Stacocakes Romes Masters Series thread

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 11:31 AM

0-30

How Gulbis recovers from this point here will dictate how this match will finish up

**michalis** · 05-01-10, 11:31 AM

nadal backers got lucky there, he must take this chance cause he may not get another one

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 11:33 AM

Saved 2 bps

**michalis** · 05-01-10, 11:34 AM

unfortunately gulbis first serve has been phenomenal, one more break point for nadal though

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 11:35 AM

amazing shot at the net.I thought he would dump that into the net for sure

**michalis** · 05-01-10, 11:37 AM

nadal got so many chances and he keeps phucking up, gulbis sets him up for easy points and he keeps saying no thanks

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 11:37 AM

and gulbis holds

can't believe Rafa didn't get the break there.Had three chances

**michalis** · 05-01-10, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

and gulbis holds

can't believe Rafa didn't get the break there.Had three chances

actually he had 4 in that game :/

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 11:42 AM

Best of luck with your parlay Michalis. I think Rafa will win it in the end for you. Of course for the 5th time this week I have had to leave during a match at a very tight moment.Very frustrating. If I was staying at home all day this match would have been over by now surely.

Good luck with the match guys.Be back in a couple hours to look ahead to tomorrow

**michalis** · 05-01-10, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Best of luck with your parlay Michalis. I think Rafa will win it in the end for you. Of course for the 5th time this week I have had to leave during a match at a very tight moment.Very frustrating. If I was staying at home all day this match would have been over by now surely.

Good luck with the match guys.Be back in a couple hours to look ahead to tomorrow

thanks stacocakes

have fun and we'll update you on the details later

**tailmypicks** · 05-01-10, 11:48 AM

how quickly things change
there were signs in last match when wawa kept it close

**MUHerd37** · 05-01-10, 11:51 AM

Gulbis will win this match

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-01-10, 12:00 PM

That's why Nadal is the king on clay. Better nerves than 99.8% of the players on tour because he knows he will win. Gulbis loses on a love game on his own serve. Interested to see where the line for the Ferrer match goes. Books could over react to the close match today and give Rafa a lower than usual price.

Honestly think Ferrer has less of a chance against Nadal than Gulbis did because Gulbis' serve was a big factor. Ferrer does not have that weapon.

**MUHerd37** · 05-01-10, 12:01 PM

Nadal Wins!!!!!!!! That was close as hell man. Wish I would have taken Eagles advice tho. Would have made more money. I just had Nadal in a parlay. I also wanted to take Ferrer but I couldn't pull the trigger. Should be a great final.

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-01-10, 12:41 PM

Nadal -800 in the final. Ferrer +665. Handicap should be interesting. By that price it should be +/- 5 I think. O/U will be the one to watch. That'll tell you what the books think of this match. They had the Gulbis match at 18. Ferrer/Verdasco was 23.5. Since it's Nadal and they just played in Monte Carlo where Nadal crushed him ... I'd be surprised if it makes it to a total of 19. But today's match might have a lot on the OVER depending on the number. Nadal definitely not playing as well as he did a couple weeks back, mostly his serve is not winning as many points, but he can still break down an opponent - especially one without an overpowering serve like Ferrer. Ferrer though is in that same mold and he's been serving pretty well this week. Not sure if I will play anything in the final, but will see what's what when all the numbers are set.

**Stacocakes** · 05-01-10, 01:53 PM

Nice win for Nadal. I figured he would pull it out in the end.Hard for other players to match his intensity for a full 3 sets.
Price has already moved to -850 for rafa in the final. For those that don't have Rafa futures this match is a definate no-play at -850 unless you wanted to take a chance on Ferrer at those big odds. I'm just going to let it ride and if Rafa happens to lose the first set I may hedge out my outright at that point because Nadal will still have a big price at that point. Still think Nadal will get this done in the end.
As far as an over/under for the match that is very hard to call.I would have figured the match against Gulbis today to go under and the match Ferrer had against Verdasco to go three sets so obviously it's just a guess at this point what would happen tomorrow. I've got back luck with totals so I will definately pass on betting that.For some reason I see this match being a straight set disappointing final though
Good to see you guys made some money today as well

**michalis** · 05-02-10, 03:57 AM

its going to be a tricky match

**Stacocakes** · 05-02-10, 10:23 AM

Geez rain delayed

**Stacocakes** · 05-02-10, 10:59 AM

matches back on

**EaglesPhan36** · 05-02-10, 01:36 PM

7-5, 6-2. Perfect for your future and my over at 19 today.

**Stacocakes** · 05-02-10, 01:40 PM

Nice way to cap this tournament with Nadal winning

Was a good week Eagles. Seems like many on this board made some good money. Time to take a break till the Madrid Masters event.

See ya guys then

**MUHerd37** · 05-02-10, 10:57 PM

Great Tourney!

**beefcake** · 05-02-10, 11:10 PM

what no ATP 250's for you staco?

Alot of stiffs playing this week...

**Stacocakes** · 05-03-10, 10:53 AM

Beefcake no 250's for me. Just going to wait till later in the week to play the Madrid Masters

**BernardMadoff** · 05-03-10, 04:06 PM

Patty Schnyeder just almost cost me 2 dimes, up 5-1 in the 3rd set, she tried to give this match away, it was like she remembered if she won she has to face Venus next, these darn women drive you crazy with their up and down play.

**Stacocakes** · 05-04-10, 10:56 AM

Have said it many times but women's tennis takes years off your life. They just can't be depended on at high prices to win the matches.

A very weird match happened today with Ancic and Koellerer. Ancic opened at around -110 and steamed all the way to -315 overnight. Not sure what it closed at but I do know that Ancic lost in straight sets. Must have been many people that lost money on this match.

**beefcake** · 05-04-10, 12:34 PM

looks like the russian mob lost a killing

**Stacocakes** · 05-04-10, 02:03 PM

Just a little outright I am playing for this week. Federer is -225 to win Estoril. Didn't seem that great but then I looked at the draw and saw that he has to win four matches to win the tournament. First match is against Bjorn Phau. He then will play Falla and then probably Montanes. In the final he will play either LJubicic, MOnfils or Gacia-Lopez. All three will be very beatable for Federer. Yes I know Roger has been piss poor lately and a 1000 masters series event is starting right after this so Federer might not be totally into this event but I am going to take the chance and play the -225 outright. He will be a heavy favorite in all of his matches so it should be easy to hedge this bet in the semi's or finals if Federer is having some problems.

Play for the Estoril Open

Roger Federer to win -225

**Stacocakes** · 05-04-10, 02:08 PM

Just a note that I am not going crazy on this outright just something to keep things going till the next tournament starts

**BernardMadoff** · 05-04-10, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Have said it many times but women's tennis takes years off your life. They just can't be depended on at high prices to win the matches.

A very weird match happened today with Ancic and Koellerer. Ancic opened at around -110 and steamed all the way to -315 overnight. Not sure what it closed at but I do know that Ancic lost in straight sets. Must have been many people that lost money on this match.

Yea they were talking about that on another site, I didnt touch that match, dont trust Ancic, but with Kollerer at + a number that high, I should have dropped something on him.

**ringemup** · 05-04-10, 04:39 PM

-110 to 315 overnight? wow sum line movement

**raydog** · 05-04-10, 11:16 PM

boys, ancic found out about pattys all in...chucked the kid

**Stacocakes** · 05-05-10, 01:33 PM

Federer wins easily today. Next up for him is Clement who he should be able to beat in his sleep. I think I will let the Federer outright ride a bit longer. Might hedge it out in the final. I can't see anyone here defeating Federer the only problem, as always, is his motivation for this tournament. If he wants to win it, he will. If he is looking ahead to the Masters 1000 event then anything is possible.

**Stacocakes** · 05-06-10, 10:57 AM

I saw Monfils withdraw from the tournament due to "sickness" so I started to get scared of Federer getting "sick" so that he could get ready for next weeks Masters series event. I've hedged off my Federer outright with Fed not to win at +400. Would rather take some guaranteed money then to lose the outright on Federer pulling out.

**pat venditto** · 05-06-10, 11:12 AM

Good luck staco.