Shari's tennis plays

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #6231
    What do you think about Monfils on the HC.
    Djokavic hasn’t even been tested yet. He was in the first round to the best opponent he has faced, Fish was hobbling in that match, was very tired, not moving well. Djokavic is mental nutcase. Monfils broke Gasquet’s serve and Novak will struggle more in the wind, and Monfil’s speed will give a replica speed player problems, its really just a test of fitness and mind. Djokavic is 4-0 against Monfils but the last time they played was over a year ago. Most of their matches have gone the distance. Gasquet played well against Monfils, just didn’t hit big points when he needed them. Don’t underestimate the way Gasquet played in that match.
    The Djoker is 24-5 at the US OPEN. He’s 29-8 this year on hardcourts, 13-11 in tiebreaks over the last year. Monfils is 19-8 on hard courts this year a nd 11-4 all time at the Open. He has a 16-12 tiebraek record this year.
    Some trends from TI so you don’t have to check
    -Monfils won last 4 at US Open obviously. He’s lost 7 in a row when Opponent is top 10 and he is the underdog
    -Djoker won 7 in a row when a favorite
    Monfils said after Gasquet match basically “I am the leader. Gasquet crumbles under the big points and I got in his head.” “Novak beat me last time, now its time for my revenge I hope”
    Novak on monfils: “most of our matches were very long, a lot of long rallies, a lot of sliding, a lot of athleticism on the court. He's physically one of the most prepared and strongest guy on the tour. So, yeah, we have a lot of respect for each other. We grew up together. We are same generation in juniors. We met a lot of times in the tournaments, so it's no secret in our games. I guess he's kind of flashy. If he starts playing well, he can beat anyone, you know, because he's so fast and so athletic and strong that he can get a lot of balls back. I just have to be ready and kind of patient and wait for my chances.”
    Novak doesn’t play that well in the wind, he is good, but he doesn’t dictate points completely in the wind. And monfils already proved that he can handle a big serve like Gasquet’s. Djokavic’s best asset is his return on second serves but Monfils has improved that second serve and that kick should help him.
    Fitnesswise Djokovic has played way less on court. That doesn’t mean much for guys like Monfils and Youzhny though. Their fitness is their best asset. In my opinion the crowd will be with Monfils tomorrow. I think he will catch Djokovic off guard early, its probably his best chance.
    Monfils +5 looks solid.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • hawley
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-10-10
      • 14270

      #6232
      shari and GM do you two like wozniacki -6 against cibulkova?

      wozniacki is playing some really nice tennis, and hasn't cibulkova had some medical attention in her last matches?
      Comment
      • shari91
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-23-10
        • 32661

        #6233
        Yeah, I've been thinking about Monfils since I posted in Staco's thread about the Fed/Djoko parlay. The one hesitation I have about going against Djoko even with the handicap is that we haven't been given a chance to see his actual form. Not his fault I guess - more luck of the draw since he can only play the people stuck in front of him - but it's hard to tell where he's at. With Monfils we know. As much as he can be a clown, he seems to have smartened up in this tournament and I think he can give Djoko a good run for his money by literally running. I'm not too worried about the underdog stat as any sane bookie would almost always put Monfils as a dog against anyone decent because he's a bit of a fruit loop. But Djoko's no candidate for mental stability either obviously and I can't figure out where his mind's at at this point, let alone his game.

        I'm really not sure. You know me - I love taking the dog if I think they have a chance, if only with the handicap but Djoko hasn't had to prove anything yet so I can't tell if he'll struggle here. There's definitely no issue with fitness for Monfils. I think that's where people have been led astray a bit during the Open ie with Wawa. Assuming players will feel fatigued after a hard match to the point where they'll suffer against their next opponent. But they're forgetting that players set their training and playing schedules to peak at Slams. I'm going to think about this one a bit more and will either PM or meet you later to see if I can come up with a brainwave about it.
        Comment
        • shari91
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-23-10
          • 32661

          #6234
          Originally posted by hawley
          shari and GM do you two like wozniacki -6 against cibulkova?

          wozniacki is playing some really nice tennis, and hasn't cibulkova had some medical attention in her last matches?
          If things play out as they should, you'd think Woz would be able to cover this considering Cibulkova's serve is crap and a big part of the reason she's here at this point is thanks to Bondarenko's choke and Kuznetsova looking like a dead horse on the court most of the time. The only thing that worries me just a tiny bit about the handicap is that you need a 6-2 set minimum for this to hit which I hate banking on but considering in their last match 2 weeks ago this would've covered, I think this most likely will be safe. I'm actually debating the under in this one. The over 18 is getting juiced but I have big doubts Cibulkova can hold 3 service games a set against Woz unless Woz lets her mind wander terribly.
          Comment
          • mav924
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-06-09
            • 718

            #6235
            Good luck today shari
            Comment
            • phillybadboy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9383

              #6236
              Originally posted by rav_himself
              uphill is bad also, no? you can't win!
              you can say smooth sailing= equals good or easy
              Comment
              • Wulfman14
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-24-10
                • 8869

                #6237
                im on monfils today shari, OUTRIGHT win
                Comment
                • KingKappy128
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-17-09
                  • 107

                  #6238
                  Shari, what do you think of these plays?

                  Monfils +275
                  Parlay +113: Federer -417, Wozniacki Wins 2-0 -315, and Zvonereva -330

                  Hit Venus, Youzhny Parlay and Venus, Clijsters Parlay Tuesday.


                  Good Luck with your plays!
                  Comment
                  • papitopapita
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 07-03-10
                    • 88

                    #6239
                    im going for the over 38.5 in the monfils/joker match. any ideas shari?

                    btw what was that site you used to track tennis stats again? thanks a bunch.
                    Comment
                    • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-18-10
                      • 13389

                      #6240
                      Joker will win good luck
                      Comment
                      • danller
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-05-10
                        • 734

                        #6241
                        I have to ask Shari, what is the play you talked about in Pacos thread? Do you have a big play for today?
                        Comment
                        • shari91
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-23-10
                          • 32661

                          #6242
                          Originally posted by KingKappy128
                          Shari, what do you think of these plays?

                          Monfils +275
                          Parlay +113: Federer -417, Wozniacki Wins 2-0 -315, and Zvonereva -330

                          Hit Venus, Youzhny Parlay and Venus, Clijsters Parlay Tuesday.


                          Good Luck with your plays!
                          I think Monfils has a chance of giving Djoko a little trouble but I'm betting on Djoko to win. Your parlay looks good!

                          Originally posted by papitopapita
                          im going for the over 38.5 in the monfils/joker match. any ideas shari?

                          btw what was that site you used to track tennis stats again? thanks a bunch.
                          I have put a very small play on the over. I use TennisInsight (a paid site) and OnCourt, a paid database that you download to your computer each day.


                          Originally posted by WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                          Joker will win good luck
                          Best of luck to you too Wiz!


                          Originally posted by danller
                          I have to ask Shari, what is the play you talked about in Pacos thread? Do you have a big play for today?
                          I was talking about a Fed/Djoko parlay but have now added Zvonareva to it.
                          Comment
                          • shari91
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-23-10
                            • 32661

                            #6243
                            Federer/Djokovic/Zvonareva +104

                            A very small play on Monfils/Djoko over 38.5 -105 because I suck at totals.
                            Comment
                            • KingKappy128
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-17-09
                              • 107

                              #6244
                              Originally posted by shari91
                              Federer/Djokovic/Zvonareva +104

                              A very small play on Monfils/Djoko over 38.5 -105 because I suck at totals.
                              Thanks for the response Shari! I would play Over 3.5 Sets instead of 38.5. I know the juice doesn't look good, but I highly doubt Monfils loses 3-0. BOL Today!
                              Comment
                              • brucethebear
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-16-10
                                • 724

                                #6245
                                Originally posted by shari91
                                Federer/Djokovic/Zvonareva +104

                                A very small play on Monfils/Djoko over 38.5 -105 because I suck at totals.
                                Tailed your Parlay Shari.
                                Looking good
                                Also took Joker -5. (I also suck at totals.)

                                BtB
                                Comment
                                • camel
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-26-09
                                  • 1711

                                  #6246
                                  Soderling +5 is a bit tempting.
                                  Comment
                                  • Goat Milk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 25850

                                    #6247
                                    Federer also the last leg of a parlay for me shari and I laid the chalk with him too
                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                    Comment
                                    • nocode1
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-01-10
                                      • 1002

                                      #6248
                                      Goat If theres one player on earth i would love to be the last leg of my parlay its Fed.....dont stress dude
                                      Comment
                                      • Goat Milk
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 25850

                                        #6249
                                        I know NoCode. I said I also laid 400 on him to win a bill. which usually goes against everything me and shari stand for. but come on, its federer under the lights. He won't lose (I Hope)
                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                        Comment
                                        • shari91
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-23-10
                                          • 32661

                                          #6250
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          I know NoCode. I said I also laid 400 on him to win a bill. which usually goes against everything me and shari stand for. but come on, its federer under the lights. He won't lose (I Hope)


                                          Comment
                                          • Goat Milk
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-24-10
                                            • 25850

                                            #6251
                                            Patrick did not believe I got Fed -400. Calling me the biggest lier ever. laid $400 to win 1. He demanded proof and then apologized after I showed him
                                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                            Comment
                                            • KingKappy128
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-17-09
                                              • 107

                                              #6252
                                              Shari, Great hit on the Parlay!

                                              What do you think of this parlay for Thursday?

                                              Youzhny -140 and Clijsters -193
                                              Parlay Pays +160
                                              Comment
                                              • paco
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-07-09
                                                • 62873

                                                #6253
                                                Hi Shari.
                                                Comment
                                                • shari91
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 32661

                                                  #6254
                                                  Originally posted by KingKappy128
                                                  Shari, Great hit on the Parlay!

                                                  What do you think of this parlay for Thursday?

                                                  Youzhny -140 and Clijsters -193
                                                  Parlay Pays +160
                                                  Thanks Kappy! I honestly don't have an opinion on that parlay yet because that Clijsters/Venus line seems fishy to me. Also I'm not yet 100% convinced Youzhny will take this one although I will most likely take him in the end. I'll post up here once I sort it out.

                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                  Hi Shari.
                                                  Hello my friend.

                                                  Nice decision on MLB.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shifty107
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-05-10
                                                    • 1582

                                                    #6255
                                                    Any thoughts on Venus tomorrow Shari? I am liking her as a dog and especially after seeing Kim's performance on serve against Stosur.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shari91
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                      • 32661

                                                      #6256
                                                      Originally posted by Shifty107
                                                      Any thoughts on Venus tomorrow Shari? I am liking her as a dog and especially after seeing Kim's performance on serve against Stosur.
                                                      Still trying to figure that one out Shifty. My first instinct was that the line seemed off - Venus should be the dog but not that big of one. But I'm going to have to really take a look at their stats this week. I faded Venus against Schiavone and obviously lost so I need to determine if I just faded her one match too early or if she's ready to hit the final. Considering how Venus has been pushed to a first set tiebreak by Schiavone, Peer and Marino, my first instinct is that she's starting off so slow that Kim is strong enough to take advantage of that. I'll post something in here once I have a decent idea of what I'm going to do.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 25850

                                                        #6257
                                                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                        Vera Zvonareva +1600 .5x
                                                        There is probably no way to hedge this unless she gets to the finals, right? I don't even think its worth a hedge with these 4 left, but wanted to hear your thoughts.

                                                        Anyway the woman play on Friday right? Woz WILL NOT have an easy time with Vera like she did Sharapova.
                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Shifty107
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-05-10
                                                          • 1582

                                                          #6258
                                                          Ok Shari, thanks beautiful. I will wait to hear your thoughts on the match. GL on your plays tonight. I am liking Youzhny. I know you like the dogs but hopefully we are on the same side.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wilforth
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-10-08
                                                            • 16309

                                                            #6259
                                                            My thoughts:

                                                            1) Kim wins the 1st set vs. Venus but Venus turns on the heat and wins the final 2 sets for the upset.
                                                            2) Wawa beats Youzhny.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Goat Milk
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-24-10
                                                              • 25850

                                                              #6260
                                                              Verdasco/Nadal OVER 33.5 -135 2x
                                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shari91
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 32661

                                                                #6261
                                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk

                                                                There is probably no way to hedge this unless she gets to the finals, right? I don't even think its worth a hedge with these 4 left, but wanted to hear your thoughts.

                                                                Anyway the woman play on Friday right? Woz WILL NOT have an easy time with Vera like she did Sharapova.
                                                                Yeah, the women are on Friday for you guys.

                                                                No decent hedge for you with that future in this round. Too much chalk to be laid for you to even get your money back unless you threw money on Woz 2-0, 2-1 but even then it's a risk. I'd personally just ride it out and pray with everything you've got that she gets past Woz.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KingKappy128
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-17-09
                                                                  • 107

                                                                  #6262
                                                                  Youzhny is 2-0 Career vs Wawa on Hard Courts.

                                                                  Clijsters has won 4 straight vs Venus, all on Hard Courts. Venus has only made 1 Semi-Final in a Major in her last 8 Majors. She also hasn't won the Open in 9 years.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rav_himself
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 03-15-10
                                                                    • 992

                                                                    #6263
                                                                    Come on shari, I though we were gonna ride Wawrinka into the sunset!

                                                                    This is his spot right?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • rav_himself
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 03-15-10
                                                                      • 992

                                                                      #6264
                                                                      although his leg is a worry...

                                                                      I can see him retiring.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Genotime
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 08-27-10
                                                                        • 26

                                                                        #6265
                                                                        Stan da Man
                                                                        Comment
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