason for the shonky title of the thread. I keep a personal record of all of my plays but that doesn't really apply here since I sometimes miss posting in time or don't feel comfortable having people tail certain ones if I'm taking a bit more of a risk. I have started to compile my SBR record (for the 3rd time thanks to 2 laptops blowing up on me) and it will be coming hopefully sooner than later although I've posted so many damn plays every day that it's taking ages to do and each day that passes makes it that much worse. It won't be entirely accurate since I now post everything on here as either 1 unit or 'small' plays although I'm actually fluctuating bet amounts IRL. I just don't want to have any part of encouraging people to bet more than they feel comfortable with or an amount that is unrealistic for their bankroll so I leave that decision in their hands. For what it's worth for the time being though, I actually do quite ok in tennis since I tend to avoid heavy chalk for the most part and just try to pick and choose my spots. And I hope I've helped others make a bit of cash as well. Hope that helps a bit.
                          I'll be up all night. Thanks for being so helpful Shari.
                          Comment
                          • GiveMeaBJ
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-08-09
                            • 8449

                            #7048
                            Comment
                            • shari91
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 02-23-10
                              • 32661

                              #7049
                              All small plays today as I'm going out on a bit of a limb here. To start: Kravchuk, Darcis +4.5, Zemlja, Cuevas, Becker, Dent
                              Comment
                              • fenek
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 06-16-10
                                • 959

                                #7050
                                small play for me with becker too

                                Comment
                                • GiveMeaBJ
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-08-09
                                  • 8449

                                  #7051
                                  On em, good luck.
                                  Comment
                                  • badbyzdmx
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-23-09
                                    • 232

                                    #7052
                                    hey for all you iphone users, check out the new atp wta app (free) at the appstore... search tennis live scores
                                    Comment
                                    • Gee
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-08-10
                                      • 4547

                                      #7053
                                      screw this. i'm on matthieu and marchenko. didnt even check this thread before putting them in. was a bit rushed.

                                      Also on Lu. not fading hanescu shari?
                                      Comment
                                      • lasker
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-10
                                        • 1683

                                        #7054
                                        Originally posted by shari91
                                        All small plays today as I'm going out on a bit of a limb here. To start: Kravchuk, Darcis +4.5, Zemlja, Cuevas, Becker, Dent
                                        Glad to see you picking Darcis, at least with the handicap I just took the ML
                                        Comment
                                        • shari91
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-23-10
                                          • 32661

                                          #7055
                                          Originally posted by badbyzdmx
                                          hey for all you iphone users, check out the new atp wta app (free) at the appstore... search tennis live scores
                                          Thanks for that!

                                          Originally posted by Gee
                                          screw this. i'm on matthieu and marchenko. didnt even check this thread before putting them in. was a bit rushed.

                                          Also on Lu. not fading hanescu shari?
                                          As much as I'd love to fade Hanescu again, I really don't think even he's stupid enough to fix a match with Ram. And if it's not fixed, I don't give Ram much of a chance of winning although I've obviously been wrong before when it comes to these dodgy matches.

                                          Originally posted by lasker

                                          Glad to see you picking Darcis, at least with the handicap I just took the ML
                                          I'm on the ML as well but figured I'd only post the handicap to try to play it safe for anyone who pops in here and thinks about taking him. Hope he comes through for us.
                                          Comment
                                          • Rod1010
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-01-10
                                            • 6208

                                            #7056
                                            why would you fade monfils now?
                                            Comment
                                            • shari91
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-23-10
                                              • 32661

                                              #7057
                                              Originally posted by Rod1010
                                              why would you fade monfils now?
                                              A few reasons including the fact that Monfils hasn't played on this surface in over a month whereas this is Darcis' 5th match at Montpelier and hasn't dropped a set yet this week and Monfils is quite often troubled by players who strongly rely on their returning skills but mainly because number wise it doesn't make sense for me to pass up Darcis when the odds I'm receiving are higher than the chance I've given him to win. My larger bet is on the handicap but for all I know Monfils will end up wiping the court with him but the way I've capped this match, I can't see this being an easy victory on either side. Again I've been wrong before though.
                                              Comment
                                              • lasker
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-27-10
                                                • 1683

                                                #7058
                                                I've got Darcis in straight sets
                                                Comment
                                                • shari91
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 32661

                                                  #7059
                                                  Originally posted by lasker
                                                  I've got Darcis in straight sets
                                                  It's starting to look like I should've taken Becker in straights. So happy I had the chance to watch his match yesterday - it honestly makes such a huge difference when trying to pick a winner and I put more on him than I normally would've if I hadn't. Fingers crossed he just finishes this off nicely now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shari91
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                    • 32661

                                                    #7060
                                                    Becker! Easier win for him than I thought it would be.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gangeriver
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-23-09
                                                      • 2138

                                                      #7061
                                                      Originally posted by shari91

                                                      Out of all the matches you give me, you give me these friggin ones?
                                                      Good luck shari! btw I learned a new english word. thanks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rav_himself
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 03-15-10
                                                        • 992

                                                        #7062
                                                        nice call on becker shari

                                                        unfortunately tennisbabe was on becker and i'm forever fading him so I missed out!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Coolsmarti
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 06-03-10
                                                          • 147

                                                          #7063
                                                          Regarding iPhone app ..

                                                          Search for Pro Tennis Live - their official app.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shari91
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 02-23-10
                                                            • 32661

                                                            #7064
                                                            Adding Tursonov +110
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Gee
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-08-10
                                                              • 4547

                                                              #7065
                                                              Not again...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ruff
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 06-10-10
                                                                • 647

                                                                #7066
                                                                Originally posted by shari91
                                                                Adding Tursonov +110
                                                                late money on Lu
                                                                5dimes has Tursunov at +120
                                                                im on Tursunov taking the small dog.
                                                                GL Shari
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ruff
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                                  • 647

                                                                  #7067
                                                                  Originally posted by shari91
                                                                  Adding Tursonov +110
                                                                  10 units my way

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DMB40
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-04-09
                                                                    • 1258

                                                                    #7068
                                                                    hey shari do you like nalbandian today?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #7069
                                                                      Nice morning Shari. Nalbandian-Simon is going to be a tasty treat I hope. Simon was a good pick at +145 or so, but he's been bought way down. I'm still marinating for some picks this afternoon. GL with the rest of your day.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • kop1987
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 06-22-10
                                                                        • 83

                                                                        #7070
                                                                        shari, do you think if stosur is going win her match comfortably??
                                                                        Comment
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