EP36's Tennis Talk

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  • noober
    SBR MVP
    • 10-23-09
    • 2012

    #1576
    i watched her against Rus and she looked very good. wish i had a tape of Flipken's match against Kirilenko.
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #1577
      Under normal circumstances I say throw Mahut in there,but no way of knowing how he will play following the marathon on tuesday.
      Comment
      • newjerseydevils
        SBR MVP
        • 03-11-08
        • 3110

        #1578
        Hey eagles what do u think about Llodra over simon....llodra owns simon....he is 4-0 against him........none of which were played on grass........but 3 out of the four wins came in straight sets.......plus llodra's record is not bad on grass.......i havent really watched llodra play i have watched simon play though.....just wanted to get ur opinion
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #1579
          Llodra was pretty lucky to win yesterday. Took a choke from his opponent in the 3rd set. Simon probably isn't quite fit enough yet to be reliable. I could maybe see using Llodra in a parlay, but I wouldn't pay the over -200 by itself .... but that's my general rule on tennis anyhow.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #1580
            JAMES WARD +150
            Why not? Dolgopolov has been using a blistering serve to whip out aces through 2 matches with 29 aces, but he's still managed to drop a set in each match. Ward's serve has been just as effective without the aces and his win over a veteran like Schuettler should continue to give him confidence after he beat Lopez.
            Comment
            • tonibrazza
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-23-10
              • 214

              #1581
              gl
              Comment
              • Rainman12
                SBR High Roller
                • 06-12-10
                • 170

                #1582
                hey EP, been following some of you tennis picks lately and profiting, thanks man!
                what do you think about garcia-lopez and benneteau over 23.5? I cant seem to split these two on form at the moment and saw that all of their 3 matches have been 3 setters (in best of 3 sets). Seems like a nice bet to me. what do you think?
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1583
                  Tough call. I think one of those head-2-heads was at the Australian Open, so it was a 3 set straight sets win in the best of 5 format. I really think this number is high only because of Benneteau playing the two tight two set matches so far here where both totals were 25. I don't particularly like the number one way or the other. If you think it's gonna go 3 again, then over certainly is your bet.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #1584
                    Alright, Malisse home safely with a 6-3 3rd set win. Let's go Becker.
                    Comment
                    • JNic
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-03-10
                      • 4272

                      #1585
                      ok so huber/mj martinez sanchez are supposed to play doubles against zheng/chan..
                      huber is without her usual partner mattek sands cause shes at wimbledon qualifiers.
                      do you think a 2 and a half hour epic against bartoli would make zheng/chan a good play at +145?
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #1586
                        I've talked about that strategy before for doubles. I think it works once in a while, but more often than not the favorites in doubles are favored for a reason. It's not a bad angle to take and plus money certainly makes it more attractive. I don't confess to know enough about either side to say much else.

                        Becker mowed through Luczak in the 1st set. Let's get this done quick and get paid.
                        Comment
                        • JNic
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-03-10
                          • 4272

                          #1587
                          yea there is no reason for me to bet on it because i don't follow doubles, but if martinez sanchez does beat bartoli i gotta make a small play on zheng/chan because then shes got to play clijsters or azarenka tomorrow
                          Comment
                          • Yezzir
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-29-10
                            • 933

                            #1588
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            I've talked about that strategy before for doubles. I think it works once in a while, but more often than not the favorites in doubles are favored for a reason. It's not a bad angle to take and plus money certainly makes it more attractive. I don't confess to know enough about either side to say much else.

                            Becker mowed through Luczak in the 1st set. Let's get this done quick and get paid.

                            He's playing Gruel.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #1589
                              Right. So many things to track this morning with World Cup, tennis. My eyes are crossed and brain locked. Most important thing is he is winning and closing in on the end.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #1590
                                Becker crushed Greul 6-3, 6-1. Nice easy finish to the parlay and one step closer on the futures. Probably gonna be Tipsarevic vs. Becker in the semis. Pretty confident in Becker right now, so may ride that out for another round and hope he plays Malisse in the final!
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1591
                                  ISTOMIN-MARCHENKO OVER 22.5 [-110]
                                  Marchenko has had Istomin's number on other surfaces in the past 8 months with two three set wins. Istomin's serve was not quite as strong against Almagro before that match ended due to injury as it was the round before, but it is still a weapon when it works. Marchenko's serve seems to come and go, so expect a lot of deuce games on his serve and double faults. Both players should carry some confidence here as they have both been playing fairly well on grass the last week or so. If both can serve well, this could even get done in two sets - but it'd likely take a tie breaker set to do so.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #1592
                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                    JAMES WARD +150
                                    Why not? Dolgopolov has been using a blistering serve to whip out aces through 2 matches with 29 aces, but he's still managed to drop a set in each match. Ward's serve has been just as effective without the aces and his win over a veteran like Schuettler should continue to give him confidence after he beat Lopez.
                                    Also on this. More so, Ward's line dropped at my book from +160 to +145. That's a good sign, ordinarily.
                                    Comment
                                    • Yezzir
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-29-10
                                      • 933

                                      #1593
                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                      Right. So many things to track this morning with World Cup, tennis. My eyes are crossed and brain locked. Most important thing is he is winning and closing in on the end.
                                      Sorry fella, you're right so many times, I had to take this opportunity to correct you for once

                                      I'm tailing you on Ward, also on Makarova.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #1594
                                        Great service save from Ward to start. He let it out to 0-40 and came back to win the game. Don't need that sort of excitement this early in a match.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #1595
                                          Damn Marchenko is awful in the 1st set. Ward sucking as well so far.
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #1596
                                            something must be wrong with marchenko..Please retire and save us!!
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #1597
                                              Physically I think he is fine, I just really do believe his serve comes and goes from set to set. It's either productive or a non-factor it seems. So far in the 2nd, it's been much better. His 2nd serve especially since he didn't win a single point on 2nd serve in the 1st set. Be nice if Istomin could just fall apart for one game.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #1598
                                                Mar-choke-o. He just got broke, this is over. Ah well. Ward is also headed toward defeat.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #1599
                                                  Llodra dropped down to -185. Really that many people who like Simon? Devil made me take it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • beefcake
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 14029

                                                    #1600
                                                    Lets just stick with the becker/maliesse cash cow tommorrow..All I know is that Mahut is one Fit Dude.Won a 5 setter today after the marathon earlier..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beefcake
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 14029

                                                      #1601
                                                      I think people see Simons ranking and see that he is(was) such a big dog,and people are jumping on it.i agree that the value is one llodra now..Anything else to throw him in to a parlay?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1602
                                                        Impressed the most that he came down from 0-2 also against Koubek. Nah, I went straight up Llodra. F*ck it. Every once in a while, larger chalk by itself is okay - not often and today could prove why in the end.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • beefcake
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-26-09
                                                          • 14029

                                                          #1603
                                                          Need an epic collapse from istomin....possible the way the week has gone for ya...Voodoo Hex!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #1604
                                                            Not to be. If Marchenko had played worth a damn in the 1st set, who knows maybe it would have been close. Llodra breaks Simon to start. Yee haw.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • beefcake
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 14029

                                                              #1605
                                                              What, davydenko is playing tsonga in some exhibition?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1606
                                                                Really? Where'd you see that?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #1607
                                                                  EZ peezy on Llodra. Straight sets, 6-1, 6-3. That felt good to finish the day.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • beefcake
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 14029

                                                                    #1608
                                                                    Was crusing bet365 and saw live betting on the match...Tsonga won in straights..,not sure where the match was..

                                                                    Nice hit on the frenchie..

                                                                    I say back to the well again with the 2 teamers!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #1609
                                                                      I'll have a look later when more prices are out. Something is already beeping a warning sign not to take Malisse tomorrow.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #1610
                                                                        FRIDAY

                                                                        PARLAY: AZARENKA + BECKER [+124]
                                                                        Start with Azarenka who has been in a groove this week at Eastbourne. She served solidly against Clijsters and held a good nerve throughout that match. The good thing is that her serve has gotten better as the week has progressed. She draws Bartoli who is legit on this surface, but has now played close to 5 hours on-court in her last two matches here. Bartoli could be out of gas and/or decide that it's time to look ahead to Wimbledon and not expend any more energy here. In any case, if Azarenka brings the focus and serve that has guided her to this point, she should advance to the final. Becker won't have an easy time against a big server in Tipsarevic. Both Becker & Tipsarevic have mowed through the competition this week. Becker has been very good at this tournament over the last two years now with 10 straight wins. The German has enjoyed a better 2010 in general than Tipsarevic and has looked very comfortable on grass the last two weeks. Becker needs to continue to pump those 1st serves in and be prepared to grind one out if need be.
                                                                        Comment
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