EP36's Tennis Talk

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  • Shifty107
    SBR MVP
    • 01-05-10
    • 1582

    #1751
    Hey EP. What do you think of benneteau tonight. I know he sort of struggled against Vliegen but I think he should be able to deal with the young beck. I am thinking of adding him to a parlay with malisse.
    Comment
    • Ruff
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-10-10
      • 647

      #1752
      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
      THURSDAY

      PARLAY: MALISSE + FERRER [-128]
      No time to sulk about Wednesday. Malisse is an obvious starting point for me in the parlay formula today. He draws a qualifer in Reister who won his first main draw ATP grass court match against a fellow qualifier in the 1st round. Malisse has been solid in June on this surface and had a serve working against JCF that was difficult to break. 27 aces in all. If he brings something on that level again, he should have too much. Ferrer draws Serra who has never made it past Round 2 at Wimbleon. Ferrer had it all working in his opener against Kiefer, who some such as myself, might be a danger to Ferrer. The Spaniard served well and got the breaks when he needed them to Kiefer away in straights. The key as always with Ferrer is his serve. When he can get his first serve in in the high 60s or above, he usually stands a solid chance to win. He is always a great defensive player who can offer up break opportunities against his opponents almost at-will if they don't possess an overpowering serve. Serra does not. Also toss in that Ferrer is 2-0 at Grand Slams vs. Serra in his career, although they both came 3-4 years ago.
      EP lets turn it around today
      Comment
      • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-18-10
        • 13389

        #1753
        gl eagle i;ll tail
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #1754
          Originally posted by Shifty107
          Hey EP. What do you think of benneteau tonight. I know he sort of struggled against Vliegen but I think he should be able to deal with the young beck. I am thinking of adding him to a parlay with malisse.
          His price seemed way too good, so I avoided it.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #1755
            SODERLING-GRANOLLERS OVER 32 [-118]
            Granollers has twice played Soderling in Grand Slams and both times taken a set off him. He's fairly solid on grass.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #1756
              Maybe the Queen needs to watch Andy Murray every day.
              Comment
              • JNic
                SBR MVP
                • 01-03-10
                • 4272

                #1757
                hahah yea that was a quick beatdown
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1758
                  Tsonga might be yacking up a two set lead here. In any case, Murray's quarter looks wide open for him to win even more so than when the draws came out. Verdasco out. Maybe Tsonga now. Those were the two toughest guys up top and I was confident he could beat them.
                  Comment
                  • shari91
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-23-10
                    • 32661

                    #1759
                    When Murray hit that one drop shot near the end, I swear I had to look twice at the tv to see if they'd flipped over to another court. He definitely stepped it up 8 notches in that match.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #1760
                      Crap. Granollers is Taylor Denting me like yesterday. Competitive 1st set, shit 2nd set. Have to have a tie break in the 3rd if Soderling wins in straights just to push. All that was needed was a fairly competitive 6-4 set, but noooooo.
                      Comment
                      • bolekblues
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-06-08
                        • 420

                        #1761
                        I got burried again on tennis, hopefully parlay will hit and let's hope we can get some back on late WC games
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #1762
                          KUBOT +5 [-120]
                          Kubot draws Petzschner here. Petz had to work hard to get past Robert in 5. He struggled to get his 1st serve in and only saved 6 of his 13 break chances given. Kubot meanwhile was popping on serve with 17 aces and he was getting his 1st serve in almost 75% of the time. When he gets that 1st serve in, he is usually competitive. Petz could come back strong today, but he showed some definite cracks in the armor in Round 1. If Kubot can maintain even play from set-to-set, I think he can stay within the handicap. Also gonna take a pot shot on the ML for small meat at +310.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #1763
                            Malisse in good shape late, trying to close it out in the 5th. Ferrer rallied from down 0-2 early to win the 1st set.
                            Comment
                            • JNic
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-03-10
                              • 4272

                              #1764
                              why is all the money on petz? kubot went from +230 to +310?? i completely agree with your pick here, good luck to us
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #1765
                                I like Kubot - I threw money on him with the points as it was +100 and a little on the ML. Let's hope he shows up. Best of luck!!
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1766
                                  Originally posted by JNic
                                  why is all the money on petz? kubot went from +230 to +310?? i completely agree with your pick here, good luck to us
                                  I think because of Petzschner's recent good run in Halle. At least that's where I would think the public would be looking. That's home turf, so that's not a great assumption to make I don't think that his success there will translate. Probably more so, his experience on grass vs. Kubot's inexperience. Public has done some dumb shit this tournament, let's hope this is another one. Remember the public pushed Almagro's price up from a pick 'em to -160 and he got crushed and was coming in off injury.

                                  It's also the last match on the men's board, so it was bound to have more action.
                                  Comment
                                  • JNic
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-03-10
                                    • 4272

                                    #1767
                                    yea like seriously petz at -370 is a terrible bet
                                    Comment
                                    • BrianLaverty
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-02-07
                                      • 2183

                                      #1768
                                      I'm on Kubot to win the first set at +190

                                      Just really felt that Petz is so overrated and had to use alot of effort in that 1st match.... Not sure Kubot can win the whole thing, but I like him to come out strong against hopefully a sluggish start by Petzschner
                                      Comment
                                      • lasker
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-27-10
                                        • 1683

                                        #1769
                                        any thoughts on Youzhny-Mathieu
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #1770
                                          Run far away from it. I don't bet Youzhny matches in any shape or form. Never on the right side of it. He should win today, but he is Russian after all.


                                          Kubot sucking ass on serve so far. Already down a break and trying to salvage another.
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #1771
                                            Goddam you kubot,gets broken..
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #1772
                                              6-4, not horrible for the handicap. Looked like it was gonna be 6-2 for a minute. Need to win this next set or at least go to a tie break to give the handicap a shot in 3 sets if that's where this is headed. Remember Petz lost his focus against Robert after winning the first two, 6-4 & 7-6.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #1773
                                                Break to Ferrer. Parlay is getting closer and can break this shit streak of successive days losing the parlay.
                                                Comment
                                                • shari91
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 32661

                                                  #1774
                                                  If he doesn't close this out now I'm going to lose the plot. I have him 3-0 and stuck him in a parlay that only needs him to cash now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JNic
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-03-10
                                                    • 4272

                                                    #1775
                                                    Originally posted by lasker
                                                    any thoughts on Youzhny-Mathieu
                                                    youzhny will win, i think he gets to the 4th round even. but around -400 for him is a no bet
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shari91
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                      • 32661

                                                      #1776
                                                      This mother f'er. Honestly.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1777
                                                        It's his M.O. I've often said he is the male version of Jelena Jankovic. Serve comes and goes, but he can break anyone the next game after he gets broken.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JNic
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-03-10
                                                          • 4272

                                                          #1778
                                                          no doubt in my mind kubot covers that +5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JNic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-03-10
                                                            • 4272

                                                            #1779
                                                            right on queue, grabs the 2nd 6-3
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #1780
                                                              6-3 Kubot!

                                                              Now +6 for the match with the handicap. Needs a strong start to the 3rd set to keep the moneyline dream alive.

                                                              Ferrer just about has it in the tie break ... c'mon!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1781
                                                                F-ing A Ferrer. How in the hell do you blow that shit in the tie break? To a 4th set.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • shari91
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                                  • 32661

                                                                  #1782
                                                                  Ferrer breaks my heart just a little bit more.

                                                                  As long as he just puts this match away for both of our parlays I'll be happy. Kubot needs to keep sticking with it and it'll be a nice end to the day for me.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shari91
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                                    • 32661

                                                                    #1783
                                                                    I should've said a nice end of the day for us since we need the same results although I'm sweating over two friggin women as well.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • beefcake
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                                      • 14029

                                                                      #1784
                                                                      Kubot is feeling it!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JNic
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-03-10
                                                                        • 4272

                                                                        #1785
                                                                        kubot is so damn good when that first serve goes in, his volleying is phenomenal
                                                                        Comment
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